The Week 42 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

October 22, 2021 by

The Week 42 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Stocks Bull Bear Investing Investor Money

In Week 42 of 2021 The Stock Market Bull gets a trifecta with his 3rd week in a row 3-0 victory over The Stock Market Bear.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 42 of 2021 Ending 10/22/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(09/30/21 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
Previous Month Close(09/30/21) 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
Record Close Date 10/22/21 09/07/21 10/21/21
Record Close 35,677.02 15,374.33 4,549.78
Week 41-Friday & Close(10/15/21) 35,294.76 14,897.34 4,471.37
Week 42-Monday(10/18/21) 35,258.61 15,021.81 4,486.46
    Day Change (36.15) 124.47 15.09
    Day % Change -0.10% 0.84% 0.34%
Week 42-Tuesday(10/19/21) 35,457.31 15,129.09 4,519.63
    Day Change 198.70 107.28 33.17
    Day % Change 0.56% 0.71% 0.74%
Week 42-Wednesday(10/20/21) 35,609.34 15,121.68 4,536.19
    Day Change 152.03 (7.41) 16.56
    Day % Change 0.43% -0.05% 0.37%
Week 42-Thursday(10/21/21) 35,603.08 15,215.70 4,549.78
    Day Change (6.26) 94.02 13.59
    Day % Change -0.02% 0.62% 0.30%
Week 42-Friday & Close(10/22/21) 35,677.02 15,090.20 4,544.90
    Day Change 73.94 (125.50) (4.88)
    Day % Change 0.21% -0.82% -0.11%
Change-Week 382.26 192.86 73.53
% Change-Week 1.08% 1.29% 1.64%
Change-Month-to-Date 1,833.10 641.62 237.36
% Change-Month-to-Date 5.42% 4.44% 5.51%
Change-Quarter-to-Date 1,833.10 641.62 237.36
% Change-Quarter-to-Date 5.42% 4.44% 5.51%
Change-Year-to-Date 5,070.54 2,201.92 788.83
% Change-Year-to-Date 16.57% 17.08% 21.00%
Change-Record 0.00 (284.13) (4.88)
% Change-Record 0.00% -1.85% -0.11%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD
Week 42 Winner and Tally  Bull 3-0 Win
September Winner and Tally Bear 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 20 5 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 14 1 Losing
Mixed Result 8 3
  Totals 42 9

The US Stock Market Week 42 Summary:

In Week 42 The Stock Market Bull gets his trifecta of winning weeks by taking all 3 major US stock market indices by good sized margins, taking 10 of the 15 trading sessions, including setting new records on the S&P500 and DJIA, and coming close to doing so on the NASDAQ. The best The Stock Market Bear could do was inflict some minor scratches when The Stock Market Bull took a very brief rest. Much of the results could be attributed to good quarterly corporate earnings reports, no out-of-line economic results, COVID-19 booster shots getting approvals from the FDA and CDC, and everything else pretty much staying the same as it was before. Congrats to The Stock Market Bull for his convincing 3-0 Week 42 victory.

Summary News Items for Week 42:

US Economic News

  • Friday, October 22, 2021

  • No economic data releases today.

  • Thursday, October 21, 2021

  • The Conference Board says the Preliminary October 2021 US Leading Economic Index(2016=100) is at 117.5, September was at 117.3, August 116.5, October 2020 108.5, October 2019 111.5. “The U.S. LEI rose again in September, though at a slower rate, suggesting the economy remains on a more moderate growth trajectory compared to the first half of the year… The Delta variant, rising inflation fears, and supply chain disruptions are all creating headwinds for the US economy… The Conference Board continues to forecast strong growth ahead: 5.7 percent year-over-year for 2021 and 3.8 percent for 2022.”
  • The Natl Assn of Realtors says the Preliminary September 2021 US Existing Home Sales Annual Rate is at 6,290,000, August was at 5,880,000, July 6,000,000, September 2020 6,440,000, September 2019 5,410,000; September 2021 Median Home Sale Price is at $352,800, August was at $356,500, July $359,900, September 2020 $311,500, September 2019 $271,500. “Some improvement in supply during prior months helped nudge up sales in September… Housing demand remains strong as buyers likely want to secure a home before mortgage rates increase even further next year.”
  • The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia says the October 2021 US 3rd District Manufacturing General Business Indicator is at 23.8, September was at 30.7, August 19.4, October 2020 24.6, October 2019 4.1. “The survey’s future indexes indicate that respondents continue to expect growth over the next six months.”

  • Wednesday, October 20, 2021

  • The US Federal Reserve releases its Beige Book for data through 10/08/21, says, “Economic activity grew at a modest to moderate rate, according to the majority of Federal Reserve Districts. Several Districts noted, however, that the pace of growth slowed this period, constrained by supply chain disruptions, labor shortages, and uncertainty around the Delta variant of COVID-19.”

  • Tuesday, October 19, 2021

  • The US Dept of Commerce/HUD says the Preliminary September 2021 US New Residential Construction Permits Issued Annual Rate-Private Housing is at 1,589,000 units, August was at 1,721,000, July 1,630,000, September 2020 1,589,000, September 2019 1,473,000.

  • Monday, October 18 2021

  • The US Federal Reserve says the Preliminary September 2021 US Factory % of Capacity Utilization is at 75.2%, August was at 76.2%, July 76.3%, September 2020 72.1%, September 2019 77.4%, September 2018 78.5%.
  • The Natl Assn of Home Builders says the Preliminary October 2021 US Housing Market Composite Index(>50 means more homebuilders say conditions are good) is at 80, September was at 76, August 75, October 2020 85, October 2019 71. “Strong consumer demand helped push builder confidence higher in October despite growing affordability challenges stemming from rising material prices and shortages.”

US Government/Other News

  • The FDA and CDC approve Pfizer/BioNTech and Moderna booster shot vaccines.
  • US 3rd Quarter corporate earnings reports are generally good.
  • Highly respected and admired former US Secretary of State General Colin Powell passes away at age 84 from complications of COVID-19 and other underlying illnesses.
  • US President Biden says he cannot get enough votes in the US Congress to increase corporate tax rates.
  • The US House of Representatives continues to grapple with putting together an around $2 trillion infrastructure spending plan.
  • China economic data indicates a weakening economy.
  • N Korea fires another test missile, launched from a submarine.

More Resources:

Check out the BLOG page for the previous RECAPS and SNAPSHOTS posts.

Click here to follow The PBR1000 on Twitter!

PBRMarketTools Info:

If you are not a current The PBR1000 or The PBR25 Subscriber go to the Subscribe page for more information and to get our latest research and monthly snapshots.

Please use the Contact Us page if you are not on our email list or have questions about The PBR1000, The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks, The PBRMarketTools US Economic Indices or the Customization Services we provide. We appreciate your comments and suggestions!

The PBR1000:

PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company.

Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

This business intelligence report is provided by: 

(Article image is courtesy of FreeDigitalPhotos.net, ddpavumba.)

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The PBR1000 September 2021 Snapshots Analytics

October 18, 2021 by

The PBR1000 September 2021 Snapshots Analytics

Stocks PBR1000 PBR25 Investing Analytics

Empowering Astute Business Leaders and Shrewd Investors Through The PBR1000 Analytics!

By Larry C. Paxton

PBRMarketTools reviews summaries from the most recently released The PBR1000 Snapshots and those from one and two calendar years earlier to produce some analytics to help understand what is happening in this unique set of companies. This is the September 2021 edition.

