The Week 35 of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

The Week 35 of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

stock market bull bear stocks news recap PBR1000

In Week 35 of 2021 The Stock Market Bull establishes 4 new record closes for the NASDAQ, but loses every day on the DJIA, ends up with a 2-1 mixed win result.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 35 of 2021 Ending 09/03/21

DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(06/30/21 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
Previous Month Close(8/31/21) 35,360.73 15,259.24 4,522.68
Record Close Date 08/16/21 09/03/21 09/02/21
Record Close 35,625.40 15,363.52 4,536.95
Week 34-Friday & Close 35,455.80 15,129.50 4,509.37
Week 35-Monday 35,399.84 15,265.89 4,528.79
    Day % Change -0.16% 0.90% 0.43%
Week 35-Tuesday 35,360.73 15,259.24 4,522.68
    Day % Change -0.11% -0.04% -0.13%
Week 35-Wednesday 35,312.53 15,309.38 4,524.09
    Day % Change -0.14% 0.33% 0.03%
Week 35-Thursday 35,443.82 15,331.18 4,536.95
    Day % Change 0.37% 0.14% 0.28%
Week 35-Friday & Close 35,369.09 15,363.52 4,535.43
    Day % Change -0.21% 0.21% -0.03%
Percent Change-Week -0.24% 1.55% 0.58%
Percent Change-Month-to-Date 0.02% 0.68% 0.28%
Percent Change-Quarter-to-Date 2.51% 5.93% 5.54%
Percent Change-Year-to-Date 15.56% 19.21% 20.75%
Percent Change-Record -0.72% 0.00% -0.03%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD

Week 35 Winner and Tally  Bull 2-1 Mixed Win
August Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 16 5 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 11 0 Losing
Mixed Result 8 3
  Totals 35 8

The US Stock Market Week 35 Summary:

The Stock Market Bear took all 5 days of the DJIA, albeit by small margins. The Stock Market Bull countered with 4 record closes on the NASDAQ, Tuesday the loss by only 6.65(-0.04%) points. The tiebreaker was the S&P500, with The Stock Market Bull getting record closes on Monday and Thursday and also winning Wednesday, with minimal losses on Tuesday and Friday. Bottom line, The Stock Market Bull achieves a 2-1 mixed win result in Week 35 of 2021.

Summary News Items for Week 35:

US Economy News

  • Friday, September 3, 2021

  • The US Dept of Labor says the August 2021 US Available Labor Force is at 161,537,000, Employed is at 153,154,000, Unemployed 8,383,000, for an August 2021 US Unemployment Rate of 5.2%, July was at 5.4%, June 5.9%, August 2020 8.4%, August 2019 3.7%.
  • The Institute for Supply Management says the August 2021 US Services PMI Index(>50 Economy is growing) is at 61.7%, July was at 64.1%, June 60.1%, August 2020 56.9%, August 2019 56.4%. “… growth remains strong for the services sector. The tight labor market, materials shortages, inflation and logistics issues continue to cause capacity constraints….”
  • IHS Markit says the August 2021 US Composite PMI Output Index is at 55.4, July was at 59.9, June 63.7, August 2020 54.6, August 2019 50.7. “Growth slowed sharply in the US service sector in August, joining the manufacturing sector in reporting a marked cooling in demand and encountering growing problems finding staff and supplies. Jobs growth almost stalled among the surveyed companies in August and supplier lead times are lengthening at a near record rate….”
  • Thursday, September 2, 2021

  • The US Dept of Labor says the Revised 2Q21 US Business Sector Labor Productivity Output/Hr-All Persons is at +2.4%, 1Q21 was at +4.2%, 4Q20 -4.2%, 2Q20 +10.2%, 2Q19 +4.3%.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary July 2021 US Trade Exports-Goods is at $148.6 billion, Services $64.2 billion, making July 2021 US Trade Exports Total at $212.8 billionPreliminary July 2021 US Trade Imports-Goods is at $236.3 billion, Services $46.6 billion, making July 2021 US Trade Imports Total at $282.9 billion, making the July 2021 US Trade Deficit Total at $70.1 billion, June was at $73.2 billion, May $68.6 billion, July 2020 $50.7 billion, July 2019 $50.1 billion.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary July 2021 US Manufacturers Orders-Durables is at $257.8 billion, Non-Durables $250.7 billion, making the July 2021 US Manufacturers Orders Total at $508.5 billion, June was at $500.7 billion, May $491.4 billion, July 2020 $452.6 billion, July 2019 $476.1 billion.
  • Wednesday, September 1, 2021

  • ADP says the Preliminary August 2021 US Change In Unemployment-Private Sector-Small Businesses is at +86,000, Mid-Sized 149,000, Large-Sized 138,000, for August 2021 US Change in Unemployment-Private Sector of +373,000, July was at +326,000, June +691,000, August 2020 +429,000, August 2019 +195,000.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary July 2021 US Construction Spending-Residential Annual Rate is at $782.1 billion, Non-Residential $786.7 billion, for US July 2021 Total US Construction Spending Annual Rate at $1,568.8 billion, June was at $1,563.5 billion, May $1,564.2 billion, July 2020 $1,439.6 billion, July 2019 $1,366.0 billion.
  • The Institute for Supply Management August 2021 US Manufacturing PMI Index(>50% Economy is expanding) is at 59.9%, July was at 59.5%, June 60.6%, August 2020 56.0%, August 2019 49.1%. “Business Survey Committee panelists reported that their companies and suppliers continue to struggle at unprecedented levels to meet increasing demand. All segments of the manufacturing economy are impacted by record-long raw-materials lead times, continued shortages of critical basic materials, rising commodities prices and difficulties in transporting products. The new surges of COVID-19 are adding to pandemic-related issues — worker absenteeism, short-term shutdowns due to parts shortages, difficulties in filling open positions and overseas supply chain problems — that continue to limit manufacturing-growth potential. However, optimistic panel sentiment remained strong, with eight positive comments for every cautious comment.”
  • The IHS Markit August 2021 US Manufacturing PMI Index is at 61.1, July was at 63.4, June 62.1, August 2020 53.1, August 2019 50.3. “US goods producers continued to register marked upturns in output and new orders in August, as demand flourished once again. That said, constraints on production due to material shortages exerted further pressure on capacity as backlogs of work rose at a near-record rate….”
  • Tuesday, August 31, 2021

