The PBR1000 September 2021 Snapshots Analytics

October 18, 2021 by admin

The PBR1000 September 2021 Snapshots Analytics

Stocks PBR1000 PBR25 Investing Analytics

Empowering Astute Business Leaders and Shrewd Investors Through The PBR1000 Analytics!

By Larry C. Paxton

PBRMarketTools reviews summaries from the most recently released The PBR1000 Snapshots and those from one and two calendar years earlier to produce some analytics to help understand what is happening in this unique set of companies. This is the September 2021 edition.

The PBR1000 Snapshots
September 2021 Analytics Summary

			Last
			12 Months
			Ending
Year	2019	2020	July 2021*
The PBR1000 Total Revenues(Trillions)	15.254	14.843	15.030
Percent Change		-2.69%	1.26%
Total Profits(Trillions)	1.303	0.829	0.872
Percent Change		-36.38%	5.19%

Average Profits to Revenues	8.54%	5.59%	5.80%

Average Earnings Per Share	$4.24	$1.98	$2.18
Percent Change		-53.30%	10.10%

Assets(Trillions)	47.633	53.191	53.407
Stockholders Equity	9.306	9.632	9.714
Equity/Assets	19.54%	18.11%	18.19%

Number of Companies Paying Dividends	708	706	688
Total Annual Dividends	1,218.55	1,212.42	1,168.23
Average Annual Dividend/Company	1.72	1.72	1.70
Percent Change		-0.22%	-1.12%

Number of Employees(Millions)	36.489	36.570	36.957
Percent Change		0.22%	1.06%

	12/31/19	12/31/20	09/30/21
The PBR1000 Total of Stock Prices	97,745.57	112,967.26	131,989.58
12 Months Percent Change		15.57%	16.84%
DJIA	28,538.44	30,606.48	33,843.92
Percent Change		7.25%	10.58%
NASDAQ	8,972.60	12,888.28	14,448.58
Percent Change		43.64%	12.11%
S&P500	3,230.78	3,756.07	4,307.54
Percent Change		16.26%	14.68%

Total Market Capitalization( Trillion $)	30,185.28	36,451.31	41,970.98
Percent Change		20.76%	15.14%

Analyst Estimates	12/31/19	12/31/20	09/30/21
Total Number of Analyst Estimates	14,922	15,176	15,526
Number of Companies by Estimate:
Buy(>4.50 to 5.00 Weighted Average)	108	148	149
Overweight (>3.50 to 4.50)	538	547	610
Hold (>2.50 to 3.50)	311	273	218
Underweight (>1.50 to 2.50)	32	23	19
Sell (1.00 to 1.50)	6	5	3
No Estimate	5	4	1
Totals	1,000	1,000	1,000

Average Weighted Estimate	3.81/5.00	3.90/5.00	3.96/5.00

*Note: All companies on The PBR1000 with a fiscal year ending July 2021 filed their annual 10-K reports with the US Securities and Exchange Commission by September 30, 2021, from which most of this financial data is derived.

Some observations:

Revenues: Retailers, hospitality, and travel related industries have been significantly adversely affected during the pandemic. On the other hand e-commerce, communications technologies, and healthcare industries were beneficiaries. The bottom line is that revenues fell only 2.69% from 2019 to 2020, but for the last 12 months through July 2021 indications are that a recovery is in progress. But profits, earnings per share, and to some extent dividends were significantly impacted. While there were negative and positive shifts in revenues, the bottom line is that it was almost a wash. Of course, these numbers and analytics reflect The PBR1000, the largest publicly held corporations in the US. Smaller businesses certainly were much more affected.

Stock Market: The stock market, which was in a long term bull market, took some big hits at the beginning of the pandemic. But as the analytics show, the recovery was also very dramatic, one of the best years for equities investors. The Average Weighted Analyst Estimates shows an uptick and there was a nice growth in the number of Buy stocks.

Some Conclusions:

There was a shift and rebalancing of revenues in The PBR1000, with the total effect much less dramatic than for most smaller and midsize businesses.

The initial panic over the pandemic had a big effect on the stock market, but it recovered quite nicely. As industries that were the most negatively affected recover there should continue to be significant growth opportunities as the “new normal” sets in, the economy should have robust growth, the usual profits and earnings per share levels will return, and The Stock Market Bull should continue to dominate. The new caveats are based on possible impacts of COVID-19 variants, unpredictability of climate change, other unforeseen natural disasters, the takeover of the White House by a small well-trained group of Maori warriors, an accidental start of a nuclear war, Tom Brady and LeBron James retiring from professional sports, a large undetected rogue asteroid striking earth, an attack by extraterrestrial forces, an unexpected explosion of the sun, and the second coming of Jesus Christ, to name just a few.

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The PBR1000:

PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company.

Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

This business intelligence report is provided by:

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The Week 41 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

October 15, 2021 by admin

The Week 41 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Stocks Bull Bear Investing Investor Money

The Stock Market Bear gets the first 2 days of Week 41, but The Stock Market Bull charges back with big wins on Thursday and Friday to get his second week in a row 3-0 victory.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary
Week 41 of 2021 Ending 10/15/21

	DJIA	NASDAQ	S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20)	30,606.48	12,888.28	3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(09/30/21	33,843.92	14,448.58	4,307.54
Previous Month Close(09/30/21)	33,843.92	14,448.58	4,307.54
Record Close Date	08/16/21	09/07/21	09/02/21
Record Close	35,625.40	15,374.33	4,536.95
Week 40-Friday & Close(10/08/21)	34,746.25	14,579.54	4,391.34
Week 41-Monday(10/11/21)	34,496.06	14,486.20	4,361.19
Day Change	(250.19)	(93.34)	(30.15)
Day % Change	-0.72%	-0.64%	-0.69%
Week 41-Tuesday(10/12/21)	34,378.34	14,465.92	4,350.65
Day Change	(117.72)	(20.28)	(10.54)
Day % Change	-0.34%	-0.14%	-0.24%
Week 41-Wednesday(10/13/21)	34,377.81	14,571.64	4,363.80
Day Change	(0.53)	105.72	13.15
Day % Change	0.00%	0.73%	0.30%
Week 41-Thursday(10/14/21)	34,912.56	14,823.43	4,438.26
Day Change	534.75	251.79	74.46
Day % Change	1.56%	1.73%	1.71%
Week 41-Friday & Close(10/15/21)	35,294.76	14,897.34	4,471.37
Day Change	382.20	73.91	33.11
Day % Change	1.09%	0.50%	0.75%
Change-Week	548.51	317.80	80.03
% Change-Week	1.58%	2.18%	1.82%
Change-Month-to-Date	1,450.84	448.76	163.83
% Change-Month-to-Date	4.29%	3.11%	3.80%
Change-Quarter-to-Date	1,450.84	448.76	163.83
% Change-Quarter-to-Date	4.29%	3.11%	3.80%
Change-Year-to-Date	4,688.28	2,009.06	715.30
% Change-Year-to-Date	15.32%	15.59%	19.04%
Change-Record	(330.64)	(476.99)	(65.58)
% Change-Record	-0.93%	-3.10%	-1.45%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD

Week 41 Winner and Tally	Bull	3-0	Win
September Winner and Tally	Bear	3-0	Win

	Weeks	Months	YTD
The Stock Market Bull	19	5	Winning
The Stock Market Bear	14	1	Losing
Mixed Result	8	3
Totals	41	9

The US Stock Market Week 41 Summary:

For Monday and Tuesday everyone was wondering where The Stock Market Bull was because The Stock Market Bear had his way with convincing daily victories. But The Stock Market Bull did finally show up and took 2 out of 3 sessions on Wednesday. With help from some nice corporate earnings report and a better than expected initial jobless claims result The Stock Market Bull had a big day on Thursday, which carried over to Friday. For two weeks in a row The Stock Market Bull comes from behind, takes a 3-0 Week 41 win.

Summary News Items for Week 41:

US Economic News

Friday, October 15, 2021
The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary September 2021 US Imports Monthly Price Change is at +0.4%, August was at -0.3%, July +0.3%, September 2020 +0.2%, September 2019 +0.1%, Imports Last 12 Months +9.2%; Preliminary September 2021 US Exports Monthly Price Change is at +0.1%, August was at +0.4%, July +1.1%, September 2020 +0.6%, September 2019 -1.6%, Exports Last 12 Months +16.3%.
The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary August 2021 US Monthly Sales-Manufacturers is at $508.3 billion, Retailers $548.7 billion, Wholesalers $595.5 billion, making August 2021 US Monthly Sales at $1,652.4 billion, July was at $1,653.3 billion, July $1,644.7 billion, August 2020 $1,433.0 billion, August 2019 $1,458.5 billion.
The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Advance September 2021 US Monthly Retail Sales-Retailers is at $553.0 billion, Food Services & Drinking Places $72.4 billion, making the Advance September 2021 US Retail Sales Total at $625.4 billion, August was at $620.9 billion, July $615.3 billion, September 2020 $548.9 billion, September 2019 $521.0 billion.
The U of Michigan Preliminary October 2021 US Consumer Sentiment Index is at 71.4, September was at 72.8, August 70.3, October 2020 81.8, October 2019 95.5. “Consumer sentiment has remained for the past three months at the lows first recorded in response to last year’s shutdown of the economy. The Delta variant, supply chain shortages, and reduced labor force participation rates will continue to dim the pace of consumer spending into 2022.”
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York says the October 2021 Empire State Manufacturing General Business Conditions Index is at +19.8, September was at +34.3, August +18.3, October 2020 +10.5, October 2019 +3.3. “Looking ahead, firms were still very optimistic that conditions would improve over the next six months.”

Thursday, October 14, 2021
The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary September 2021 US Monthly Change in the Producer Price Index is at +0.5%, August was at +0.7%, July +1.0%, September 2020 +0.3%, September 2019 -0.3%; the September 2021 US 12 Month Change in the Producer Price Index is at +8.6%, August was at +8.3%, July +7.8%, September 2020 +0.3%, September 2019 +1.5%.

