The PBR1000: April is All About Social Distancing
By Larry C. Paxton
The April 2020 breaking news items of interest for The PBR1000 follow with the most current date first.
***Thursday, April 30
The PBRMarketTools US Stock Exchanges Recap for the month of April 2020 ending 04/30/20:
DJIA ends April at 24,345.72, +2.40% from last Friday, +11.80% MTD/QTD, -14.69% YTD, -17.62% from record 29,551.42 set 02/12/20.
NASDAQ ends April at 8,889.55, +2.95% from last Friday, +15.45% MTD/QTD, -0.93% YTD, -9.45% from record 9,817.18 set 02/19/20.
SPX ends April at 2,912.43, +2.67% from last Friday, +12.68% MTD/QTD, -9.85% YTD, -13.99% from record 3,386.15 set 02/19/20.
The April 2020 News Summary: It was another month of Coronavirus news and its effect on the world. As of late 04/30/20 the John Hopkins University CSSE COVID-19 Dashboard shows 3,271,692 cases confirmed worldwide with 232,807 deaths. In the US its 1,056,466 cases with 62,850 deaths. The response has included lockdowns, social distancing, temporary closures of businesses and schools, less traffic, and the pleasant side effects of bluer skies and being more aware birds chirping during a greening and flowering springtime. It is hopefully also a time for families to enjoy the playing and laughing with and getting to know better precious little ones. It has also been a time of great collaborations as companies work together to make ventilators, face masks, gowns, and other related medical aids, as well as accelerated development of new tests and vaccines. Medical practices started using telehealth capabilities. Only emergency situations were actively handled at hospitals. Significant internet bandwidth is being used, and seems to be working remarkably well, for on-line meetings, classes, and communications between loved ones. At the end of April some countries, and in the US some states, were starting to relax some restrictions. In the US the federal government launched some aggressive business loans programs and started sending out $1,200 stimulus checks to most adults, $500 for each child. The impact is around $3 trillion of new national debt. Towards the end of the month US economic indices and surveys, with data that often lags a month or two, started showing some of the damage, with just about all sectors down, except for some in technology and pharma. US initial unemployment claims climbed a remarkable 30,000,000 people in April from layoffs and furloughs. There do seem to be some indications that the cases and deaths are leveling off, but because not much is known about COVID-19 there are concerns about the virus recurring again soon and during the next flu season. Efforts to reopen the economy are being received with mixed reactions of optimism and skepticism from politicians, healthcare professionals, business leaders, and the public. Nevertheless, while the US stock exchanges suffered huge losses in February and March, in April there was a major resurgence, with daily activity still having big volatile up and down swings on an almost daily basis. But when the bell rang for April The Stock Market Bear, while still a big presence, lost out to The Stock Market Bull, who finally took over the pasture after some major struggles and prevails to win his first month of 2020 with a 3-0 victory, but there is a lot of ground to make up. Expert opinions remain varied and mixed, with many of them having agendas as well. Stay safe, keep informed, appreciate and thank those on the front lines, and we wish you and your dear ones the best as we all navigate and deal with these uncertain times.
The April 2020 tally YTD is:
The Stock Market Bull: 1 Month
The Stock Market Bear: 2 Months
Mixed Results: 1 Month
Apple(PBR4) in 2Q20 report says it has authorized an increase of $50 billion to the existing share repurchase program. $AAPL PR link.
Microsoft(PBR20 $MSFT) Teams usage has increased to more than 75 million daily active users, had 200 million meeting participants in a single day in April. The Verge PR link.
Boeing(PBR40) expects to close its $25 billion bond offering on 05/04/20, does not plan to seek additional funding through the capital markets or the US government options at this time. $BA PR link.
Intel(PBR45) introduces the 10th Gen Intel® Core™ S-series desktop processors, including Intel’s flagship Core i9-10900K processor, the world’s fastest gaming processor. $INTC PR link.
Macy’s(PBR118 $M) to reopen 68 stores on 05/04/20, another 50 stores on 05/11/20, and all 775 stores to be open in 6 weeks, with modified hours and adjustments. MarketWatch PR link.
Danaher(PBR175) completes $825 million sale of its label-free biomolecular characterization, chromatography hardware and resins, and microcarriers and particle validation standards businesses, which generated $140 million in revenues in 2018, to Sartorius AG, sale was part of condition for its 03/31/20 acquisition of Biopharma. $DHR PR link.