The PBR1000 Snapshots

September 2021 Analytics Summary
Last 
12 Months
Ending
Year 2019 2020 July 2021* 
The PBR1000 Total Revenues(Trillions) 15.254 14.843 15.030
  Percent Change -2.69% 1.26%
Total Profits(Trillions) 1.303 0.829 0.872
  Percent Change -36.38% 5.19%
Average Profits to Revenues 8.54% 5.59% 5.80%
Average Earnings Per Share $4.24 $1.98 $2.18
  Percent Change -53.30% 10.10%
Assets(Trillions) 47.633 53.191 53.407
Stockholders Equity 9.306 9.632 9.714
Equity/Assets 19.54% 18.11% 18.19%
Number of Companies Paying Dividends 708 706 688
  Total Annual Dividends 1,218.55 1,212.42 1,168.23
  Average Annual Dividend/Company 1.72 1.72 1.70
  Percent Change -0.22% -1.12%
Number of Employees(Millions) 36.489 36.570 36.957
  Percent Change 0.22% 1.06%
12/31/19 12/31/20 09/30/21
The PBR1000 Total of Stock Prices 97,745.57 112,967.26 131,989.58
  12 Months Percent Change 15.57% 16.84%
DJIA 28,538.44 30,606.48 33,843.92
  Percent Change 7.25% 10.58%
NASDAQ 8,972.60 12,888.28 14,448.58
  Percent Change 43.64% 12.11%
S&P500 3,230.78 3,756.07 4,307.54
  Percent Change 16.26% 14.68%
Total Market Capitalization( Trillion $) 30,185.28 36,451.31 41,970.98
  Percent Change 20.76% 15.14%
Analyst Estimates 12/31/19 12/31/20 09/30/21
Total Number of Analyst Estimates 14,922 15,176 15,526
Number of Companies by Estimate:
  Buy(>4.50 to 5.00 Weighted Average) 108 148 149
  Overweight (>3.50 to 4.50) 538 547 610
  Hold (>2.50 to 3.50) 311 273 218
  Underweight (>1.50 to 2.50) 32 23 19
  Sell (1.00 to 1.50) 6 5 3
  No Estimate 5 4 1
    Totals 1,000 1,000 1,000
  Average Weighted Estimate 3.81/5.00 3.90/5.00  3.96/5.00 

*Note: All companies on The PBR1000 with a fiscal year ending July 2021 filed their annual 10-K reports with the US Securities and Exchange Commission by September 30, 2021, from which most of this financial data is derived.

Some observations:

Revenues: Retailers, hospitality, and travel related industries have been significantly adversely affected during the pandemic. On the other hand e-commerce, communications technologies, and healthcare industries were beneficiaries. The bottom line is that revenues fell only 2.69% from 2019 to 2020, but for the last 12 months through July 2021 indications are that a recovery is in progress. But profits, earnings per share, and to some extent dividends were significantly impacted. While there were negative and positive shifts in revenues, the bottom line is that it was almost a wash. Of course, these numbers and analytics reflect The PBR1000, the largest publicly held corporations in the US. Smaller businesses certainly were much more affected.

Stock Market: The stock market, which was in a long term bull market, took some big hits at the beginning of the pandemic. But as the analytics show, the recovery was also very dramatic, one of the best years for equities investors. The Average Weighted Analyst Estimates shows an uptick and there was a nice growth in the number of Buy stocks.

Some Conclusions:

There was a shift and rebalancing of revenues in The PBR1000, with the total effect much less dramatic than for most smaller and midsize businesses.

The initial panic over the pandemic had a big effect on the stock market, but it recovered quite nicely. As industries that were the most negatively affected recover there should continue to be significant growth opportunities as the “new normal” sets in, the economy should have robust growth, the usual profits and earnings per share levels will return, and The Stock Market Bull should continue to dominate. The new caveats are based on possible impacts of COVID-19 variants, unpredictability of climate change, other unforeseen natural disasters, the takeover of the White House by a small well-trained group of Maori warriors, an accidental start of a nuclear war, Tom Brady and LeBron James retiring from professional sports, a large undetected rogue asteroid striking earth, an attack by extraterrestrial forces, an unexpected explosion of the sun, and the second coming of Jesus Christ, to name just a few.

More Resources:

Check out the BLOG page for the previous RECAPS and SNAPSHOTS posts.

Click here to follow The PBR1000 on Twitter!

PBRMarketTools Info:

If you are not a current The PBR1000 or The PBR25 Subscriber go to the Subscribe page for more information and to get our latest research and monthly snapshots.

Please use the Contact Us page if you are not on our email list or have questions about The PBR1000, The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks, The PBRMarketTools US Economic Indices or the Customization Services we provide. We appreciate your comments and suggestions!

The PBR1000:

PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company.

Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

This business intelligence report is provided by: 

Copyright © 2021 by Pax Business Resources, LLC, All Rights Reserved.

Empowering Astute Business Leaders and Shrewd Investors
Through The PBR1000 Analytics!

Filed Under: Research Tagged With: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The Week 41 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

October 15, 2021 by

The Week 41 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Stocks Bull Bear Investing Investor Money

The Stock Market Bear gets the first 2 days of Week 41, but The Stock Market Bull charges back with big wins on Thursday and Friday to get his second week in a row 3-0 victory.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 41 of 2021 Ending 10/15/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(09/30/21 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
Previous Month Close(09/30/21) 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
Record Close Date 08/16/21 09/07/21 09/02/21
Record Close 35,625.40 15,374.33 4,536.95
Week 40-Friday & Close(10/08/21) 34,746.25 14,579.54 4,391.34
Week 41-Monday(10/11/21) 34,496.06 14,486.20 4,361.19
    Day Change (250.19) (93.34) (30.15)
    Day % Change -0.72% -0.64% -0.69%
Week 41-Tuesday(10/12/21) 34,378.34 14,465.92 4,350.65
    Day Change (117.72) (20.28) (10.54)
    Day % Change -0.34% -0.14% -0.24%
Week 41-Wednesday(10/13/21) 34,377.81 14,571.64 4,363.80
    Day Change (0.53) 105.72 13.15
    Day % Change 0.00% 0.73% 0.30%
Week 41-Thursday(10/14/21) 34,912.56 14,823.43 4,438.26
    Day Change 534.75 251.79 74.46
    Day % Change 1.56% 1.73% 1.71%
Week 41-Friday & Close(10/15/21) 35,294.76 14,897.34 4,471.37
    Day Change 382.20 73.91 33.11
    Day % Change 1.09% 0.50% 0.75%
Change-Week 548.51 317.80 80.03
% Change-Week 1.58% 2.18% 1.82%
Change-Month-to-Date 1,450.84 448.76 163.83
% Change-Month-to-Date 4.29% 3.11% 3.80%
Change-Quarter-to-Date 1,450.84 448.76 163.83
% Change-Quarter-to-Date 4.29% 3.11% 3.80%
Change-Year-to-Date 4,688.28 2,009.06 715.30
% Change-Year-to-Date 15.32% 15.59% 19.04%
Change-Record (330.64) (476.99) (65.58)
% Change-Record -0.93% -3.10% -1.45%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD
Week 41 Winner and Tally  Bull 3-0 Win
September Winner and Tally Bear 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 19 5 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 14 1 Losing
Mixed Result 8 3
  Totals 41 9

The US Stock Market Week 41 Summary:

For Monday and Tuesday everyone was wondering where The Stock Market Bull was because The Stock Market Bear had his way with convincing daily victories. But The Stock Market Bull did finally show up and took 2 out of 3 sessions on Wednesday. With help from some nice corporate earnings report and a better than expected initial jobless claims result The Stock Market Bull had a big day on Thursday, which carried over to Friday. For two weeks in a row The Stock Market Bull comes from behind, takes a 3-0 Week 41 win.

Summary News Items for Week 41:

US Economic News

  • Friday, October 15, 2021

  • The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary September 2021 US Imports Monthly Price Change is at +0.4%, August was at -0.3%, July +0.3%, September 2020 +0.2%, September 2019 +0.1%, Imports Last 12 Months +9.2%; Preliminary September 2021 US Exports Monthly Price Change is at +0.1%, August was at +0.4%, July +1.1%, September 2020 +0.6%, September 2019 -1.6%, Exports Last 12 Months +16.3%.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary August 2021 US Monthly Sales-Manufacturers is at $508.3 billion, Retailers $548.7 billion, Wholesalers $595.5 billion, making August 2021 US Monthly Sales at $1,652.4 billion, July was at $1,653.3 billion, July $1,644.7 billion, August 2020 $1,433.0 billion, August 2019 $1,458.5 billion.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Advance September 2021 US Monthly Retail Sales-Retailers is at $553.0 billion, Food Services & Drinking Places $72.4 billion, making the Advance September 2021 US Retail Sales Total at $625.4 billion, August was at $620.9 billion, July $615.3 billion, September 2020 $548.9 billion, September 2019 $521.0 billion.
  • The U of Michigan Preliminary October 2021 US Consumer Sentiment Index is at 71.4, September was at 72.8, August 70.3, October 2020 81.8, October 2019 95.5. “Consumer sentiment has remained for the past three months at the lows first recorded in response to last year’s shutdown of the economy. The Delta variant, supply chain shortages, and reduced labor force participation rates will continue to dim the pace of consumer spending into 2022.”
  • The Federal Reserve Bank of New York says the October 2021 Empire State Manufacturing General Business Conditions Index is at +19.8, September was at +34.3, August +18.3, October 2020 +10.5, October 2019 +3.3. “Looking ahead, firms were still very optimistic that conditions would improve over the next six months.”