  • The US Dept of the Treasury says on 08/27/21 the US National Debt-Public is at $22.244 trillion, Intragovernmental $6.184 trillion, for 08/27/21 US Total National Debt of $28.428 trillion, 07/30/21 was also at $28.428 trillion, 06/30/21 $28.530 trillion, 08/31/20 $26.703 trillion, 08/31/19 $22.467 trillion.
  • The US Dept of the Treasury says at the close on 08/31/21 the US Treasury 10 Year Notes Yield was at 1.30%, 07/30/21 was at 1.24%, 06/30/21 1.45%, 08/31/20 0.72%, 08/31/19 1.50%.
  • The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Preliminary June 2021 US National Home Price Index(Jan2000=100) is at 260.87, May was at 255.30, April 249.61, June 2020 219.94, June 2019 210.71; the June 2021 US National Home Price Index change from June 2020 is at +18.6%. “We have previously suggested that the strength in the U.S. housing market is being driven in part by reaction to the COVID pandemic, as potential buyers move from urban apartments to suburban homes. June’s data are consistent with this hypothesis. This demand surge may simply represent an acceleration of purchases that would have occurred anyway over the next several years. Alternatively, there may have been a secular change in locational preferences, leading to a permanent shift in the demand curve for housing. More time and data will be required to analyze this question.”
  • The Conference Board says the Preliminary August 2021 US Consumer Confidence Index(1985=100) is at 113.8, July was at 125.1, June 128.9, August 2020 86.3, August 2019 134.2. “While the resurgence of COVID-19 and inflation concerns have dampened confidence, it is too soon to conclude this decline will result in consumers significantly curtailing their spending in the months ahead.”
  • The MNI Indicators Preliminary August 2021 Chicago Business Barometer Index(>50 = economy expanding) is at 66.8, July was at 73.4, June 66.1, August 2020 51.2, August 2019 50.4. “Firms say the available supply of raw materials and workers isn’t sufficient to keep up with new orders.”
  • The American Automobile Assn says that on 08/31/21 the US Average Price/Gallon of Regular Gas is at $3.159, 07/30/21 was at $3.168, 06/30/21 $3.118, 08/31/20 $2.233, 08/30/19 $2.580.
  • Monday, August 30, 2021

  • No US economic news releases today.

US Government/Other

  • The US completes its civilian and military withdrawal from Afghanistan on August 30.
  • The Delta variant of the COVID-19 virus continues to spread and cause deaths at high levels.
  • Hurricane Ida hits New Orleans, during the week moves up to the Northeast US with high winds and dumping lots of rain along the way causing some deaths and severe floods, especially in New Jersey, Pennsylvania and New York, expected to become the most costly natural disaster in the US.
  • Jobs reports by ADP and the US Dept of Labor fall significantly below forecasts.
  • The US Social Security Administration says it will be unable to provide full benefits in 2034, one year earlier than forecast last year.
  • Medicare says the hospital insurance fund will be depleted by 2026, or at the same time as predicted in 2020.
  • The Texas legislature passes the most restrictive abortion law in the US, banning abortions after 6 weeks. The US Supreme Court says it will not block the law, that it was not ruling on the constitutionality of the law and did not mean to limit “procedurally proper challenges” to it.
  • US President Biden to declassify some documents related to the 09/11 attack.
  • The Dixie fire in California has consumed 860,000 acres over 50 days, the Caldor fire continues to threaten the Lake Tahoe area, other fires continue in the Western US states.

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The August 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

The August 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Stocks Investing Investor

The Stock Market Bull has an excellent August with his 3-0 monthly win including several new records highs on all three major US stock indices.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

The Month of August 2021 Ending 08/31/21

DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
2020 Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
2Q21 Close(06/30/21) 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
July 2021 Close(07/30/21) 34,935.47 14,672.68 4,395.26
Record Close Date 08/16/21 08/30/21 08/30/21
Record Close 35,625.40 15,265.89 4,528.79
August 2021 Close(08/31/21) 35,360.73 15,259.24 4,522.68
Percent Change-Month 1.22% 4.00% 2.90%
Percent Change-2Q21-to-Date 2.49% 5.21% 5.24%
Percent Change-Year-to-Date 15.53% 18.40% 20.41%
Percent Change-Record -0.74% -0.04% -0.13%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD

Week 34 2021 Winner and Tally  Bull 3-0 Win
August 2021 Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 16 5 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 11 0 Losing
Mixed Result 7 3
  Totals 34 8

The US Stock Market August 2021 Summary:

The Stock Market Bull enjoyed great success in August, taking Week 31 3-0, getting a mixed result win in Week 32 2-1, letting The Stock Market Bear have his only 3-0 victory in Week 33, then The Stock Market Bull returning with a dominating Week 34 3-0 win. All three major US stock indices had great months with several new record closes established which continued to add to The Stock Market Bull’s strong showing year-to-date, and again leaves The Stock Market Bear winless on a monthly basis with no hope of taking the monthly contest in 2021.

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The Week 34 of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

The Week 34 of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

Stock Market Stocks Investing Investor

Snorting loudly and hoofs pounding The Stock Market Bull takes a 3-0 victory in Week 34, ending the week with record closes for the NASDAQ and S&P500.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 34 of 2021 Ending 08/27/21

DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(06/30/21 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
Previous Month Close(7/30/21) 34,935.47 14,672.68 4,395.26
Record Close Date 08/16/21 08/27/21 08/27/21
Record Close 35,625.40 15,129.50 4,509.37
Week 33-Friday & Close 35,120.08 14,714.66 4,441.67
Week 34-Monday 35,335.71 14,942.65 4,479.53
    Day % Change 0.61% 1.55% 0.85%
Week 34-Tuesday 35,366.26 15,019.80 4,486.23
    Day % Change 0.09% 0.52% 0.15%
Week 34-Wednesday 35,405.50 15,041.86 4,496.19
    Day % Change 0.11% 0.15% 0.22%
Week 34-Thursday 35,213.12 14,945.81 4,470.00
    Day % Change -0.54% -0.64% -0.58%
Week 34-Friday & Close 35,455.80 15,129.50 4,509.37
    Day % Change 0.69% 1.23% 0.88%
Percent Change-Week 0.96% 2.82% 1.52%
Percent Change-Month-to-Date 1.49% 3.11% 2.60%
Percent Change-Quarter-to-Date 2.76% 4.31% 4.93%
Percent Change-Year-to-Date 15.84% 17.39% 20.06%
Percent Change-Record -0.48% 0.00% 0.00%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD

Week 34 Winner and Tally  Bull 3-0 Win
July Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 16 4 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 11 0 Losing
Mixed Result 7 3
  Totals 34 7

The US Stock Market Week 34 Summary:

With a big snort and hoofs pounding the ground The Stock Market Bull swept Monday in a big way, then Tuesday and Wednesday with smaller gains. But The Stock Market Bear decided he wanted to play as well and took Thursday, wiping out much of the Tuesday and Wednesday gains as COVID-19 Delta variant and a suicide bombing at Afghanistan’s Kabul Airport during the emergency evacuations news dominated. But on Friday, with the assistance of some good economic news and plans announced fpr the tapering of bond purchases by the Federal Reserve later this year, The Stock Market Bull returned and had a very nice end to week, closes with record highs for the NASDAQ and S&P500, and takes a clear 3-0 victory for Week 34.