Wednesday, October 13, 2021
The Federal Open Market Committee releases its minutes from the 09/21-22/21 meeting. “Domestic financial conditions were little changed, on net, and remained highly accommodative… Around half of respondents to the Desk’s surveys of primary dealers and market participants viewed December as the most likely timing of the first reduction in the net pace of purchases, although respondents also attached significant probability to the first reduction coming in November.”
The US Dept of Labor says the September 2021 US Monthly Change in the Consumer Price Index-Urban is at +0.4%, August was at +0.3%, July +0.5%, September 2020 +0.2%, September 2019 +0.1%; September 2021 US Last 12 Months Change in the Consumer Price Index-Urban is at +5.4%.
The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary September 2021 US Average Earnings/Hour is at $30.85, Average of Working Hours Per Week at 34.8, making the September 2021 US Average Earnings/Week at $1,073.58, August was at $1,060.84, July $1,060.09, September 2020 $1,026.60, September 2019 $968.70.

Tuesday, October 12, 2021
The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary August 2021 US Job Openings-Private are at 9,603,000, Government 836,000, making August 2021 US Job Openings Total at 10,439,000, July was at 11,099,000, June 10,185,000, August 2020 6,451,000, August 2019 7,046,000.
CoreLogic says the July 2021 US Housing Mortgages 30 Days or more Delinquent is at 4.2%, June was at 4.4%, May 4.7%, July 2020 6.6%, July 2019 3.8%. “Declining delinquency levels are an encouraging sign of economic improvement and the durability of the housing market. Looking ahead to the end of many forbearance and other assistance programs, many borrowers receiving support must consider their financial options, including a potential loan modification, to ensure they stay current and keep foreclosures at bay.”

Monday, October 11, 2021
US Federal Holiday: Columbus/Indigenous Peoples’ Day
US Stock Exchanges Open
No economic data releases today.

US Government/Other News

Both Houses of the US Congress pass and President Biden signs a new short term debt ceiling bill, good into early December.
The US House continues work on the $3.5 trillion infrastructure bill which appears to have been whittled down to around $1.5 trillion.
US Social Security benefits are scheduled to increase by 5.9%, the largest increase in 40 years.
US President Biden unveils a plan to ease supply chain problems.
The US plans to open land borders in November as the COVID-19 pandemic continues.
3rd quarter US corporate earnings reports start to be released and are generally good.
West Texas Intermediate crude oil closes the week at over $82/barrel.
Japan’s new prime minister dissolves parliament ahead of first elections since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic.

More Resources:

Check out the BLOG page for the previous RECAPS and SNAPSHOTS posts.

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The PBR1000:

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The PBR1000 September 2021 Top 5 Stocks Snapshots

October 11, 2021 by admin

The PBR1000 September 2021 Top 5 Stocks Snapshots

The Stock Market Bear Gets His First Month

Stocks The Stock Market Bear Snapshots Investing Investor

The Stock Market Bear in the 9th month of 2021 finally gets his first outright monthly victory. How will stocks do over the next 3 months?

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary
The Month of September 2021 Ending 09/30/21

	DJIA	NASDAQ	S&P500
2020 Close(12/31/20)	30,606.48	12,888.28	3,756.07
2Q21 Close(06/30/21)	34,502.51	14,503.95	4,297.50
August 2021 Close(08/31/21)	35,360.73	15,259.24	4,522.68
Record Close Date	08/16/21	09/07/21	09/02/21
Record Close	35,625.40	15,374.33	4,536.95
September 2021 Close(09/30/21)	33,843.92	14,448.58	4,307.54
Percent Change-Month	-4.29%	-5.31%	-4.76%
Percent Change-3Q21-to-Date	-1.91%	-0.38%	0.23%
Percent Change-Year-to-Date	10.58%	12.11%	14.68%
Percent Change-Record	-5.00%	-6.02%	-5.06%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD

Week 38 2021 Winner and Tally	Bull	3-0	Win
September 2021 Winner and Tally	Bear	3-0	Win

	Weeks	Months	YTD
The Stock Market Bull	17	5	Winning
The Stock Market Bear	13	1	Losing
Mixed Result	8	3
Totals	38	9

The US Stock Market September 2021 Summary:

Week 35 finished August and started out September with The Stock Market Bull getting a 2-1 mixed result which also included record closes on the NASDAQ and S&P500. A raging The Stock Market Bear struck back in Week 36 by taking all except 1 record breaking NASDAQ session on the Tuesday of a shortened Labor Day week. The Bull returned with a good mixed 2-1 win on Monday of Week 37, but once again The Bear recovered by taking a full win on Tuesday. The Bull took Wednesday by margins greater than his losses on Tuesday. But then The Bear took Thursday 2-1, and then a full 3-0 result on Friday, and making Weeks 36 and 37 his first back-to-back weekly victories during 2021. The momentum for The Bear continued into Week 38 on Monday and Tuesday. But The Bull returned with a vengeance by taking Wednesday through Friday to take his only full week of September. Week 39 included 4 days for September and once again The Bear dominated with big numbers on Tuesday and Thursday, the last day of the month. The Stock Market Bear gets a very convincing victory for September, his first monthly win of 2021, and sets the stage for what could be a volatile October.

Number of Trading Days: 21

Number of Gain(+)/Loss(-) Days: DJIA 7+/14-; NASDAQ 4+/17-; SPX 8+/13-.

Record Days: DJIA 0, NASDAQ 4, SPX 1, Total 5

Longest Gain Streak(Consecutive Days): DJIA 4 days(09/22-27/21), NASDAQ 4 days(09/01-07/21), and SPX 3 days(09/22-24/21)

Longest Loss Streak(Consecutive Days): DJIA 5 days(09/03-10/21), NASDAQ 5 days(09/08-14/21 & 09/24-30/21), and SPX 5 days(09/03-10/21)

Big Swing Up Days(>1.00%): 2 days(5 sessions), 09/22/21( D +1.00%, N +1.02%), 09/23/21(D +1.48%, N +1.04%, S +1.21%)

Big Swing Down Days(<-1.00%): 3 days(8 sessions), 09/20/21(D -1.78%, N -2.19%, S -1.70%), 09/28/21(D -1.63%, N -2.83%, S -2.04%), 09/30/21(D -1.59%, S -1.19%)

The PBR1000 September 2021 Top 5 Stocks Snapshots

The following are Top 5 partial tables excerpts from The PBR1000 September 2021 Snapshots. The price for stocks is for the close of trading on September 30, 2021, 1 Month % Chg is compared to August 31, 2021, 12 Months % Chg is compared to September 30, 2020, the 24 Months % Chg is compared to September 30, 2019, and 60 Months % Chg is compared to September 30, 2016. The PBR Rank is by last fiscal year annual revenues.

To get the complete The PBR1000 Snapshots just click here to get your 12 month subscription and automatically download the September 2021 edition with the complete 15 Snapshots and 28 rankings with the bonuses The PBRMarketTools US Monthly Indices Snapshots and The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks.

Table 1(S11): The PBR1000 Top 5 Month Stock Price % Gainers

Table 1 Summary: The range was +55% to -37%. 262 out of 1,000 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a loss of 4.58%, the median was a loss of 4.67%. The DJIA was -4.29%, NASDAQ -5.31%, SPX -4.76%.

Company	PBR Rank	Symbol	Price 09/30/21	Mo % Chg	12 Mos % Chg	24 Mos % Chg	60 Mos % Chg
Range Resources	864	RRC	$ 22.64	+55	+242	+493	-42
Endo International	724	ENDP	$ 3.24	+41	-2	+1	-84
SM Energy	988	SM	$ 26.42	+38	+1,562	+173	-32
Cabot Oil & Gas	953	COG	$ 21.78	+37	+25	+24	-16
Antero Resources	647	AR	$ 18.81	+37	+584	+523	-30

Table 2(S12): The PBR1000 Top 5 12 Months Stock Price % Gainers

Table 2 Summary: The range was +1,620% to -58%. 885 out of 982 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 35.61%, the median was a gain of 38.44%. The DJIA was +21.82%, NASDAQ +29.38%, SPX +28.09%.

Company	PBR Rank	Symbol	Price 09/30/21	Mo % Chg	12 Mos % Chg	24 Mos % Chg	60 Mos % Chg
GameStop	504	GME	$ 175.42	-20	+1,620	+3,078	+536
SM Energy	988	SM	$ 26.42	+38	+1,562	+173	-32
AMC Entertainment	982	AMC	$38.05	-19	+708	+256	+22
Express	985	EXPR	$ 4.72	-20	+673	+37	-60
Veritiv	424	VRTV	$ 89.56	-0	+607	+395	+79

Table 3(S13): The PBR1000 Top 5 24 Months Stock Price % Gainers

Table 3 Summary: The range was +3,078% to -83%. 742 out of 975 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 42.79%. The median was a gain of 26.28%. The DJIA was +25.74%, NASDAQ +80.62%, SPX +44.71%.

Company	PBR Rank	Symbol	Price 09/30/21	Mo % Chg	12 Mos % Chg	24 Mos % Chg	60 Mos % Chg
GameStop	504	GME	$ 175.42	-20	+1,620	+3,078	+536
Tesla Motors	95	TSLA	$ 775.45	+5	+81	+1,510	+1,800
Overstock	771	OSTK	$ 77.82	+8	+7	+653	+420
Vista Outdoor	827	VSTO	$ 40.36	-1	+100	+552	+1
Antero Resources	647	AR	$ 18.81	+37	+584	+523	-30

Table 4(R21): The PBR1000 Top 5 60 Months Stock Price % Gainers

Table 4 Summary: The range was +1,956% to -91%. 690 out of 917 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 99.68%. The median was a gain of 50.47%. The DJIA was +84.86%, NASDAQ +172.00%, SPX +98.66%.

Company	PBR Rank	Symbol	Price 09/30/21	Mo % Chg	12 Mos % Chg	24 Mos % Chg	60 Mos % Chg
Square	309	SQ	$ 239.74	-11	+47	+287	+1,956
RH	733	RH	$ 665.73	-5	+74	+290	+1,825
Tesla Motors	95	TSLA	$ 775.45	+5	+81	+1,510	+1,800
Crocs	964	CROX	$ 143.48	+0	+236	+417	+1,629
AMD	297	AMD	$ 102.90	-7	+26	+255	+1,389

Table 5(S15): The PBR1000 Top 5 Market Capitalization

Table 5 Summary: The range was $2,339 billion to $0.13 billion. The average is $41.876 billion, median is $11.13 billion, out of 1,000 companies.

