The PBR1000 for October 2020: The Stock Market Bear Comeback
By Larry C. Paxton
The PBRMarketTools US Stock Exchanges Recap for October and Week 44 of 2020 ending 10/30/20:
DJIA ends October and Week 44 at 26,501.60, -6.47% from last Friday, -4.61% MTD/QTD, -7.14% YTD, -10.32% from record 29,551.42 set 02/12/20.
NASDAQ ends October and Week 44 at 10,911.59, -5.51% from last Friday, -2.29% MTD/QTD, +21.61% YTD, -9.50% from record 12,056.44 set 09/02/20.
SPX ends October and Week 44 at 3,269.96, -5.64% from last Friday, -2.77% MTD/QTD, +1.21% YTD, -8.68% from record 3,580.84 set 09/02/20.
The October and Week 44 of 2020 News Summary: The Coronavirus Pandemic was the top news item this week as cases in Europe and the US experienced an increased rate of infection. Here are the latest tallies: As of today at 2:24PM Eastern US the John Hopkins University CSSE unit says there are now 45,426,839 confirmed cases globally with 1,186,425 deaths, an increase of 45,472, which is +5,931 from last Friday. For the US it’s 9,018,524 confirmed cases and 229,356 deaths, an increase of 5,628, which is +306 from last Friday. The increases in Europe have led Germany and France to impose some lockdowns, this appears to be a second wave of the virus, and there is some evidence now that once a person has had the virus it does not necessarukt give them immunity in the future. Several vaccines are still in Phase 3 trials and results should be available in the next week or so. In the US testing is becoming more available, results quicker and more affordable as some of the major pharmaceutical chains gear up to provide that service. For international trade news everything seems to be on pause because of the pandemic and the anticipation of the US general elections. US economic news continues to show improvement, with a big rebound in the Gross Domestic Product. Initial jobless claims continue to lessen, manufacturing continues to rise, retail is up, but cruise lines continue to have to cancel cruises. The hospitality industries continue to struggle as they attempt to re-open. The holiday season is looking good as people have adjusted their buying habits to doing more shopping online in great numbers. It was a big week for corporate earnings. Results were mixed to moderate, but generally companies seem to have adjusted to the current environment. Many experts have said a new stimulus program is needed, but Congress and the White House have not been able to reach an agreement on a bill to do that. There might be some action after election results are in. The southern part of the US was again pounded by another storm, Hurricane Zeta, which could have some economic impact as well. The US general elections are now front and center. Mail in ballots are at record numbers, at last count representing well over half the total votes cast in the 2016 elections. Former VP Biden continues to pound away at President Trump’s management style and handling of the pandemic while President Trump points to VP Biden’s 47 years in politics without really accomplishing much. The Senate did confirm Amy Coney Barrett as an Associate Justice of the US Supreme Court and she has officially been installed. Democrats continue to argue that it was a rushed process that should have waited until after the election. Citizens continue to be pounded with political ads in hopes of swaying those few who are still undecided. The polls continue to show Biden a few points ahead of Trump. Election day is next Tuesday, November 3rd, but the final results could take several days, perhaps even weeks, to determine the victor. The Stock Market Bear, however, was the clear winner in a gruesome bloodbath in Week 44, appropriate for Halloween week. The victory was so complete that it wiped out the gains of The Stock Market Bull during the month, so The Stock Market Bear gets October as well. The Year-to-Date results are now mixed. In sports news, The LA Dodgers take the World Series over The Tampa Bay Rays in 6 games. If you haven’t already, remember to vote, then sit back, munch on the leftover Halloween treats, and see how long the fireworks show will last!
The Week 44 of 2020 tally YTD is:
The Stock Market Bull: 21 weeks
The Stock Market Bear: 18 weeks
Mixed Results: 5 weeks
The October 2020 tally YTD is:
The Stock Market Bull: 5 months
The Stock Market Bear: 4 months
Mixed Results: 1 months
The October 2020 US Major Stock Market Exchanges Summary
Number of Trading Days: 22
Number of Gain(+)/Loss(-) Days: DJIA 10+/12-; NASDAQ 11+/11-; SPX 11+/11-.
Record Days: DJIA 0, NASDAQ 0, SPX 0
Longest Gain Streak(Consecutive Days): DJIA 4 days(10/07-12/20), NASDAQ 4 days(10/07-12/20), and SPX 4 days(10/07-12/20)
Longest Loss Streak(Consecutive Days): DJIA 4 days(10/23-28/20), NASDAQ 5 days(10/13-19/20), and SPX 3 days(10/13-15/20, 10/26-28/20)
Big Swing Up Days(>1.00%): 6 days, 10/01/20( N +1.42%), 10/05/20(D +1.68%, N +2.32%, S +1.80%), 10/07/20(D +1.91%, N +1.88%, S +1.74%), 10/09/20(N +1.39%), 10/12/20(N +2.56%, S +1.64%), 10/29/20(N +1.64%, S +1.19%)
Big Swing Down Days(<-1.00%): 6 days, 10/02/20(N -2.22%), 10/06/20(D -1.34%, N -1.57%, S -1.40%), 10/19/20(D -1.44%, N -1.65%, S -1.63%), 10/26/20(D -2.29%, N -1.64%, S -1.86%), 10/28/20(D -3.43%, N -3.73%, S -3.53), 10/30/20(N -2.45%, S -1.21%)
The PBR1000 October 2020 Snapshots
The following are Top 5 partial tables excerpts from The PBR1000 October 2020 Snapshots. The price for stocks is for the close of trading on October 30, 2020, 1 Month % Chg is compared to September 30, 2020, 12 Months % Chg is compared to October 31, 2019, and the 24 Months % Chg is compared to October 31, 2018. The PBR Rank is by annual revenues.
