The Week 10 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

March 11, 2022 by

The Week 10 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Stocks Investing Recap

Week 10 is another weekly win for The Stock Market Bear as investors dwell on Russia’s continuing attack on Ukraine and inflation.

By Larry C. Paxton

The US Stock Market Week 10 Summary:

Like Russia’s continuing assault on Ukraine, The Stock Market Bear took his seventh week of 2022, Week 10, by inflicting major losses on Monday and Tuesday, was briefly interrupted by a successful counteroffensive by The Stock Market Bull on Wednesday, but then returned to make big gashes on the markets again on Thursday and Friday. With the Russia/Ukraine War intensifying, high inflation worries escalating, and the lingering effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, what will it take for The Stock Market Bull to prevent a trifecta of weekly losses in Week 11?

 

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 10 of 2022 Ending 03/11/22
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Previous Quarter Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Previous Month Close(02/28/22) 33,892.60 13,751.40 4,373.94
Record Close Date 01/04/22 11/19/21 01/03/22
Record Close 36,799.65 16,057.44 4,796.56
Week 9-Friday & Close(03/04/22) 33,614.80 13,313.44 4,328.87
Week 10-Monday(03/07/22) 32,817.38 12,830.96 4,201.09
    Day Change (797.42) (482.48) (127.78)
    Day % Change -2.37% -3.62% -2.95%
Week 10-Tuesday(03/08/22) 32,632.64 12,795.55 4,170.70
    Day Change (184.74) (35.41) (30.39)
    Day % Change -0.56% -0.28% -0.72%
Week 10-Wednesday(03/09/22) 33,286.25 13,255.55 4,277.88
    Day Change 653.61 460.00 107.18
    Day % Change 2.00% 3.59% 2.57%
Week 10-Thursday(03/10/22) 33,174.07 13,129.96 4,259.52
    Day Change (112.18) (125.59) (18.36)
    Day % Change -0.34% -0.95% -0.43%
Week 10-Friday & Close(03/11/22) 32,944.19 12,843.81 4,204.31
    Day Change (229.88) (286.15) (55.21)
    Day % Change -0.69% -2.18% -1.30%
Change-Week (670.61) (469.63) (124.56)
% Change-Week -1.99% -3.53% -2.88%
Change-Month-to-Date (948.41) (907.59) (169.63)
% Change-Month-to-Date -2.80% -6.60% -3.88%
Change-Quarter-to-Date (3,394.11) (2,801.16) (561.87)
% Change-Quarter-to-Date -9.34% -17.90% -11.79%
Change-Year-to-Date (3,394.11) (2,801.16) (561.87)
% Change-Year-to-Date -9.34% -17.90% -11.79%
Change-Record (3,855.46) (3,213.63) (592.25)
% Change-Record -10.48% -20.01% -12.35%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies 2022 YTD
Week 10 Winner and Tally  Bear 3-0 Win
February Winner and Tally Bear 3-0 Win
Weeks Months 2022 YTD
The Stock Market Bull 2 0
The Stock Market Bear 7 2 Winning
Mixed Result 1 0
  Totals 10 2

Influences/News:

  • Russia’s attacks in Ukraine continue to be the major headlines. The world continues to watch anxiously as diplomatic efforts have failed so far. On the other hand, while Russia’s military offensive continues, it also seems somewhat vulnerable to the defenses and counterattacks by a determined, courageous, and brave Ukraine military and its volunteers. The Russians anticipated a 3 day war, and now it is in its 14th day. There has been a lot of destruction and human suffering, but there is no clear victory for Russian’s efforts to this point, even as the US, European Union and NATO offer moral support through economic sanctions but offering limited military support for Ukraine. What happens next can only be conjectures and based primarily on Russia’s actions, but the extremes range from Russia’s complete retreat to it defiantly unleashing its nuclear arsenal resulting in a civilization ending worldwide holocaust.
  • In other international news North Korea continues to test fire missiles, some of which appear to be capable of striking the US.
  • The Iran nuclear talks have been paused.
  • The COVID-19 pandemic has now claimed over 6 million lives worldwide and nearly 1 million in the US. However, rates of infections, hospitalizations, and deaths are dropping. There are concerns that there will be future variants, and that societies will have to develop strategies to deal with it forever, just like we have for the flu and other diseases.
  • In the US central Iowa experienced a series of killer tornados.
  • In some key US economic news consumer credit grew by 6.8% in January, the slowest pace in a year; wholesale trade was up 4.0% in January, +22.4% over the past 12 months; US international trade in January showed a deficit of $89.7 billion, the January 2021 deficit was at $65.2 billion; the consumer price index over the past 12 months, or the inflation rate, was +7.9%, highest in 40 years; the federal government spending deficit for February 2022 was at $217 billion, it was $311 billion in February 2021; the price for a gallon of gas is well above $4, with inflation and the Russia/Ukraine War contributing to that rise.
  • US Major League Baseball and the Players Union have agreed on terms, the 2022 season will be delayed by about a week, and all games will be played.
  • The Beijing 2022 Paralympics finish on March 13.

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Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

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The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks Feb 2021 12 Month Report Card

March 7, 2022 by

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks February 2021 12 Month Report Card

Report Card Stocks PBR1000 PBR25 Investing Investor

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks 12 Month Report Card for February, 2021, gets an ‘D’ for falling short of its forecast and the three major US stock indices.

By Larry C. Paxton

Welcome to The February 2021 The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks 12 Month Report Card.

As investors we count on professional stock analysts to provide comprehensive and diligent research to come up with their best take on how stocks will perform over the next 12 months. We then use that information to help us make stock buy, hold and sell decisions.

The PBR25 Premise

The premise of The PBR25 is that there is a high probability of success for investing in stocks when a large enough number professional stock analysts through their extensive research determine that a stock is a “Buy” and also forecasts a significant return over the next 12 months. PBRMarketTools assigns a Report Card grade based on how the professional stock analysts did.

Last 12 Months Influences

It is difficult to forecast a result with much accuracy over a 12 month period. For example, the 12 month period ended with the invasion of Ukraine by Russia starting February 24, 2022, which no one predicted 12 months earlier. The COVID-19 pandemic also continued with new variants causing havoc throughout the 12 months, but numbers were dropping significantly towards the end of February 2022, with the total US death toll approaching one million over the two plus years of the pandemic. The effects created a lot of unemployment, affected many economic sectors like hospitality and travel services, closed schools, forced people to work from home, and much more. But there has also been a significant recovery as societies continue to try to regain a sense of “normalcy.” Inflation rates skyrocketed, but were expected to be transitory. However, the high levels have continued, and the US Federal Reserve is expected to start increasing short term interest rates. There also continues to be the aftermath of a very contentious 2020 US Presidential and general election process, which also created a lot of confusion and strife, with the major action being the attack on the US Capital Building on January 6, 2021. 12 months later The US House of Representatives continues to actively pursue investigations and convictions of people involved as the 2022 midterm elections come into play.  There are a lot more factors, but this is not meant to be an opinions post. It is a piece focused on the review of the recommendations stock analysts came up with at the end of February 2021 and the actual results 12 months later at the end of February 2022. PBRMarketTools is calling this a Report Card.

For this February 2021 Report Card we used stock data and forecasts from February 26, 2021, and compare it to the actual results on February 28, 2022.

Creating The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks List for February 2021

The starting point is the prestigious The PBR1000 US Public Companies, produced monthly by PBRMarketTools. To be included in The PBR1000 the 1,000 companies must meet the following criteria:

  • The companies must be publicly traded on the NYSE, NYSE American or NASDAQ stock exchanges, with a very few temporarily trading on the Over-The-Counter market because they are transitioning from bankruptcy.
  • They must be headquartered in the US or have primary operations in the US.
  • They must have generated at least $1 billion in revenues in their most recent full fiscal year.
  • They must file an annual 10-K form with the US Securities and Exchange Commission in US dollars
  • Each of the 1,000 companies is given a primary ranking based on revenues, with the company having the highest revenue amount ranked 1(currently Walmart). There are 27 secondary rankings in The PBR1000 based on other criteria as well.