  • Thursday, October 14, 2021

  • The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary September 2021 US Monthly Change in the Producer Price Index is at +0.5%, August was at +0.7%, July +1.0%, September 2020 +0.3%, September 2019 -0.3%; the September 2021 US 12 Month Change in the Producer Price Index is at +8.6%, August was at +8.3%, July +7.8%, September 2020 +0.3%, September 2019 +1.5%.

  • Wednesday, October 13, 2021

  • The Federal Open Market Committee releases its minutes from the 09/21-22/21 meeting. “Domestic financial conditions were little changed, on net, and remained highly accommodative… Around half of respondents to the Desk’s surveys of primary dealers and market participants viewed December as the most likely timing of the first reduction in the net pace of purchases, al­though respondents also attached significant probability to the first reduction coming in November.”
  • The US Dept of Labor says the September 2021 US Monthly Change in the Consumer Price Index-Urban is at +0.4%, August was at +0.3%, July +0.5%, September 2020 +0.2%, September 2019 +0.1%; September 2021 US Last 12 Months Change in the Consumer Price Index-Urban is at +5.4%.
  • The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary September 2021 US Average Earnings/Hour is at $30.85, Average of Working Hours Per Week at 34.8, making the September 2021 US Average Earnings/Week at $1,073.58, August was at $1,060.84, July $1,060.09, September 2020 $1,026.60, September 2019 $968.70.

  • Tuesday, October 12, 2021

  • The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary August 2021 US Job Openings-Private are at 9,603,000, Government 836,000, making August 2021 US Job Openings Total at 10,439,000, July was at 11,099,000, June 10,185,000, August 2020 6,451,000, August 2019 7,046,000.
  • CoreLogic says the July 2021 US Housing Mortgages 30 Days or more Delinquent is at 4.2%, June was at 4.4%, May 4.7%, July 2020 6.6%, July 2019 3.8%. “Declining delinquency levels are an encouraging sign of economic improvement and the durability of the housing market. Looking ahead to the end of many forbearance and other assistance programs, many borrowers receiving support must consider their financial options, including a potential loan modification, to ensure they stay current and keep foreclosures at bay.”

  • Monday, October 11, 2021

  • US Federal Holiday: Columbus/Indigenous Peoples’ Day
    US Stock Exchanges Open
  • No economic data releases today.

US Government/Other News

  • Both Houses of the US Congress pass and President Biden signs a new short term debt ceiling bill, good into early December.
  • The US House continues work on the $3.5 trillion infrastructure bill which appears to have been whittled down to around $1.5 trillion.
  • US Social Security benefits are scheduled to increase by 5.9%, the largest increase in 40 years.
  • US President Biden unveils a plan to ease supply chain problems.
  • The US plans to open land borders in November as the COVID-19 pandemic continues.
  • 3rd quarter US corporate earnings reports start to be released and are generally good.
  • West Texas Intermediate crude oil closes the week at over $82/barrel.
  • Japan’s new prime minister dissolves parliament ahead of first elections since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic.

More Resources:

Check out the BLOG page for the previous RECAPS and SNAPSHOTS posts.

Click here to follow The PBR1000 on Twitter!

PBRMarketTools Info:

If you are not a current The PBR1000 or The PBR25 Subscriber go to the Subscribe page for more information and to get our latest research and monthly snapshots.

Please use the Contact Us page if you are not on our email list or have questions about The PBR1000, The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks, The PBRMarketTools US Economic Indices or the Customization Services we provide. We appreciate your comments and suggestions!

The PBR1000:

PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company.

Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

This business intelligence report is provided by: 

(Article image is courtesy of FreeDigitalPhotos.net, ddpavumba.)

Copyright © 2021 by Pax Business Resources, LLC, All Rights Reserved.

Empowering Astute Business Leaders and Shrewd Investors
Through The PBR1000 Analytics!

Filed Under: Recaps Tagged With: , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks September 2020 Report Card

October 12, 2021 by

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks September 2020 12 Month Report Card

Stocks PBR25 PBR1000 Report Card Investing Investor

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks September 2020 12 Month Report Card significantly exceeded its forecast and the major US stock market indices. Chalk up an “A.”

By Larry C. Paxton

Welcome to The September 2020 The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks 12 Month Report Card.

As investors we count on professional stock analysts to provide comprehensive and diligent research to come up with their best take on how stocks will perform over the next 12 months. We then use that information to help us make stock buy, hold and sell decisions.

The PBR25 Premise

The premise of The PBR25 is that there is a high probability of success for investing in stocks when a large enough number professional stock analysts through their extensive research determine that a stock is a “Buy” and also forecasts a significant return over the next 12 months. PBRMarketTools assigns a Report Card grade based on how the professional stock analysts did.

Last 12 Months Influences

It is difficult to forecast a result with much accuracy over a 12 month period. For example, the primary impact in September 2020 was the continuing COVID-19 pandemic. The world, including the US, was deep into the COVID-19 pandemic, which created a lot of unemployment, affected many economic sectors like hospitality and travel services, closed schools, forced people to work from home, and much more. There was also a very contentious US Presidential election process going on. There are a lot more factors, but this is not meant to be an opinions post. It is a piece focused on the review of the recommendations stock analysts came up with at the end of September 2020 and the actual results 12 months later at the end of September 2021. PBRMarketTools is calling this a Report Card.

For this September 2020 Report Card we used stock data and forecasts from October 2, 2020, and compare it to September 30, 2021.

Creating The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks List for September 2020

The starting point is the prestigious The PBR1000 US Public Companies, produced monthly by PBRMarketTools. To be included in The PBR1000 the 1,000 companies must meet the following criteria:

  • The companies must be publicly traded on the NYSE, NYSE American or NASDAQ stock exchanges, with a very few temporarily trading on the Over-The-Counter market because they are transitioning from bankruptcy.
  • They must be headquartered in the US or have primary operations in the US.
  • They must have generated at least $1 billion in revenues in their most recent full fiscal year.
  • They must file an annual 10-K form with the US Securities and Exchange Commission in US dollars
  • Each of the 1,000 companies is given a primary ranking based on revenues, with the company having the highest revenue amount ranked 1(currently Walmart). There are 27 secondary rankings in The PBR1000 based on other criteria as well.

Each month the 12 month estimates and recommendations by stock analysts are updated on The PBR1000. The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks list for September 2020 was then created using the following process:

  • At any point in time The PBR1000 has around 15,000 stock analyst recommendations.
  • The PBR1000 is sorted several times to come up with The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks, made up of stocks that are rated a “Buy” by analysts, have a 12 Month Targeted % Change of at least +20%, and have at least 10 “Buy” recommendations.

Actual Results for The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks for September 2021

  • None of The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks for September 2020 companies were acquired, and none did a stock split, so no data was altered for this report.

Following is a table of characteristics and 12 month actual results for the The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks on October 2, 2020, which we are calling the September report.

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks on 10/02/20

12 Month Report Card
Total Companies                              25
Low Weighted Avg                          4.52
High Weighted Avg                          4.87
Average Weighted Avg                          4.69
Market Capitalization Low($B)                          9.22
Market Capitalization High($B)                      997.95
Total Market Capitalization($B)                  1,795.77
Total NYSE Companies                              19
Total NASDAQ Companies                                6
12 Month 12 Month
Forecast for Actual
10/02/21 09/30/21 09/30/21
Low Stock Price 16.04 24.64 21.64
High Stock Price 1,458.52 1,781.00 2,665.31
Total Stock Prices 3,873.26 4,945.34 5,919.18
Total Stock Price Change 1,072.08 2,045.92
Percent Change 27.68% 52.82%
DJIA Percent Change 22.26%
NASDAQ Percent Change 30.46%
S&P500 Change 28.64%
Lowest Change 20.30% -25.71%
Highest Change 64.26% 121.06%
Total Exceeding Forecast(Out of 25) 12
Total with >0% Return 21

Conclusions, Observations, Validations and Realities

  • If you had bought 1 share each of The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks at the closing price on October 2, 2020, you would have achieved a +52.82% gain 12 months later at the close on September 30, 2021, higher than the 27.68% estimate and  an excellent return. Also, it exceeded the returns on the DJIA, NASDAQ, and S&P500 indices. For this reason The September 2020 The PBR25 gets an ‘A’ on its 12 month Report Card.
  • It is difficult to forecast out 12 months with any great accuracy, there are just too many variables and uncertainties.
  • However, it does demonstrate that The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks is a valid methodology and process for that particular month.
  • Our demonstration account, called The Charlie Fund, uses the popular “Dollar Cost Averaging Investment Strategy” with the monthly The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks as the primary research tool. For the 12 Month Report Card period it achieved a greater than 50% return, a further validation of the methodology.
  • There are no guarantees! The reality is that there will always be ups and downs in the stock market and people make stocks buy, hold and sell decisions based on a wide range of  logical and emotional criteria, input from knowledgeable hard-working experts and well meaning friends, and if the sky is blue today. But the historical data is pretty convincing that stocks will trend up at an above average investment rate over the long haul.

