October 2016: Who Will Be President?
Voting in a Free Democratic Society, a Great Privilege.
By Larry C. Paxton
During the first part of October stock exchanges were mostly positive. But during the second half of the month there was an increasingly negative tone, mostly related to the US Presidential Race. Out of 21 trading days the DJIA and S&P500 had 7 gain days and 14 loss days. The NASDAQ showed the widest variability with 8 days positive, 13 days negative. October 11 saw a change of -1.54% based on earnings reports and down oil prices. The other extreme was October 24, up 1.00% based on some big merger/acquisition deals. The longest gain streaks for all 3 exchanges was 2 days, the DJIA longest loss streak was 2 days but both the NASDAQ and S&P500 had 5 day loss streaks that ended the month, caused primarily by the tightening of the US Presidential Race and the increasing uncertainty over who will win.
The PBR1000 companies in The Top 5 Tables had an emphasis on energy related companies, some planning to emerge from bankruptcy soon, and mostly from the 2nd half of The PBR1000.
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The following partial tables are excerpts from The PBR1000 October Snapshots. The stock price is for the close of trading on October 31st, Month % Chg is compared to September 30th, YTD % Chg is compared to December 31, 2015, and the 22 Months % Chg is compared to December 31, 2014.
Table 1(S11): The PBR1000 Top 5 Month Stock Price % Gainers
Table 1 Summary: The range was +465.52% to -54.25%. 316 out of 1,000 stock prices were up 0.00% or more. The average was a loss of 3.07%, the median was a loss of 2.74%.
| Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Price 10/31/16 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
22 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peabody Energy |
416 | BTUUQ | 8.75 | +465.52 | +13.93 | n/a |
| LINN Energy |
668 | LINEQ | 0.22 | +290.91 | n/a | n/a |
| SunEdison |
744 | SUNEQ | 0.19 | +36.61 | n/a | n/a |
| TeamHealth |
392 | TMH | 42.85 | +31.60 | -2.37 | -25.52 |
| SunCoke Energy |
953 | SXC | 10.21 | +27.31 | +194.24 | -47.21 |
Table 2(S12): The PBR1000 Top 5 Year-To-Date Stock Price % Gainers
Table 2 Summary: The range was +249.37% to -82.42%. 618 out of 1,000 stock prices were up 0.00% or more. The average was a gain of 4.27%. The median was a gain of 6.07%.
| Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Price 10/31/16 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
22 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cliffs Natural Resources |
832 | CLF | 5.52 | -5.64 | +249.37 | -22.69 |
| Cloud Peak Energy | 984 | CLD | 6.16 | +13.24 | +196.15 | -32.90 |
| SunCoke Energy |
950 | SXC | 10.21 | +27.31 | +194.24 | -47.21 |
| Titan International |
944 | TWI | 10.19 | +0.69 | +158.63 | -4.14 |
| Quad/Graphics |
478 | QUAD | 23.76 | -11.08 | +155.48 | +3.48 |
Table 3(S13): The PBR1000 Top 5 22 Months Stock Price % Gainers
Table 3 Summary: Range was +254.91% to -90.21%. 445 out of 1,000 stock prices were up 0.00% or more. The average was a loss of 1.06%. The median was a loss of 3.83%.
| Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Price 10/31/15 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
22 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA |
452 | NVDA | 71.16 | +3.85 | +115.90 | +254.91 |
| AMD | 533 | AMD | 7.23 | +4.63 | +151.92 | +170.79 |
| Netflix | 351 | NFLX |
124.87 | +26.71 | +9.17 | +155.88 |
| Amazon | 20 | AMZN | 789.82 | -5.67 | +16.86 | +154.49 |
| SkyWest |
633 | SKYW | 30.15 | +14.16 | +58.52 | +127.03 |
Table 4(S15): The PBR1000 Top 5 Market Capitalization
Table 4 Summary: Range was $605.43 billion to $0.00 billion. The average is $20.66 billion, median is $6.34 billion, out of 1,000 companies tracked.
| Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Market Cap($B) 10/31/16 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
22 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple |
3 | AAPL | 605.43 | -0.61 | +3.16 | -6.48 |
| Alphabet |
34 | GOOG | 540.65 | +1.21 | +3.59 | +51.40 |
| Microsoft |
31 | MSFT | 465.90 | +3.80 | +5.13 | +21.68 |
| Facebook |
148 | FB | 376.16 | +2.12 | +27.09 | +72.95 |
| Amazon | 20 | AMZN | 375.30 | -5.45 | +18.45 | +161.17 |
| The PBR1000 |
20,662.10 | -2.24 | +2.81 | +0.75 |
Table 5: The PBR1000 Index & Selected Stock Exchanges/Commodities
| Company | Price 10/31/16 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
22 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The PBR1000 | 69,527.64 | -3.07 | +4.27 | -1.06 |
| DJIA | 18,142.42 | -0.91 | +4.12 | +1.79 |
| NASDAQ | 5,189.13 | -2.31 | +3.63 | +9.57 |
| S&P500 | 2,126.15 | -1.94 | +4.02 | +3.27 |
| GOLD | 1,277.70 | -3.12 | +20.51 | +7.83 |
| SILVER | 17.91 | -6.96 | +29.78 | +14.81 |
| OIL | 46.94 | -2.31 | +26.73 | -11.88 |
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