Each month the 12 month estimates and recommendations by stock analysts are updated on The PBR1000. The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks list for February 2021 was then created using the following process:

  • At any point in time The PBR1000 has around 15,000 stock analyst recommendations.
  • The PBR1000 is sorted several times to come up with The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks, made up of stocks that are rated a “Buy” by analysts, have a 12 Month Forecasted % Change of at least +20%, and have at least 10 “Buy” recommendations.

Actual Results for The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks for February 2021

  • No companies on the list were acquired or merged during the 12 month period.
  • In October, 2021, Facebook changed its name to Meta Platforms, but continues to use the stock trading symbol FB.
  • None of The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks for February 2021 did a stock split during the 12 months, so no data was altered for this report.

Following is a table of characteristics and 12 month actual results for the The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks on February 26, 2021, which we are calling the February 2021 report card.

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks on 02/26/21

12 Month Report Card on 02/28/22
Total Companies 25
Low Weighted Avg 4.53
High Weighted Avg 5.00
Average Weighted Avg 4.68
Median Weighted Avg 4.67
Market Capitalization Low($B) 3.94
Market Capitalization High($B) 1,539.48
Average Market Capitalization($B) 126.49
Median Market Capitalization($B) 33.93
Total Market Capitalization($B) 3,162.31
Total NYSE Companies 17
Total NASDAQ Companies 8
12 Month 12 Month
Forecast for Actual
02/26/21 02/28/22 02/28/22
Low Stock Price-MTG 12.18 16.05 15.18
High Stock Price-AMZN 3,092.93 4,045.82 3,071.26
The PBR25 Total Stock Prices 6,664.50 8,664.13 6,879.28
Total Stock Price Change 1,999.63 214.78
Percent Change 30.00% 3.22%
DJIA Percent Change 9.57%
NASDAQ Percent Change 4.24%
S&P500 Change 14.77%
Lowest Actual Change-PTON 39.65% -75.88%
Highest Actual Change-PANW 25.19% 65.85%
Total Exceeding Forecast(Out of 25) 4
Total At or Exceeding 20% 8
Total with >0% Actual Return 20

Conclusions, Observations, Validations and Realities

  • If you had bought 1 share each of The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks at the closing price on February 26, 2021, $6,664.50, you would have achieved a +3.22% gain 12 months later at the close on February 28, 2022, $6,879.28, significantly less than the +30.00% estimate of  $8,664.13, historically a less than average 12 month return, much below the 12 month forecast, and below the returns on the DJIA, NASDAQ, and S&P500 indices. For this reason The February 2021 The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks gets an ‘D’ on its 12 month Report Card, only because it did have a small positive return.
  • It is difficult to forecast out 12 months with any great accuracy, there are just too many variables and uncertainties.
  • However, it does demonstrate that The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks is a valid methodology and process for that particular month.
  • Our demonstration account, called The Charlie Fund, uses the popular “Dollar Cost Averaging Investment Strategy” with the monthly The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks as the primary research tool. For the 12 Month Report Card period it achieved a greater than 30% return, a further validation of the methodology.
  • There are no guarantees! The reality is that there will always be ups and downs in the stock market and people make stocks buy, hold and sell decisions based on a wide range of  logical and emotional criteria, input from knowledgeable hard-working experts and well meaning friends, and if the sky is blue today. But the historical data is pretty convincing that stocks will trend up at an above average investment rate over the long haul.

Additional Information

  • The details of this summary, including company names and the over 200 fields of information for each company, were extracted from the updated The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks MS-Excel worksheet for February 2022, and has been distributed to The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks Subscribers for their personal use and further research
  • The next 12 Month Report Card will be for March 2021, and should be available early to mid April, 2022.
  • For characteristics of the most recent monthly The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks go to The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks information page.

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks 12 Month Report Cards

Last 12 Months Summary
12 Month
Stock Price Stock Price 12 Month 12 Month
Report Card Month Forecast Date Actual Date Forecast Actual
March 2020 03/31/20 03/31/21 28.96% 53.35%
April 2020 05/01/20 04/30/21 16.16% 50.18%
May 2020 05/29/20 05/28/21 9.89% 37.80%
June 2020 07/02/20 07/02/21 30.88% 47.08%
July 2020 07/30/20 07/31/21 33.61% 37.77%
August 2020 09/01/20 08/31/21 32.85% 40.79%
September 2020 10/02/20 09/30/21 27.68% 52.82%
October 2020 10/30/20 10/29/21 26.43% 23.22%
October 2020 w/o AMZN 10/30/20 10/29/21 27.49% 35.49%
November 2020 11/30/20 11/30/21 21.41% 18.30%
November 2020 w/o AMZN 11/30/20 11/30/21 22.02% 27.45%
December 2020 12/31/20 12/31/21 19.19% 13.17%
December 2020 w/o AMZN 12/31/20 12/31/21 21.15% 25.22%
January 2021 01/29/21 01/31/22 27.04% 27.27%
February 2021 02/26/21 02/28/22 30.00% 3.22%
February 2021 w/o AMZN 02/26/21 02/28/22 29.31% 6.62%
   12 Month Average 25.34% 33.75%
   12 Mo Avg w/o AMZN 25.59% 36.82%

We are always interested in your feedback, which you can provide on the Contact Us page.

Not a The PBR25 Monthly Top Buy Stocks subscriber yet? Check out The PBR25 Information Page.

PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company. The monthly The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks is a subset of the monthly The PBR1000 and is available as a separate monthly or annual subscription.

Disclaimers: The PBR1000 is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. It is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations. Any research or opinions expressed should not be regarded as recommendations or advice.

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The Week 9 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

March 4, 2022 by

The Week 9 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Stocks Investing Recap

The Stock Market Bear continues his domination, helped by Russia’s controversial attack on Ukraine, takes Week 9 of 2022 with a dominating 3-0 win.

By Larry C. Paxton

The US Stock Market Week 9 Summary:

The stock markets don’t like uncertainty. In a short time Russia’s attack on Ukraine has considerably elevated that over the longer time and ongoing “contributions” of the COVID-19 pandemic and economic inflationary concerns. The Stock Market Bear capitalized on that in Week 9 of 2022, getting a 2-1 mixed result on Monday. As the Russia-Ukraine news worsened he then took a big full 3-0 bite on Tuesday. The Stock Market Bull made a valiant effort on Wednesday, got the 3-0 result, but the news took another turn for the worst, allowing The Stock Market Bear to spill more blood on Thursday and Friday, and takes the 3-0 win in Week 9 in a dominating way.

 

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 9 of 2022 Ending 03/04/22
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Previous Quarter Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Previous Month Close(02/28/22) 33,892.60 13,751.40 4,373.94
Record Close Date 01/04/22 11/19/21 01/03/22
Record Close 36,799.65 16,057.44 4,796.56
Week 8-Friday & Close(02/25/22) 34,058.75 13,694.62 4,384.65
Week 9-Monday(02/28/22) 33,892.60 13,751.40 4,373.94
    Day Change (166.15) 56.78 (10.71)
    Day % Change -0.49% 0.41% -0.24%
Week 9-Tuesday(03/01/22) 33,294.95 13,532.46 4,306.26
    Day Change (597.65) (218.94) (67.68)
    Day % Change -1.76% -1.59% -1.55%
Week 9-Wednesday(03/02/22) 33,891.35 13,752.02 4,386.54
    Day Change 596.40 219.56 80.28
    Day % Change 1.79% 1.62% 1.86%
Week 9-Thursday(03/03/22) 33,794.66 13,537.94 4,363.49
    Day Change (96.69) (214.08) (23.05)
    Day % Change -0.29% -1.56% -0.53%
Week 9-Friday & Close(03/04/22) 33,614.80 13,313.44 4,328.87
    Day Change (179.86) (224.50) (34.62)
    Day % Change -0.53% -1.66% -0.79%
Change-Week (443.95) (381.18) (55.78)
% Change-Week -1.30% -2.78% -1.27%
Change-Month-to-Date (277.80) (437.96) (45.07)
% Change-Month-to-Date -0.82% -3.18% -1.03%
Change-Quarter-to-Date (2,723.50) (2,331.53) (437.31)
% Change-Quarter-to-Date -7.49% -14.90% -9.18%
Change-Year-to-Date (2,723.50) (2,331.53) (437.31)
% Change-Year-to-Date -7.49% -14.90% -9.18%
Change-Record (3,184.85) (2,744.00) (467.69)
% Change-Record -8.65% -17.09% -9.75%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies 2022 YTD
Week 9 Winner and Tally  Bear 3-0 Win
February Winner and Tally Bear 3-0 Win
Weeks Months 2022 YTD
The Stock Market Bull 2 0
The Stock Market Bear 6 2 Winning
Mixed Result 1 0
  Totals 9 2