Summary News Items for Week 34:

US Economy News

  • Friday, August 27, 2021

  • The US Dept of Commerce/BEA says the Preliminary July 2021 US Personal Income Annual Rate is at $20.668 trillion, June was at $20.442 trillion, May $20.405 trillion, July 2020 $20.174 trillion, July 2019 $18.688 trillion.
  • The U of Michigan says the Final August 2021 US Consumer Sentiment Index is at 70.3, July 2021 was at 81.2, June 85.5, August 2020 74.1, August 2019 89.8. “The Consumer Sentiment Index fell by 13.4% from July, recording the least favorable economic prospects in more than a decade… Consumers’ extreme reactions were due to the surging Delta variant, higher inflation, slower wage growth, and smaller declines in unemployment. The extraordinary falloff in sentiment also reflects an emotional response, from dashed hopes that the pandemic would soon end and lives could return to normal.”
  • Thursday, August 26, 2021

  • The US Dept of Commerce/BEA says the 2nd Estimate of the 2Q21 US Real Gross Domestic Product Annual Rate is at +6.6%, $22.731 trillion, 1Q21 was at $22.038 trillion, 4Q20 $21.478 trillion, 2Q20 $19.477 trillion, 2Q19 $21.330 trillion.
  • The US Dept of Labor says for the Week Ending 08/21/21 the US Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims 4 Week Moving Average is at 366,500, 07/24/21 was at 394,500, 06/19/21 397,750, 08/22/20 1,068,000, 08/24/19 215,500.
  • FreddieMac says for the Week Ending 08/26/21 the US Average 30 Year Fixed Rate Mortgage is at 2.87% with 0.6 points/fees, 07/29/21 was at 2.80%, 06/24/21 3.02%, 08/27/20 2.91%, 08/29/19 3.58%. “The tug-of-war between the economic recovery and rising COVID-19 cases has left mortgage rates moving sideways over the last few weeks….”
  • TrueCar says the Forecasted August 2021 US Auto Sales-Retail is at 1,077,701 units, Fleet 134,398, for Total Forecasted August 2021 US Auto Sales of 1,212,399 units, July 2021 was at 1,291,775, June 2021 1,300,873, August 2020 1,319,682, August 2019 1,602,276; Forecasted August 2021 Average Auto Transaction Price is at $38,520, August 2020 was at $36,373, August 2019 $34,327.
  • Wednesday, August 25, 2021

  • The US Energy Information Administration says on 08/20/21 the US Millions of Barrels of Crude Oil Stocks are at 432.6, 07/23/21 was at 435.6, 06/25/21 452.3, 08/21/20 507.8, 08/23/19 427.8.
  • Tuesday, August 24, 2021

  • The US Dept of Commerce/HUD says the Preliminary July 2021 US New Family Homes Sold are at a 708,000 units annual rate, June was at 701,000, May 720,000, July 2020 972,000, July 2019 661,000; July 2021 US Median Home Price is at $390,500, June was at $370,200, May 387,300, July 2020 $329,800, July 2019 $308,300.
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia says the August 2021 US 3rd District Nonmanufacturing General Activity Index is at +39.1, July was at +53.1, June +59.6, August 2020 +1.6, August 2019 +8.5. “The respondents expect overall improvement in conditions over the next six months.”
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond says the Preliminary August 2021 US 5th District Manufacturing Index(Annualized) is at +9%, July was at +27%, June +26%, August 2020 +18%, August 2019 +1%. “The composite index declined from 27 in July to 9 in August but remained in expansionary territory… Overall, they were optimistic that conditions would improve in the next six months….”
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond says the Preliminary August 2021 US 5th District Service Sector Revenue Index(Annualized) is at +15%, July was at +19%, June +29%, August 2020 +2%, August 2019 +6%. “Respondents reported improved local business conditions and increased capital spending, and they were optimistic that conditions would continue to improve in the coming months….”
  • Monday, August 23, 2021

  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago says the Preliminary July 2021 US National Activity Index is at +0.53, June was at -0.01, May +0.15, July 2020 +2.66, July 2019 -0.42. “Index points to a pickup in economic growth in July.”
  • The Natl Assn of Realtors says the Preliminary July 2021 US Existing Home Sales Annual Rate is at 5,990,000 units, June was at 5,870,000, May 5,780,000, July 2020 5,900,000, July 2019 5,390,000; the July 2021 US Median Existing Home Price is at $359,900, June was at $363,300, May $350,300, July 2020 $305,600, July 2019 $280,400. “We see inventory beginning to tick up, which will lessen the intensity of multiple offers… Much of the home sales growth is still occurring in the upper-end markets, while the mid- to lower-tier areas aren’t seeing as much growth because there are still too few starter homes available.”

US Government/Other

  • The Delta variant of COVID-19 cases continue at high levels in the US and across the world, especially for non-vaccinated people.
  • The airlift evacuation of US citizens and Afghanistan helpers and their families, due to be completed by August 31, is briefly interrupted when on Thursday a suicide bomber kills 13 US servicemen and 200 Afghans at the Kabul Airport. US President Biden updates the American people, says those responsible will be found and dealt with, airlift continues.
  • Hurricane/Tropical Storm Henri moves up the Northeast coastline of the US with torrential downpours and high winds.
  • The US House of Representatives approves a measure to proceed with developing a $3.5 trillion budget plan for the next fiscal year, also starts work on the $1 trillion infrastructure bill passed by the US Senate.
  • At the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City’s Jackson Hole Annual Economics Meeting, which was held remotely, US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell says the labor market is improving, expects inflation to drop to its 2% target over time, announces plans for a gradual tapering of bond purchases program starting before the end of the year.
  • New York governor Andrew Cuomo’s resignation is effective on Tuesday, August 24th, in response to sexual harassment allegations. Kathy Hochul becomes governor, the first woman to hold that position in New York.
  • The US Biden administration cancels more student loan debts, this time $1.1 billion for ITT students.
  • Gulf of Mexico tropical storm Ida is expected to become a hurricane, to reach landfall around New Orleans.

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Empowering Astute Business Leaders and Shrewd Investors
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Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

This business intelligence report is provided by: 

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The Week 33 of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

The Week 33 of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Recap Investing Investor

The Stock Market Bull waited at least one day too long for a comeback, The Stock Market Bear takes Week 33 with a 3-0 result.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 33 of 2021 Ending 08/20/21

DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(06/30/21 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
Previous Month Close(7/30/21) 34,935.47 14,672.68 4,395.26
Record Close Date 08/16/21 08/05/21 08/16/21
Record Close 35,625.40 14,895.12 4,479.71
Week 32-Friday & Close 35,515.38 14,822.90 4,468.00
Week 33-Monday 35,625.40 14,793.76 4,479.71
    Day % Change 0.31% -0.20% 0.26%
Week 33-Tuesday 35,343.28 14,656.18 4,448.08
    Day % Change -0.79% -0.93% -0.71%
Week 33-Wednesday 34,960.69 14,525.91 4,400.27
    Day % Change -1.08% -0.89% -1.07%
Week 33-Thursday 34,894.12 14,541.79 4,405.80
    Day % Change -0.19% 0.11% 0.13%
Week 33-Friday & Close 35,120.08 14,714.66 4,441.67
    Day % Change 0.65% 1.19% 0.81%
Percent Change-Week -1.11% -0.73% -0.59%
Percent Change-Month-to-Date 0.53% 0.29% 1.06%
Percent Change-Quarter-to-Date 1.79% 1.45% 3.35%
Percent Change-Year-to-Date 14.75% 14.17% 18.25%
Percent Change-Record -1.42% -1.21% -0.85%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD

Week 33 Winner and Tally  Bear 3-0 Win
July Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 15 4 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 11 0 Losing
Mixed Result 7 3
  Totals 33 7

The US Stock Market Week 33 Summary:

The Stock Market Bull charged out of the gate with two new record closes for the DJIA and S&P500 and a small loss on the NASDAQ on Monday. On Tuesday The Stock Market Bear struck back taking all 3 stock indices, then similarly took out another big bite on Wednesday. The weakened Bull managed to outdo the tired Bear on Thursday, losing only the DJIA. On Friday The Stock Market Bull made a valiant comeback attempt, easily took all 3 indices, but it was not quite enough. The Stock Market Bear takes Week 33 of 2021 with a 3-0 result, and stops The Stock Market Bull from getting the trifecta of victories over 3 weeks.