Additional Information

  • The details of this summary, including company names and the over 200 fields of information for each company, were extracted from the updated The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks MS-Excel worksheet for September 2021, and has been distributed to The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks Subscribers for their personal use and further research
  • The next 12 Month Report Card will be for October 2020, and should be available early to mid November, 2021.
  • For characteristics of the most recent monthly The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks go to The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks information page.

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks Report Cards Historical Review
Stock Price 12 Month 12 Month
Report Card Actual Date Forecast Actual
December 2019(12/31/19) 12/31/20 13.59% 34.70%
January 2020(02/04/20) 01/29/21 16.59% 33.92%
February 2020(02/28/20) 02/26/21 27.69% 42.66%
March 2020(03/31/20) 03/31/21 28.96% 53.35%
April 2020(05/01/20) 04/30/21 16.16% 50.18%
May 2020(05/29/20) 05/28/21 9.89% 37.80%
June 2020(07/02/20) 07/02/21 30.88% 47.08%
July 2020(07/30/20) 07/31/21 33.61% 37.77%
August 2020(09/01/20) 08/31/21 32.85% 40.79%
September 2020(10/02/20) 09/30/21 27.68% 52.82%

We are always interested in your feedback, which you can provide on the Contact Us page.

Not a The PBR25 Monthly Top Buy Stocks subscriber yet? Check out The PBR25 Information Page.

PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company. The monthly The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks is a subset of the monthly The PBR1000 and is available as a separate monthly or annual subscription.

Disclaimers: The PBR1000 is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. It is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations. Any research or opinions expressed should not be regarded as recommendations or advice.

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The PBR1000 September 2021 Top 5 Stocks Snapshots

October 11, 2021 by

The PBR1000 September 2021 Top 5 Stocks Snapshots

The Stock Market Bear Gets His First Month

Stocks The Stock Market Bear Snapshots Investing Investor

The Stock Market Bear in the 9th month of 2021 finally gets his first outright monthly victory. How will stocks do over the next 3 months?

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

The Month of September 2021 Ending 09/30/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
2020 Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
2Q21 Close(06/30/21) 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
August 2021 Close(08/31/21) 35,360.73 15,259.24 4,522.68
Record Close Date 08/16/21 09/07/21 09/02/21
Record Close 35,625.40 15,374.33 4,536.95
September 2021 Close(09/30/21) 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
Percent Change-Month -4.29% -5.31% -4.76%
Percent Change-3Q21-to-Date -1.91% -0.38% 0.23%
Percent Change-Year-to-Date 10.58% 12.11% 14.68%
Percent Change-Record -5.00% -6.02% -5.06%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD
Week 38 2021 Winner and Tally  Bull 3-0 Win
September 2021 Winner and Tally Bear 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 17 5 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 13 1 Losing
Mixed Result 8 3
  Totals 38 9

The US Stock Market September 2021 Summary:

Week 35 finished August and started out September with The Stock Market Bull getting a 2-1 mixed result which also included record closes on the NASDAQ and S&P500. A raging The Stock Market Bear struck back in Week 36 by taking all except 1 record breaking NASDAQ session on the Tuesday of a shortened Labor Day week. The Bull returned with a good mixed 2-1 win on Monday of Week 37, but once again The Bear recovered by taking a full win on Tuesday. The Bull took Wednesday by margins greater than his losses on Tuesday. But then The Bear took Thursday 2-1, and then a full 3-0 result on Friday, and making Weeks 36 and 37 his first back-to-back weekly victories during 2021. The momentum for The Bear continued into Week 38 on Monday and Tuesday. But The Bull returned with a vengeance by taking Wednesday through Friday to take his only full week of September. Week 39 included 4 days for September and once again The Bear dominated with big numbers on Tuesday and Thursday, the last day of the month. The Stock Market Bear gets a very convincing victory for September, his first monthly win of 2021, and sets the stage for what could be a volatile October.

Number of Trading Days: 21

Number of Gain(+)/Loss(-) Days: DJIA 7+/14-; NASDAQ 4+/17-; SPX 8+/13-.

Record Days: DJIA 0, NASDAQ 4, SPX 1, Total 5

Longest Gain Streak(Consecutive Days): DJIA 4 days(09/22-27/21), NASDAQ 4 days(09/01-07/21), and SPX 3 days(09/22-24/21)

Longest Loss Streak(Consecutive Days): DJIA 5 days(09/03-10/21), NASDAQ 5 days(09/08-14/21 & 09/24-30/21), and SPX 5 days(09/03-10/21)

Big Swing Up Days(>1.00%): 2 days(5 sessions), 09/22/21( D +1.00%, N +1.02%), 09/23/21(D +1.48%, N +1.04%, S +1.21%)

Big Swing Down Days(<-1.00%): 3 days(8 sessions), 09/20/21(D -1.78%, N -2.19%, S -1.70%), 09/28/21(D -1.63%, N -2.83%, S -2.04%), 09/30/21(D -1.59%, S -1.19%)

The PBR1000 September 2021 Top 5 Stocks Snapshots

The following are Top 5 partial tables excerpts from The PBR1000 September 2021 Snapshots. The price for stocks is for the close of trading on September 30, 2021, 1 Month % Chg is compared to August 31, 2021, 12 Months % Chg is compared to September 30, 2020, the 24 Months % Chg is compared to September 30, 2019, and 60 Months % Chg is compared to September 30, 2016. The PBR Rank is by last fiscal year annual revenues.

To get the complete The PBR1000 Snapshots  just click here to get your 12 month subscription and automatically download the September 2021 edition with the complete 15 Snapshots and 28 rankings with the bonuses The PBRMarketTools US Monthly Indices Snapshots and The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks.

 

Table 1(S11): The PBR1000 Top 5 Month Stock Price % Gainers

Table 1 Summary: The range was +55% to -37%. 262 out of 1,000 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a loss of 4.58%, the median was a loss of 4.67%. The DJIA was -4.29%, NASDAQ -5.31%, SPX -4.76%.

Company PBR
Rank		 Symbol Price
09/30/21		 Mo
% Chg		 12 Mos
% Chg		 24 Mos
% Chg		 60 Mos
% Chg
Range Resources 864 RRC $ 22.64 +55 +242 +493 -42
Endo International 724 ENDP $ 3.24 +41 -2 +1 -84
SM Energy 988 SM $ 26.42 +38 +1,562 +173 -32
Cabot Oil & Gas 953 COG $ 21.78 +37 +25 +24 -16
Antero Resources 647 AR $ 18.81 +37 +584 +523 -30

 

Table 2(S12): The PBR1000 Top 5 12 Months Stock Price % Gainers

Table 2 Summary: The range was +1,620% to -58%. 885 out of 982 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 35.61%, the median was a gain of 38.44%. The DJIA was +21.82%, NASDAQ +29.38%, SPX +28.09%.

Company PBR
Rank		 Symbol Price
09/30/21		 Mo
% Chg		 12 Mos
% Chg		 24 Mos
% Chg		 60 Mos
% Chg
GameStop 504 GME $ 175.42 -20 +1,620 +3,078 +536
SM Energy 988 SM $ 26.42 +38 +1,562 +173 -32
AMC Entertainment 982 AMC $38.05 -19 +708 +256 +22
Express 985 EXPR $ 4.72 -20 +673 +37 -60
Veritiv 424 VRTV $ 89.56 -0 +607 +395 +79

 

Table 3(S13): The PBR1000 Top 5 24 Months Stock Price % Gainers

Table 3 Summary: The range was +3,078% to -83%. 742 out of 975 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 42.79%. The median was a gain of 26.28%. The DJIA was +25.74%, NASDAQ +80.62%, SPX +44.71%.