Influences/News:

  • Citizens of the world continue to be shocked by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the inevitable brutalities of war, the courage and bravery of the Ukraine people as they fight back against incredible odds, and in the first week the over one million of mostly women and children desperately migrating to the borders of Poland, Slovakia, Hungary and Romania and beyond as refugees, with millions more expected in the coming weeks. The European Union, US, Far East democracies and other countries around the world continue to try to use increasing economic sanctions against Russia, Putin, and Russian oligarchs, while providing financial, military equipment, and moral support to Ukraine, but not willing to enter the war directly militarily because of the fear that Russia’s Putin’s will push his finger down on the button that would launch his nuclear weapons. The United Nations passes a resolution by an unusually large majority condemning Russia’s attack. Many large corporations around the world start withdrawing their companies and stop buying products from Russia. Oil prices reach near record highs as pressure increases for the world to shun Russia’s largest export commodity.
  • US President Biden gives his first State of the Union address, with a focus on the Russia-Ukraine situation, US and world efforts to thwart Russia, US economic issues, the effect and future of the COVID-19 pandemic, and asking for bipartisanship to pass his rebranded Building a Better America plan.
  • In US economic news Federal Reserve Board chair Jerome Powell expressed his willingness to fight inflation by raising federal short term funds interest rates a quarter of a percent. Jobs reports by ADP and the US Labor Department exceed forecasts, the unemployment rate drops to 3.8%. As mentioned before, oil prices spike to over $115/barrel forcing gas prices up as well. Factory orders are up more than expected, and mortgage rates take a dip to 3.76% on a 30 year fixed rate mortgage.
  • US President Biden’s Supreme Court nominee Ketanji Brown Jackson starts meeting with senators, hearings are scheduled to begin in a couple of weeks.
  • US Major League Baseball continues negotiating with the Players Union, the original scheduled opening day has been cancelled.
  • The 2022 Winter Paraolympics start in Beijing, China, complicated by controversies of the Russia invasion of Ukraine.

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The PBR1000:

PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company.

Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

This business intelligence report is provided by: 

(Article image is courtesy of FreeDigitalPhotos.net, ddpavumba.)

 

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The Week 8 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

February 25, 2022 by

The Week 8 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

stock market bull bear stocks investing investor PBR1000

In a shortened Week 8 The Stock Market Bear claws out wins the first two days, The Stock Market Bull takes the last two days, and gets the Week 8 mixed 2-1 win.

By Larry C. Paxton

The US Stock Market Week 8 Summary:

Week 8 started with Monday a day off for the US stock exchanges to observe Presidents’ Day. But it was an anxious day as the world waited to see if Russia would invade Ukraine. On Tuesday and Wednesday The Stock Market Bear took charge by clawing his way to two very large losses days. Russia did attack Ukraine, sanctions were started against Russia, and The Stock Market Bull aggressively countered by taking charge on Thursday and Friday. At Friday’s close it was a split with The Stock Market Bull getting the 2-1 mixed win for the week and the first of 2022. Between the Russia-Ukraine concerns, inflation, and continuing COVID19 issues it was a fitting end to Week 8. Everyone is wondering, what will Week 9 bring?

 

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 8 of 2022 Ending 02/25/22
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Previous Quarter Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Previous Month Close(01/31/22) 35,131.86 14,239.88 4,515.55
Record Close Date 01/04/22 11/19/21 01/03/22
Record Close 36,799.65 16,057.44 4,796.56
Week 7-Friday & Close(02/18/22) 34,079.18 13,548.07 4,348.87
Week 8-Monday(02/21/22) 34,079.18 13,548.07 4,348.87
    Day Change 0.00 0.00 0.00
    Day % Change 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Week 8-Tuesday(02/22/22) 33,596.61 13,381.52 4,304.76
    Day Change (482.57) (166.55) (44.11)
    Day % Change -1.42% -1.23% -1.01%
Week 8-Wednesday(02/23/22) 33,131.76 13,037.49 4,225.50
    Day Change (464.85) (344.03) (79.26)
    Day % Change -1.38% -2.57% -1.84%
Week 8-Thursday(02/24/22) 33,223.83 13,473.59 4,288.70
    Day Change 92.07 436.10 63.20
    Day % Change 0.28% 3.34% 1.50%
Week 8-Friday & Close(02/25/22) 34,058.75 13,694.62 4,384.65
    Day Change 834.92 221.03 95.95
    Day % Change 2.51% 1.64% 2.24%
Change-Week (20.43) 146.55 35.78
% Change-Week -0.06% 1.08% 0.82%
Change-Month-to-Date (1,073.11) (545.26) (130.90)
% Change-Month-to-Date -3.05% -3.83% -2.90%
Change-Quarter-to-Date (2,279.55) (1,950.35) (381.53)
% Change-Quarter-to-Date -6.27% -12.47% -8.00%
Change-Year-to-Date (2,279.55) (1,950.35) (381.53)
% Change-Year-to-Date -6.27% -12.47% -8.00%
Change-Record (2,740.90) (2,362.82) (411.91)
% Change-Record -7.45% -14.71% -8.59%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies 2022 YTD
Week 8 Winner and Tally  Bull 2-1 Mixed Win
January Winner and Tally Bear 3-0 Win
Weeks Months 2022 YTD
The Stock Market Bull 2 0
The Stock Market Bear 5 1 Winning
Mixed Result 1 0
  Totals 8 1

Influences/News:

  • The Russia-Ukraine concerns became reality as Russia initially launched offenses to take over two breakaway Ukraine regions, then started closing in on the major city of Kyiv by the end of the week. NATO had an emergency session, agreed to beef up troops in neighboring countries. Speeches by US President Biden and many other world leaders from democracies denounced the use of military force, pledged to impose economic sanctions against Russia and its political and corporate leaders. Ukraine President Zelensky encouraged its military and citizens to provide resistance with some apparent initial success.
  • Inflation in the US continues to be a big issue. The Federal Open Market Committee meets next month some members are talking about a quarter or half percent increase in the federal short term interest rate.
  • COVID19 and associated variants cases and hospitalizations are decreasing rapidly, the US Center for Disease Control indicated that it is considering making some recommendations about the use of masks, probably to be oriented more towards communities that the nation itself.
  • US President Biden nominates Ketanji Brown Jackson, a federal judge on the US Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit since 2021, to replace retiring US Supreme Court Justice Stephen Breyer. She is the first black female to be nominated for the position.
  • In US economic news the Case-Shiller housing report indicated that in December home prices had increased by 18.6% over 12 months. The US Gross Domestic Product annual rate for 21Q4 was revised from +6.9% to +7.0%. US weekly initial jobless claims dropped 17,000 to 232,000 last week, closing in on pre-pandemic numbers. US mortgage rates dropped a little to an average of 3.89% with 0.8 points & fees in the last week. US personal incomes were little changed from the previous month.

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The Week 5 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

February 4, 2022 by

The Week 5 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Investing Investor Stocks

In Week 5 of 2022 The Stock Market Bull gets a 3-0 outright win as he continues to fight back to regain his glory of 2021.

