August 2016: The Waiting Game
Hope You Enjoyed A Nice Relaxing Vacation. Was August The Calm Before The Storm?
By Larry C. Paxton
Not much materialized during August 2016 to cause any big swings , though at times there were some signals that something might happen. August 2016 ended up seeming more like a waiting period.
Oil prices fluctuated up and down based on what might be happening with some agreements among the oil producing nations. The US jobs reports and other economic indices were not dramatic, and globally Brexit is still an unknown work in progress. However, during the last week or so there was some growing concern that the stage had been set for the Federal Reserve to raise rates in September.
The major US Stock Exchanges did not show much volatility during August 2016. For example, the S&P500 had 18 trading days out of 23 that varied between a -0.50% to +0.50% change, and all days varied by less than a 1% change either way. The longest streaks for the S&P500 was a 3 day win streak and a 2 day loss streak.
Perhaps the main volatility for August 2016 was between the two major US presidential candidates as they continue to call each other names and question their rival’s qualifications.
The PBR1000 companies in The Top 5 Tables continue to be spread across a wide variety of industries.
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The following partial tables are excerpts from The PBR1000 August Snapshots. The stock price is for the close of trading on August 31st, Month % Chg is compared to July 29th, YTD % Chg is compared toDecember 31, 2015, and the 20 Months % Chg is compared to December 31, 2014.
Table 1(S11): The PBR1000 Top 5 Month Stock Price % Gainers
Table 1 Summary: The range was +169.44% to -58.62%. 516 out of 1,002 stock prices were up 0.00% or more, or 51.50% of the companies tracked. The median was a gain of 0.32%.
| Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Price 08/31/16 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
20 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republic Airways |
961 | RJETQ | 0.97 | +169.44 | -75.32 | -93.35 |
| Mattress Firm |
731 | MFRM | 63.95 | +114.31 | +43.29 | +10.11 |
| Ocwen Financial |
892 | OCN | 3.56 | +78.00 | -48.92 | -76.42 |
| Aeropostale |
924 | AROPQ | 0.06 | +72.96 | -80.36 | -97.63 |
| Genworth Financial |
298 | GNW | 4.73 | +65.38 | +26.81 | -44.35 |
Table 2(S12): The PBR1000 Top 5 Year-To-Date Stock Price % Gainers
Table 2 Summary: The range was +260.76% to -98.94%. 691 out of 1,001 stock prices were up 0.00% or more, or 69.03% of the companies tracked. The median was a gain of 9.13%.
| Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Price 08/31/16 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
20 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cliffs Natural Resources |
836 | CLF | 5.70 | -27.94 | +260.76 | -20.17 |
| Quad/Graphics | 480 | QUAD | 27.09 | +6.82 | +191.29 | +17.99 |
| AMD | 535 | AMD | 7.40 | +7.87 | +157.84 | +177.15 |
| US Steel |
228 | X | 19.44 | -29.28 | +143.61 | -27.30 |
| Tronox | 812 | TROX | 9.13 | +40.68 | +133.50 | -61.77 |
Table 3(S13): The PBR1000 Top 5 20 Months Stock Price % Gainers
Table 3 Summary: Range was +205.94% to -99.72%. 475 out of 996 stock prices were up 0.00% or more, or 47.69% of the companies tracked. The median was a loss of 1.24%.
| Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Price 08/31/15 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
20 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA |
454 | NVSA | 61.34 | +7.43 | +86.10 | +205.94 |
| AMD | 535 | AMD | 6.86 | +7.87 | +157.84 | +177.15 |
| Amazon | 19 | AMZN | 758.81 | +1.36 | +13.80 | +147.84 |
| SkyWest | 634 | SKYW | 44.00 | -1.88 | +48.42 | +112.58 |
| Activision Blizzard |
481 | ATVI | 78.49 | +3.01 | +6.87 | +105.31 |
Table 4(S15): The PBR1000 Top 5 Market Capitalization
Table 4 Summary: Range was $571.71 billion to $0.00 billion. The average is $21.20 billion, median is $6.52 billion, out of 1,001 companies tracked.
| Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Market Cap($B) 08/31/16 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
20 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple |
3 | AAPL | 571.71 | +1.72 | -2.58 | -11.69 |
| Alphabet |
35 | GOOG | 527.17 | -0.12 | +1.01 | +47.63 |
| Microsoft |
25 | MSFT | 447.76 | +1.17 | +1.04 | +16.94 |
| Berkshire Hathaway |
4 | BRK | 370.07 | +3.90 | +13.70 | +2.34 |
| Amazon | 18 | AMZN | 364.64 | +1.87 | +15.09 | +153.75 |
| The PBR1000 |
21,223.16 | +0.08 | +5.38 | +3.15 |
Table 5: The PBR1000 Index & Selected Stock Exchanges/Commodities
| Company | Price 08/31/16 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
20 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The PBR1000 | 71,994.13 | +0.11 | +7.55 | +1.95 |
| DJIA | 18,400.88 | -0.17 | +5.60 | +3.24 |
| NASDAQ | 5,213.22 | +0.99 | +4.11 | +10.08 |
| S&P500 | 2,170.95 | -0.12 | +6.21 | +5.44 |
| GOLD | 1,313.00 | -3.31 | +23.84 | +10.81 |
| SILVER | 18.18 | -7.80 | +36.23 | +20.51 |
| OIL | 44.90 | +8.51 | +21.22 | -15.71 |
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(Photo made available by marcolm, FreeDigitalPhotos.net)