SS&C Tech(PBR563) to acquire New York-based 150+ employees developer of systems for trust accounting, payments and unique asset servicing on modern, web-based technology Innovest Systems for $120 million, to close in 2Q20. $SSNC PR link.
Marathon Petroleum(PBR21) elects director John Surma as non-executive Chairman, President/CEO Michael Hennigan elected to the Board. $MPC PR link.
The US Dept of Labor says the US Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims for the Week Ending 04/25/20 is at 3,839,000, 03/21/20 was at 3,283,000, 02/22/20 219,000, 04/20/19 230,000; Total Insured Unemployment on 04/18/20 is at 17,992,000, 04/13/19 was at 1,655,000; the Insured Unemployment Rate on 04/18/20 is at 12.4%, 04/13/19 was at 1.2%. USDOC PR link.
The US Dept of Commerce says the Preliminary March 2020 US Total Personal Income Annual Rate is at $18.696 trillion, -2.0% from February 2020, +1.4% from March 2019, Personal Current Taxes are at $2.188 trillion, Outlays $14.339 trillion, for Savings of $2.169 trillion, for a Savings Rate of 13.1%. USDOC PR link.
The US Dept of Labor says the 1Q20 Employment Cost Index for All Civilian Workers(12/2005=100) is at 140.0, 4Q19 was at 138.9, 1Q19 136.2. USDOL PR link.
The US Dept of Treasury says on 04/29/20 the US National Debt-Public is at $18.927 trillion, Intragovernmental $5.927 trillion, Total Debt $24.854 trillion, +4.9% from 03/31/20, +7.1% YTD, +12.8% from 04/30/19. USTreasury PR link.
The US Dept of Treasury says the Yield on a 10 Year Treasury Note on 04/30/20 is at 0.64%, 03/31/20 was at 0.70%, 02/28/20 1.13%, 04/30/19 2.51%. USTreasury PR link.
FreddieMac says the US Weekly Average 30 Year Fixed Mortgage Rate as of 04/30/20 is at 3.23% with 0.7 points/fees, 03/26/20 was at 3.50%, 02/27/20 3.45%, 04/25/19 4.2%. “These low rates are driving higher refinance activity and have modestly helped improve purchase demand from their extremely low levels in mid-April.” FreddieMac PR link.
The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago says the Preliminary March 2020 US 7th District Midwest Economy Index is at -1.02, February 2020 was at -0.16, January 2020 -0.35, March 2019 +0.05. ChiFed PR link.
MNI Indicators says the April 2020 Chicago Business Barometer(<50 = Declining) is at 35.4, March 2020 was at 47.8, February 2020 48.9, April 2019 52.6. “… fell … to its lowest level since March 2009 as business confidence dipped sharply amid the current spread of COVID-19.” MNI PR link.
The American Automobile Assn says the US National Average Price Per Gallon of Regular Gas on 04/30/20 is at $1.772, 03/31/20 was at $1.997, 02/29/20 $2.447, 04/30/19 $2.882. AAA PR link.
***Wednesday, April 29
Alphabet(PBR11)’s Google unit to make its Google Meet video conferencing product free for everyone, with availability rolling out over the coming weeks, first 60 minutes are free. $GOOG PR link.
Centene(PBR42) to facilitate the distribution of 25,000 Quest Diagnostics(PBR395) COVID-19 test kits each week to Federally Qualified Health Centers (FQHCs) in ten states or districts across the country. $CNC PR link.
Best Buy(PBR71) will be offering in-store consultation service appointments in around 200 stores starting in 05/20. $BBY PR link.
Gilead Sciences(PBR134) phase 3 trial of investigational antiviral Remdesivir in patients with severe COVID-19 demonstrated that patients receiving a 10-day treatment course of remdesivir achieved similar improvement in clinical status compared with those taking a 5-day treatment course. $GILD PR link.
LPL Financial(PBR488) to acquire San Diego, CA, based Lucia Securities, a broker-dealer and registered investment advisor firm with around 20 advisors and $1.5 billion of client assets under management, terms not disclosed, to close in 2H20. $LPLA PR link.
Lyft(PBR868) to layoff around 982 employees, around 17% of its workforce, has furloughed around 288 employees, is impact of the Coronavirus pandemic. $LYFT PR link.
The Federal Open Market Committee issues a statement after its 04/28-29/20 meeting, keeps the federal funds short term interest rate at 0.00-0.25%, says “The Committee will continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook, including information related to public health, as well as global developments and muted inflation pressures, and will use its tools and act as appropriate to support the economy.” FOMC PR link.