By Larry C. Paxton

The US Stock Market Week 5 Summary:

The Stock Market Bull, after his big last Friday and first weekly win, started out strong on Monday through Wednesday by taking all 9 sessions across the 3 major US stocks indices as economic news, particularly upcoming interest rate hikes, settled in and investors adjusted. But on Thursday The Stock Market Bear made a prominent appearance as Russia-Ukraine tensions increased significantly with the notice that the US was sending a few thousand troops to nearby countries and the COVID-19 pandemic continued to have elevated numbers. But on Friday The Stock Market Bull pushed The Stock Market Bear out of the pasture and had another nice day, thanks to the much better than expected employment numbers, and convincingly takes the 3-0 Week 5 win. The Stock Market Bull now has two weekly wins in a row, but he still has a way to go to catch up year-to-date. In Week 6 will he be able to match the trifecta of The Stock Market Bear who won the first three weeks of 2022?

 

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 5 of 2022 Ending 02/04/22
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Previous Quarter Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Previous Month Close(01/31/22) 35,131.86 14,239.88 4,515.55
Record Close Date 01/04/22 11/19/21 01/03/22
Record Close 36,799.65 16,057.44 4,796.56
Week 4-Friday & Close(01/28/22) 34,725.47 13,770.57 4,431.85
Week 5-Monday(01/31/22) 35,131.86 14,239.88 4,515.55
    Day Change 406.39 469.31 83.70
    Day % Change 1.17% 3.41% 1.89%
Week 5-Tuesday(02/01/22) 35,405.24 14,346.00 4,546.54
    Day Change 273.38 106.12 30.99
    Day % Change 0.78% 0.75% 0.69%
Week 5-Wednesday(02/02/22) 35,629.33 14,417.55 4,589.38
    Day Change 224.09 71.55 42.84
    Day % Change 0.63% 0.50% 0.94%
Week 5-Thursday(02/03/22) 35,111.16 13,878.82 4,477.44
    Day Change (518.17) (538.73) (111.94)
    Day % Change -1.45% -3.74% -2.44%
Week 5-Friday & Close(02/04/22) 35,089.74 14,098.01 4,500.53
    Day Change (21.42) 219.19 23.09
    Day % Change -0.06% 1.58% 0.52%
Change-Week 364.27 327.44 68.68
% Change-Week 1.05% 2.38% 1.55%
Change-Month-to-Date (42.12) (141.87) (15.02)
% Change-Month-to-Date -0.12% -1.00% -0.33%
Change-Quarter-to-Date (1,248.56) (1,546.96) (265.65)
% Change-Quarter-to-Date -3.44% -9.89% -5.57%
Change-Year-to-Date (1,248.56) (1,546.96) (265.65)
% Change-Year-to-Date -3.44% -9.89% -5.57%
Change-Record (1,709.91) (1,959.43) (296.03)
% Change-Record -4.65% -12.20% -6.17%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies 2022 YTD
Week 5 Winner and Tally  Bull 3-0 Win
January Winner and Tally Bear 3-0 Win
Weeks Months 2022 YTD
The Stock Market Bull 2 0
The Stock Market Bear 3 1 Winning
Mixed Result 0 0
  Totals 5 1

 

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The January 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

January 31, 2022 by

The January 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bear Bull Investing Stocks Investor ThePBR1000 ThePBR25

The Stock Market Bear charged into 2022 determined to do better than 2021, takes January by large margins, and already matches his only one outright monthly win in 2021.

By Larry C. Paxton

 

US Stock Market Indices Summary

The Month of January 2022 Ending 01/31/22
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
2021 Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
4Q21 Close(09/30/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
December 2021 Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Record Close Date 01/04/22 11/19/21 01/03/22
Record Close 36,799.65 16,057.44 4,796.56
January 2022 Close(01/31/22) 35,131.86 14,239.88 4,515.55
Percent Change-Month -3.32% -8.98% -5.26%
Percent Change-4Q21-to-Date -3.32% -8.98% -5.26%
Percent Change-Year-to-Date -3.32% -8.98% -5.26%
Percent Change-Record -4.53% -11.32% -5.86%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD 2022
Week 4 Winner and Tally  Bull 3-0 Win
January Winner and Tally Bear 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 1 0
The Stock Market Bear 3 1 Winning
Mixed Result 0 0
  Totals 4 1

The US Stock Market January 2022 Summary:

On the first trading day of 2022, Monday of Week 1, The Stock Market Bull charged into the pasture, was in full command, had an excellent day, and established new record closes for the DJIA and S&P500, while The Stock Market Bear continued to drown his sorrows from his major 2021 loss at a nearby watering hole. On Tuesday The Stock Market Bull again established a new record close on the DJIA, but The Stock Market Bear had crept into the pasture and took out some nibbles on the NASDAQ and S&P500. An encouraged The Stock Market Bear then took over the rest of the week with a 9-0 session wins across the 3 major US stock indices across 3 days and easily took Week 1.

Week 2 was a back and forth between The Stock Market Bull and The Stock Market Bear, with The Stock Market Bull taking 9 of the 15 trading sessions. But the 6 sessions The Stock Market Bear took were good sized bites and he prevailed again with a 3-0 result for the week.

Week 3 was a four day trading week, with Martin Luther King Jr Day being observed on Monday. The Stock Market Bear had the week to himself, taking all 16 of the trading sessions by significant margins, notched his first trifecta of weekly wins in some time, with the NASDAQ losing 1 to nearly 3% on those days.

Week 4 was another back and forth, but on Friday The Stock Market Bull had had enough, captured all three indices by large amounts and Friday, and by enough to get his first weekly win of 2022.

The Stock Market Bull again took charge on Monday of Week 5, the last day of January, and once again completely dominated the pasture with 1%+ to 3%+ victories. Nevertheless, while an impressive way to end the first month of the year, it was not nearly enough. The Stock Market Bear gets his first monthly 3-0 win of 2022, matching his result in all of 2021.

As always, the experts are all over the place about what is happening and will happen, most of it based on conjectures of what is happening with COVID-19 variants, Russia gaming the world about whether or not it will invade Ukraine, N Korea ballistic missile tests, continuing supply logistics issues, a US mid-term election that will heat up soon, and who knows what else. Place your bets carefully, we wish you the best!

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Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

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The Week 3 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

January 21, 2022 by

The Week 3 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Investing Investor Stocks Recap

The Stock Market Bear starts 2022 with a trifecta of weekly outright 3-0 wins. When will The Stock Market Bull stop him?

By Larry C. Paxton

The US Stock Market Week 3 Summary:

The Stock Market Bear, still smarting from his overwhelming loss to The Stock Market Bull in 2021, has made up for it a little bit by achieving the rare 3 weekly wins in a row trifecta to start out 2022. It has been a convincing string of wins. The shortened Week 3, with 4 trading days because of the Martin Luther King Jr Day observance on Monday, was The Stock Market Bear‘s most dramatic win, taking every one of the 12 trading sessions across the three major US stock indices by significant margins. The Omnicron COVID-19 variant, inflationary fears, anticipation of how the US Federal Reserve responds with interest rates, continuing supply logistics and hiring issues, US government difficulties in passing bills, another sure to be contentious election year starting to emerge, to name just a few problems, may help The Stock Market Bear make this into a longer term string of wins. But history says at some point in time The Stock Market Bull will return to even greater glory, but so far it has been a painful waiting period.

