May 2016: Oil Prices & Funds Rates
May 2016: A Quiet Month Compared To Its Reputation.
By Larry C. Paxton
May 2016 stock prices were a story of two halves. The first half fluctuated based on oil prices. In the second half this gave way to anticipation of what the Federal Reserve would do with the funds rate with a wide variety of opinions expressed.
Stock exchanges volatility were pretty consistent, most days fluctuating between -0.50% to +0.50% from the previous day. The DJIA and S&P500 both had 10 up days and 11 down days. NASDAQ had 9 down days and 12 up days, with a string of 5 up days to close out May.
As shown in Table 1 below, at the end of the month nearly 59% of The PBR1000 stocks were up for the month, with the Top 5 Gainers from across a variety of industry sectors, a contrast to April when the gainers were in oil related businesses.
In summary, May 2016 did not live up to its historical notorious reputation of being a downward trend month.
Let’s see what happens in June as we close out the first half of 2016.
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The following partial tables are excerpts from The PBR1000 May Snapshots. The stock price is for the close of trading on May 31st, Month % Chg is compared to April 29th, YTD % Chg is compared to December 31, 2015, and the 17 Months % Chg is compared to December 31, 2014.
Table 1(S11): The PBR1000 Top 5 Month Stock Price % Gainers
Table 1 Summary: The range was +84.24% to -73.53%. 588 out of 1,002 stock prices were up 0.00% or more, or 58.68% of the companies tracked. The median was a gain of 1.22%.
| Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Price 05/31/16 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
17 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cenveo |
892 | CVO | 0.96 | +84.24 | +9.90 | -54.40 |
| Quad/Graphics |
480 | QUAD | 19.21 | +53.07 | +106.56 | -16.33 |
| CSC |
220 | CSC | 49.20 | +48.51 | +50.55 | -21.97 |
| Tutor Perini |
464 | TPC | 22.62 | +42.98 | +35.13 | -6.02 |
| Insperity |
723 | NSP | 71.97 | +36.38 | +49.47 | +112.36 |
Table 2(S12): The PBR1000 Top 5 Year-To-Date Stock Price % Gainers
Table 2 Summary: The range was +170.89% to -96.86%. 642 out of 1,002 stock prices were up 0.00% or more, or 64.07% of the companies tracked. The median was a gain of 5.75%.
| Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Price 05/31/16 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
17 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cliffs Natural Resources |
840 | CLF | 4.28 | -18.79 | +170.89 | -40.06 |
| Quad/Graphics |
480 | QUAD | 19.21 | +53.07 | +106.56 | -16.33 |
| Denbury Resources |
973 | DNR | 4.01 | +3.89 | +98.51 | -50.68 |
| CONSOL Energy |
632 | CNX | 15.36 | +2.06 | +94.43 | -54.57 |
| Southwestern Energy |
629 | SWN | 13.67 | +1.79 | +92.26 | -49.91 |
Table 3(S13): The PBR1000 Top 5 17 Months Stock Price % Gainers
Table 3 Summary: Range was +133.02% to -99.18%. 448 out of 999 stock prices were up 0.00% or more, or 44.84% of the companies tracked. The median was a loss of -3.66%.
| Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Price 05/31/15 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
17 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA |
456 | NVDA | 46.72 | +31.49 | +41.75 | +133.02 |
| Amazon |
18 | AMZN | 722.79 | +9.58 | +6.94 | +132.90 |
| Insperity |
723 | NSP | 71.97 | +36.38 | +49.47 | +112.36 |
| Netflix |
346 | NFLX | 102.57 | +13.93 | -10.33 | +110.18 |
| Activision Blizzard |
481 | ATVI | 39.26 | +13.90 | +1.42 | +94.84 |
Table 4(S15): The PBR1000 Top 5 Market Capitalization
Table 4 Summary: Range was $546.98 billion to $0.00 billion. The average is $20.45 billion, median is $6.27 billion, out of 1,000 companies tracked.
| Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Market Cap($B) 05/31/16 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
17 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple |
3 | AAPL | 546.98 | +5.24 | -6.80 | -15.51 |
| Alphabet |
35 | GOOG | 505.11 | +5.89 | -3.22 | +41.45 |
| Microsoft |
25 | MSFT | 416.60 | +5.62 | -6.00 | +8.80 |
| ExxonMobil |
2 | XOM | 369.13 | +0.55 | +13.75 | -5.71 |
| Berkshire Hathaway |
4 | BRK.B | 347.83 | -3.40 | +6.86 | -3.81 |
| The PBR1000 |
20,494.71 | +1.30 | +1.90 | -0.24 |
Table 5: The PBR1000 Index & Selected Stock Exchanges/Commodities
| Company | Price 05/31/16 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
17 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The PBR1000 | 69,291.59 | +1.34 | +3.77 | -1.55 |
| DJIA | 17,787.20 | +0.08 | +2.08 | -0.20 |
| NASDAQ | 4,948.05 | +3.62 | -1.19 | +4.48 |
| S&P500 | 2,096.96 | +1.53 | +2.59 | +1.85 |
| Gold | 1,217.50 | -5.98 | +14.84 | +2.75 |
| Silver | 15.99 | -10.62 | +15.87 | +2.50 |
| Oil | 49.10 | +6.76 | +32.56 | -7.83 |
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