The US Dept of Commerce/BEA says the Preliminary 1Q20 Real GDP Annual % Growth Rate is at -4.8%, GDP Annual $ Rate is at $21.538 trillion, -0.9% from 4Q19, +2.1% from 1Q19. USDOC PR link.
The US Energy Information Administration says US Millions of Barrels of Crude Oil in Inventory on 04/24/20 is at 527.6, was 455.4 on 03/20/20, 443.3 on 02/21/20, 460.6 on 04/19/19. EIA PR link.
***Tuesday, April 28
PBRMarketTools.com welcomes leading global provider of industry-specific, cloud-based software solutions for the life sciences industry Veeva Systems to The PBR1000, ranked 993 by revenues. More details on the Veeva Systems Spotlight page.
Ford(PBR12) reports 1Q19 loss of over $2 billion, to phase in its manufacturing production in Europe starting 05/04/20, outlines other activities and plans to ramp up business. $F PR link.
Oracle(PBR77) selected by Zoom Communications as its new cloud infrastructure partner to handle dramatic increase in users and video conferencing usage. $ORCL PR link.
Electronic Arts(PBR536) to launch 5 of its games on Alphabet(PBR11)’s Google Stadia cloud-based gaming platform. $EA PR link.
TripAdvisor(PBR948) to reduce workforce by 900+, about 25% of workforce, in response to COVID-19 pandemic impact. $TRIP PR link.
WW(PBR958) in 1Q20 report says it ended quarter with 5.0 million subscribers, up from 4.6 million in 1Q19, will continue to make digital push. $WW PR link.
Crane(PBR694) Chairman R.S. Evans has retired as planned after 47 years with the company, director Jim Tullis is new Chairman. $CR PR link.
The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the 1Q20 US Total Housing Units is at 140,362,000, +1,153,000 from 1Q19, Occupancy Rate is at 88.6%, 1Q19 was at 87.9%, Home Ownership Rate is at 65.3%, 1Q19 was at 64.2%. USDOC PR link.
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller February 2020 US National Home Price Index(01/2000=100.00) is at 213.6, January 2020 was at 212.34, December 2019 212.38, December 2018 204.89. Case-Shiller PR link.
The Conference Board says the Preliminary April 2020 US Consumer Confidence Index(1985=100) is at 86.9, March 2020 was at 118.8, February 2020 132.6, April 2019 129.2. “… consumers were less optimistic about their financial prospects and this could have repercussions for spending as the recovery takes hold. The uncertainty of the economic effects of COVID-19 will likely cause expectations to fluctuate in the months ahead.” TCB PR link.
The Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond April 2020 US 5th District Manufacturing Index(Annualized) is at -53%, March 2020 was at +2%, February 2020 -2%, April 2019 +9%. “Firms reported weakened local business conditions and expected conditions to remain soft in the next six months.” RichmondFed PR link.
The Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond April 2020 US 5th District Service Sector Revenue Index(Annualized) is at -87%, March 2020 was at +1%, February 2020 +26%, April 2019 +23%. “Firms expected conditions to remain soft in the near future.” RichmondFed PR link.
***Monday, April 27
Boeing(PBR40) to resume 787 operations at Boeing South Carolina (BSC), with most teammates returning on 05/03 or 05/04, includes all operations temporarily suspended on 04/08 in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. $BA PR link.
Boeing(PBR40) terminates Master Transaction Agreement (MTA) with Brazil based Embraer, had planned to create a joint venture comprising Embraer’s commercial aviation business and a second joint venture to develop new markets for the C-390 Millennium medium airlift and air mobility aircraft, says Embraer did not satisfy the necessary conditions. $BA PR link.
Coca-Cola(PBR82) announces a 5 year agreement with Microsoft(PBR20) to standardize its business operations on Microsoft’s cloud, will utilize Microsoft Azure, Dynamics 365 and Microsoft 365, will be implementing Microsoft Teams for collaborations. $KO PR link.
NVIDIA(PBR286) completes $125/share, around $6.9 billion cash acquisition of end-to-end Ethernet and InfiniBand smart interconnect solutions and services for servers and storage supplier Mellanox(NASDAQ: MLNX). $NVDA PR link.
Domtar(PBR498) to temporarily idle the operations of its Hawesville, KY, mill beginning 05/05/20, expects to restart the H1 paper machine in 06/20, while the H2 paper machine will remain idled until 07/20, will temporarily layoff around 400 employees. $UFS PR link.