 

Company PBR
Rank		 Symbol Price
09/30/21		 Mo
% Chg		 12 Mos
% Chg		 24 Mos
% Chg		 60 Mos
% Chg
GameStop 504 GME $ 175.42 -20 +1,620 +3,078 +536
Tesla Motors 95 TSLA $ 775.45 +5 +81 +1,510 +1,800
Overstock 771 OSTK $ 77.82 +8 +7 +653 +420
Vista Outdoor 827 VSTO $ 40.36 -1 +100 +552 +1
Antero Resources 647 AR $ 18.81 +37 +584 +523 -30

 

Table 4(R21): The PBR1000 Top 5 60 Months Stock Price % Gainers

Table 4 Summary: The range was +1,956% to -91%. 690 out of 917 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 99.68%. The median was a gain of 50.47%. The DJIA was +84.86%, NASDAQ +172.00%, SPX +98.66%.

 

Company PBR
Rank		 Symbol Price
09/30/21		 Mo
% Chg		 12 Mos
% Chg		 24 Mos
% Chg		 60 Mos
% Chg
Square 309 SQ $ 239.74 -11 +47 +287 +1,956
RH 733 RH $ 665.73 -5 +74 +290 +1,825
Tesla Motors 95 TSLA $ 775.45 +5 +81 +1,510 +1,800
Crocs 964 CROX $ 143.48 +0 +236 +417 +1,629
AMD 297 AMD $ 102.90 -7 +26 +255 +1,389

 

Table 5(S15): The PBR1000 Top 5 Market Capitalization

Table 5 Summary: The range was $2,339 billion to $0.13 billion. The average is $41.876 billion, median is $11.13 billion, out of 1,000 companies.

Company PBR
Rank		 Symbol Market Cap($B)
09/30/21		 1 Mo
% Chg		 12 Mos
% Chg		 24 Mos
% Chg
Apple 3 AAPL $ 2,339 -7 +16 +137
Microsoft 12 MSFT $2,119 -7 +33 +101
Alphabet 9 GOOG $ 1,793 -7 +80 +111
Amazon 2 AMZN $ 1,664 -5 +5 +95
Facebook 32 FB $ 957 -11 +28 +89
The PBR1000
   $ 41,876.01 -5 +31 +50

 

Table 6: The PBR1000 Index & Primary US Stock Exchanges/Commodities

Company Price
09/30/21		 1 Mo
% Chg		 12 Mos
% Chg		 24 Mos
% Chg		 60 Mos
% Chg
The PBR1000 131,690.01 -4.6 +35.6 +42.8 +99.7
DJIA 33,843.92 -4.3 +21.8 +25.7 +84.9
NASDAQ 14,448.58 -5.3 +29.4 +80.6 +172.0
S&P500 4,307.54 -4.8 +28.1 +44.7 +98.7
GOLD 1,757.00 -3.1 -7.3 +18.9 +33.2
OIL 75.03 +9.4 +86.6 +38.3 +56.2
SOYBEANS(Cents) 1,256.00 -3.8 +22.7 +38.9 +31.7

 

If you are not a current The PBR1000 or The PBR25 Subscriber go to the Subscribe page to get our latest research and monthly snapshots.

Please use the Contact Us page if you are a The PBR1000 company and would like to increase your visibility to our worldwide base of shrewd institutional an retail investors.

PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company.

Disclaimers: The PBR1000 is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. PBRMarketTools.com provides research only which should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

This The PBR1000 business intelligence report is provided by: 

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The Week 40 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

October 8, 2021 by

The Week 40 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Stocks Bull Bear Investing Investor Money

The Stock Market Bear had a big Monday, but The Stock Market Bull came back strong and ended Week 40 of 2021 with a 3-0 victory.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 40 of 2021 Ending 10/08/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(09/30/21 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
Previous Month Close(09/30/21) 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
Record Close Date 08/16/21 09/07/21 09/02/21
Record Close 35,625.40 15,374.33 4,536.95
Week 39-Friday & Close(10/01/21) 34,326.46 14,566.70 4,357.04
Week 40-Monday(10/04/21) 34,002.92 14,255.48 4,300.46
    Day Change (323.54) (311.22) (56.58)
    Day % Change -0.94% -2.14% -1.30%
Week 40-Tuesday(10/05/21) 34,314.67 14,433.83 4,345.72
    Day Change 311.75 178.35 45.26
    Day % Change 0.92% 1.25% 1.05%
Week 40-Wednesday(10/06/21) 34,416.99 14,501.91 4,363.55
    Day Change 102.32 68.08 17.83
    Day % Change 0.30% 0.47% 0.41%
Week 40-Thursday(10/07/21) 34,754.94 14,654.02 4,399.76
    Day Change 337.95 152.11 36.21
    Day % Change 0.98% 1.05% 0.83%
Week 40-Friday & Close(10/08/21) 34,746.25 14,579.54 4,391.34
    Day Change (8.69) (74.48) (8.42)
    Day % Change -0.03% -0.51% -0.19%
Change-Week 419.79 12.84 34.30
% Change-Week 1.22% 0.09% 0.79%
Change-Month-to-Date 902.33 130.96 83.80
% Change-Month-to-Date 2.67% 0.91% 1.95%
Change-Quarter-to-Date 902.33 130.96 83.80
% Change-Quarter-to-Date 2.67% 0.91% 1.95%
Change-Year-to-Date 4,139.77 1,691.26 635.27
% Change-Year-to-Date 13.53% 13.12% 16.91%
Change-Record (879.15) (794.79) (145.61)
% Change-Record -2.47% -5.17% -3.21%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD
Week 39 Winner and Tally  Bull 3-0 Win
September Winner and Tally Bear 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 18 5 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 14 1 Losing
Mixed Result 8 3
  Totals 40 9

The US Stock Market Week 40 Summary:

The Stock Market Bear wanted to repeat last week’s victory, charged onto the pasture on Monday and devoured a lot, and made his statement to start Week 40 with a clear 3-0 daily win. But The Stock Market Bull was not about to be dominated. He came back strong, took Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday to take the lead for the week, but not by quite enough to be convincing. The Stock Market Bear did return on Friday, took all major US exchanges, but just by slim margins. The Stock Market Bull proves his resilience once again, takes the first week of October with a 3-0 outright victory in Week 40, and maintains his commanding lead Year-To-Date.

Summary News Items for Week 40:

US Economic News

  • Friday, October 8, 2021

  • The US Dept of Labor says the September 2021 Civilian Noninstitutional Population is at 261,766,000 people, Available Labor Force is at 161,354,000, Employed is at 153,680,000, +526,000 from August, +6,137,000 from September 2020, Unemployed is at 7,674,000, -709,000 from August, -4,861,000 from September 2020, making the September 2021 US Unemployment Rate at 4.8%, August was at 5.2%, July 5.4%, September 2020 7.8%, September 2019 3.5%.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary August 2021 US Wholesale Trade Sales-Durables is at $286.6 billion, Non-Durables $309.0 billion, making August 2021 US Wholesale Trade Sales Monthly Total at $595.6 billion, July was at $602.2 billion, June $589.6 billion, August 2020 $494.0 billion, August 2019 $497.9 billion.

  • Thursday, October 7, 2021

  • The US Federal Reserve says the Preliminary August 2021 US Consumer Debt-Revolving is at $998.4 billion, Non-Revolving $3,333.9 billion, making August 2021 US Consumer Debt Total at $4,332.3 billion, July was at $4,331.3 billion, June $4,315.2 billion, August 2020 $4,142.0 billion, August 2019 $4,136.8 billion.
  • FannieMae says the September 2021 US Home Purchase Sentiment Index is at 74.5, August was at 75.7, July 75.8, September 2020 81.0, September 2019 91.5. “The survey’s story is … largely unchanged: Consumers feel it’s a bad time to buy a home but a good time to sell – and they continue to cite high home prices as the primary reason….”

  • Wednesday, October 6, 2021

  • ADP says the Preliminary September 2021 US Private Sector Jobs Change-Small Businesses(1-49 employees) is at +63,000, Mid-Sized(50-499) +115,000, Large-Sized(500 or more) +390,000, making September 2021 US Private Sector Jobs Change Total at +589,000, August was at +340,000, July +322,000, September 2020 +748,000, September 2019 +136,000. “… Current bottlenecks in hiring should fade as the health conditions tied to the COVID-19 variant continue to improve, setting the stage for solid job gains in the coming months.”