Company	PBR Rank	Symbol	Market Cap($B) 09/30/21	1 Mo % Chg	12 Mos % Chg	24 Mos % Chg
Apple	3	AAPL	$ 2,339	-7	+16	+137
Microsoft	12	MSFT	$2,119	-7	+33	+101
Alphabet	9	GOOG	$ 1,793	-7	+80	+111
Amazon	2	AMZN	$ 1,664	-5	+5	+95
Facebook	32	FB	$ 957	-11	+28	+89
The PBR1000			$ 41,876.01	-5	+31	+50

Table 6: The PBR1000 Index & Primary US Stock Exchanges/Commodities

Company	Price 09/30/21	1 Mo % Chg	12 Mos % Chg	24 Mos % Chg	60 Mos % Chg
The PBR1000	131,690.01	-4.6	+35.6	+42.8	+99.7
DJIA	33,843.92	-4.3	+21.8	+25.7	+84.9
NASDAQ	14,448.58	-5.3	+29.4	+80.6	+172.0
S&P500	4,307.54	-4.8	+28.1	+44.7	+98.7
GOLD	1,757.00	-3.1	-7.3	+18.9	+33.2
OIL	75.03	+9.4	+86.6	+38.3	+56.2
SOYBEANS(Cents)	1,256.00	-3.8	+22.7	+38.9	+31.7

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Disclaimers: The PBR1000 is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. PBRMarketTools.com provides research only which should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

This The PBR1000 business intelligence report is provided by:

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The Week 40 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

October 8, 2021 by admin

The Week 40 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

The Stock Market Bear had a big Monday, but The Stock Market Bull came back strong and ended Week 40 of 2021 with a 3-0 victory.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary
Week 40 of 2021 Ending 10/08/21

	DJIA	NASDAQ	S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20)	30,606.48	12,888.28	3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(09/30/21	33,843.92	14,448.58	4,307.54
Previous Month Close(09/30/21)	33,843.92	14,448.58	4,307.54
Record Close Date	08/16/21	09/07/21	09/02/21
Record Close	35,625.40	15,374.33	4,536.95
Week 39-Friday & Close(10/01/21)	34,326.46	14,566.70	4,357.04
Week 40-Monday(10/04/21)	34,002.92	14,255.48	4,300.46
Day Change	(323.54)	(311.22)	(56.58)
Day % Change	-0.94%	-2.14%	-1.30%
Week 40-Tuesday(10/05/21)	34,314.67	14,433.83	4,345.72
Day Change	311.75	178.35	45.26
Day % Change	0.92%	1.25%	1.05%
Week 40-Wednesday(10/06/21)	34,416.99	14,501.91	4,363.55
Day Change	102.32	68.08	17.83
Day % Change	0.30%	0.47%	0.41%
Week 40-Thursday(10/07/21)	34,754.94	14,654.02	4,399.76
Day Change	337.95	152.11	36.21
Day % Change	0.98%	1.05%	0.83%
Week 40-Friday & Close(10/08/21)	34,746.25	14,579.54	4,391.34
Day Change	(8.69)	(74.48)	(8.42)
Day % Change	-0.03%	-0.51%	-0.19%
Change-Week	419.79	12.84	34.30
% Change-Week	1.22%	0.09%	0.79%
Change-Month-to-Date	902.33	130.96	83.80
% Change-Month-to-Date	2.67%	0.91%	1.95%
Change-Quarter-to-Date	902.33	130.96	83.80
% Change-Quarter-to-Date	2.67%	0.91%	1.95%
Change-Year-to-Date	4,139.77	1,691.26	635.27
% Change-Year-to-Date	13.53%	13.12%	16.91%
Change-Record	(879.15)	(794.79)	(145.61)
% Change-Record	-2.47%	-5.17%	-3.21%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD

Week 39 Winner and Tally	Bull	3-0	Win
September Winner and Tally	Bear	3-0	Win

	Weeks	Months	YTD
The Stock Market Bull	18	5	Winning
The Stock Market Bear	14	1	Losing
Mixed Result	8	3
Totals	40	9

The US Stock Market Week 40 Summary:

The Stock Market Bear wanted to repeat last week’s victory, charged onto the pasture on Monday and devoured a lot, and made his statement to start Week 40 with a clear 3-0 daily win. But The Stock Market Bull was not about to be dominated. He came back strong, took Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday to take the lead for the week, but not by quite enough to be convincing. The Stock Market Bear did return on Friday, took all major US exchanges, but just by slim margins. The Stock Market Bull proves his resilience once again, takes the first week of October with a 3-0 outright victory in Week 40, and maintains his commanding lead Year-To-Date.

Summary News Items for Week 40:

US Economic News

Friday, October 8, 2021
The US Dept of Labor says the September 2021 Civilian Noninstitutional Population is at 261,766,000 people, Available Labor Force is at 161,354,000, Employed is at 153,680,000, +526,000 from August, +6,137,000 from September 2020, Unemployed is at 7,674,000, -709,000 from August, -4,861,000 from September 2020, making the September 2021 US Unemployment Rate at 4.8%, August was at 5.2%, July 5.4%, September 2020 7.8%, September 2019 3.5%.
The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary August 2021 US Wholesale Trade Sales-Durables is at $286.6 billion, Non-Durables $309.0 billion, making August 2021 US Wholesale Trade Sales Monthly Total at $595.6 billion, July was at $602.2 billion, June $589.6 billion, August 2020 $494.0 billion, August 2019 $497.9 billion.

Thursday, October 7, 2021
The US Federal Reserve says the Preliminary August 2021 US Consumer Debt-Revolving is at $998.4 billion, Non-Revolving $3,333.9 billion, making August 2021 US Consumer Debt Total at $4,332.3 billion, July was at $4,331.3 billion, June $4,315.2 billion, August 2020 $4,142.0 billion, August 2019 $4,136.8 billion.
FannieMae says the September 2021 US Home Purchase Sentiment Index is at 74.5, August was at 75.7, July 75.8, September 2020 81.0, September 2019 91.5. “The survey’s story is … largely unchanged: Consumers feel it’s a bad time to buy a home but a good time to sell – and they continue to cite high home prices as the primary reason….”

Wednesday, October 6, 2021
ADP says the Preliminary September 2021 US Private Sector Jobs Change-Small Businesses(1-49 employees) is at +63,000, Mid-Sized(50-499) +115,000, Large-Sized(500 or more) +390,000, making September 2021 US Private Sector Jobs Change Total at +589,000, August was at +340,000, July +322,000, September 2020 +748,000, September 2019 +136,000. “… Current bottlenecks in hiring should fade as the health conditions tied to the COVID-19 variant continue to improve, setting the stage for solid job gains in the coming months.”

Tuesday, October 5, 2021
The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary August 2021 US International Trade-Exports-Goods is at $149.7 billion, Services $64.0 billion, making August 2021 US Exports Total at $213.7 billion; August 2021 US Imports-Goods is at $239.1 billion, Services $47.9 billion, making August 2021 US Imports Total at $287.0 billion, making the August 2021 US International Trade Deficit at $73.3 billion, July was at $70.3 billion, June $73.2 billion, August 2020 $63.7 billion, August 2019 $50.5 billion.
The Institute for Supply Management says the September 2021 US Composite Services PMI Index(>50 = Economy expanding) is at 61.9%, August was at 61.7%, July 64.1%, September 2020 57.8%, September 2019 52.6%. “… The slight uptick in the rate of expansion in the month of September continued the current period of strong growth for the services sector. However, ongoing challenges with labor resources, logistics, and materials are affecting the continuity of supply.”
IHS Markit says the September 2021 US Composite PMI Output Index is at 55.0, August was at 55.4, July 59.9, September 2020 54.3, September 2019 51.0. “New business increased further during September, but the rate of expansion eased to the slowest in nine months. Manufacturers and service providers alike registered softer upticks in client demand. Goods producers reported a quicker rise in new export orders, which contrasted with a faster contraction in service sector foreign customer demand.
The PurdueU/CME Group September 2021 US Ag Barometer Composite Index is at 124, August was at 138, July 134, September 2020 156, September 2019 121. “Farmer optimism about future growth in agricultural exports continues to wane, and that, combined with concerns about a squeeze on operating margins, could be contributing to weakness in farmer sentiment. Despite the weakness in farmer sentiment, farmers remain bullish about farmland values….”

Monday, October 4, 2021
The US Department of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary August 2021 US Manufacturers New Orders-Durable Goods is at $263.6 billion, Non-Durables $252.1 billion, making August 2021 US Manufacturers New Orders Total at $515.7 billion, July was at $509.4 billion, June $506.2 billion, August 2020 $444.4 billion, August 2019 $481.7 billion.

US Government/Other News

The US Senate passes the Republican’s short term plan to raise the debt ceiling limit to $28.4 trillion which should be good into early December. It now goes to the US House which is expected to approve it as well.
The $3.5 trillion infrastructure bill is still being worked on in the US House, is expected to be cut drastically, no details have been released.
The US COVID-19 pandemic death tally now exceeds 710,000 people.
A pipeline oil spill off the S California coast is estimated to be at around 130,000 gallons and is affecting the flora and fauna around the Huntington Beach and nearby area beaches.
The recently passed Texas abortion law, considered to be the most restrictive in the US, is paused by a federal judge. Texas quickly appeals the decision.
OPEC+ agrees to lift November oil output by 400,000 barrels/day.
US President Joe Biden and China’s President Xi Jinping are planning a virtual meeting before the end of 2021.