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 3 of 2022 Ending 01/21/22
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Previous Quarter Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Previous Month Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Record Close Date 01/04/22 11/19/21 01/03/22
Record Close 36,799.65 16,057.44 4,796.56
Week 2-Friday & Close(01/14/22) 35,911.81 14,893.75 4,662.85
Week 3-Monday(01/17/22) 35,911.81 14,893.75 4,662.85
    Day Change 0.00 0.00 0.00
    Day % Change 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Week 3-Tuesday(01/18/22) 35,368.47 14,506.90 4,577.11
    Day Change (543.34) (386.85) (85.74)
    Day % Change -1.51% -2.60% -1.84%
Week 3-Wednesday(01/19/22) 35,028.65 14,340.26 4,532.76
    Day Change (339.82) (166.64) (44.35)
    Day % Change -0.96% -1.15% -0.97%
Week 3-Thursday(01/20/22) 34,715.39 14,154.02 4,482.73
    Day Change (313.26) (186.24) (50.03)
    Day % Change -0.89% -1.30% -1.10%
Week 3-Friday & Close(01/21/22) 34,265.37 13,768.92 4,397.94
    Day Change (450.02) (385.10) (84.79)
    Day % Change -1.30% -2.72% -1.89%
Change-Week -1,646.44 -1,124.83 -264.91
% Change-Week -4.58% -7.55% -5.68%
Change-Month-to-Date (2,072.93) (1,876.05) (368.24)
% Change-Month-to-Date -5.70% -11.99% -7.73%
Change-Quarter-to-Date (2,072.93) (1,876.05) (368.24)
% Change-Quarter-to-Date -5.70% -11.99% -7.73%
Change-Year-to-Date (2,072.93) (1,876.05) (368.24)
% Change-Year-to-Date -5.70% -11.99% -7.73%
Change-Record (2,534.28) (2,288.52) (398.62)
% Change-Record -6.89% -14.25% -8.31%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies 2022 YTD
Week 3 Winner and Tally  Bear 3-0 Win
December Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months 2022 YTD
The Stock Market Bull 0 0 Losing
The Stock Market Bear 3 0 Winning
Mixed Result 0 0
  Totals 3 0

Summary News Items for Week 3:

US Economic News

  • Friday, January 21, 2022

  • The Conference Board says the Preliminary December 2021 US Leading Economic Index(2016=100) is at 120.8, November was at 120.0, October 119.3. “For the first quarter, headwinds from the Omicron variant, labor shortages, and inflationary pressures—as well as the Federal Reserve’s expected interest rate hikes—may moderate economic growth. The Conference Board forecasts GDP growth for Q1 2022 to slow to a relatively healthy 2.2 percent (annualized). Still, for all of 2022, we forecast the US economy will expand by a robust 3.5 percent—well above the pre-pandemic trend growth.”

  • Thursday, January 20, 2022

  • The Natl Assn of Realtors says Preliminary December 2021 US Existing Home Sales Annual Rate is at 6,180,000, November was at 6,470,000, October 6,340,000, December 2020 6,650,000, December 2019 5,530,000; December 2021 US Existing Home Sales Median Price is at $358,000, November was at $353,900, October $353,900, December 2020 $309,200, December 2019 $274,500. “This year, consumers should prepare to endure some increases in mortgage rates… I also expect home prices to grow more moderately by 3% to 5% in 2022, and then similarly in 2023 as more supply reaches the market.”
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia says the Preliminary January 2022 3rd District Manufacturing General Activity Indicator is at +23.2, December was at +15.4, November +39.0, January 2021 +26.5, January 2020 +13.7. “The survey’s indicators for general activity, shipments, and new orders posted modest increases after falling sharply last month. The employment index remained positive but decreased. The price indexes remained elevated. Responding firms remained generally optimistic about growth over the next six months.”

  • Wednesday, January 19, 2022

  • The US Dept of Commerce/HUD says the Preliminary December 2021 US New Residential Building Permits Issued Annual Rate is at 1,873,000, November was at 1,717,000, October 1,653,000, December 2020 1,758,000, December 2019 1,457,000.
  • The Natl Assn of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Preliminary January 2022 US Housing Market Composite Index is at 83, December was at 84, November 83, January 2021 83, January 2020 75. “… The most pressing issue for the housing sector remains a lack of inventory. Building has increased but the industry faces constraints, namely cost/availability of materials, labor and lots. And while 2021 single-family starts are expected to end the year about 25% higher than the pre-Covid 2019 level, we expect higher interest rates in 2022 will put a damper on housing affordability.”

  • Tuesday, January 18, 2022

  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of New York says the January 2022 Empire State Manufacturing Survey General Business Conditions Index is at -0.7, December was at +31.9, November +30.9, January 2021 +3.5, January 2020 +3.3. “New orders declined slightly, while shipments held steady. Delivery times continued to lengthen, and unfilled orders increased. Labor market indicators pointed to a moderate increase in employment and a longer average workweek. Both price indexes moved lower, but remained elevated. Plans for capital and technology spending were strong. Looking ahead, firms remained optimistic that conditions would improve over the next six months.”

  • Monday, January 17, 2022

  • ***Martin Luther King, Jr., Day Observed.
    ***US Federal Government Offices Closed.
    ***US Post Office Closed.
    ***US Stock Exchanges Closed.

US Government/Other News

  • The Omnicron COVID-19 variant pandemic continues to reach new highs in the US, but appears to start leveling off by the end of the week. US President Biden says the US government will be giving away 400 million N95 masks.
  • In his first press conference of 2022 US President Biden says his “Build Back Better” legislation will probably have to broken up into several legislative pieces as the US Senate is unable to override traditional filibuster rules.
  • US airlines and airports express concerns over the implementation of 5G networks by major communications vendors near airports because of possible issues with aircraft and airport communications gear.
  • The US stock market takes a deep dive for the 3rd week in a row because of inflationary concerns, the US Federal Reserve indicating plans to aggressively increase short term interest rates, increasing initial jobless claims, international issues, and mixed initial 4Q2021 corporate earnings reports, especially from technology companies.
  • Russia continues to build up troop strength along the Ukraine border increasing tensions in the area. Negotiations by the US and NATO allies have not had any diplomatic breakthroughs as talks continue.
  • A major UAE Abu Dhabi oil facility is hit by a drone attack apparently by Iran-backed Yemen Houthi rebels.
  • An undersea volcanic eruption in the islands country of Tonga wipes out villages and communications. The eruption could be heard over 2,000 miles away. International relief efforts are stalled because of the destruction, the major airport being closed because of the ash. By the end of the week some supplies were finally arriving.

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Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

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The Week 2 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

January 14, 2022 by

The Week 2 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Investing Investor Stocks Recap

The Stock Market Bull had the lead through Wednesday of Week 2 of 2022, but The Stock Market Bear had a big Thursday and gets the 3-0 Week 2 win.

By Larry C. Paxton

The US Stock Market Week 2 Summary:

At the close on Wednesday The Stock Market Bull was ahead for the week. But on Thursday The Stock Market Bear charged onto the pasture, scattered the herd, and took a big bite out of some. The Stock Market Bull made a feeble recovery on Friday but it was not nearly enough. The Stock Market Bear starts out 2022 with two weekly wins. Will he get the trifecta next week?

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 2 of 2022 Ending 01/14/22
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Previous Quarter Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Previous Month Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Record Close Date 01/04/22 11/19/21 01/03/22
Record Close 36,799.65 16,057.44 4,796.56
Week 1-Friday & Close(12/31/21) 36,231.66 14,935.90 4,677.03
Week 2-Monday(01/10/22) 36,068.87 14,942.83 4,670.29
    Day Change (162.79) 6.93 (6.74)
    Day % Change -0.45% 0.05% -0.14%
Week 2-Tuesday(01/11/22) 36,252.02 15,153.45 4,713.07
    Day Change 183.15 210.62 42.78
    Day % Change 0.51% 1.41% 0.92%
Week 2-Wednesday(01/12/22) 36,290.32 15,188.39 4,726.35
    Day Change 38.30 34.94 13.28
    Day % Change 0.11% 0.23% 0.28%
Week 2-Thursday(01/13/22) 36,113.62 14,806.81 4,659.03
    Day Change (176.70) (381.58) (67.32)
    Day % Change -0.49% -2.51% -1.42%
Week 2-Friday & Close(01/14/22) 35,911.81 14,893.75 4,662.85
    Day Change (201.81) 86.94 3.82
    Day % Change -0.56% 0.59% 0.08%
Change-Week -319.85 -42.15 -14.18
% Change-Week -0.88% -0.28% -0.30%
Change-Month-to-Date (426.49) (751.22) (103.33)
% Change-Month-to-Date -1.17% -4.80% -2.17%
Change-Quarter-to-Date (426.49) (751.22) (103.33)
% Change-Quarter-to-Date -1.17% -4.80% -2.17%
Change-Year-to-Date (426.49) (751.22) (103.33)
% Change-Year-to-Date -1.17% -4.80% -2.17%
Change-Record (887.84) (1,163.69) (133.71)
% Change-Record -2.41% -7.25% -2.79%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies 2022 YTD
Week 2 Winner and Tally  Bear 3-0 Win
December Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months 2022 YTD
The Stock Market Bull 0 0 Losing
The Stock Market Bear 2 0 Winning
Mixed Result 0 0
  Totals 2 0