Summary News Items for Week 33:

US Economy News

  • Friday, August 20, 2021

  • No economic news items to report.
  • Thursday, August 19, 2021

  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia says the August 2021 US 3rd District Manufacturing General Activity Indicator is at +19.4, July was at +21.9, June +30.7, August 2020 +20.2, August 2019 +16.6. “The survey’s future indexes moderated this month but continue to suggest expected growth over the next six months.”
  • The Conference Board says the Preliminary July 2021 US Leading Economic Index(2016=100) is at +116.0, June was at +115.1, May +114.6, July 2020 +105.2, July 2019 +112.2. “The Leading Index’s overall upward trend, which started with the end of the pandemic-induced recession in April 2020, is consistent with strong economic growth in the second half of the year. While the Delta variant and/or rising inflation fears could create headwinds for the US economy in the near term, we expect real GDP growth for 2021 to reach 6.0 percent year-over-year, before easing to a still robust 4.0 percent growth rate for 2022.”
  • Wednesday, August 18, 2021

  • The US Federal Open Market Committee released the Minutes of the 07/27-28/21 meeting. Summary: “… overall financial conditions ended the period little changed at historically accommodative levels.” Discussions included possibly tapering bond purchases by the end of the year, expressions of concern that the COVID-19 Delta variant could prolong shortages and keep inflation higher into 2022.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/HUD says the Preliminary July 2021 US Housing Starts Annual Rate is at 1,534,000 units, June was at 1,650,000, May 1,594,000, July 2020 1,497,000, July 2019 1,212,000.
  • Tuesday, August 17, 2021

  • The Natl Assn of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Preliminary August 2021 Housing Market Sales Conditions Index is at 75, July was at 80, June 81, August 2020 78, August 2019 67. “Higher construction costs and supply shortages along with rising home prices pushed builder confidence to its lowest reading since July 2020…”
  • The US Federal Reserve says the Preliminary July 2021 US Manufacturing % of Capacity is at 76.1%, June was at 75.4%, May 75.3%, July 2020 71.8%, July 2019 77.8%.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary June 2021 US Sales-Manufacturers is at $499.0 billion, Retailer Sales $553.7 billion, Wholesalers Sales $588.1, making June 2021 Total US Sales at $1,640.8 billion, May was at $1,618.5 billion, April $1,621.4 billion, June 2020 $1,369.0 billion, June 2019 $1,457.0 billion.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Advance July 2021 Sales-Retail is at $545.5 billion, Food Services & Drinking Places $72.2, making July 2021 Total Retail Sales at $617.7 billion, June was at $624.7 billion, May $620.1 billion, July 2020 $533.5 billion, July 2019 $521.8 billion.
  • Monday, August 16, 2021

  • The Federal Reserve Bank of New York says the August 2021 Empire State Manufacturing General Business Conditions Index is at +18.3, July was at +43.0, June +17.4, August 2020 +3.7. “Business activity continued to expand in New York State… though growth was significantly slower than last month’s record-setting pace… firms remained optimistic that conditions would improve over the next six months, with substantial increases in employment and prices expected.”

US Government/Other

  • New COVID-19 cases continue at a high level, mostly from the Delta variant, the US government is now planning to make available booster vaccines to be available in September.
  • The Afghanistan government collapsed and has been taken over by the Taliban in surprisingly short period of time with nearly no resistance. US troops are sent to Afghanistan to accelerate the leaving of US citizens and Afghanistan citizens who provided services for the US.
  • Tropical storms Fred, Grace, and Henri are hitting the Southeastern and Northeastern parts of the US with strong winds and high levels of rainfall.
  • The Biden administration is cancelling $5.8 billion in student financial aid for disabled borrowers.
  • Haiti was hit with a devastating earthquake and then pounded by tropical storms.
  • China releases weaker than expected economic data.

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The Week 32 of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

The Week 32 of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

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In Week 32 of 2021 The Stock Market Bull gets a mixed 2-1 result because The Stock Market Bear did just enough to take the NASDAQ.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 32 of 2021 Ending 08/13/21

DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(06/30/21 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
Previous Month Close(7/30/21) 34,935.47 14,672.68 4,395.26
Record Close Date 08/13/21 08/05/21 08/13/21
Record Close 35,515.38 14,895.12 4,468.00
Week 31-Friday & Close 35,208.51 14,835.76 4,436.52
Week 32-Monday 35,101.85 14,860.18 4,432.35
    Day % Change -0.30% 0.16% -0.09%
Week 32-Tuesday 35,264.67 14,788.09 4,436.75
    Day % Change 0.46% -0.49% 0.10%
Week 32-Wednesday 35,484.97 14,765.14 4,447.70
    Day % Change 0.62% -0.16% 0.25%
Week 32-Thursday 35,499.85 14,816.26 4,460.83
    Day % Change 0.04% 0.35% 0.30%
Week 32-Friday & Close 35,515.38 14,822.90 4,468.00
    Day % Change 0.04% 0.04% 0.16%
Percent Change-Week 0.87% -0.09% 0.71%
Percent Change-Month-to-Date 1.66% 1.02% 1.65%
Percent Change-Quarter-to-Date 2.94% 2.20% 3.97%
Percent Change-Year-to-Date 16.04% 15.01% 18.95%
Percent Change-Record 0.00% -0.48% 0.00%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD

Week 32 Winner and Tally  Bull 2-1 Mixed Win
July Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 15 4 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 10 0 Losing
Mixed Result 7 3
  Totals 32 7

The US Stock Market Week 32 Summary:

It appears that The Stock Market Bull decided to celebrate his Week 31 victory by taking an extra day off on Monday. The Stock Market Bear took advantage and got a 2-1 mixed result, which could have been a 3-0 if he had spent only a minute or two more on the NASDAQ. On Tuesday The Stock Market Bull returned to the field and the roles were reversed with the Bull establishing new closing records on the DJIA and S&P500, but losing the NASDAQ. The Stock Market Bull repeated this performance on Wednesday. On Thursday The Stock Market Bull chased The Stock Market Bear from the field, and repeated that on Friday, scoring 3-0 wins both days. The DJIA and S&P500 each got 4 consecutive days of records to end the week. But The Stock Market Bear did just enough damage on the NASDAQ on Tuesday and Wednesday leaving The Stock Market Bull with a 2-1 mixed result win for Week 32.