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Table 1(S11): The PBR1000 Top 5 Month Stock Price % Gainers
Table 1 Summary: The range was +66% to -98%. 487 out of 1,000 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a loss of 0.25%, the median was a loss of 0.35%. The DJIA was -4.61%, NASDAQ -2.29%, SPX -2.77%.
Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Price 10/30/20 |
Mo % Chg |
12 Mos % Chg |
24 Mos % Chg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CIT Group | 862 | CIT | $ 29.45 | +66 | -31 | -38 |
Tupperware | 930 | TUP | $ 31.72 | +57 | +229 | -10 |
Eaton Vance | 945 | EV | $ 59.79 | +57 | +31 | +33 |
Snap | 938 | SNAP | $ 39.39 | +51 | +162 | +496 |
Community Health | 234 | CYH | $ 6.24 | +48 | +76 | +97 |
Table 2(S12): The PBR1000 Top 5 12 Months Stock Price % Gainers
Table 2 Summary: The range was +516% to -99%. 401 out of 994 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 3.35%, the median was a loss of 7.08%. The DJIA was -2.01%, NASDAQ +31.59%, SPX +7.65%.
Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Price 10/30/20 |
Mo % Chg |
12 Mos % Chg |
24 Mos % Chg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tesla | 119 | TSLA | $ 388.04 | -10 | +516 | +475 |
Owens & Minor | 331 | OMI | $ 25.12 | +0 | +273 | +218 |
Tupperware | 930 | TUP | $ 31.72 | +57 | +229 | -10 |
Wayfair | 336 | W | $ 248.03 | -15 | +202 | +125 |
Vista Outdoor | 935 | VSTO | $ 19.77 | -2 | +195 | +58 |
Table 3(S13): The PBR1000 Top 5 24 Months Stock Price % Gainers
Table 3 Summary: The range was +496% to -99%. 465 out of 983 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 16.51%. The median was a loss of 3.40%. The DJIA was +5.52%, NASDAQ +49.35%, SPX +20.59%.
Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Price 10/30/20 |
Mo % Chg |
12 Mos % Chg |
24 Mos % Chg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Snap | 938 | SNAP | $ 39.39 | +51 | +162 | +496 |
Tesla | 119 | TSLA | $ 388.04 | -10 | +516 | +475 |
AMD | 433 | AMD | $ 75.29 | -8 | +122 | +313 |
Twilio | 992 | TWLO | $ 278.97 | +13 | +189 | +271 |
Roku | 993 | ROKU | $ 202.40 | +7 | +38 | +264 |
Table 4(S15): The PBR1000 Top 5 Market Capitalization
Table 4 Summary: The range was $1,972 billion to $0.01 billion. The average is $31.395 billion, median is $7.28 billion, out of 1,000 companies.
Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Market Cap($B) 10/30/20 |
Mo % Chg |
12/19 % Chg |
12/17 % Chg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Apple | 4 | AAPL | $ 1,972 | -2 | +56 | +126 |
Amazon | 2 | AMZN | $ 1,608 | +2 | +72 | +189 |
Microsoft | 17 | MSFT | $ 1,548 | -3 | +32 | +135 |
Alphabet | 11 | GOOG | $ 1,062 | +6 | +8 | +46 |
47 | FB | $ 800 | +7 | +28 | +56 | |
The PBR1000 |
$ 31,395 | -1 | +5 | +22 |
Table 5: The PBR1000 Index & Primary US Stock Exchanges/Commodities
Company | Price 10/30/20 |
Mo % Chg |
12 Mos % Chg |
24 Mos % Chg |
---|---|---|---|---|
The PBR1000 | 97,085.29 | -0.3 | +3.4 | +16.5 |
DJIA | 26,501.60 | -4.6 | -2.0 | +5.5 |
NASDAQ | 10,911.59 | -2.3 | +31.6 | +49.4 |
S&P500 | 3,269.96 | -2.8 | +7.7 | +20.6 |
GOLD | 1,879.90 | -0.8 | +24.1 | +54.2 |
SILVER | 23.65 | +0.7 | +30.9 | +65.2 |
OIL | 35.79 | -11.0 | -33.9 | -44.9 |
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