Summary News Items for Week 2:

US Economic News

  • Friday, January 14, 2022

  • The US Dept of Labor says “The price index for U.S. imports declined 0.2 percent in December, the first monthly decrease since the index fell 0.2 percent in August 2021. Despite the December drop, U.S. import prices increased 10.4 percent over the past year. The advance in 2021 was the largest calendar-year rise since import prices increased 10.6 percent in 2007… U.S. export prices decreased 1.8 percent in December, after advancing 0.8 percent in November and 1.9 percent in October. The December decline was the largest 1-month drop since the index fell 3.5 percent in April 2020. Despite the December decrease, U.S. export prices rose 14.7 percent from December 2020 to December 2021. The 2021 advance was the largest calendar-year increase since the series was first published in 1984.”
  • The Federal Reserve reported “Industrial production declined 0.1 percent in December. Losses of 0.3 percent for manufacturing and 1.5 percent for utilities were mostly offset by a gain of 2.0 percent for mining. For the fourth quarter as a whole, total industrial production rose at an annual rate of 4.0 percent. At 101.9 percent of its 2017 average, total industrial production in December was 3.7 percent higher than it was at the end of 2020 and 0.6 percent above its pre-pandemic (February 2020) reading. Capacity utilization for the industrial sector edged down 0.1 percentage point in December to 76.5 percent, a rate that is 3.1 percentage points below its long-run (1972–2020) average.”
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census reports that “Sales: The combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for November, adjusted for seasonal and trading day differences, but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,723.7 billion, up 0.7 percent (±0.2 percent) from October 2021 and was up 17.6 percent (±0.6 percent) from November 2020. Inventories: Manufacturers’ and trade inventories for November, adjusted for seasonal and trading day differences, but not for price changes, were estimated at an end-of-month level of $2,158.2 billion, up 1.3 percent (±0.1 percent) from October 2021 and were up 8.7 percent (±0.5 percent) from November 2020. Inventories/Sales Ratio: The total business inventories/sales ratio based on seasonally adjusted data at the end of November was 1.25. The November 2020 ratio was 1.35.”
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census reports Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for December 2021, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $626.8 billion, a decrease of 1.9 percent (±0.5 percent) from the previous month, but 16.9 percent (±0.9 percent) above December 2020. Total sales for the 12 months of 2021 were up 19.3 percent (±0.5 percent) from 2020. Total sales for the October 2021 through December 2021 period were up 17.1 percent (±0.7 percent) from the same period a year ago. The October 2021 to November 2021 percent change was revised from up 0.3 percent (±0.5 percent)* to up 0.2 percent (±0.3 percent)*. Retail trade sales were down 2.1 percent (±0.4 percent) from November 2021, but up 14.4 percent (±0.7 percent) above last year. Gasoline stations were up 41.0 percent (±1.6 percent) from December 2020, while food services and drinking places were up 41.3 percent (±4.0 percent) from last year.
  • The U of Michigan Preliminary January 2022 US Consumer Sentiment Index is at 68.8, December was at 70.6, November 67.4, December 2020 80.7, December 2019 99.3. “Sentiment posted a small loss in early January (-2.5%), falling to the second lowest level in a decade, which was recorded in November (67.4). The Sentiment Index has averaged just 70.3 in the past six months, whereas in the first six months of 2021 it averaged 82.9. While the Delta and Omicron variants certainly contributed to this downward shift, the decline was also due to an escalating inflation rate…..”

  • Thursday, January 13, 2022

  • The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary December 2021 US Producer Price Index Total Monthly Change in Final Demand is at +0.2%, November was at +1.0%, October +0.6%, December 2020 +0.3%, December 2019 +0.3%; December 2021 US Producer Price Index Total Last 12 Months Change in Final Demand is at +9.7%, November was at +9.8%, October +8.9%, December 2020 +0.8%, December 2019 +1.4%.

  • Wednesday, January 12, 2022

  • The US Dept of the Treasury says the December 2021 US Federal Government Receipts are at $486.7 billion, Outlays $508.9 billion, making December 2021 US Federal Government Deficit at $21.3 billion, November Deficit was at $191.3 billion, October Deficit $165.1 billion, December 2020 Deficit $143.6 billion, December 2019 Deficit $13.3 billion; December 2021 Deficit YTD(3 months) is at $377.7 billion, December 2020 Deficit YTD $572.9 billion, December 2019 Deficit YTD $356.6 billion.
  • The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary December 2021 US Current Average Earnings/Hour is at $31.31, Average Hours Worked/Week is at 34.7, making December 2021 Current Average Earnings/Week at $1,086.46, November was at $1,079.86, October $1,076.05, December 2020 $1,037.88, December 2019 $973.09.
  • The US Dept of Labor says the December 2021 US Consumer Price Index Monthly Change is at +0.5%, November was at +0.8%, October +0.9%, December 2020 +0.2%, December 2019 +0.2%, December 2021 Last 12 Months Change is at +7.0%, November was at +6.8%, October +6.2%, December 2020 +1.4%, December 2019 +2.3%.
  • The US Federal Reserve releases the Beige Book for data through 01/03/22, says, “Economic activity across the United States expanded at a modest pace in the final weeks of 2021. Contacts from many Districts indicated growth continued to be constrained by ongoing supply chain disruptions and labor shortages. Despite the modest pace of growth, demand for materials and inputs, and demand for workers, remained elevated among businesses.”

  • Tuesday, January 11, 2022

  • CoreLogic says the October 2021 US Home Mortgages 30 or more Days Delinquent are at 3.8%, September was at 3.9%, August 4.0%, October 2020 6.1%, October 2019 3.7%. “Economic recovery and loan modification have helped reduce the number of loans that were in serious delinquency by just over one million from the August 2021 peak. Nonetheless, there were about one-half million more loans in serious delinquency in October than at the start of the pandemic in March 2020.”

  • Monday, January 10, 2022

  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary November 2021 US Wholesale Sales-Durables is at $292.0 billion, Non-Durables $338.8 billion, making November 2021 US Wholesale Sales Total at $630.8 billion, October was at $622.4 billion, September $606.9 billion, November 2020 $511.7 billion, November 2019 $497.9 billion.

US Government/Other News

  • US President Biden orders 500 million more COVID test kits, will also be shipping kits to schools, providing free masks.
  • The US Supreme Court blocks vaccine-or-test rules for big businesses.
  • US hospitals nationwide report that they are nearly maxed out with COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations have reached record highs from January 2021.
  • The surge in the Omnicron COVID-19 variant is expected to peak by the end of January.
  • US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testifies at his confirmation hearing in the US Senate, says he expects Fed to raise interest rates in 2022 to slow down inflation, to phase out buying of securities.
  • US President Biden suggests that the US Senate change its filibuster rules so that it can vote on in limbo voting rights bills.
  • Tensions continue to mount over concerns of a possible invasion by Russia into Ukraine, Russia says it is just doing military exercises in the area.
  • N Korea launches some more missiles.

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The Week 52 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

December 31, 2021 by

The Week 52 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Stocks Investing

The Stock Market Bull only gets a 2-1 mixed win for Week 52, but he easily wins December and all of 2021 big time.