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The Week 39 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

October 1, 2021 by admin

The Week 39 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Investing Recap Stocks

The Stock Market Bear had huge days on Tuesday and Thursday to convincingly take Week 39 of 2021.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary
Week 39 of 2021 Ending 10/01/21

	DJIA	NASDAQ	S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20)	30,606.48	12,888.28	3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(09/30/21	33,843.92	14,448.58	4,307.54
Previous Month Close(09/30/21)	33,843.92	14,448.58	4,307.54
Record Close Date	08/16/21	09/07/21	09/02/21
Record Close	35,625.40	15,374.33	4,536.95
Week 38-Friday & Close(09/24/21)	34,798.00	15,047.70	4,455.48
Week 39-Monday(09/27/21)	34,869.37	14,969.97	4,443.11
Day Change	71.37	(77.73)	(12.37)
Day % Change	0.21%	-0.52%	-0.28%
Week 39-Tuesday(09/28/21)	34,299.99	14,546.68	4,352.63
Day Change	(569.38)	(423.29)	(90.48)
Day % Change	-1.63%	-2.83%	-2.04%
Week 39-Wednesday(09/29/21)	34,390.72	14,512.44	4,359.46
Day Change	90.73	(34.24)	6.83
Day % Change	0.26%	-0.24%	0.16%
Week 39-Thursday(09/30/21)	33,843.92	14,448.58	4,307.54
Day Change	(546.80)	(63.86)	(51.92)
Day % Change	-1.59%	-0.44%	-1.19%
Week 39-Friday & Close(10/01/21)	34,326.46	14,566.70	4,357.04
Day Change	482.54	118.12	49.50
Day % Change	1.43%	0.82%	1.15%
Change-Week	-471.54	-481.00	-98.44
% Change-Week	-1.36%	-3.20%	-2.21%
Change-Month-to-Date	482.54	118.12	49.50
% Change-Month-to-Date	1.43%	0.82%	1.15%
Change-Quarter-to-Date	482.54	118.12	49.50
% Change-Quarter-to-Date	1.43%	0.82%	1.15%
Change-Year-to-Date	3,719.98	1,678.42	600.97
% Change-Year-to-Date	12.15%	13.02%	16.00%
Change-Record	(1,298.94)	(807.63)	(179.91)
% Change-Record	-3.65%	-5.25%	-3.97%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD

Week 39 Winner and Tally	Bear	3-0	Win
September Winner and Tally	Bear	3-0	Win

	Weeks	Months	YTD
The Stock Market Bull	17	5	Winning
The Stock Market Bear	14	1	Losing
Mixed Result	8	3
Totals	39	9

The US Stock Market Week 39 Summary:

The Stock Market Bear was miffed by his loss in Week 38. With determination he dominated the final 4 days of September taking 9 of 12 sessions, with Tuesday and Thursday being huge days. The Stock Market Bull responded with a big Friday to start the month of October, but it was not nearly enough. The Stock Market Bear easily takes Week 39 of 2021 with a 3-0 result. The stage is set for what could be a volatile October, with The Stock Market Bull still having a significant lead year-to-date.

Summary News Items for Week 39:

US Economic News

Friday, October 1, 2021
The US Dept of Commerce/BEA says the Preliminary August 2021 US Personal Income Annual Rate is at $20.717 trillion, July was at $20.681 trillion, June $20.449, trillion, August 2020 $19.624 trillion, August 2019 $18.688 trillion.
The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary August 2021 US Construction Spending Annual Rate-Residential is at $795.5 billion, Non-Residential $788.6 billion, making the August 2021 US Construction Spending Annual Rate Total at $1,584.1 billion, July was at $1,584.0 billion, June $1,579.3 billion, August 2020 $1,455.0 billion, August 2019 $1,379.0 billion.
The Institute for Supply Management says the September 2021 US Manufacturing PMI Index(>50% = economy expanding) is at +61.1%, August was at +59.9%, July +59.5%, September 2020 +55.4%, September 2019 +47.8%. “… optimistic panel sentiment remains strong, with three positive growth comments for every cautious comment. Panelists are fully focused on supply chain issues in order to respond to the ongoing high levels of demand….”
IHS Markit says the September 2021 US Manufacturing PMI Index is at 60.7, August 2021 was at 61.1, July 2021 63.4, September 2020 53.2, September 2019 51.1. “The US manufacturing sector continues to run hot, with demand once again racing well ahead of production capacity as firms report widespread issues with supply chains and the availability of labor.”
The U of Michigan Final September 2021 US Consumer Sentiment Index is at 72.8, August 2021 was at 70.3, July 2021 81.2, September 2020 80.4, September 2019 93.2. “Consumer sentiment edged upward in late September, although the overall gain still meant the continuation of depressed optimism, initially sparked by the Delta variant and supported by persistent inflation and unfavorable long-term prospects for the national economy….”

Thursday, September 30, 2021
The US Dept of the Treasury says on 09/28/21 the US National Debt-Public is at $22.264 trillion, Intragovernmental $6.163 trillion, making the 09/28/21 US National Debt Total at $28.427 trillion, 08/31/21 was at $28.428 trillion, 07/30/21 $28.428 trillion, 09/30/20 $27.027 trillion, 09/30/19 $22.719 trillion.
The US Dept of Commerce/BEA says the 3rd Estimate 2Q21 US Real Gross Domestic Product Annual Rate is at +6.7% with the 2Q21 Annual GDP at $22.741 trillion, 1Q21 was at $22.038, 4Q20 $21.478 trillion, 2Q20 $19.477, 2Q19 $21.330 trillion.
The US Dept of Labor says the 09/25/21 US 4-Week Moving Average Initial Unemployment Claims is at 340,000, 08/21/21 was at 366,500, 07/24/21 394,500, 09/19/20 878,250, 09/21/19 212,000.
FreddieMac says the 09/30/21 US Average 30 Year Fixed Mortgage Rate is at 3.01% with 0.7 points & fees, 08/26/21 was at 2.87%, 07/29/21 2.80%, 09/24/21 2.90%, 09/24/20 2.90%, 09/26/19 3.64%. “We expect mortgage rates to continue to rise modestly which will likely have an impact on home prices, causing them to moderate slightly after increasing over the last year.”
The American Automobile Assn says on 09/30/21 the US Average Price for a Gallon of Regular Gas is at $3.189, 08/31/21 was at $3.159, 07/30/21 $3.168, 09/30/20 $2.188, 09/30/19 $2.654.
MNI Indicators says the Preliminary September 2021 Chicago Business Barometer Index(>50=economy is gaining) is at 64.7, August was at 66.8, July 73.4, September 2020 62.4, September 2019 47.1.

Wednesday, September 29, 2021
The US Energy Information Administration says the 09/24/21 US Crude Oil Inventories-Millions of Barrels is at 418.5, 08/20/21 was at 432.6, 07/23/21 435.6, 09/25/20 492.4, 09/20/19 419.5.
Automotive News says the Forecasted September 2021 New Auto Sales-Retail Units is at 899,072, Fleet Units 108,324, making September 2021 New Auto Sales Total Units at 1,007,396, August was at 1,095,323, July 1,291,775, September 2020 1,351,643, September 2019 1,268,871; September 2021 Average New Auto Sales Price is at $39,540, August was at $38,580, September 2020 $36,710.

Tuesday, September 28, 2021
The US Dept of Commerce/BEA says the Preliminary 2Q21 US Net International Investment Position-Assets is at $34.196 trillion, Liabilities $49.316 trillion, making the 2Q21 US Net International Investment Position Deficit at $15.120 trillion, 1Q21 was at $14.301 trillion, 4Q20 $14.011 trillion, 2Q20 $12.996 trillion, 2Q19 $10.488 trillion.
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Preliminary July 2021 US National Home Price Index(01/2000=100) is at 265.35, June was at 261.11, May 255.53, July 2020 221.67, July 2019 211.47; July 2021 12 Month Change is +19.7%.
The US Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond says the Preliminary September 2021 US 5th District Manufacturing Index(Annualized) is at -3%, August was at +9%, July +27%, September 2020 +21%, September 2019 -9%. “Firms reported weakening local business conditions, but they were optimistic that conditions would improve in the next six months.”
The US Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond says the Preliminary September 2021 US 5th District Services Sector Revenue Index(Annualized) is at -3%, August was at +15%, July +19%, September 2020 +6%, September 2019 +6%. “Survey respondents were optimistic that conditions would improve in the coming months.”
The Conference Board says the Preliminary September 2021 US Consumer Confidence Index(1985=100) is at 109.3, August was at 115.2. “Consumer confidence is still high by historical levels—enough to support further growth in the near-term—but the Index has now fallen 19.6 points from the recent peak of 128.9 reached in June. These back-to-back declines suggest consumers have grown more cautious and are likely to curtail spending going forward.”

Monday, September 27, 2021
No economic news releases today.

US Government/Other News

The US House of Representatives struggles with the $3.5 trillion infrastructure bill, and it appears it could be cut back substantially to around $1.5 trillion in order to pass. US President Biden continues to push for the full amount saying it needs to be approved to remain competitive in the world. US Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi says she expects a version to pass by the end of October.
US Secretary of the Treasury Janet Yellen warns that the US could default on paying its bills, including social security benefits, and force a government shutdown that could result in a deep recession if the US Congress does not pass an increase in the debt ceiling by October 18.
The US Senate and House pass a spending bill that will take it through December 3, 2021.
China growth forecasts are cut per recent economic reports.
Japan has a new prime minister, its 100th, Fumio Kishida, who confirms that Japan’s alliance with the US remains strong.
North Korea fires another missile test.

