April 2016: Commodities Lead the Way
Oil Over $100/barrel, Then Under $30/barrel, Now on the Rise, What is the Real Value of Oil?
By Larry C. Paxton
As Table 5 below demonstrates, stock exchanges in April were mixed with the DJIA and S&P 500 having modest gains. On the other hand, NASDAQ experienced a significant downward trend. Out of 21 trading days 7 were up, 14 were down, including the last 7 days. It is hard to accurately evaluate what this means, upcoming months will help us as we look back.
Table 5 also shows that commodities, especially oil, realized significant gains over the month. When will these prices start flattening out?
It is interesting the effect oil had on stock prices. As shown in Table 1, all 5 of the monthly stock leaders of The PBR1000 were related to the energy sector.
US and global economies continue to send mixed signals, but the US economy, even with modest/moderate growth, is the most robust and shows the most hope.
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The following partial tables are excerpts from The PBR1000 April Snapshots. The stock price is for the close of trading on April 29th, Month % Chg is compared to March 31st, YTD % Chg is compared to December 31, 2015, and the 16 Months % Chg is compared to December 31, 2014.
Table 1(S11): The PBR1000 Top 5 Month Stock Price % Gainers
Table 1 Summary: The range was +75.67% to -68.55%. 557 out of 1,007 stock prices were up 0.00% or more, or 55.31% of the companies tracked. The median was a gain of 0.77%.
| Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Price 04/29/16 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
16 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cliffs Natural Resources |
842 | CLF | 5.27 | +75.67 | +233.54 | -26.19 |
| Energy Transfer Equity |
64 | ETE | 12.43 | +74.33 | -9.53 | -56.67 |
| Denbury Resources |
977 | DNR | 3.86 | +73.87 | +91.09 | -52.52 |
| Chesapeake Energy | 212 | CHK | 6.87 | +66.75 | +52.67 | -64.90 |
| Southwestern Energy |
631 | SWN | 13.43 | +66.42 | +88.89 | -50.79 |
Table 2(S12): The PBR1000 Top 5 Year-To-Date Stock Price % Gainers
Table 2 Summary: The range was +233.54% to -93.32%. 644 out of 1,007 stock prices were up 0.00% or more, or 63.95% of the companies tracked. The median was a gain of 4.61%.
| Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Price 04/29/16 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
16 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cliffs Natural Resources |
842 | CLF | 5.27 | +75.67 | +233.54 | -26.19 |
| US Steel |
229 | X | 19.11 | +19.07 | +139.47 | -28.53 |
| Alliance One |
827 | AOI | 25.51 | +45.27 | +122.41 | +61.46 |
| SunCoke Energy |
964 | SXC | 7.43 | +14.31 | +114.12 | -61.58 |
| AK Steel |
351 | AKS | 4.68 | +13.32 | +108.93 | -21.21 |
Table 3(S13): The PBR1000 Top 5 16 Months Stock Price % Gainers
Table 3 Summary: Range was +112.53% to -98.92%. 432 out of 1,004 stock prices were up 0.00% or more, or 43.03% of the companies tracked. The median was a loss of -4.81%.
| Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Price 04/29/15 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
16 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amazon.com |
18 | AMZN | 659.59 | +11.11 | -2.41 | +112.53 |
| A-Mark Precious Metals |
391 | AMRK | 20.48 | +2.91 | +8.65 | +105.42 |
| Newmont Mining |
321 | NEM | 34.97 | +31.57 | +94.39 | +85.03 |
| Netflix |
347 | NFLX | 90.03 | -11.93 | -21.29 | +84.49 |
| Skechers USA |
628 | SKX | 33.05 | +8.54 | +9.40 | +79.42 |
Table 4(S15): The PBR1000 Top 5 Market Capitalization
Table 4 Summary: Range was $519.75 billion to $0.00 billion. The average is $20.14 billion, median is $6.23 billion, out of 1,006 companies tracked.
| Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Market Cap($B) 04/29/16 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
16 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple |
3 | AAPL | 519.75 | -13.99 | -11.44 | -19.72 |
| Alphabet |
44 | GOOG | 477.01 | -6.97 | -8.60 | +33.58 |
| Microsoft |
27 | MSFT | 394.44 | -9.70 | -11.00 | +3.01 |
| ExxonMobil |
5 | XOM | 367.10 | +5.75 | +13.13 | -6.23 |
| Berkshire Hathaway |
2 | BRK.B | 360.06 | +2.46 | +10.62 | -0.43 |
| The PBR1000 |
20,261.58 | +0.33 | +0.59 | -1.56 |
Table 5: The PBR1000 Index & Selected Stock Exchanges/Commodities
| Company | Price 04/29/16 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
16 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The PBR1000 | 68,565.33 | +0.63 | +2.41 | -2.91 |
| DJIA | 17,773.64 | +0.50 | +2.00 | -0.28% |
| NASDAQ | 4,775.36 | -1.94 | -4.63 | +.83 |
| S&P500 | 2,065.30 | +0.27 | +1.05 | +0.31 |
| Gold | 1,294.90 | +4.80 | +22.14 | +9.28 |
| Silver | 17.89 | +15.72 | +29.64 | +14.68 |
| Oil | 45.99 | +19.95 | +24.16 | -13.67 |
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