Summary News Items for Week 32:

US Economy

  • Friday, August 13, 2021
  • The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary July 2021 US Change in Monthly Import Prices Index is at +0.3%, June was at +1.1%, May +1.3%, July 2020 +1.2%, July 2019 +0.0%; the July 2021 Last 12 Months Change in Import Prices is at 10.2%, July 2020 was at -3.3%, July 2019 -1.8%; the July 2021 Month Change Exports is at +1.3%, June +1.2%, May +2.3%, July 2020 +1.0%, July 2019 +0.2%; the July 2021 Last 12 Months Change in Export Prices is at 17.2%, July 2020 was at -3.3%, July 2019 -1.8%.
  • The U of Michigan Preliminary August 2021 Consumer Sentiment Index is at 70.2, July was at 81.2, June 85.5, August 2020 74.1, August 2019 89.8. “… There is little doubt that the pandemic’s resurgence due to the Delta variant has been met with a mixture of reason and emotion. Consumers have correctly reasoned that the economy’s performance will be diminished over the next several months, but the extraordinary surge in negative economic assessments also reflects an emotional response, mainly from dashed hopes that the pandemic would soon end….”
  • Thursday, August 12, 2021
  • The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary July 2021 US Producer Price Index Total Monthly Final Demand is at +1.0%, June was also at +1.0%, May +0.8%, July 2020 +0.5%, July 2019 +0.3%; The July 2021 US Producer Price Index Total Monthly Final Demand-Last 12 Months is at +7.8%, June +7.3%, May +6.6%, July 2020 -0.3%, July 2019 +1.6%.
  • Wednesday, August 11, 2021
  • The US Dept of the Treasury says the July 2021 US Federal Government Receipts are at $262.0 billion, Outlays $564.1 billion, for a July 2021 Deficit of $302.1 billion, June Deficit was at $174.2 billion, May Deficit $132.0 billion, July 2020 Deficit $63.0 billion, July 2019 $119.7 billion; the July 2021 Fiscal Year Deficit YTD(10 months) is at $2,540.0 billion, July 2020 was at $2,807.3 billion, July 2019 $866.8 billion.
  • The US Dept of Labor says the July 2021 US Consumer Price Index Change-All Items is at +0.5%, June was at +0.9%, May +0.6%, July 2020 +0.5%, July 2019 +0.3%; July 2021 Last 12 Months(Unadjusted) is at +5.4%, June was also at +5.4%, May +5.0%, July 2020 +1.0%, July 2019 +1.8%.
  • The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary July 2021 US Current Average Earnings/Hour is at $30.54, Average Hours Worked/Week is at 34.8, for July 2021 US Current Average Weekly Earnings of $1,062.79, June was at $1,058.96, May $1,054.79, July 2020 $1,016.20, July 2019 $962.12.
  • Tuesday, August 10, 2021
  • The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary 2Q21 US Business Sector Labor Productivity Output/Hour-All Persons is at +2.7%, 1Q21 was at +4.2%, 4Q20 -4.2%, 2Q20 +10.2%, 2Q19 +4.3%.
  • CoreLogic says the May 2021 US Home Mortgages 30 or More Days Delinquent is at 4.7%, April was also at 4.7%, March 4.9%, May 2020 7.3%, May 2019 3.6%. “… a recent CoreLogic survey of mortgage holders reports 85% of respondents said they maintained employment through the pandemic, which has helped many homeowners avoid delinquency and prevented a broad-scale mortgage crisis.”
  • Monday, August 9, 2021
  • The US Dept of Labor says the the Preliminary June 2021 US Job Openings-Private is at 9,154,000, Government 919,000, for June 2021 US Total Job Openings at 10,073,000, June was at 9,483,000, May 9,193,000, June 2020 6,112,000, June 2019 7,185,000.
  • FannieMae says the July 2021 US Home Purchase Sentiment Index is at 75.8, June was at 79.7, May 80.0, July 2020 74.2, July 2019 93.7. “… consumers continue to report concerns related to high home prices and a lack of homes for sale.”

US Government/Other

  • Daily counts of 100,000 in the US during the week indicate that COVID-19 pandemic has reached much higher levels, especially with the more aggressive Delta variant.
  • The US government is extending the student loan payments pause through January, 2022.
  • The Taliban has captured some more key cities in Afghanistan as the US nearly completes its pullout.
  • The US Senate passes a $1 trillion bipartisan infrastructure support bill. It now goes to the US House of Representatives for its approval.
  • The US Senate passes a $3.5 trillion budget proposal on a 50-49 party line vote.
  • New York governor Andrew Cuomo resigns his office over sexual harassment charges and the resulting threat of an impeachment, to be effective in 14 days, his successor will be Lt. Governor Kathy Hochul who will become New York’s first female governor.
  • US Corporate earnings reports continue to be mostly positive as the economy continues to recover from the COVID-19 pandemic, but guidance is now changing because of concerns for the Delta variant.

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The Week 31 of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

The Week 31 of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

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Week 31 seemed to be all about the latest jobs reports. At the end of the week The Stock Market Bull got the best report and wins 3-0.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 31 of 2021 Ending 08/06/21

DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(06/30/21 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
Previous Month Close(7/30/21) 34,935.47 14,672.68 4,395.26
Record Close Date 08/06/21 08/05/21 08/06/21
Record Close 35,208.51 14,895.12 4,436.52
Week 30-Friday & Close 34,935.47 14,672.68 4,395.26
Week 31-Monday 34,838.16 14,681.07 4,387.16
Week 31-Tuesday 35,116.40 14,761.29 4,423.15
Week 31-Wednesday 34,792.67 14,780.53 4,402.66
Week 31-Thursday 35,064.25 14,895.12 4,429.10
Week 31-Friday & Close 35,208.51 14,835.76 4,436.52
Percent Change-Week 0.78% 1.11% 0.94%
Percent Change-Month-to-Date 0.78% 1.11% 0.94%
Percent Change-Quarter-to-Date 2.05% 2.29% 3.23%
Percent Change-Year-to-Date 15.04% 15.11% 18.12%
Percent Change-Record 0.00% -0.40% 0.00%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD

Week 31 Winner and Tally  Bull 3-0 Win
July Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 15 4 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 10 0 Losing
Mixed Result 6 3
  Totals 31 7

The US Stock Market Week 31 Summary:

Week 31 started out with The Stock Market Bear grabbing a quick 2-1 mixed result on Monday. The Stock Market Bull replied on Tuesday by taking all 3 major US stock indices. The Stock Market Bear accepted the challenge and with help from the much lower than expected ADP jobs market report took a nice chunk out of the DJIA and S&P500 on Wednesday. This infuriated The Stock Market Bull who charged out on the field Thursday, won all 3 US major stock indices, establishing new record closes on the NASDAQ and S&P500. Friday was a mixed 2-1 result for The Stock Market Bull, a response to the much better US Dept of Labor report on jobs. For Week 31 there were 10 out of 15 trading sessions that were gains. There were also 5 record closes. The Stock Market Bull gets a 3-0 victory in Week 31.