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The Week 38 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

September 24, 2021 by admin

The Week 38 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Investing Investor PBR1000 PBR25

The Stock Market Bull overcomes a big dip on Monday to win Week 38, but The Stock Market Bear still has the edge for the month of September.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary
Week 38 of 2021 Ending 09/24/21

	DJIA	NASDAQ	S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20)	30,606.48	12,888.28	3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(06/30/21	34,502.51	14,503.95	4,297.50
Previous Month Close(8/31/21)	35,360.73	15,259.24	4,522.68
Record Close Date	08/16/21	09/07/21	09/02/21
Record Close	35,625.40	15,374.33	4,536.95
Week 37-Friday & Close	34,584.88	15,043.97	4,432.99
Week 38-Monday	33,970.47	14,713.90	4,357.73
Day Change	(614.41)	(330.07)	(75.26)
Day % Change	-1.78%	-2.19%	-1.70%
Week 38-Tuesday	33,919.84	14,746.40	4,354.19
Day Change	(50.63)	32.50	(3.54)
Day % Change	-0.15%	0.22%	-0.08%
Week 38-Wednesday	34,258.32	14,896.85	4,395.64
Day Change	338.48	150.45	41.45
Day % Change	1.00%	1.02%	0.95%
Week 38-Thursday	34,764.82	15,052.24	4,448.98
Day Change	506.50	155.39	53.34
Day % Change	1.48%	1.04%	1.21%
Week 38-Friday & Close	34,798.00	15,047.70	4,455.48
Day Change	33.18	(4.54)	6.50
Day % Change	0.10%	-0.03%	0.15%
Change-Week	213.12	3.73	22.49
% Change-Week	0.62%	0.02%	0.51%
Change-Month-to-Date	(562.73)	(211.54)	(67.20)
% Change-Month-to-Date	-1.59%	-1.39%	-1.49%
Change-Quarter-to-Date	295.49	543.75	157.98
% Change-Quarter-to-Date	0.86%	3.75%	3.68%
Change-Year-to-Date	4,191.52	2,159.42	699.41
% Change-Year-to-Date	13.69%	16.75%	18.62%
Change-Record	(827.40)	(326.63)	(81.47)
% Change-Record	-2.32%	-2.12%	-1.80%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD

Week 38 Winner and Tally	Bull	3-0	Win
August Winner and Tally	Bull	3-0	Win

	Weeks	Months	YTD
The Stock Market Bull	17	5	Winning
The Stock Market Bear	13	0	Losing
Mixed Result	8	3
Totals	38	8

The US Stock Market Week 38 Summary:

The Stock Market Bear was eager to get his first trifecta of weekly wins in 2021. He viciously clawed and bit his way to a very big Monday win by so much that it appeared that Week 38 would easily be his. The Stock Bull entered the ring on Tuesday and they tussled to a slight mixed result for The Stock Market Bear. On Wednesday it was The Stock Market Bull who became the aggressor. He got the win but was still behind for the week. The Stock Market Bull again charged into battle on Thursday, and with great determination overcame every counter by The Stock Market Bear to get a resounding win and pulled ahead for the week, but not by much. Friday was the big show down but both the Bull and the Bear were punched out. The Stock Market Bull barely pulled out a thin mixed win. In an incredibly volatile week somehow The Stock Market Bull gets a 3-0 win in Week 38, but the exhausted The Stock Market Bear remains well ahead for the month and is poised to take his first monthly win of the year. However, with four trading days remaining in September anything is possible just based on what happened this week.

Summary News Items for Week 38:

US Economic News

Friday, September 24, 2021
The US Dept of Commerce/HUD says the Preliminary August 2021 US New Family Homes Sold Annual Rate is at 740,000, July was at 729,000, June 685,000, August 2020 977,000, August 2019 706,000; the August 2021 Median Home Price is at $390,900, July was also at $390,900, June $375,700, August 2020 $325,500, August 2019 $327,000.

Thursday, September 23, 2021
The US Federal Reserve says the Preliminary 2Q21 US Total Networth of Households & Non-Profits is at $141.668 trillion, 1Q21 was at $135.818 trillion, 4Q20 $130.688 trillion, 4Q19 $116.832 trillion.
The US Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago says the Preliminary August 2021 US National Activity Index is at +0.29, July was at +0.75, June +0.24, August 2020 +1.21, August 2019 +0.16. “Index suggests slower, but still above-average growth in August.”
The Conference Board says the Preliminary August 2021 US Leading Economic Index(2016=100) is at 117.1, July was at 116.2, June 115.4, August 2020 107.0, August 2019 112.0. “While the Delta variant—alongside rising inflation fears—could create headwinds for labor markets and the consumer spending outlook in the near term, the trend in the LEI is consistent with robust economic growth in the reminder of the year. Real GDP growth for 2021 is expected to reach nearly 6.0 percent year-over-year, before easing to a still-robust 4.0 percent for 2022.”

Wednesday, September 22, 2021
The US Federal Open Market Committee releases its statement for its 09/21-22/21 meeting, keeps the short terms federal funds rate at 0.00-0.25%, says “The path of the economy continues to depend on the course of the virus. Progress on vaccinations will likely continue to reduce the effects of the public health crisis on the economy, but risks to the economic outlook remain… judges that a moderation in the pace of asset purchases may soon be warranted.”
The Natl Assn of Realtors says the Preliminary August 2021 US Existing Home Sales Annual Rate is at 5,880,000, July was at 6,000,000, June 5,870,000, August 2020 5,970,000, August 2019 5,430,000; the Preliminary August 2021 US Existing Home Median Sales Price is at $356,500, July was at $359,900, June $363,300, August 2020 $310,400, August 2019 $278,800.

Tuesday, September 21, 2021
The US Dept of Commerce/HUD says the Preliminary August 2021 US Private Housing Building Permits Issued Annual Rate 1,728,000, July 1,630,000, June 1,594,000, August 2020 1,522,000, August 2019 1,471,000.
The US Dept of Commerce/BEA says the Preliminary 2Q21 US Exports of Goods, Services and Income Receipts Total is $937.9 billion, Imports of Goods, Services and Income Payments Total is at $1,128.2 billion, making the 2Q21 US Trade Deficit at $190.3 billion, 1Q21 was at $189.4 billion, 4Q20 $175.1 billion, 2Q20 $172.4 billion, 2Q19 $127.7 billion.

Monday, September 20, 2021
The Natl Assn of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Preliminary September 2021 US Housing Market Composite Index is at 76, August was at 75, July 80, September 2020 83, September 2019 68. “Builder confidence inched up in September on lower lumber prices and strong housing demand, even as the housing sector continues to grapple with building material supply chain issues and labor challenges….”

US Government/Other News

On Monday China based property developer Evergrande, with its $300 billion of debt load held by bondholders globally, shows signs that it will miss a major interest payment. Stock markets worldwide plummet dramatically. The markets recover during the week but Evergrande does miss its interest payment and its fate appears uncertain.
The US Federal Reserve Open Market Committee met and released its statement on Wednesday. See the US Economy News above for the summary.
The upcoming US debt limit concerns are not resolved, federal agencies are alerted about what to do if the federal government is forced to shut down.
The US House is expected to vote on the $3.5 trillion infrastructure bill and a proposed social spending bill next week. The outcome is uncertain, US President Biden says negotiations are at a stalemate.
Germany’s Prime Minister Angela Merkel will step down after 16 years in power. Elections are held on Friday, results are too close to call at the time of this release.

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The Week 37 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

September 18, 2021 by admin

The Week 37 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market News Recap Investing Investor

For the first time in 2021 The Stock Market Bear gets a 2 week win streak. Can he make it a trifecta? Place your bets!

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary
Week 37 of 2021 Ending 09/17/21

	DJIA	NASDAQ	S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20)	30,606.48	12,888.28	3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(06/30/21	34,502.51	14,503.95	4,297.50
Previous Month Close(8/31/21)	35,360.73	15,259.24	4,522.68
Record Close Date	08/16/21	09/07/21	09/02/21
Record Close	35,625.40	15,374.33	4,536.95
Week 36-Friday & Close	34,607.72	15,115.49	4,458.58
Week 37-Monday	34,869.63	15,105.58	4,468.73
Day Change	261.91	(9.91)	10.15
Day % Change	0.76%	-0.07%	0.23%
Week 37-Tuesday	34,577.57	15,037.76	4,443.05
Day Change	(292.06)	(67.82)	(25.68)
Day % Change	-0.84%	-0.45%	-0.57%
Week 37-Wednesday	34,814.39	15,161.53	4,480.70
Day Change	236.82	123.77	37.65
Day % Change	0.68%	0.82%	0.85%
Week 37-Thursday	34,751.32	15,181.92	4,473.75
Day Change	(63.07)	20.39	(6.95)
Day % Change	-0.18%	0.13%	-0.16%
Week 37-Friday & Close	34,584.88	15,043.97	4,432.99
Day Change	(166.44)	(137.95)	(40.76)
Day % Change	-0.48%	-0.91%	-0.91%
Change Week	-22.84	-71.52	-25.59
% Change Week	-0.07%	-0.47%	-0.57%
Change Month-to-Date	(775.85)	(215.27)	(89.69)
% Change Month-to-Date	-2.19%	-1.41%	-1.98%
Change Quarter-to-Date	82.37	540.02	135.49
% Change Quarter-to-Date	0.24%	3.72%	3.15%
Change Year-to-Date	3,978.40	2,155.69	676.92
% Change Year-to-Date	13.00%	16.73%	18.02%
Change Record	(1,040.52)	(330.36)	(103.96)
% Change Record	-2.92%	-2.15%	-2.29%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD

Week 37 Winner and Tally	Bear	3-0	Win
August Winner and Tally	Bull	3-0	Win

	Weeks	Months	YTD
The Stock Market Bull	16	5	Winning
The Stock Market Bear	13	0	Losing
Mixed Result	8	3
Totals	37	8

The US Stock Market Week 37 Summary:

The Stock Market Bull came out in round 1 fresh, well rested, and strong, and had a good Monday, but did just barely lose out on the NASDAQ. Encouraged, The Stock Market Bear struck back on Tuesday inflicting losses greater than the gains on Monday for round 2. With determination The Stock Market Bull struck back on Wednesday, recovered the losses and looked poised to win Week 37 after round 3. The Stock Market Bear took Thursday by a small margin mixed result, inflicting some minor losses on the DJIA and S&P500. The Stock Market Bull was still ahead after round 4, but was showing signs of fatigue. The Stock Market Bear sensed this and came out Friday chasing The Stock Market Bull all around the ring and landing some haymakers, takes round 5 just enough to get a full 3-0 win for Week 37, his first back-to-back weekly win in 2021 and setting the stage for what could be a volatile Week 38.

Summary News Items for Week 37:

US Economic News

Friday, September 17, 2021
The U of Michigan Preliminary September 2021 US Consumer Sentiment Survey is at 71.0, August was at 70.3, July 81.2, September 2020 80.4, September 2019 93.2. “The steep August falloff in consumer sentiment ended in early September, but the small gain still meant that consumers expected the least favorable economic prospects in more than a decade.”