By Larry C. Paxton

The US Stock Market Week 52 Summary:

On Monday of Week 52, the last week of 2021, The Stock Market Bull had a big day in the pasture, a continuation of Week 51, taking all 3 major US stock indices, including a record close on the S&P500, without any resistance. On Tuesday he took the DJIA, but The Stock Market Bear wasn’t going away for the week as he took both the NASDAQ and S&P500 by small margins. The Stock Market Bull came back on Wednesday to establish new record closes on the DJIA and S&P500, but The Stock Market Bear was still ripping away at the NASDAQ. While The Stock Market Bull was preparing for his Happy New Year celebration he let The Stock Market Bear take Thursday and Friday by slim margins, resulting in the inadvertent loss of the NASDAQ for the week. The Stock Market Bull gets a mixed 2-1 win in Week 52 but needs to be congratulated for being the clear victor with an outstanding 2021. Of course, now the stage is set for 2022, expectations are all over the place as the pundits make their projections and predictions. Happy New Year to all!

 

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 52 of 2021 Ending 12/31/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(09/30/21 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
Previous Month Close(11/30/21) 34,483.72 15,537.69 4,567.00
Record Close Date 12/29/21 11/19/21 12/29/21
Record Close 36,488.63 16,057.44 4,793.06
Week 51-Friday & Close(12/24/21, Holiday) 35,950.56 15,653.37 4,725.79
Week 52-Monday(12/27/21) 36,302.38 15,871.26 4,791.19
    Day Change 351.82 217.89 65.40
    Day % Change 0.98% 1.39% 1.38%
Week 52-Tuesday(12/28/21) 36,398.21 15,781.72 4,786.35
    Day Change 95.83 (89.54) (4.84)
    Day % Change 0.26% -0.56% -0.10%
Week 52-Wednesday(12/29/21) 36,488.63 15,766.22 4,793.06
    Day Change 90.42 (15.50) 6.71
    Day % Change 0.25% -0.10% 0.14%
Week 52-Thursday(12/30/21) 36,398.08 15,741.56 4,778.73
    Day Change (90.55) (24.66) (14.33)
    Day % Change -0.25% -0.16% -0.30%
Week 52-Friday & Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
    Day Change (59.78) (96.59) (12.55)
    Day % Change -0.16% -0.61% -0.26%
Change-Week 387.74 -8.40 40.39
% Change-Week 1.08% -0.05% 0.85%
Change-Month-to-Date 1,854.58 107.28 199.18
% Change-Month-to-Date 5.38% 0.69% 4.36%
Change-Quarter-to-Date 2,494.38 1,196.39 458.64
% Change-Quarter-to-Date 7.37% 8.28% 10.65%
Change-Year-to-Date 5,731.82 2,756.69 1,010.11
% Change-Year-to-Date 18.73% 21.39% 26.89%
Change-Record (150.33) (412.47) (26.88)
% Change-Record -0.41% -2.57% -0.56%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies 2021 YTD
Week 52 Winner and Tally  Bull 2-1 Mixed Win
December Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months 2021
The Stock Market Bull 24 7 Won
The Stock Market Bear 18 1 Lost
Mixed Result 10 4
  Totals 52 12

Summary News Items for Week 52:

US Economic News

  • Friday, December 31, 2021

  • The US Dept of the Treasury says on 12/31/21 the US National Debt-Public is at $23.915 trillion, Intragovernmental $6.459 trillion, making the US National Debt Total at $29.474 trillion, 11/30/21 was at $28.908 trillion, 10/29/31 $28.909 trillion, 12/31/20 $27.747, 12/31/19 $23.201 trillion.
  • The US Dept of the Treasury says on 12/31/21 the US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield is at 1.52%, 11/30/21 was at 1.43%, 10/29/21 1.55%, 12/31/20 0.93%, 12/31/19 1.92%.
  • On 12/31/21 the Settlement Price for an Ounce of Gold is at $1,828.60, 11/30/21 was at $1,776.50, 10/29/21 $1,784.40, 12/31/20 $1,895.10, 12/31/19 $1,520.00.
  • At the close on 12/31/21 the US Price for a Euro is at $1.1373, 11/30/21 was at $1.1341, 10/29/21 $1.1560, 12/31/20 $1.2216, 12/31/19 $1.1203.
  • The American Automobile Assn says on 12/31/21 the US Average Price for a Gallon of Regular Gas is at $3.285, 11/30/21 was at $3.390, 10/29/21 $3.401, 12/31/20 $2.253, 12/31/19 $2.583.

  • Thursday, December 30, 2021

  • The US Dept of Labor says for the Week Ending 12/25/21 the US Preliminary Weekly Initial Jobless Claims is at 198,000, 11/20/21 was at 199,000, 10/23/21 281,000, 12/26/20 787,000, 12/21/19 222,000.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/BEA says the Preliminary 3Q21 US Net International Investment Position-Assets is at $34.455 trillion, Liabilities $50.526 trillion, making the 3Q21 US Net International Investment Position Deficit at $16.071 trillion, 2Q21 was at $15.906, 1Q21 $14.301 trillion, 3Q20 $13.767 trillion, 3Q19 $10.935 trillion. “The –$165.1 billion change in the net investment position from the second quarter to the third quarter came from net financial transactions of –$114.0 billion and net other changes in position, such as price and exchange-rate changes, of –$51.1 billion that mostly reflected the depreciation of major foreign currencies against the U.S. dollar that lowered the value of U.S. assets in dollar terms.”
  • FreddieMac says on 12/30/21 the US Weekly 30 Year Fixed Rate Home Mortgage Average is at 3.11% with 0.7 points & fees, 11/24/21 was at 3.10%, 10/28/21 3.14%, 12/31/20 2.67%, 12/26/19 3.74%. “Mortgage rates have effectively been moving sideways despite the increase in new COVID cases. This is because incoming economic data suggests that the economy remains on firm ground, particularly cyclical industries like manufacturing and housing. Moreover, low interest rates and high asset valuations continue to drive consumer spending. While we do expect rates to rise, the push of the first-time homebuyer demographic that’s been propelling the purchase market will continue in 2022 and beyond.”
  • MNI Indicators says the December 2021 Chicago Business Barometer(>50 Economy is gaining) is at 63.1, November was at 61.8, October 68.4, December 2020 58.7, December 2019 48.9.

  • Wednesday, December 29, 2021

  • The US Energy Information Administration says that on 12/24/21 US Crude Oil Inventories-Millions of Barrels is at 420.0, 11/19/21 was at 434.0, 10/22/21 430.8, 12/25/20 493.5, 12/20/19 441.4.

  • Tuesday, December 28, 2021

  • The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Preliminary October 2021 US National Home Price Index(01/2000=100) is at 273.76, +19.1% from October 2020, September was at 271.49, August 268.89, October 2020 229.90, October 2019 212.10.
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond says the Preliminary December 2021 US 5th District Manufacturing Index(Annualized) is at +16%, November was at +12%, October was also at +12%, December 2020 +19%, December 2019 -5%.
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond says the Preliminary December 2021 US 5th District Service Sector Revenues Index(Annualized) is at +12%, November was at +12%, October +9%, December 2020 -9%, December 2019 +17%.

  • Monday, December 27, 2021

  • ***No economic news items scheduled.

US Government/Other News

  • US President Biden and Russian President Putin have a telephone conversation on Wednesday to discuss Ukraine. Biden pushes for de-escalation of Russian military forces on the border, threatens severe sanctions if Russia attacks Ukraine. Putin warns of a complete rupture in relations if sanctions proceed.
  • Airlines continue to struggle with COVID and staff shortage issues, cancel thousands of flights over the holidays.
  • The Omnicron COVID19 variant cases increase worldwide, reach a new daily record in the US with nearly 500,000 positive tests on Wednesday. The CDC recommends avoiding cruises because of outbreaks across several cruise lines.
  • Wildfires near Denver, Colorado, destroy hundreds of homes and businesses, leave thousands stranded.
  • Notable deaths this week: Harry Reid, 82former US Senator representing Nevada, and US Senate Majority Leader from 2007 to 2017; John Madden, 85, head football coach of the Oakland Raiders for 10 years and winning coach in Super Bowl XI, who then became a popular football sportscaster who also had a widely used video game named after him; Betty White, 99, an American actress over eight decades who became a beloved pioneer TV sitcom comedienne.

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The Week 51 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

December 25, 2021 by

The Week 51 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Stocks Investing

The Stock Market Bull comes back with a vengeance, takes Week 51 with a 3-0 outright win, says “You’re welcome, Merry Christmas!”