Summary News Items for Week 31:

US Economy

  • Friday, August 6, 2021
  • The US Dept of Labor says the July 2021 Civilian Noninstitutional Population is at 261,469,000, Available Labor Force is at 161,347,000, Employed is at 152,645,000, Unemployed is at 8,702,000, for a July 2021 Unemployment Rate of 5.4%, June was at 5.9%, May 5.8%, July 2020 10.2%.
  • The US Federal Reserve says the Preliminary June 2021 US Consumer Credit Outstanding-Revolving is at $992.2 billion, Non-Revolving $3,326.4 billion, making June 2021 US Total Consumer Credit Outstanding at $4,318.6 billion, May was at $4,281.0 billion, April $4,244.3 billion, June 2020 $4,145.4 billion.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary June 2021 US Wholesale Sales-Durables is at $285.0 billion, Non-Durables $303.2 billion, making June 2021 US Total Wholesale Sales at $588.2 billion, May was at $576.5 billion, April $572.0 billion, June 2020 $461.1 billion.
  • Thursday, August 5, 2021
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census reports that the Preliminary June 2021 US Exports-Goods is at $145.9 billion, Services $61.8 billion, making June 2021 Total US Exports at $207.7 billion; June 2021 US Imports-Goods is at $239.1 billion, Services $44.3 billion, making June 2021 Total US Imports at $283.4 billion, making the June 2021 Total Trade Deficit at a record $75.7 billion, May Deficit was at $71.1 billion, April Deficit $69.1 billion, June 2020 Deficit $50.7 billion; June 2021 US Total Trade Deficit YTD is at $428.7 billion, June 2020 US Total Trade Deficit YTD was at $292.9 billion.
  • Wednesday, August 4, 2021
  • ADP says the Preliminary July 2021 US Private Sector Jobs Change-Manufacturing is at +12,000, Services +318,000, Total +330,000, June was at +680,000, May +882,000, July 2020 +232,000.
  • The Institute for Supply Management July 2021 Services PMI(>50%=economy growing) is at 64.1%, June was at 60.1%, May 64.0%, July 2020 58.1%. “The July reading indicates the 14th straight month of growth for the services sector, which has expanded for all but two of the last 138 months.”
  • The IHS Markit July 2021 Composite PMI Output Index is at 59.9, June was at 63.7, May 68.7, July 2020 50.3. “The pace of US economic growth cooled in July, according to the final PMI data, but remained impressively strong to suggest that GDP will rise robustly again in the third quarter…”
  • Tuesday, August 3, 2021
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary June 2021 US Manufacturers New Orders-Durables is at $257.9 billion, Non-Durables $248.1 billion, making June 2021 US Manufacturers New Orders Total at $498.9 billion, May was at $491.4 billion, April $487.2 billion, June 2020 $432.2 billion.
  • The PurdueU/CME Group July 2021 Ag Economy Barometer Composite Index is at 134, June was at 137, May 158, July 2020 118, July 2019 153. “Producers remain concerned that farm input prices are likely to rise much more sharply in the coming year than in the recent past and nearly half of corn/soybean farmers expect farmland cash rental rates to rise, potentially squeezing profit margins.”
  • Monday, August 2, 2021
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary June 2021 US Construction Spending Annual Rate-Residential is at $772.3 billion, Non-Residential $779.9, for June 2021 US Total Construction Spending of $1,552.2 billion, May 2021 was at $1,551.2 billion, April 2021 $1,553.5 billion, June 2020 $1,435.0 billion.
  • The ISM July 2021 US Manufacturing PMI Index(>50% Economy expanding) is at 59.5%, June 2021 was at 60.6%, May 2021 61.2%, July 2020 54.2%. “… Optimistic panel sentiment remained strong, with 13 positive comments for every cautious comment…”
  • IHS Markit says the July 2021 US Manufacturing PMI Index is at 63.4, June 2021 was at 62.1, April 2021 60.5, July 2020 50.9. ““The result is perhaps the strongest sellers’ market that we’ve seen since the survey began in 2007, with suppliers hiking
    prices for inputs into factories at the steepest rate yet recorded and manufacturers able to raise their selling prices to an unprecedented extent, as both suppliers and producers often encounter little price resistance from customers.”

US Government/Other

  • The Delta variant of the COVID-19 virus cases continue to increase, affecting mostly those who have not had vaccinations.
  • US President Biden signs an Executive Order allowing Hong Kong citizens to remain in the US for up to 18 months, action angers China leadership.
  • Corporate earnings were generally better than expected.
  • The Biden administration extends the student loan repayment pause through January 31, 2022.
  • The US Senate infrastructure bill is delayed, need to iron out remaining differences.

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The Week 30 and July of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

The Week 30 and July of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

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The Stock Market Bear wins Week 30 of 2021 but the Stock Market Bull is still without a loss year-to-date on a monthly basis.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 30 and July of 2021 Ending 07/30/21

DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(06/30/21 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
Previous Month Close(06/30/21) 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
Record Close Date 07/26/21 07/26/21 07/26/21
Record Close 35,144.31 14,840.71 4,422.30
Week 29-Close 35,061.55 14,836.99 4,411.79
Week 30-Monday 35,144.31 14,840.71 4,422.30
Week 30-Tuesday 35,058.52 14,660.58 4,401.46
Week 30-Wednesday 34,930.93 14,762.58 4,400.64
Week 30-Thursday 35,084.53 14,778.26 4,419.15
Week 30-Friday & Close 34,935.47 14,672.68 4,395.26
Percent Change-Week -0.36% -1.11% -0.37%
Percent Change-Month-to-Date 1.25% 1.16% 2.27%
Percent Change-Quarter-to-Date 1.25% 1.16% 2.27%
Percent Change-Year-to-Date 14.14% 13.85% 17.02%
Percent Change-Record -0.59% -1.13% -0.61%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD

Week 30 Winner and Tally  Bear 3-0 Win
July Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Won Months Won YTD
The Stock Market Bull 14 4 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 10 0 Losing
Mixed Result 6 3
  Totals 30 7

The US Stock Market Week 30 Summary:

The Stock Market Bull continued where he left off in Week 29 by establishing another trifecta of record closes on Monday. But The Stock Market Bear prevented The Stock Market Bull from achieving a trifecta of trifectas by dominating Tuesday. On Wednesday The Stock Market Bear got a mixed win. The Stock Market Bull returned with a complete victory on Thursday and looked like Week 30 would end up with a mixed result for somebody. But The Stock Market Bear returned on Friday with a dominating run to get the 3-0 win in Week 30. However, the month of July was another clear win for The Stock Market Bull, who remains unbeaten on a monthly basis for the 7th month in a row in 2021.