Thursday, September 16, 2021
The US Dept of Labor says the 2Q21 US Average Employee Costs per Hour-Wages & Salaries is at $26.85, Benefits $12.06, making 2Q21 US Average Employee Costs per Hour at $38.91, 1Q21 was at $39.02, 4Q20 $38.60, 2Q20 $38.21, 2Q19 $36.60.
The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary July 2021 US Monthly Sales-Manufacturers is at $508.5 billion, Retailers $542.4 billion, Wholesalers $601.3 billion, making July 2021 US Monthly Sales Total at $1,652.2 billion, June was at $1,644.7 billion, May $1,618.5 billion, July 2020 $1,369.0 billion, July 2019 $1,458.2 billion.
The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Advance August 2021 Monthly Retail Trade-Retailers is at $546.7 billion, Food Services & Drinking Places $72.0 billion, making the August 2021 Monthly Retail Trade Total at $618.7 billion, July was at $614.3 billion, June $625.4 billion, August 2020 $537.2 billion, August 2019 $524.5 billion.
The US Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia says the September 2021 US 3rd District Manufacturing General Activity Indicator is at +30.7, August was at +19.4, July +21.9, September 2020 +13.6, September 2019 +10.6. “… the surveyed firms remained generally optimistic about growth over the next six months.”

Wednesday, September 15, 2021
The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary August 2021 US Import Monthly Price Change is at -0.3%, Exports +0.4%; the August 2021 US Import Year-to-Year Price Change is at +9.0%, July was at +10.2%, June +11.2%, August 2020 -1.4%, August 2019 -2.0%, August 2021 US Export Year-to-Year Price Change is at +16.8%, July was at +17.2%, June +16.8%, August 2020 -1.4%, August 2019 -2.0%.
The US Federal Reserve says the Preliminary August 2021 US Total Factory % of Capacity is at 76.4%, July was at 76.2%, June 75.6%, August 2020 72.5%, August 2019 77.8%.
The US Federal Reserve Bank of New York says the September 2021 Empire State Manufacturing General Business Conditions Index is at +34.3, August was at +18.3, July 43.0, September 2020 +17.0, September 2019 +2.2. “Business activity grew at a swift pace in New York State, according to firms responding to the September 2021 Empire State Manufacturing Survey… Looking ahead, firms remained very optimistic that conditions would improve over the next six months, and capital spending and technology spending plans increased markedly.”

Tuesday, September 14, 2021
The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary August 2021 US Current Average Earnings/Hour is at $30.73, Average Hours Per Week are at 34.7, making August 2021 US Average Earnings/Week at $1,066.33, July was at $1,060.43, June $1,056.27, August 2020 $1,022.61, August 2019 $968.70.
The US Dept of Labor says the August 2021 US Consumer Price Index Monthly Change is at +0.3% and the August 2021 US Consumer Price Index 12 Month Change is at +5.3%, July was at +5.4%, June +5.4%, August 2020 +1.3%, August 2019 +1.7%.
CoreLogic says the June 2021 US Housing Mortgages 30 or More Days Delinquent is at 4.4%, May was at 4.7%, April 4.7%, June 2020 7.1%, June 2019 4.0%. “The downward trend in delinquencies, especially serious cases, is very encouraging — and a testimony to the impact of the significant economic rebound over the past six months, as well as government stimuli, record-low mortgage rates and loan modification options. Providing resources to homeowners experiencing distress to help educate them on available government and private-sector support will aide in shrinking delinquency and foreclosure rates even more over the remainder of this year.”
Boeing(PBR55) forecasts $9 trillion aerospace market opportunities in commercial, defense and services over next decade.

Monday, September 13, 2021
The US Dept of the Treasury says the August 2021 US Federal Government Receipts are at $268.4 billion, Outlays $439.0 billion, making the August 2021 US Federal Government Deficit at $170.6 billion; the August 2021 YTD(11 months) Federal Government Receipts are at $3,586.5 billion, Outlays $6,297.1 billion, making the August 2021 YTD US Federal Government Deficit at $2,710.6 billion, August 2020 YTD Deficit was at $3,007.3 billion, August 2019 YTD Deficit $1,067.2 billion.

US Government/Other News

US President Biden visits California, endorses Governor Gavin Newsom to remain in office, and Governor Newsom defeats the impeachment vote.
Tropical Storm Nicholas hits the Gulf of Mexico coast, Texas and Louisiana get brunt of the storm.
The US agrees to share defense technologies for nuclear submarines with the UK and Australia, causes concerns with major allies, France recalls its US and Australian ambassadors.
In a climate change forum US President Biden says we are near a “point of no return,” sets stage for global climate change event next week.
N Korea does a couple of missile tests.

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The Week 36 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

September 11, 2021 by admin

The Week 36 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

Monday was US Labor Day so Week 36 was a shortened 4 days of trading. The Stock Market Bull vacationed, The Stock Market Bear feasted, devouring each day for his 3-0 result.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary
Week 36 of 2021 Ending 09/10/21

	DJIA	NASDAQ	S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20)	30,606.48	12,888.28	3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(06/30/21	34,502.51	14,503.95	4,297.50
Previous Month Close(8/31/21)	35,360.73	15,259.24	4,522.68
Record Close Date	08/16/21	09/07/21	09/02/21
Record Close	35,625.40	15,374.33	4,536.95
Week 35-Friday & Close	35,369.09	15,363.52	4,535.43
Week 36-Monday(Closed, Labor Day)	35,369.09	15,363.52	4,535.43
Day % Change	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Week 36-Tuesday	35,100.00	15,374.33	4,520.03
Day % Change	-0.76%	0.07%	-0.34%
Week 36-Wednesday	35,031.07	15,286.64	4,514.07
Day % Change	-0.20%	-0.57%	-0.13%
Week 36-Thursday	34,879.38	15,248.25	4,493.28
Day % Change	-0.43%	-0.25%	-0.46%
Week 36-Friday & Close	34,607.72	15,115.49	4,458.58
Day % Change	-0.78%	-0.87%	-0.77%
Percent Change-Week	-2.15%	-1.61%	-1.69%
Percent Change-Month-to-Date	-2.13%	-0.94%	-1.42%
Percent Change-Quarter-to-Date	0.30%	4.22%	3.75%
Percent Change-Year-to-Date	13.07%	17.28%	18.70%
Percent Change-Record	-2.86%	-1.68%	-1.73%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD

Week 36 Winner and Tally	Bear	3-0	Win
August Winner and Tally	Bull	3-0	Win

	Weeks	Months	YTD
The Stock Market Bull	16	5	Winning
The Stock Market Bear	12	0	Losing
Mixed Result	8	3
Totals	36	8

The US Stock Market Week 36 Summary:

Monday was US Labor Day so the US stock exchanges were closed. On Tuesday The Stock Market Bear captured the DJIA and S&P500, but The Stock Market Bull established a new record close on the NASDAQ by a very small margin, then decided to leave the pasture and continue his holiday by taking the rest of the week off. The Stock Market Bear proceeded to feast the rest of the week, devouring every trading session and gets an easy Week 36 3-0 result, his first since Week 33.

Summary News Items for Week 36:

US Economic News

Friday, September 10, 2021
The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary August 2021 US Producer Price Index Monthly Final Demand Change is at +0.7%, July was at +1.0%, June +1.0%, August 2020 +0.2%, August 2019 +0.1%; the August 2021 US Producer Price Index Monthly Final Demand Change Last 12 Months is at +8.3%, July was at +7.8%, June +7.3%, August 2020 -0.3%, August 2019 +1.9%.
The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary July 2021 US Wholesale Sales-Durables is at $288.1 billion, Non-Durables $313.2 billion, making July 2021 US Wholesale Sales-Total at $601.4 billion, June was at $589.6 billion, May 576.5 billion, July 2020 $486.3 billion, July 2019 $499.4 billion.

Thursday, September 9, 2021
No economic news releases today.

Wednesday, September 8, 2021
The US Federal Reserve releases its Districts Reports for the Beige Book for data through 08/30/21, says, “Economic growth downshifted slightly to a moderate pace in early July through August… Looking ahead, businesses in most Districts remained optimistic about near-term prospects, though there continued to be widespread concern about ongoing supply disruptions and resource shortages.”
The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary July 2021 US Job Openings-Private Sector are at 9,881,000, Government Sector 1,053,000, making July 2021 US Job Openings Total at 10,934,000, June was at 10,185,000, May 9,483,000, July 2020 6,718,000, July 2019 7,236,000.
The US Federal Reserve says the Preliminary July 2021 US Consumer Debt Annual Rate-Revolving is at $998.4 billion, Non-Revolving $3,332.7 billion, making July 2021 US Consumer Debt Annual Rate Total at $4,331.1 billion, June was at $4,314.0 billion, May $4,276.2 billion, July 2020 $4,152.0 billion, July 2019 $4,121.9 billion.
FannieMae says the August 2021 US Home Purchase Sentiment Index is at 75.7, July was at 75.8, June 79.7, August 2020 77.5, August 2019 93.8. “… the ‘good time to buy’ component, while still near a survey low, did tick up for the first time since March, perhaps owing in part to the favorable mortgage rate environment and growing expectations that home price growth will begin to moderate over the next twelve months.”

Tuesday, September 7, 2021
The Purdue U/CME Group August 2021 Ag Economy Barometer Composite Index is at 138, July was at 134, June 137, August 2020 144, August 2019 124. “Farmer sentiment improved moderately in August vs. July primarily because producers reported that current conditions on their farm operations were better than a month earlier. The sentiment improvement appeared to be driven in part by stronger financial conditions….”

Monday, September 6, 2021
US Labor Day.
US Stock Exchanges Closed.
No US economic news releases today.

US Government/Other

Hurricane Ida cleanup continues with New Orleans to New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and New York being the hardest hit areas.
US Federal Unemployment Benefits expire
The US Congress to continue work on the debt limit, social spending, and infrastructure bills.
US COVID-19 related deaths exceed 650,000.
The US White House releases plan to lower prescription drug prices.
US President Biden announces COVID-19 vaccine mandates for federal government employees and its contractors.
The US Dept of Justice sues the State of Texas over its recently passed restrictive abortion law.
US President Biden speaks with China’s President Xi Jinping for the first time in 7 months, has a broad based discussion.

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The PBR1000 August 2021 Top 5 Stocks Snapshots

September 7, 2021 by admin

The PBR1000 August 2021 Top 5 Stocks Snapshots

The Stock Market Bull Is Victorious Again

The Stock Market Bull easily wins August 2021, clinches the year on a monthly basis, and has a large lead year-to-date. Will stocks continue to be bullish?