  • Tuesday, October 5, 2021

  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary August 2021 US International Trade-Exports-Goods is at $149.7 billion, Services $64.0 billion, making August 2021 US Exports Total at $213.7 billion; August 2021 US Imports-Goods is at $239.1 billion, Services $47.9 billion, making August 2021 US Imports Total at $287.0 billion, making the August 2021 US International Trade Deficit at $73.3 billion, July was at $70.3 billion, June $73.2 billion, August 2020 $63.7 billion, August 2019 $50.5 billion.
  • The Institute for Supply Management says the September 2021 US Composite Services PMI Index(>50 = Economy expanding) is at 61.9%, August was at 61.7%, July 64.1%, September 2020 57.8%, September 2019 52.6%. “… The slight uptick in the rate of expansion in the month of September continued the current period of strong growth for the services sector. However, ongoing challenges with labor resources, logistics, and materials are affecting the continuity of supply.”
  • IHS Markit says the September 2021 US Composite PMI Output Index is at 55.0, August was at 55.4, July 59.9, September 2020 54.3, September 2019 51.0. “New business increased further during September, but the rate of expansion eased to the slowest in nine months. Manufacturers and service providers alike registered softer upticks in client demand. Goods producers reported a quicker rise in new export orders, which contrasted with a faster contraction in service sector foreign customer demand.
  • The PurdueU/CME Group September 2021 US Ag Barometer Composite Index is at 124, August was at 138, July 134, September 2020 156, September 2019 121. “Farmer optimism about future growth in agricultural exports continues to wane, and that, combined with concerns about a squeeze on operating margins, could be contributing to weakness in farmer sentiment. Despite the weakness in farmer sentiment, farmers remain bullish about farmland values….”

  • Monday, October 4, 2021

  • The US Department of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary August 2021 US Manufacturers New Orders-Durable Goods is at $263.6 billion, Non-Durables $252.1 billion, making August 2021 US Manufacturers New Orders Total at $515.7 billion, July was at $509.4 billion, June $506.2 billion, August 2020 $444.4 billion, August 2019 $481.7 billion.

US Government/Other News

  • The US Senate passes the Republican’s short term plan to raise the debt ceiling limit to $28.4 trillion which should be good into early December. It now goes to the US House which is expected to approve it as well.
  • The $3.5 trillion infrastructure bill is still being worked on in the US House, is expected to be cut drastically, no details have been released.
  • The US COVID-19 pandemic death tally now exceeds 710,000 people.
  • A pipeline oil spill off the S California coast is estimated to be at around 130,000 gallons and is affecting the flora and fauna around the Huntington Beach and nearby area beaches.
  • The recently passed Texas abortion law, considered to be the most restrictive in the US, is paused by a federal judge. Texas quickly appeals the decision.
  • OPEC+ agrees to lift November oil output by 400,000 barrels/day.
  • US President Joe Biden and China’s President Xi Jinping are planning a virtual meeting before the end of 2021.

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The PBR1000:

PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company.

Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

This business intelligence report is provided by: 

(Article image is courtesy of FreeDigitalPhotos.net, ddpavumba.)

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The Week 39 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

October 1, 2021 by

The Week 39 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Investing Recap Stocks

The Stock Market Bear had huge days on Tuesday and Thursday to convincingly take Week 39 of 2021.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 39 of 2021 Ending 10/01/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(09/30/21 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
Previous Month Close(09/30/21) 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
Record Close Date 08/16/21 09/07/21 09/02/21
Record Close 35,625.40 15,374.33 4,536.95
Week 38-Friday & Close(09/24/21) 34,798.00 15,047.70 4,455.48
Week 39-Monday(09/27/21) 34,869.37 14,969.97 4,443.11
    Day Change 71.37 (77.73) (12.37)
    Day % Change 0.21% -0.52% -0.28%
Week 39-Tuesday(09/28/21) 34,299.99 14,546.68 4,352.63
    Day Change (569.38) (423.29) (90.48)
    Day % Change -1.63% -2.83% -2.04%
Week 39-Wednesday(09/29/21) 34,390.72 14,512.44 4,359.46
    Day Change 90.73 (34.24) 6.83
    Day % Change 0.26% -0.24% 0.16%
Week 39-Thursday(09/30/21) 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
    Day Change (546.80) (63.86) (51.92)
    Day % Change -1.59% -0.44% -1.19%
Week 39-Friday & Close(10/01/21) 34,326.46 14,566.70 4,357.04
    Day Change 482.54 118.12 49.50
    Day % Change 1.43% 0.82% 1.15%
Change-Week -471.54 -481.00 -98.44
% Change-Week -1.36% -3.20% -2.21%
Change-Month-to-Date 482.54 118.12 49.50
% Change-Month-to-Date 1.43% 0.82% 1.15%
Change-Quarter-to-Date 482.54 118.12 49.50
% Change-Quarter-to-Date 1.43% 0.82% 1.15%
Change-Year-to-Date 3,719.98 1,678.42 600.97
% Change-Year-to-Date 12.15% 13.02% 16.00%
Change-Record (1,298.94) (807.63) (179.91)
% Change-Record -3.65% -5.25% -3.97%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD
Week 39 Winner and Tally  Bear 3-0 Win
September Winner and Tally Bear 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 17 5 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 14 1 Losing
Mixed Result 8 3
  Totals 39 9

The US Stock Market Week 39 Summary:

The Stock Market Bear was miffed by his loss in Week 38. With determination he dominated the final 4 days of September taking 9 of 12 sessions, with Tuesday and Thursday being huge days. The Stock Market Bull responded with a big Friday to start the month of October, but it was not nearly enough. The Stock Market Bear easily takes Week 39 of 2021 with a 3-0 result. The stage is set for what could be a volatile October, with The Stock Market Bull still having a significant lead year-to-date.

Summary News Items for Week 39:

US Economic News

  • Friday, October 1, 2021

  • The US Dept of Commerce/BEA says the Preliminary August 2021 US Personal Income Annual Rate is at $20.717 trillion, July was at $20.681 trillion, June $20.449, trillion, August 2020 $19.624 trillion, August 2019 $18.688 trillion.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary August 2021 US Construction Spending Annual Rate-Residential is at $795.5 billion, Non-Residential $788.6 billion, making the August 2021 US Construction Spending Annual Rate Total at $1,584.1 billion, July was at $1,584.0 billion, June $1,579.3 billion, August 2020 $1,455.0 billion, August 2019 $1,379.0 billion.
  • The Institute for Supply Management says the September 2021 US Manufacturing PMI Index(>50% = economy expanding) is at +61.1%, August was at +59.9%, July +59.5%, September 2020 +55.4%, September 2019 +47.8%. “… optimistic panel sentiment remains strong, with three positive growth comments for every cautious comment. Panelists are fully focused on supply chain issues in order to respond to the ongoing high levels of demand….”
  • IHS Markit says the September 2021 US Manufacturing PMI Index is at 60.7, August 2021 was at 61.1, July 2021 63.4, September 2020 53.2, September 2019 51.1. “The US manufacturing sector continues to run hot, with demand once again racing well ahead of production capacity as firms report widespread issues with supply chains and the availability of labor.”
  • The U of Michigan Final September 2021 US Consumer Sentiment Index is at 72.8, August 2021 was at 70.3, July 2021 81.2, September 2020 80.4, September 2019 93.2. “Consumer sentiment edged upward in late September, although the overall gain still meant the continuation of depressed optimism, initially sparked by the Delta variant and supported by persistent inflation and unfavorable long-term prospects for the national economy….”