Summary News Items for Week 30:

  • The US Dept of Commerce/HUD reports that the Preliminary June 2021 New Family Home Sales Annual Rate was at 676,000 units, May was at 724,000, April 785,000, June 2020 839,000. The June 2021 Median Price was at $361,800, May was at $380,700, April $378,200, June 2020 $341,100. Supply is at 6.3 months.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says that the 2Q21 US Total Housing Units is at 141,794,000, Occupied is at 126,155,000, Owner Occupied is at 82,511,000, for a Homeownership Rate of 65.4%, 1Q21 was at 65.6%, 4Q20 65.8%, 2Q20 67.9%.
  • The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Preliminary May 2021 US National Home Price Index(Jan2000=100) is at 254.92, April was at 249.89, March 243.91, May 2020 218.60, making a +16.6% increase in home price over the past 12 months.
  • TrueCar forecasts July 2021 Total New Vehicle Units Sold to be at 1,292,064 with an average transaction price of $38,188, Average Loan Rate of 4.50% for 70 months.
  • The Conference Board says the Preliminary July 2021 US Consumer Confidence Index(1985=100) is at 129.1, June was at 128.9. “… Consumers’ optimism about the short-term outlook didn’t waver, and they continued to expect that business conditions, jobs, and personal financial prospects will improve.”
  • ADP’s 2Q21 Workforce Vitality Report shows Average Wage Growth of +2.3%, 2Q20 was at +5.7%, Average Wage Level is at $30.85/hour, +0.7% from 2Q20.
  • The US Energy Information Administration says that on 07/23/21 US Crude Oil Stockpiles are at 435.6 million barrels of crude oil, 06/25/21 was at 452.3, 05/21/21 484.3, 07/24/21 526.0.
  • The Federal Open Market Committee met July 27-28, keeps the short term federal funds rate at 0.00%-0.25%, says, “With progress on vaccinations and strong policy support, indicators of economic activity and employment have continued to strengthen…”
  • The US Dept of Labor says for the week ending 07/24/21 the Weekly Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims are at 400,000, 06/19/21 was at 411,000, 05/22/21 406,000, 07/25/20 1,434,000.
  • FreddieMac reports that for the week ending 07/29/21 the Average 30 Year Fixed Rate Mortgage was at 2.80% with 0.7 points & fees, 06/24/21 was at 3.02%, 05/27/21 2.95%, 07/30/20 2.99%.
  • The US Dept of Commerce says that the 2Q21 Real Gross Domestic Product Annual Rate for the Quarter is at +6.5%, $22.723 trillion, 1Q21 was at +6.3%, 4Q20 +4.5%, 2Q20 -31.2%.
  • The US Dept of Labor says the 2Q21 Employment Cost Index, All Civilian Workers(12/2005=100) is at 144.7, 1Q21 was at 143.7, 4Q20 142.4, 2Q20 140.7.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/BEA reports that the Preliminary June 2021 US Personal Income Annual Rate is at $20.414 trillion, May was at $20.388 trillion, April $20.853, June 2020 $20.033 trillion.
  • Market News International(MNI) says that the July 2021 Chicago Business Barometer(>50 is gaining) at 73.4, June was at 66.1, May 75.2, July 2020 51.9. “Demand is strong but firms remain concerned about supply chain disruptions and rising prices.”
  • The American Automobile Assn says that on 07/30/21 the US Average Price for a Gallon of Regular Gas is at $3.168, 06/30/21 was at $3.118, 05/28/21 $3.044, 07/31/20 $2.189.
  • The US Dept of the Treasury says that on 07/29/21 US National Debt-Public is at $22.267 trillion, Intragovernmental $6.193 trillion, for US Total National Debt of $28.460 trillion, 06/30/21 was at $28.530 trillion, 05/28/21 $28.199 trillion, 07/30/20 $26.525 trillion.
  • On 07/30/21 the Gold Price/Ounce closed at $1,817.20, 06/30/21 was at $1,771.60, 05/28/21 $1,906.30, 07/31/21 $1,985.90.
  • The US Dept of the Treasury reports that the 07/30/21 US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield is at 1.24%, 06/30/21 was at 1.45%, 05/28/21 1.58%, 07/31/21 0.55%.
  • At the close of 07/30/21 the US Dollar Price for a Euro was $1.1869, 06/30/21 was at $1.1858, 05/28/21 $1.2195, 07/31/20 $1.1781.
  • At 11:59PM ET on 07/30/21 the price of a Bitcoin is at $41,829, 06/30/21 was at $34,585, 05/28/21 $30,445, 07/31/20 $8,608.
  • The U of Michigan Final July 2021 Consumer Sentiment Index is at 81.2, June was at 85.5, May 82.9, July 2020 72.5. “While most consumers still expect inflation to be transitory, there is growing evidence that an inflation storm is likely to develop on the not too distant horizon.”
  • US President Biden announces the end of US combat missions in Iraq.
  • After several weeks of negotiations on Friday the US Senate votes to take up a $1 trillion infrastructure bill.
  • The COVID-19 Delta variant cases continue to increase. As a result the US Center for Disease Control recommends that everyone wear a mask when in public places.
  • The Tokyo Olympics 2020 starts the first full week of competition.
  • US/China relations continue to struggle on many fronts.
  • North and South Korea restore communication channels, agree to improve ties.
  • China continues its crackdown on its high technology firms.

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The Week 29 of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

The Week 29 of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

Stock Market PBR1000 Snapshots Recap

The Stock Market Bear took a huge bite out of the 3 major US stock indices on Monday of Week 29, but The Stock Market Bull charged back the rest of the week and ends with another trifecta of records on Friday.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 29 of 2021 Ending 07/23/21

DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(06/30/21 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
Previous Month Close(06/30/21) 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
Record Close Date 07/23/21 07/23/21 07/23/21
Record Close 35,061.55 14,836.99 4,411.79
Week 28 Close 34,687.85 14,427.24 4,327.16
Week 29-Monday 33,962.04 14,274.98 4,258.49
Week 29-Tuesday 34,511.99 14,498.88 4,323.06
Week 29-Wednesday 34,798.00 14,631.95 4,358.69
Week 29-Thursday 34,823.35 14,684.60 4,367.48
Week 29-Friday & Close 35,061.55 14,836.99 4,411.79
Percent Change-Week 1.08% 2.84% 1.96%
Percent Change-Month-to-Date 1.62% 2.30% 2.66%
Percent Change-Quarter-to-Date 1.62% 2.30% 2.66%
Percent Change-Year-to-Date 14.56% 15.12% 17.46%
Percent Change-Record 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD

Week 29 Winner and Tally  Bull 3-0 Win
June Winner and Tally Bull 2-1 Mixed Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 14 3 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 9 0 Losing
Mixed Result 6 3
  Totals 29 6

The US Stock Market Week 29 Summary:

In a reverse from Week 28 The Stock Market Bull was nowhere to be found in the pasture on Monday. The Stock Market Bear pounced on the opportunity and took a big bite out of all 3 major US stock indices. When The Stock Market Bull returned and saw what had happened, he aggressively took action by goring The Stock Market Bear each day thereafter, had recovered all losses by Thursday, and finished Week 29 with the 3-0 trifecta of record closes.

Summary News Items for Week 29:

  • The Natl Assn of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Preliminary July 2021 Housing Market Index is at 80, June was at 81, May 83, July 2020 72, concerns remain for availability of materials and labor.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/HUD says June 2021 Building Permits Issued Annual Rate is at 1,598,000, May was at 1,683,000, April 1,733,000, June 2020 1,296,000.
  • The US Reserve Bank of Philadelphia says the US 3rd District Nonmanufacturing General Activity Index for July 2021 is at +53.1, June was at +59.6, May +36.9, July 2020 +0.7.
  • The Natl Assn of Realtors reports that the US Existing Home Sales Annual Rate for July 2021(Preliminary) is at 5,860,000 units, June was at 5,780,000, May 5,850,000, June 2020 4,770,000.
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago calculates that the US National Activity Index for June 2021(Preliminary) is at +0.09, May was at +0.29, April -0.09, June 2020 +5.88.
  • The Conference Board Leading Economic Index(2016=100) for June 2021 is at 115.1, May was at 114.4, April 113.2, June 2020 103.1.
  • The US Dept of Labor says the US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims jump 51,000 to 419,000 in mid-July.
  • The COVID-19 virus Delta variant rate continues to rise worldwide, especially among people who have not been vaccinated.
  • The OPEC+ nations finally agree on an increase in oil production.
  • In space tourism Amazon founder Jeff Bezos, his brother, an 82 year old female former US astronaut candidate, and a Danish 18 year old young man have a successful 10+ minute journey into space.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks overcome a 2-0 games deficit against the Phoenix Suns to win the Natl Basketball Assn championship series 4-2, its first since winning 50 years ago.
  •  In the US Senate Republicans block a vote on an infrastructure plan test vote, insist on more details.
  • US States announce a $26 billion settlement with drug distributors to resolve opioid lawsuits.

