December 2016: Ending On A High Note, Now What?
By Larry C. Paxton
The Trump Bump continued its rise throughout December, expressing the relief of the end of a rather bizarre US Presidential campaign with the election being decided by the Electoral College. But hopefully it also reflected the hope and optimism that there will be positive changes in the new government.
All 3 major US stock exchanges hit record highs in December. The DJIA almost hit the 20,000 mark, but in the last 3 trading days all major US stock exchanges backed down by 1% or more to finish a year that ended up much higher than predicted at the beginning of 2016.
2016 ended on a high note but there is much confusion about what direction stocks and commodities will take in 2017. Trading can be expected to be volatile as the Trump administration gets settled in, the world gets used to a much different American style of dealing with important issues, and new policies start to be(or not to be) implemented. These actions will be further impacted by unpredictable international influences like energy production and prices, Brexit, regional wars, acts of terrorism, natural disasters, and innovative new technologies, to name just a few in no particular order. We start 2017 anticipating an interesting ride into the unknown that will carry risks and some intended and unintended consequences from decisions made and actions taken, but also will provide some significant opportunities for alert leaders and investors. We wish you the best and look forward to The PBR1000 contributing to your success in 2017!
Here are some December summaries on the US stock exchanges:
Number of Trading Days: 21
Number of Gain(+)/Loss(-) Days: DJIA 13+, 8-; NASDAQ 12+, 9-; SPX 12+, 9-.
Record Days: DJIA 9, NASDAQ 5, SPX 2
Gain Streaks(Consecutive Days): DJIA 7, NASDAQ 6, SPX 6
Loss Streaks(Consecutive Days): DJIA 3, NASDAQ 3, SPX 3
Big Swing Up Days(>1.00%): 12/07/16(DJIA, NASDAQ, SPX)
Big Swing Down Days(<-1.00%): 12/01/16(NASDAQ)
The following are Top 5 partial tables excerpts from The PBR1000 December Snapshots. The stock price is for the close of trading on December 30th, Month % Chg is compared to November 30th, YTD % Chg is compared to December 31, 2015, and the 24 Months % Chg is compared to December 31, 2014.
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Table 1(S11): The PBR1000 Top 5 Month Stock Price % Gainers
Table 1 Summary: The range was +86% to -85%. 609 out of 1,000 stock prices were up 0.00% or more. The average was a gain of 0.9%, the median was a gain of 1.35%.
Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Price 12/30/16 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
24 Mos % Chg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fred’s |
800 | FRED | 18.56 | +86 | +13 | +7 |
Pier 1 Imports |
847 | PIR | 8.54 | +53 | +68 | -45 |
Tailored Brands |
580 | TLRD | 25.55 | +36 | +74 | -42 |
Bristow Group |
887 | BRS | 20.48 | +31 | -21 | -69 |
Alliance One Intl |
843 | AOI | 19.20 | +30 | +67 | +22 |
Table 2(S12): The PBR1000 Top 5 Year-To-Date Stock Price % Gainers
Table 2 Summary: The range was +432% to -80%. 730 out of 1,000 stock prices were up 0.00% or more. The average was a gain of 12.1%. The median was a gain of 14.3%.
Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Price 12/30/16 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
24 Mos % Chg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cliffs Natural Resources |
830 | CLF | 8.41 | -5 | +432 | +18 |
AK Steel |
353 | AKS | 10.21 | +12 | +356 | +72 |
US Steel |
229 | X | 33.01 | +2 | +314 | +23 |
AMD |
533 | AMD | 11.34 | +27 | +295 | +325 |
Navistar |
264 | NAV | 31.37 | +2 | +255 | -6 |
Table 3(S13): The PBR1000 Top 5 24 Months Stock Price % Gainers
Table 3 Summary: Range was +432% to -90%. 574 out of 1,000 stock prices were up 0.00% or more. The average was a gain of 6.2%. The median was a gain of 6.4%.
Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Price 12/30/16 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
24 Mos % Chg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NVIDIA |
452 | NVDA | 106.74 | +16 | +224 | +432 |
AMD | 533 | AMD | 11.34 | +27 | +295 | +325 |
SkyWest | 634 | SKYW |
36.45 | -1 | +92 | +174 |
McDermott Intl |
635 | MDR | 7.39 | +7 | +121 | +154 |
Netflix |
350 | NFLX | 123.80 | +6 | +8 | +154 |
Table 4(S15): The PBR1000 Top 5 Market Capitalization
Table 4 Summary: Range was $617.59 billion to $0.00 billion. The average is $21.77 billion, median is $6.92 billion, out of 1,000 companies tracked.
Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Market Cap($B) 12/30/16 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
24 Mos % Chg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Apple |
3 | AAPL | 617.59 | +4.8 | +5.2 | -4.6 |
Alphabet |
34 | GOOG | 531.97 | +1.8 | +1.9 | +49.0 |
Microsoft |
31 | MSFT | 483.16 | +3.1 | +9.0 | +26.2 |
Berkshire Hathaway |
4 | BRK | 402.11 | +3.4 | +23.5 | +11.2 |
ExxonMobil | 2 | XOM | 374.28 | +3.4 | +15.3 | -4.4 |
The PBR1000 |
21,773.35 | +1.8 | +8.6 | +6.5 |
Table 5: The PBR1000 Index & Selected Stock Exchanges/Commodities
Company | Price 12/30/16 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
24 Mos % Chg |
---|---|---|---|---|
The PBR1000 | 73,918.58 | +0.9 | +12.1 | +6.2 |
DJIA | 19,762.60 | +3.3 | +13.4 | +10.9 |
NASDAQ | 5,383.12 | +1.1 | +7.5 | +13.7 |
S&P500 | 2,238.83 | +1.8 | +9.5 | +8.7 |
GOLD | 1,151.70 | -1.9 | +8.6 | -2.8 |
SILVER | 15.99 | -3.0 | +15.9 | +2.5 |
OIL | 53.72 | +8.7 | +45.0 | +0.8 |
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