  • Thursday, September 30, 2021

  • The US Dept of the Treasury says on 09/28/21 the US National Debt-Public is at $22.264 trillion, Intragovernmental $6.163 trillion, making the 09/28/21 US National Debt Total at $28.427 trillion, 08/31/21 was at $28.428 trillion, 07/30/21 $28.428 trillion, 09/30/20 $27.027 trillion, 09/30/19 $22.719 trillion.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/BEA says the 3rd Estimate 2Q21 US Real Gross Domestic Product Annual Rate is at +6.7% with the 2Q21 Annual GDP at $22.741 trillion, 1Q21 was at $22.038, 4Q20 $21.478 trillion, 2Q20 $19.477, 2Q19 $21.330 trillion.
  • The US Dept of Labor says the 09/25/21 US 4-Week Moving Average Initial Unemployment Claims is at 340,000, 08/21/21 was at 366,500, 07/24/21 394,500, 09/19/20 878,250, 09/21/19 212,000.
  • FreddieMac says the 09/30/21 US Average 30 Year Fixed Mortgage Rate is at 3.01% with 0.7 points & fees, 08/26/21 was at 2.87%, 07/29/21 2.80%, 09/24/21 2.90%, 09/24/20 2.90%, 09/26/19 3.64%. “We expect mortgage rates to continue to rise modestly which will likely have an impact on home prices, causing them to moderate slightly after increasing over the last year.”
  • The American Automobile Assn says on 09/30/21 the US Average Price for a Gallon of Regular Gas is at $3.189, 08/31/21 was at $3.159, 07/30/21 $3.168, 09/30/20 $2.188, 09/30/19 $2.654.
  • MNI Indicators says the Preliminary September 2021 Chicago Business Barometer Index(>50=economy is gaining) is at 64.7, August was at 66.8, July 73.4, September 2020 62.4, September 2019 47.1.

  • Wednesday, September 29, 2021

  • The US Energy Information Administration says the 09/24/21 US Crude Oil Inventories-Millions of Barrels is at 418.5, 08/20/21 was at 432.6, 07/23/21 435.6, 09/25/20 492.4, 09/20/19 419.5.
  • Automotive News says the Forecasted September 2021 New Auto Sales-Retail Units is at 899,072, Fleet Units 108,324, making September 2021 New Auto Sales Total Units at 1,007,396, August was at 1,095,323, July 1,291,775, September 2020 1,351,643, September 2019 1,268,871; September 2021 Average New Auto Sales Price is at $39,540, August was at $38,580, September 2020 $36,710.

  • Tuesday, September 28, 2021

  • The US Dept of Commerce/BEA says the Preliminary 2Q21 US Net International Investment Position-Assets is at $34.196 trillion, Liabilities $49.316 trillion, making the 2Q21 US Net International Investment Position Deficit at $15.120 trillion, 1Q21 was at $14.301 trillion, 4Q20 $14.011 trillion, 2Q20 $12.996 trillion, 2Q19 $10.488 trillion.
  • The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Preliminary July 2021 US National Home Price Index(01/2000=100) is at 265.35, June was at 261.11, May 255.53, July 2020 221.67, July 2019 211.47; July 2021 12 Month Change is +19.7%.
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond says the Preliminary September 2021 US 5th District Manufacturing Index(Annualized) is at -3%, August was at +9%, July +27%, September 2020 +21%, September 2019 -9%. “Firms reported weakening local business conditions, but they were optimistic that conditions would improve in the next six months.”
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond says the Preliminary September 2021 US 5th District Services Sector Revenue Index(Annualized) is at -3%, August was at +15%, July +19%, September 2020 +6%, September 2019 +6%. “Survey respondents were optimistic that conditions would improve in the coming months.”
  • The Conference Board says the Preliminary September 2021 US Consumer Confidence Index(1985=100) is at 109.3, August was at 115.2. “Consumer confidence is still high by historical levels—enough to support further growth in the near-term—but the Index has now fallen 19.6 points from the recent peak of 128.9 reached in June. These back-to-back declines suggest consumers have grown more cautious and are likely to curtail spending going forward.”

  • Monday, September 27, 2021

  • No economic news releases today.

US Government/Other News

  • The US House of Representatives struggles with the $3.5 trillion infrastructure bill, and it appears it could be cut back substantially to around $1.5 trillion in order to pass. US President Biden continues to push for the full amount saying it needs to be approved to remain competitive in the world. US Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi says she expects a version to pass by the end of October.
  • US Secretary of the Treasury Janet Yellen warns that the US could default on paying its bills, including social security benefits, and force a government shutdown that could result in a deep recession if the US Congress does not pass an increase in the debt ceiling by October 18.
  • The US Senate and House pass a spending bill that will take it through December 3, 2021.
  • China growth forecasts are cut per recent economic reports.
  • Japan has a new prime minister, its 100th, Fumio Kishida, who confirms that Japan’s alliance with the US remains strong.
  • North Korea fires another missile test.

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The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks on 09/30/21 Summary

October 1, 2021 by

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks for Investing!

Investing Stocks PBR25 PBR1000

Each month PBRMarketTools provides a list of 25 top buy stocks candidates, called The PBR25, in which to consider investing.

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks on 09/30/21 Summary
Average Recommendations Range : 4.53 to 5.00, Average 4.72, Median 4.74
Range of Number of Recommendations : 12 to 43, Average 21, Median 19
Range of Number of Buy Recommendations : 10 to 35, Average 17, Median 17
Estimated 12 Month Return Range : 27.93% to 60.42%, Average 37.88%, Median 35.05% 
Number of Companies on the NYSE : 19
Number of Companies on the NASDAQ : 6
Range of Returns since 09/30/20(12 months) : -17.43% to +289.74%, Avg +37.52%, Median +39.31%
DJIA Return since 09/30/20 : 21.82%
NASDAQ Return since 09/30/20 : 29.38%
S&P500 Return since 09/30/20 : 28.09%
Stock Price Range : $7.53 to $360.23, Average $80.99, Median $58.60
Total The PBR25 Market Capitalization : $835.31 billion, Average $33.41 billion
Market Capitalization Range : $6.41 billion to $159.44 billion, Median $11.81 billion
Turnover : 15 companies remain from 08/31/21, 10 new

About The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks is a great timesaver for evaluating investing in highly rated stocks for your portfolio and available for a very affordable investment.

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks is a subset of our popular and more comprehensive The PBR1000 US Public Companies, which is made up of

  • publicly held companies
  • that trade on a major US stock exchange,
  • have annual revenues of at least $1 billion,
  • file annual 10-K reports with the US Securities and Exchange Commission(SEC),
  • and have headquarters or primary operations in the US.

The PBR1000 US Public Companies combined generate over 50% of all goods and services revenues in the US.

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks contains on a single page in PDF format key information on 25 stocks  which highly regarded analysts have given a “Buy” recommendation. The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks is based on around 15,000 analyst recommendations. You will also get the MS-Excel records for all 25 Buy recommendations plus the over 200 data points and hotlinks to critical information from The PBR1000 US Public Companies master data set. It is an invaluable tool for researching high probability of success investing opportunities.

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks is created each month by sorting The PBR1000 US Public Companies by Analyst Recommendation and then by total number of recommendations. The top 25 with a Buy recommendation are selected and sorted by the Estimated 12 Month Return. On a 1-5 basis, a Buy recommendation has a weighted average greater than 4.50.

Data on the PDF report includes: Rank By Estimated 12 Month Return; Company Name; Last Fiscal Year Earnings Per Share; Last Fiscal Year Dividend; End of Previous Month Stock Price; Trading Symbol; Stock Exchange;  Average 12 Month Analyst Target Stock Price; Estimated 12 Month % Return; Analysts Overall Recommendation; Number of Analyst Recommendations for Buy, Outperform, Hold, Underperform, and Sell; Recommedation Weighted Average; Stock Price % Change from the previous month, last 24 months, past 60 months, and; Market Capitalization. It also includes the DJIA, NASDAQ, and S&P500 indexes for comparison purposes.

When you sign up you will be directed to a download for the current issue printable PDF version of The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks, which will also be emailed to you, along with the MS-Excel version, which you can then customize for your own personal evaluations. Subsequent issues will be emailed to you a few days after the last day of each month for 12 months, both in PDF and MS-Excel formats.

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The September 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

September 30, 2021 by

The September 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bear Bull Stocks Investing Recap

The Stock Market Bear finally gets his first monthly 3-0 victory of 2021, but can he maintain the momentum?