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The Week 28 of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

The Week 28 of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear News Recap

In Week 28 The Stock Market Bear gets his first 3-0 win since Week 24. Some experts say he will be in charge for a while, others say not. What to you believe?

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 28 of 2021 Ending 07/16/21

DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(06/30/21 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
Previous Month Close(06/30/21) 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
Record Close Date 07/12/21 07/12/21 07/12/21
Record Close 34,996.18 14,733.24 4,384.63
Week 27 Close 34,870.16 14,701.92 4,369.55
Week 28 Close 34,687.85 14,427.24 4,327.16
Percent Change-Week -0.52% -1.87% -0.97%
Percent Change-Month-to-Date 0.54% -0.53% 0.69%
Percent Change-Quarter-to-Date 0.54% -0.53% 0.69%
Percent Change-Year-to-Date 13.33% 11.94% 15.20%
Percent Change-Record -0.88% -2.08% -1.31%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD

Week 28 Winner and Tally  Bear 3-0 Win
June Winner and Tally Bull 2-1 Mixed Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 13 3 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 9 0 Losing
Mixed Result 6 3
  Totals 28 6

The US Stock Market Week 28 Summary:

With great confidence The Stock Market Bull continued his romp through the pasture by establishing new record closes on all three major US stock indices on Monday. Proud of himself, on Tuesday he wandered off into a field of grass for a nice roll and long day nap. The Stock Market Bear saw his chance and took Tuesday by around the same margin. The Stock Market Bull returned on Wednesday and took 2 out of 3 indices. At that point it looked like the week would be a mixed win result for the Bull. Thursday the Bear returned the favor, took a big gouge out of the NASDAQ, and it appeared the week would be a Bear mixed win. On Friday the Bull decided it didn’t want to play, the Bear took charge with a big day and gets an outright 3-0 win in Week 28.

Summary News Items for Week 28:

  • Despite mostly positive news the US economy created some inflationary fears despite Fed Chairman Powell‘s testimony in Congress during the week saying it would moderate.
  • The US Dept of Labor reported that June 2021 current wages were +3.9% from last year.
  • The US Dept of Labor indicated that the consumer price index was +0.9% in June, +5.4% over the year.
  • The US Dept of the Treasury reported a $174 billion deficit in June, a $2.238 trillion deficit YTD.
  • The US Dept of Labor says the Producer Price Index for June was +1.0%, +7.3% the last 12 months.
  • The Federal Reserve released its Beige Book, reports overall the US economy has strengthened further but there are issues with major shortages and higher prices.
  • The US Dept of Labor said June import prices were up 1.0%, +11.2% year-over-year, export prices were +1.2%, +16.8% year-over-year.
  • The Federal Reserve says industrial production capacity was at 75.4%, it was 68.9% a year ago.
  • Both the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and Philadelphia reported significant increases in their factory indices.
  • The US Dept of Commerce indicated business inventories were +0.5% in May.
  • The US Dept of Commerce says advance retail sales for June indicated a +0.6% growth, much of that from food services and drinking establishments.
  • The U of Michigan preliminary July Consumer Sentiment Index was at 80.8, a positive number, but down from June’s 85.5.
  • The US Senate Democrats are working on a $3.5 trillion budget agreement.
  • OPEC doesn’t get a consensus on oil production, maintains targets.
  • South Africa struggles with violent riots over the jailing of former president Zuma.
  • The assassination of Haiti‘s president last week and arrests of suspects continues to cause turmoil.
  • US President Biden and German Chancellor Merkel meet in Washington DC, discuss Russian oil, climate change, Covid-19 vaccines, Russian cyber attacks, Ukraine and shoring up their democracies.
  • Germany and Belgium are having to contend with severe floods.
  • US President Biden says the situation in Hong Kong is deteriorating, says US businesses need to be concerned.
  • The Covid-19 Delta variant cases continue to rise in certain parts of the world, especially Asia and Africa.

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The Week 26 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

The Week 26 of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

Stock Market PBR1000 Snapshots Recap Bull Bear

The Stock Market Bull gets the trifecta of 3 record closes on the last business day of Week 26, thanks to some good economic news.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 26 of 2021 Ending 07/02/21

DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(06/30/21 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
Previous Month Close(06/30/21) 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
Record Close Date 07/02/21 07/02/21 07/02/21
Record Close 34,786.35 14,639.33 4,352.34
Week 25 Close 34,433.84 14,360.39 4,280.70
Week 26 Close 34,786.35 14,639.33 4,352.34
Percent Change-Week 1.02% 1.94% 1.67%
Percent Change Month-to-Date 0.82% 0.93% 1.28%
Percent Change Quarter-to-Date 0.82% 0.93% 1.28%
Percent Change Year-to-Date 13.66% 13.59% 15.87%
Percent Change-Record 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD

Week 26 Winner and Tally  Bull 3-0 Win
June Winner and Tally Bull 2-1 Mixed Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 12 3 Ahead
The Stock Market Bear 8 0
Mixed Result 6 3
  Totals 26 6

The US Stock Market Week 26 Summary:

On Monday The Stock Market Bear had a strong day on the DJIA, but The Stock Market Bull aggressively countered with record closes on the NASDAQ and S&P500. The Stock Market Bull then continued to dominate the whole week, finishing it with an amazing trifecta of record closes in all three major US stock indices. The DJIA came from quite a ways back to establish the new record, previously set on 05/07/21. Friday was the third record close for the NASDAQ for the week, and the seventh in a row over the past two weeks for the S&P500. The Stock Market Bull notches a big 3-0 win in Week 26.

  • Good economic news was the primary driver for The Stock Market Bull‘s outstanding week.
  • Consumer and business surveys indicated optimism as the COVID-19 pandemic starts to fade away.
  • Home prices continue to rise and the FreddieMac average 30 year home fixed mortgage rate fell to 2.98%.
  • The jobs reports were big drivers with ADP reporting +692,000 new jobs in the private sector, the US Dept of Labor said the US economy added 850,000 jobs in June, and reported that weekly initial jobless claims fell to 364,000 and is very near pre-pandemic levels.
  • Another driver was some cautious optimism that President Biden’s infrastructure development plan, modified greatly from its initial proposal, has a chance for bipartisan support.
  • The first half of 2021 ends on a positive note with encouraging signs that it might continue in the second half as well.

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