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary
The Month of August 2021 Ending 08/31/21

	DJIA	NASDAQ	S&P500
2020 Close(12/31/20)	30,606.48	12,888.28	3,756.07
2Q21 Close(06/30/21)	34,502.51	14,503.95	4,297.50
July 2021 Close(07/30/21)	34,935.47	14,672.68	4,395.26
Record Close Date	08/16/21	08/30/21	08/30/21
Record Close	35,625.40	15,265.89	4,528.79
August 2021 Close(08/31/21)	35,360.73	15,259.24	4,522.68
Percent Change-Month	1.22%	4.00%	2.90%
Percent Change-2Q21-to-Date	2.49%	5.21%	5.24%
Percent Change-Year-to-Date	15.53%	18.40%	20.41%
Percent Change-Record	-0.74%	-0.04%	-0.13%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD

Week 34 2021 Winner and Tally	Bull	3-0	Win
August 2021 Winner and Tally	Bull	3-0	Win

	Weeks	Months	YTD
The Stock Market Bull	16	5	Winning
The Stock Market Bear	11	0	Losing
Mixed Result	7	3
Totals	34	8

The US Stock Market Exchanges August 2021 Summary

The Stock Market Bull enjoyed great success in August, taking Week 31 3-0, getting a mixed result win in Week 32 2-1, letting The Stock Market Bear have his only 3-0 victory in Week 33, then The Stock Market Bull returning with a dominating Week 34 3-0 win. All three major US stock indices had great months with 24 new record closes established which continued to add to The Stock Market Bull’s strong showing year-to-date, and again leaves The Stock Market Bear winless on a monthly basis with no hope of taking the monthly contest in 2021. Volatility was very low with only 5 of 66 trading sessions swinging up or down at least 1%. Key drivers are continued optimism that the US economy is having a good recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic, there is more opening up of society, but towards the end of August there are growing concerns that new COVID-19 variants might slow down the momentum.

Number of Trading Days: 22

Number of Gain(+)/Loss(-) Days: DJIA 13+/9-; NASDAQ 14+/8-; SPX 15+/7-.

Record Days: DJIA 6, NASDAQ 6, SPX 12, Total 24

Longest Gain Streak(Consecutive Days): DJIA 5 days(08/10-16/21), NASDAQ 5 days(08/19-25/21), and SPX 5 days(08/10-16/21 & 08/19-25/21)

Longest Loss Streak(Consecutive Days): DJIA 3 days(08/17-19/21), NASDAQ 3 days(08/16-18/21), and SPX 2 days(07/30-08/02/21 & 08/17-18/21)

Big Swing Up Days(>1.00%): 3 days(3 sessions), 08/20/21( N +1.19%), 08/23/21(N +1.55%), 08/27/21(N +1.23%)

Big Swing Down Days(<-1.00%): 1 day(2 sessions), 08/18/21(D -1.08%, S -1.07%)

The PBR1000 August 2021 Top 5 Stocks Snapshots

The following are Top 5 partial tables excerpts from The PBR1000 August 2021 Snapshots. The price for stocks is for the close of trading on August 31, 2021, 1 Month % Chg is compared to July 30, 2021, 12 Months % Chg is compared to August 31, 2020, the 24 Months % Chg is compared to August 30, 2019, and 60 Months % Chg is compared to August, 2016. The PBR Rank is by last fiscal year annual revenues.

To get the complete The PBR1000 Snapshots just click here to get your 12 month subscription and automatically download the August 2021 edition with the complete 15 Snapshots and 28 rankings with the bonuses The PBRMarketTools US Monthly Indices Snapshots and The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks.

Table 1(S11): The PBR1000 Top 5 Month Stock Price % Gainers

Table 1 Summary: The range was +47% to -55%. 597 out of 999 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 2.21%, the median was a gain of 1.67%. The DJIA was +1.22%, NASDAQ +4.00%, SPX +2.90%.

Company	PBR Rank	Symbol	Price 08/31/21	Mo % Chg	12 Mos % Chg	24 Mos % Chg	60 Mos % Chg
Ryerson	649	RYI	$ 23.15	+47	+320	+237	+91
Veritiv	423	VRTV	$ 89.67	+46	+416	+441	+75
Triple-S Mgmt	626	GTS	$ 35.50	+46	+91	+73	+62
TravelCenters	522	TA	$ 41.97	+45	+96	+220	+23
Albertsons Cos	46	ACI	$ 30.40	+41	+120	n/a	n/a

Table 2(S12): The PBR1000 Top 5 12 Months Stock Price % Gainers

Table 2 Summary: The range was +3,166% to -59%. 903 out of 983 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 37.83%, the median was a gain of 39.54%. The DJIA was +24.38%, NASDAQ +29.59%, SPX +29.21%.

Company	PBR Rank	Symbol	Price 08/31/21	Mo % Chg	12 Mos % Chg	24 Mos % Chg	60 Mos % Chg
GameStop	504	GME	$ 218.16	+35	+3,166	+5,395	+668
AMC Entertainment	983	AMC	$ 47.14	+27	+702	+324	+55
SM Energy	989	SM	$19.10	+2	+686	+101	-50
Dillard’s	566	DDS	$ 190.46	+4	+530	+225	+216
Peabody Energy	730	BTU	$ 15.98	+36	+512	-13	n/a

Table 3(S13): The PBR1000 Top 5 24 Months Stock Price % Gainers

Table 3 Summary: The range was +5,395% to -87%. 792 out of 975 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 52.41%. The median was a gain of 38.30%. The DJIA was +33.93%, NASDAQ +91.63%, SPX +54.54%.

Company	PBR Rank	Symbol	Price 08/31/21	Mo % Chg	12 Mos % Chg	24 Mos % Chg	60 Mos % Chg
GameStop	504	GME	$ 218.16	+35	+3,166	+5,395	+668
Tesla Motors	95	TSLA	$ 735.72	+7	+48	+1,531	+1,635
Hovnanian	812	HOV	$ 108.71	+4	+247	+1,219	+139
Owens & Minor	341	OMI	$ 37.28	-19	+125	+634	+8
Vista Outdoor	826	VSTO	$ 40.85	+1	+110	+631	+3

Table 4(R21): The PBR1000 Top 5 60 Months Stock Price % Gainers

Table 4 Summary: The range was +2,099% to -90%. 713 out of 917 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 109.32%. The median was a gain of 55.78%. The DJIA was +92.17%, NASDAQ +192.70%, SPX +108.33%.

Company	PBR Rank	Symbol	Price 08/31/21	Mo % Chg	12 Mos % Chg	24 Mos % Chg	60 Mos % Chg
Square	310	SQ	$ 268.07	+8	+68	+333	+2,099
RH	732	RH	$ 700.67	+6	+112	+389	+1,977
Tesla Motors	95	TSLA	$ 735.72	+7	+48	+1,531	+1,635
Crocs	965	CROX	$ 142.82	+5	+258	+540	+1,553
Etsy	920	ETSY	$ 216.26	+18	+81	+310	+1,507

Table 5(S15): The PBR1000 Top 5 Market Capitalization

Table 5 Summary: The range was $2,510 billion to $0.13 billion. The average is $43.794 billion, median is $11.77 billion, out of 1,000 companies.

Company	PBR Rank	Symbol	Market Cap($B) 08/31/21	1 Mo % Chg	12 Mos % Chg	24 Mos % Chg
Apple	3	AAPL	$ 2,510	+4	+18	+166
Microsoft	15	MSFT	$2,269	+6	+31	+115
Alphabet	9	GOOG	$ 1,934	+7	+73	+134
Amazon	2	AMZN	$ 1,758	+5	+3	+99
Facebook	32	FB	$ 1,070	+6	+28	+102
The PBR1000			$ 43,794	+3	+31	+59

Table 6: The PBR1000 Index & Primary US Stock Exchanges/Commodities

Company	Price 08/31/21	1 Mo % Chg	12 Mos % Chg	24 Mos % Chg	60 Mos % Chg
The PBR1000	137,834.32	+2.2	+37.8	+52.4	+109.3
DJIA	35,360.73	+1.2	+24.4	+33.9	+92.2
NASDAQ	15,259.24	+4.0	+29.6	+91.6	+192.7
S&P500	4,522.68	+2.9	+29.2	+54.5	+108.3
GOLD	1,812.20	-0.3	-8.4	+18.5	+38.0
OIL	68.56	-7.3	+60.9	+24.4	+52.7
SOYBEANS(Cents)	1,292.50	-4.2	+35.6	+48.7	+37.1

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The Week 35 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

September 3, 2021 by admin

The Week 35 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

stock market bull bear stocks news recap PBR1000

In Week 35 of 2021 The Stock Market Bull establishes 4 new record closes for the NASDAQ, but loses every day on the DJIA, ends up with a 2-1 mixed win result.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary
Week 35 of 2021 Ending 09/03/21

	DJIA	NASDAQ	S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20)	30,606.48	12,888.28	3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(06/30/21	34,502.51	14,503.95	4,297.50
Previous Month Close(8/31/21)	35,360.73	15,259.24	4,522.68
Record Close Date	08/16/21	09/03/21	09/02/21
Record Close	35,625.40	15,363.52	4,536.95
Week 34-Friday & Close	35,455.80	15,129.50	4,509.37
Week 35-Monday	35,399.84	15,265.89	4,528.79
Day % Change	-0.16%	0.90%	0.43%
Week 35-Tuesday	35,360.73	15,259.24	4,522.68
Day % Change	-0.11%	-0.04%	-0.13%
Week 35-Wednesday	35,312.53	15,309.38	4,524.09
Day % Change	-0.14%	0.33%	0.03%
Week 35-Thursday	35,443.82	15,331.18	4,536.95
Day % Change	0.37%	0.14%	0.28%
Week 35-Friday & Close	35,369.09	15,363.52	4,535.43
Day % Change	-0.21%	0.21%	-0.03%
Percent Change-Week	-0.24%	1.55%	0.58%
Percent Change-Month-to-Date	0.02%	0.68%	0.28%
Percent Change-Quarter-to-Date	2.51%	5.93%	5.54%
Percent Change-Year-to-Date	15.56%	19.21%	20.75%
Percent Change-Record	-0.72%	0.00%	-0.03%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD

Week 35 Winner and Tally	Bull	2-1	Mixed Win
August Winner and Tally	Bull	3-0	Win

	Weeks	Months	YTD
The Stock Market Bull	16	5	Winning
The Stock Market Bear	11	0	Losing
Mixed Result	8	3
Totals	35	8

The US Stock Market Week 35 Summary:

The Stock Market Bear took all 5 days of the DJIA, albeit by small margins. The Stock Market Bull countered with 4 record closes on the NASDAQ, Tuesday the loss by only 6.65(-0.04%) points. The tiebreaker was the S&P500, with The Stock Market Bull getting record closes on Monday and Thursday and also winning Wednesday, with minimal losses on Tuesday and Friday. Bottom line, The Stock Market Bull achieves a 2-1 mixed win result in Week 35 of 2021.