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

The Month of September 2021 Ending 09/30/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
2020 Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
2Q21 Close(06/30/21) 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
August 2021 Close(08/31/21) 35,360.73 15,259.24 4,522.68
Record Close Date 08/16/21 09/07/21 09/02/21
Record Close 35,625.40 15,374.33 4,536.95
September 2021 Close(09/30/21) 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
Percent Change-Month -4.29% -5.31% -4.76%
Percent Change-3Q21-to-Date -1.91% -0.38% 0.23%
Percent Change-Year-to-Date 10.58% 12.11% 14.68%
Percent Change-Record -5.00% -6.02% -5.06%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD
Week 38 2021 Winner and Tally  Bull 3-0 Win
September 2021 Winner and Tally Bear 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 17 5 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 13 1 Losing
Mixed Result 8 3
  Totals 38 9

The US Stock Market September 2021 Summary:

Week 35 finished August and started out September with The Stock Market Bull getting a 2-1 mixed result which also included record closes on the NASDAQ and S&P500. A raging The Stock Market Bear struck back in Week 36 by taking all except 1 record breaking NASDAQ session on the Tuesday of a shortened Labor Day week. The Bull returned with a good mixed 2-1 win on Monday of Week 37, but once again The Bear recovered by taking a full win on Tuesday. The Bull took Wednesday by margins greater than his losses on Tuesday. But then The Bear took Thursday 2-1, and then a full 3-0 result on Friday, and making Weeks 36 and 37 his first back-to-back weekly victories during 2021. The momentum for The Bear continued into Week 38 on Monday and Tuesday. But The Bull returned with a vengeance by taking Wednesday through Friday to take his only full week of September. Week 39 included 4 days for September and once again The Bear dominated with big numbers on Tuesday and Thursday, the last day of the month. The Stock Market Bear gets a very convincing victory for September, his first monthly win of 2021, and sets the stage for what could be a volatile October.

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Empowering Astute Business Leaders and Shrewd Investors
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Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

This business intelligence report is provided by: 

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The Week 38 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

September 24, 2021 by

The Week 38 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Investing Investor PBR1000 PBR25

The Stock Market Bull overcomes a big dip on Monday to win Week 38, but The Stock Market Bear still has the edge for the month of September.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 38 of 2021 Ending 09/24/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(06/30/21 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
Previous Month Close(8/31/21) 35,360.73 15,259.24 4,522.68
Record Close Date 08/16/21 09/07/21 09/02/21
Record Close 35,625.40 15,374.33 4,536.95
Week 37-Friday & Close 34,584.88 15,043.97 4,432.99
Week 38-Monday 33,970.47 14,713.90 4,357.73
    Day Change (614.41) (330.07) (75.26)
    Day % Change -1.78% -2.19% -1.70%
Week 38-Tuesday 33,919.84 14,746.40 4,354.19
    Day Change (50.63) 32.50 (3.54)
    Day % Change -0.15% 0.22% -0.08%
Week 38-Wednesday 34,258.32 14,896.85 4,395.64
    Day Change 338.48 150.45 41.45
    Day % Change 1.00% 1.02% 0.95%
Week 38-Thursday 34,764.82 15,052.24 4,448.98
    Day Change 506.50 155.39 53.34
    Day % Change 1.48% 1.04% 1.21%
Week 38-Friday & Close 34,798.00 15,047.70 4,455.48
    Day Change 33.18 (4.54) 6.50
    Day % Change 0.10% -0.03% 0.15%
Change-Week 213.12 3.73 22.49
% Change-Week 0.62% 0.02% 0.51%
Change-Month-to-Date (562.73) (211.54) (67.20)
% Change-Month-to-Date -1.59% -1.39% -1.49%
Change-Quarter-to-Date 295.49 543.75 157.98
% Change-Quarter-to-Date 0.86% 3.75% 3.68%
Change-Year-to-Date 4,191.52 2,159.42 699.41
% Change-Year-to-Date 13.69% 16.75% 18.62%
Change-Record (827.40) (326.63) (81.47)
% Change-Record -2.32% -2.12% -1.80%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD
Week 38 Winner and Tally  Bull 3-0 Win
August Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 17 5 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 13 0 Losing
Mixed Result 8 3
  Totals 38 8

The US Stock Market Week 38 Summary:

The Stock Market Bear was eager to get his first trifecta of weekly wins in 2021. He viciously clawed and bit his way to a very big Monday win by so much that it appeared that Week 38 would easily be his. The Stock Bull entered the ring on Tuesday and they tussled to a slight mixed result for The Stock Market Bear. On Wednesday it was The Stock Market Bull who became the aggressor. He got the win but was still behind for the week. The Stock Market Bull again charged into battle on Thursday, and with great determination overcame every counter by The Stock Market Bear to get a resounding win and pulled ahead for the week, but not by much. Friday was the big show down but both the Bull and the Bear were punched out. The Stock Market Bull barely pulled out a thin mixed win. In an incredibly volatile week somehow The Stock Market Bull gets a 3-0 win in Week 38, but the exhausted The Stock Market Bear remains well ahead for the month and is poised to take his first monthly win of the year. However, with four trading days remaining in September anything is possible just based on what happened this week.

Summary News Items for Week 38:

US Economic News

  • Friday, September 24, 2021

  • The US Dept of Commerce/HUD says the Preliminary August 2021 US New Family Homes Sold Annual Rate is at 740,000, July was at 729,000, June 685,000, August 2020 977,000, August 2019 706,000; the August 2021 Median Home Price is at $390,900, July was also at $390,900, June $375,700, August 2020 $325,500, August 2019 $327,000.

  • Thursday, September 23, 2021

  • The US Federal Reserve says the Preliminary 2Q21 US Total Networth of Households & Non-Profits is at $141.668 trillion, 1Q21 was at $135.818 trillion, 4Q20 $130.688 trillion, 4Q19 $116.832 trillion.
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago says the Preliminary August 2021 US National Activity Index is at +0.29, July was at +0.75, June +0.24, August 2020 +1.21, August 2019 +0.16. “Index suggests slower, but still above-average growth in August.”
  • The Conference Board says the Preliminary August 2021 US Leading Economic Index(2016=100) is at 117.1, July was at 116.2, June 115.4, August 2020 107.0, August 2019 112.0. “While the Delta variant—alongside rising inflation fears—could create headwinds for labor markets and the consumer spending outlook in the near term, the trend in the LEI is consistent with robust economic growth in the reminder of the year. Real GDP growth for 2021 is expected to reach nearly 6.0 percent year-over-year, before easing to a still-robust 4.0 percent for 2022.”

  • Wednesday, September 22, 2021

  • The US Federal Open Market Committee releases its statement for its 09/21-22/21 meeting, keeps the short terms federal funds rate at 0.00-0.25%, says “The path of the economy continues to depend on the course of the virus. Progress on vaccinations will likely continue to reduce the effects of the public health crisis on the economy, but risks to the economic outlook remain… judges that a moderation in the pace of asset purchases may soon be warranted.”
  • The Natl Assn of Realtors says the Preliminary August 2021 US Existing Home Sales Annual Rate is at 5,880,000, July was at 6,000,000, June 5,870,000, August 2020 5,970,000, August 2019 5,430,000; the Preliminary August 2021 US Existing Home Median Sales Price is at $356,500, July was at $359,900, June $363,300, August 2020 $310,400, August 2019 $278,800.

  • Tuesday, September 21, 2021

  • The US Dept of Commerce/HUD says the Preliminary August 2021 US Private Housing Building Permits Issued Annual Rate 1,728,000, July 1,630,000, June 1,594,000, August 2020 1,522,000, August 2019 1,471,000.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/BEA says the Preliminary 2Q21 US Exports of Goods, Services and Income Receipts Total is $937.9 billion, Imports of Goods, Services and Income Payments Total is at $1,128.2 billion, making the 2Q21 US Trade Deficit at $190.3 billion, 1Q21 was at $189.4 billion, 4Q20 $175.1 billion, 2Q20 $172.4 billion, 2Q19 $127.7 billion.

  • Monday, September 20, 2021

  • The Natl Assn of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Preliminary September 2021 US Housing Market Composite Index is at 76, August was at 75, July 80, September 2020 83, September 2019 68. “Builder confidence inched up in September on lower lumber prices and strong housing demand, even as the housing sector continues to grapple with building material supply chain issues and labor challenges….”

US Government/Other News

  • On Monday China based property developer Evergrande, with its $300 billion of debt load held by bondholders globally, shows signs that it will miss a major interest payment. Stock markets worldwide plummet dramatically. The markets recover during the week but Evergrande does miss its interest payment and its fate appears uncertain.
  • The US Federal Reserve Open Market Committee met and released its statement on Wednesday. See the US Economy News above for the summary.
  • The upcoming US debt limit concerns are not resolved, federal agencies are alerted about what to do if the federal government is forced to shut down.
  • The US House is expected to vote on the $3.5 trillion infrastructure bill and a proposed social spending bill next week. The outcome is uncertain, US President Biden says negotiations are at a stalemate.
  • Germany’s Prime Minister Angela Merkel will step down after 16 years in power. Elections are held on Friday, results are too close to call at the time of this release.

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