Adtalem Education(PBR982) completes $465 million sale of its Brazilian portfolio, Adtalem Educacional do Brasil, to YDUQS, the second largest education company in Brazil. $ATGE PR link.
***Friday, April 24
The PBRMarketTools US Stock Exchanges Recap for Week 17 ending 04/24/20:
DJIA ends Week 17 at 23,775.27, -1.93% from last Friday, +8.48% MTD/QTD, -16.69% YTD, -19.55% from record 29,551.42 set 02/12/20.
NASDAQ ends Week 17 at 8,634.52, -0.18% from last Friday, +12.14% MTD/QTD, -3.77% YTD, -12.05% from record 9,817.18 set 02/19/20.
SPX ends Week 17 at 2,836.74, -1.32% from last Friday, +9.76% MTD/QTD, -12.20 YTD, -16.23% from record 3,386.15 set 02/19/20.
The Week 17 News Summary: Almost all news continues to revolve around the coronavirus pandemic. The world has nearly 200,000 deaths from coronavirus, the US has just over 50,000 of those, with New York getting hit the hardest. There are mixed signals as to whether or not there has been a peak or not. There is some talk about re-opening economies. In the US several states have indicated they are taking some initial steps, though cautiously. The Senate and House passed, and President Trump has signed, a new stimulus bill to provide an additional $484 billion to small businesses and healthcare operations. There was an initial disbursement of funds to 80 million taxpayers, more is scheduled over the next few months. 1Q20 corporate earnings are being released and it is clear that there has been an impact and it will continue into 2Q20. US economic reports on existing and new housing, jobless claims, and business and consumer surveys are also showing a downward trend. Companies are taking on debt in the hopes of getting through this. Oil prices continue to be near rock bottom, gold prices are rising. The Stock Market Bear came out strong the first couple of trading days, then The Stock Market Bull made a valiant comeback attempt. However, it came up short, The Stock Market Bear sweeps to a Week 17 3-0 victory after missing out the past couple of weeks. It will be interesting to see if the late in the week optimism carries over into Week 18. Use your face masks when appropriate and place your bets!
The Week 17 of 2020 tally YTD is:
The Stock Market Bull: 8 weeks
The Stock Market Bear: 8 weeks
Mixed Results: 1 week
ExxonMobil(PBR3) has reconfigured manufacturing operations in Louisiana to produce medical-grade hand sanitizer for donation to COVID-19 response efforts, initial production of 160,000 gallons– enough to fill nearly 5 million 4-ounce bottles – is being distributed to medical providers and first responders in Louisiana, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Pennsylvania and Texas. $XOM PR link.
Johnson & Johnson(PBR35)’s Janssen Pharmaceutical unit and Emergent BioSolutions to collaborate on development and manufacturing of a COVID-19 vaccine, JNJ goal is to manufacture 1 billion doses of COVID-19 vaccines globally. $JNJ PR link.
Facebook(PBR46) introduces real time video Messenger Rooms, can be created from within Messenger or Facebook, up to 50 people, no time limit, rolling out in some countries this week and will expand to the rest of the world in coming weeks. $FB PR link.
US Foods(PBR109) completes $970 million cash acquisition from Apollo Global Mgmt(PBR995) of 70 small-format cash and carry stores across the US Northwest that serve small and mid-sized restaurants and other food business customers with $1.1 billion in revenues in 2019 Smart Foodservice Warehouse Stores. $USFD PR link.
Sempra Energy(PBR286) completes $3.59 billion cash sale of its equity interests in its Peruvian businesses, including its 83.6% stake in Luz del Sur, to China Yangtze Power International (Hongkong). $SRE PR link.
SkyWest(PBR732) to receive $438 million through the Payroll Support Program Under CARES Act. $SKYW PR link.
AT&T(PBR9) Chairman/CEO Randall Stephenson to retire as CEO, will be Executive Chairman until 01/21, President/COO John Stankey elected to become CEO on 07/01/20, will become a Board member on 06/01/20. $T PR link.
The U of Michigan Final April 2020 Index of Consumer Sentiment is at 71.8, March 2020 was at 89.1, February 2020 101.0, March 2019 98.4. “In the weeks ahead, as several states reopen their economies, more information will reach consumers about how reopening could cause a resurgence in coronavirus infections. Consumers’ reactions to relaxing restrictions will be critical… ” UM PR link.
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