Summary News Items for Week 35:

US Economy News

Friday, September 3, 2021
The US Dept of Labor says the August 2021 US Available Labor Force is at 161,537,000, Employed is at 153,154,000, Unemployed 8,383,000, for an August 2021 US Unemployment Rate of 5.2%, July was at 5.4%, June 5.9%, August 2020 8.4%, August 2019 3.7%.
The Institute for Supply Management says the August 2021 US Services PMI Index(>50 Economy is growing) is at 61.7%, July was at 64.1%, June 60.1%, August 2020 56.9%, August 2019 56.4%. “… growth remains strong for the services sector. The tight labor market, materials shortages, inflation and logistics issues continue to cause capacity constraints….”
IHS Markit says the August 2021 US Composite PMI Output Index is at 55.4, July was at 59.9, June 63.7, August 2020 54.6, August 2019 50.7. “Growth slowed sharply in the US service sector in August, joining the manufacturing sector in reporting a marked cooling in demand and encountering growing problems finding staff and supplies. Jobs growth almost stalled among the surveyed companies in August and supplier lead times are lengthening at a near record rate….”

Thursday, September 2, 2021
The US Dept of Labor says the Revised 2Q21 US Business Sector Labor Productivity Output/Hr-All Persons is at +2.4%, 1Q21 was at +4.2%, 4Q20 -4.2%, 2Q20 +10.2%, 2Q19 +4.3%.
The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary July 2021 US Trade Exports-Goods is at $148.6 billion, Services $64.2 billion, making July 2021 US Trade Exports Total at $212.8 billion; Preliminary July 2021 US Trade Imports-Goods is at $236.3 billion, Services $46.6 billion, making July 2021 US Trade Imports Total at $282.9 billion, making the July 2021 US Trade Deficit Total at $70.1 billion, June was at $73.2 billion, May $68.6 billion, July 2020 $50.7 billion, July 2019 $50.1 billion.
The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary July 2021 US Manufacturers Orders-Durables is at $257.8 billion, Non-Durables $250.7 billion, making the July 2021 US Manufacturers Orders Total at $508.5 billion, June was at $500.7 billion, May $491.4 billion, July 2020 $452.6 billion, July 2019 $476.1 billion.

Wednesday, September 1, 2021
ADP says the Preliminary August 2021 US Change In Unemployment-Private Sector-Small Businesses is at +86,000, Mid-Sized 149,000, Large-Sized 138,000, for August 2021 US Change in Unemployment-Private Sector of +373,000, July was at +326,000, June +691,000, August 2020 +429,000, August 2019 +195,000.
The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary July 2021 US Construction Spending-Residential Annual Rate is at $782.1 billion, Non-Residential $786.7 billion, for US July 2021 Total US Construction Spending Annual Rate at $1,568.8 billion, June was at $1,563.5 billion, May $1,564.2 billion, July 2020 $1,439.6 billion, July 2019 $1,366.0 billion.
The Institute for Supply Management August 2021 US Manufacturing PMI Index(>50% Economy is expanding) is at 59.9%, July was at 59.5%, June 60.6%, August 2020 56.0%, August 2019 49.1%. “Business Survey Committee panelists reported that their companies and suppliers continue to struggle at unprecedented levels to meet increasing demand. All segments of the manufacturing economy are impacted by record-long raw-materials lead times, continued shortages of critical basic materials, rising commodities prices and difficulties in transporting products. The new surges of COVID-19 are adding to pandemic-related issues — worker absenteeism, short-term shutdowns due to parts shortages, difficulties in filling open positions and overseas supply chain problems — that continue to limit manufacturing-growth potential. However, optimistic panel sentiment remained strong, with eight positive comments for every cautious comment.”
The IHS Markit August 2021 US Manufacturing PMI Index is at 61.1, July was at 63.4, June 62.1, August 2020 53.1, August 2019 50.3. “US goods producers continued to register marked upturns in output and new orders in August, as demand flourished once again. That said, constraints on production due to material shortages exerted further pressure on capacity as backlogs of work rose at a near-record rate….”

Tuesday, August 31, 2021
The US Dept of the Treasury says on 08/27/21 the US National Debt-Public is at $22.244 trillion, Intragovernmental $6.184 trillion, for 08/27/21 US Total National Debt of $28.428 trillion, 07/30/21 was also at $28.428 trillion, 06/30/21 $28.530 trillion, 08/31/20 $26.703 trillion, 08/31/19 $22.467 trillion.
The US Dept of the Treasury says at the close on 08/31/21 the US Treasury 10 Year Notes Yield was at 1.30%, 07/30/21 was at 1.24%, 06/30/21 1.45%, 08/31/20 0.72%, 08/31/19 1.50%.
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Preliminary June 2021 US National Home Price Index(Jan2000=100) is at 260.87, May was at 255.30, April 249.61, June 2020 219.94, June 2019 210.71; the June 2021 US National Home Price Index change from June 2020 is at +18.6%. “We have previously suggested that the strength in the U.S. housing market is being driven in part by reaction to the COVID pandemic, as potential buyers move from urban apartments to suburban homes. June’s data are consistent with this hypothesis. This demand surge may simply represent an acceleration of purchases that would have occurred anyway over the next several years. Alternatively, there may have been a secular change in locational preferences, leading to a permanent shift in the demand curve for housing. More time and data will be required to analyze this question.”
The Conference Board says the Preliminary August 2021 US Consumer Confidence Index(1985=100) is at 113.8, July was at 125.1, June 128.9, August 2020 86.3, August 2019 134.2. “While the resurgence of COVID-19 and inflation concerns have dampened confidence, it is too soon to conclude this decline will result in consumers significantly curtailing their spending in the months ahead.”
The MNI Indicators Preliminary August 2021 Chicago Business Barometer Index(>50 = economy expanding) is at 66.8, July was at 73.4, June 66.1, August 2020 51.2, August 2019 50.4. “Firms say the available supply of raw materials and workers isn’t sufficient to keep up with new orders.”
The American Automobile Assn says that on 08/31/21 the US Average Price/Gallon of Regular Gas is at $3.159, 07/30/21 was at $3.168, 06/30/21 $3.118, 08/31/20 $2.233, 08/30/19 $2.580.

Monday, August 30, 2021
No US economic news releases today.

US Government/Other

The US completes its civilian and military withdrawal from Afghanistan on August 30.
The Delta variant of the COVID-19 virus continues to spread and cause deaths at high levels.
Hurricane Ida hits New Orleans, during the week moves up to the Northeast US with high winds and dumping lots of rain along the way causing some deaths and severe floods, especially in New Jersey, Pennsylvania and New York, expected to become the most costly natural disaster in the US.
Jobs reports by ADP and the US Dept of Labor fall significantly below forecasts.
The US Social Security Administration says it will be unable to provide full benefits in 2034, one year earlier than forecast last year.
Medicare says the hospital insurance fund will be depleted by 2026, or at the same time as predicted in 2020.
The Texas legislature passes the most restrictive abortion law in the US, banning abortions after 6 weeks. The US Supreme Court says it will not block the law, that it was not ruling on the constitutionality of the law and did not mean to limit “procedurally proper challenges” to it.
US President Biden to declassify some documents related to the 09/11 attack.
The Dixie fire in California has consumed 860,000 acres over 50 days, the Caldor fire continues to threaten the Lake Tahoe area, other fires continue in the Western US states.

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The PBR1000 September 2021 Snapshots Analytics

The PBR1000 Snapshots

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Some Conclusions:

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The Week 41 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 41 of 2021 Ending 10/15/21

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD

The US Stock Market Week 41 Summary:

Summary News Items for Week 41:

US Economic News

Friday, October 15, 2021

Thursday, October 14, 2021

Wednesday, October 13, 2021

Tuesday, October 12, 2021

Monday, October 11, 2021

US Government/Other News

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The Stock Market Bear Gets His First Month

US Stock Market Indices Summary

The Month of September 2021 Ending 09/30/21

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD

The US Stock Market September 2021 Summary:

The PBR1000 September 2021 Top 5 Stocks Snapshots

Table 1(S11): The PBR1000 Top 5 Month Stock Price % Gainers

Table 2(S12): The PBR1000 Top 5 12 Months Stock Price % Gainers

Table 3(S13): The PBR1000 Top 5 24 Months Stock Price % Gainers

Table 4(R21): The PBR1000 Top 5 60 Months Stock Price % Gainers

Table 5(S15): The PBR1000 Top 5 Market Capitalization

Table 6: The PBR1000 Index & Primary US Stock Exchanges/Commodities

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The Week 40 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 40 of 2021 Ending 10/08/21

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD

The US Stock Market Week 40 Summary:

Summary News Items for Week 40:

US Economic News

Friday, October 8, 2021

Thursday, October 7, 2021

Wednesday, October 6, 2021

Tuesday, October 5, 2021

Monday, October 4, 2021

US Government/Other News

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The Week 39 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 39 of 2021 Ending 10/01/21

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD

The US Stock Market Week 39 Summary:

Summary News Items for Week 39:

US Economic News

Friday, October 1, 2021

Thursday, September 30, 2021

Wednesday, September 29, 2021

Tuesday, September 28, 2021

Monday, September 27, 2021

US Government/Other News

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The Week 38 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 38 of 2021 Ending 09/24/21

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD

The US Stock Market Week 38 Summary:

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Empowering Astute Business Leaders and Shrewd Investors
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Empowering Astute Business Leaders and Shrewd Investors
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Empowering Astute Business Leaders and Shrewd Investors
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Empowering Astute Business Leaders and Shrewd Investors
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Empowering Astute Business Leaders and Shrewd Investors
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