By Larry C. Paxton

The US Stock Market Week 51 Summary:

Motivated by his strong finish win last week The Stock Market Bear again took to the pasture and successfully extracted some more flesh on Monday with a resounding 3-0 win. But The Stock Market Bull had had enough. On Tuesday he more than made up the difference, and continued to dominate for the rest of the short Week 51 trading week, with the successive days not being quite as large as the previous day. But the return was dramatic, and even resulted in a new record close for the S&P500 on Thursday. Friday was Christmas Eve, the US stock exchanges were closed, and it became a time to rest and relax before the final week of 2021. So even with the Omnicron COVID-19 variant becoming the dominant strain spreading rapidly around the world, economic uncertainties, and another upcoming contentious mid-term election year, The Stock Market Bull has a very solid lead for the year going into Week 52.

 

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 51 of 2021 Ending 12/24/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(09/30/21 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
Previous Month Close(11/30/21) 34,483.72 15,537.69 4,567.00
Record Close Date 11/08/21 11/19/21 12/24/21
Record Close 36,432.22 16,057.44 4,725.79
Week 50-Friday & Close(12/17/21) 35,365.44 15,169.68 4,620.64
Week 51-Monday(12/20/21) 34,932.16 14,980.94 4,568.02
    Day Change (433.28) (188.74) (52.62)
    Day % Change -1.23% -1.24% -1.14%
Week 51-Tuesday(12/21/21) 35,492.70 15,341.09 4,649.23
    Day Change 560.54 360.15 81.21
    Day % Change 1.60% 2.40% 1.78%
Week 51-Wednesday(12/22/21) 35,753.89 15,521.89 4,696.56
    Day Change 261.19 180.80 47.33
    Day % Change 0.74% 1.18% 1.02%
Week 51-Thursday(12/23/21) 35,950.56 15,653.37 4,725.79
    Day Change 196.67 131.48 29.23
    Day % Change 0.55% 0.85% 0.62%
Week 51-Friday & Close(12/24/21, Holiday) 35,950.56 15,653.37 4,725.79
    Day Change 0.00 0.00 0.00
    Day % Change 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Change-Week 585.12 483.69 105.15
% Change-Week 1.65% 3.19% 2.28%
Change-Month-to-Date 1,466.84 115.68 158.79
% Change-Month-to-Date 4.25% 0.74% 3.48%
Change-Quarter-to-Date 2,106.64 1,204.79 418.25
% Change-Quarter-to-Date 6.22% 8.34% 9.71%
Change-Year-to-Date 5,344.08 2,765.09 969.72
% Change-Year-to-Date 17.46% 21.45% 25.82%
Change-Record (481.66) (404.07) 0.00
% Change-Record -1.32% -2.52% 0.00%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies 2021 YTD
Week 51 Winner and Tally  Bull 3-0 Win
November Winner and Tally Bear 2-1 Mixed Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 24 6 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 18 1 Losing
Mixed Result 9 4
  Totals 51 11

Summary News Items for Week 51:

US Economic News

  • Friday, December 24, 2021

  • ***Christmas Eve.
    ***US Stock Exchanges Closed.
    ***No economic news releases.

  • Thursday, December 23, 2021

  • The US Dept of Commerce says the Preliminary November 2021 US Personal Income Annual Rate is at $20.868 trillion, October was at $20.778, September $20.685, November 2020 $19.435, November 2019 $18.788.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/HUD says the Preliminary November 2021 US New Family Homes Sold Annual Rate is at 744,000, October was at 662,000, September 723,000, November 2020 865,000 November 2019 696,000; the November 2021 US New Family Homes Sold Median Price is at $416,900, October was at $408,700, September $405,300, November 2020 $350,800, November 2019 $328,000.
  • The U of Michigan Final December 2021 US Consumer Sentiment Index is at 70.6, November was at 67.4, October 71.7, December 2020 80.7, December 2019 99.3. “… The uptick was primarily due to significant gains among households with incomes in the bottom third of the distribution. Indeed, the bottom third expected their incomes to rise during the year ahead by 2.8%, up from 1.8% last December, and the highest level since 2.9% was recorded in 1999…”

  • Wednesday, December 22, 2021

  • The US Dept of Commerce/BEA says the 3Q21 3rd Estimate US Current Gross Domestic Product Annual Growth Rate is at +2.3%, $23.202 trillion, 2Q21 was at +6.7%, 1Q21 +6.3%, 3Q20 +33.8%, 3Q19 +2.8%.
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago says the Preliminary November 2021 US National Activity Index is at +0.37, October was at +0.75, September -0.01, November 2020 +0.26, November 2019 +0.29. “Index suggests economic growth moderated in November.”
  • The Natl Assn of Realtors says the Preliminary November 2021 US Existing Home Sales Annual Rate is at 6,460,000 units, October was at 6,340,000, September 6,290,000, November 2020 6,590,000, November 2019 5,320,000; the November 2021 Median Home Sales Price is at $353,900, October was also at $353,900, September $352,800, November 2020 $310,800, November 2019 $271,300. “Determined buyers were able to land housing before mortgage rates rise further in the coming months… Locking in a constant and firm mortgage payment motivated many consumers who grew weary of escalating rents over the last year….”
  • The Conference Board says the Preliminary December 2021 US Consumer Confidence Index(1985=100) is at 115.8, November was at 111.9. “The Present Situation Index dipped slightly but remains very high, suggesting the economy has maintained its momentum in the final month of 2021. Expectations about short-term growth prospects improved, setting the stage for continued growth in early 2022. The proportion of consumers planning to purchase homes, automobiles, major appliances, and vacations over the next six months all increased… Meanwhile, concerns about inflation declined after hitting a 13-year high last month as did concerns about COVID-19, despite reports of continued price increases and the emergence of the Omicron variant. Looking ahead to 2022, both confidence and consumer spending will continue to face headwinds from rising prices and an expected winter surge of the pandemic.”

  • Tuesday, December 21, 2021

  • The US Dept of Commerce/BEA says the Preliminary 3Q21 US Exports of Goods, Services, & Income Receipts is at $955.9 billion, US Imports of Goods, Services & Income Payments is at $1,170.7 billion, making the 3Q21 US Trade Balance Deficit at $214.8 billion, 2Q21 was at $198.3 billion, 1Q21 $189.4 billion, 3Q20 $172.4 billion, 3Q19 $121.6 billion.
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia says the December 2021 3rd District Non-Manufacturing General Activity Index is at +12.5, November was at +46.1, October +33.4, October 2020 +16.0, October 2019 +12.2. “Overall, the respondents continued to expect improvement in conditions over the next six months, but both future activity indexes fell.”

  • Monday, December 20, 2021

  • The Conference Board says the Preliminary November 2021 US Leading Economic Index(2016=100) is at 119.9, October was at 118.8, September 117.9, November 2020 109.4, November 2019 111.6. ““The U.S. LEI rose sharply again in November, suggesting the current economic expansion will continue into the first half of 2022, … Inflation and continuing supply chain disruptions, as well as a resurgence of COVID-19, pose risks to GDP growth in 2022. Still, the economic impact of these risks may be contained. The Conference Board forecasts real GDP growth to strengthen in Q4 2021 to about 6.5 percent (annualized rate), before moderating to a still healthy rate of 2.2 percent in Q1 2022.”

US Government/Other News

  • US President Biden’s centerpiece $2.4 trillion “Build Back Better Act” legislation is stalled in the US Senate, primarily because one Senate Democrat, Joe Manchin, has said he cannot vote for the bill in good conscience.  The next actions will probably include breaking up the bill into smaller separate parts.
  • The fast spreading COVID-19 Omnicron virus variant has become the dominant strain throughout the world and US.
  • The US Federal Government has authorized the purchase and distribution of 500 million COVID-19 tests.
  • It was an explosive year for Initial Public Offerings, with a record over 1,000 during 2021.
  • US President Biden extends the pause on student loan payments until May 1, 2022.
  • The Iran nuclear deal negotiations are to resume next week in Vienna.

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