The PBR1000 November 2016 Stocks/Commodities Snapshots

November 2016: The Surprise Trump Bump

By Larry C. Paxton

The first part of November continued the downward trend of the last week of October for the US stock exchanges. The US presidential race was taking its toll on the public and investors with two very unpopular candidates leading the charge by lobbing huge questionable accusations at each other and making seemingly impossible promises. 

As if in a sigh of relief that it was about to be over all 3 major US stock exchanges recorded a 2+% gain the day before the election. The day of the election there was a .4-.5% gain. As polls closed and results tallied the improbable path to victory for Donald J Trump became a reality, and we now have elected our 45th US President. The next day there was another upward spike of over 1%, then mostly positive and record days during the rest of the month.

Here are some November summaries on the US stock exchanges:

Number of Trading Days: 21

Number of Gain(+)/Loss(-) Days: DJIA 14+, 7-; NASDAQ 15+, 6-; SPX 11+, 10-.

Record Days: DJIA 8, NASDAQ 3, SPX 4

Gain Streaks: DJIA 7, NASDAQ 3, SPX 4

Loss Streaks: DJIA 7(includes 3 days from October), NASDAQ 9(includes 5 from October), SPX 9(includes 5 from October)

Big Swing Up Days: 11/07/16(day before election), 11/09/16(day after election)

Big Swing Down Days: Streak of 7-9 down days in late October/early November before the election, 11/28/16(Monday after Thanksgiving Weekend with Black Friday shopping day)

The following are Top 5 partial tables excerpts from The PBR1000 November Snapshots. The stock price is for the close of trading on November 30th, Month % Chg is compared to October 31st, YTD % Chg is compared to December 31, 2015, and the 23 Months % Chg is compared to December 31, 2014.

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Table 1(S11): The PBR1000 Top 5 Month Stock Price % Gainers

Table 1 Summary: The range was +175% to -41%. 764 out of 1,000 stock prices were up 0.00% or more. The average was a gain of 6.45%, the median was a gain of 7.42%.

Company	PBR Rank	Symbol	Price 11/30/16	Mo % Chg	YTD % Chg	23 Mos % Chg
FreddieMac	43	FMCC	4.40	+175	+172	+114
FannieMae	18	FNMA	4.49	+164	+174	+118
AK Steel	353	AKS	9.13	+76	+308	+54
US Steel	229	X	32.34	+67	+305	+21
Cliffs Natural Resources	830	CLF	8.81	+60	+458	+23

 

Table 2(S12): The PBR1000 Top 5 Year-To-Date Stock Price % Gainers

Table 2 Summary: The range was +458% to -80%. 715 out of 1,000 stock prices were up 0.00% or more. The average was a gain of 11.0%. The median was a gain of 12.2%.

Company	PBR Rank	Symbol	Price 11/31/16	Mo % Chg	YTD % Chg	23 Mos % Chg
Cliffs Natural Resources	830	CLF	8.81	+60	+458	+23
AK Steel	353	AKS	9.13	+76	+308	+54
US Steel	229	X	32.34	+67	+305	+21
Navistar	264	NAV	30.76	+38	+248	-8
SunCoke Energy	949	SXC	11.42	+12	+229	-41

 

Table 3(S13): The PBR1000 Top 5 23 Months Stock Price % Gainers

Table 3 Summary: Range was +360% to -90%. 555 out of 1,000 stock prices were up 0.00% or more. The average was a gain of 5.2%. The median was a gain of 4.1%.

Company	PBR Rank	Symbol	Price 11/30/15	Mo % Chg	YTD % Chg	23 Mos % Chg
NVIDIA	452	NVDA	92.20	+30	+180	+360
AMD	533	AMD	8.91	+23	+210	+234
SkyWest	634	SKYW	36.85	+22	+94	+177
Amazon	20	AMZN	750.57	-5	+11	+142
Netflix	350	NFLX	117.00	-6	+2	+140

 

Table 4(S15): The PBR1000 Top 5 Market Capitalization

Table 4 Summary: Range was $589.33 billion to $0.00 billion. The average is $21.46 billion, median is $6.90 billion, out of 1,000 companies tracked.

Company	PBR Rank	Symbol	Market Cap($B) 11/30/16	Mo % Chg	YTD % Chg	23 Mos % Chg
Apple	3	AAPL	589.33	-2.7	+0.4	-8.8
Alphabet	34	GOOG	522.47	-3.4	+0.1	+46.3
Microsoft	31	MSFT	468.54	+0.6	+5.7	+22.4
Berkshire Hathaway	148	BRK	388.83	+9.5	+19.5	+7.5
ExxonMobil	20	XOM	362.01	+4.8	+4.8	-7.5
The PBR1000			21,459.34	+3.9	+6.8	+4.6

 

Table 5: The PBR1000 Index & Selected Stock Exchanges/Commodities

Company	Price 11/30/16	Mo % Chg	YTD % Chg	23 Mos % Chg
The PBR1000	73,677.40	+6.5	+11.0	+5.2
DJIA	19,123.58	+5.4	+9.8	+7.3
NASDAQ	5,323.68	+2.6	+6.3	+12.4
S&P500	2,198.81	+3.4	+7.6	+6.8
GOLD	1,173.90	-8.1	+10.7	-0.9
SILVER	16.48	-8.0	+19.4	+5.6
OIL	49.44	+5.3	+33.5	-7.2

 

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