The Week 40 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

October 8, 2021 by

The Week 40 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Stocks Bull Bear Investing Investor Money

The Stock Market Bear had a big Monday, but The Stock Market Bull came back strong and ended Week 40 of 2021 with a 3-0 victory.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 40 of 2021 Ending 10/08/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(09/30/21 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
Previous Month Close(09/30/21) 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
Record Close Date 08/16/21 09/07/21 09/02/21
Record Close 35,625.40 15,374.33 4,536.95
Week 39-Friday & Close(10/01/21) 34,326.46 14,566.70 4,357.04
Week 40-Monday(10/04/21) 34,002.92 14,255.48 4,300.46
    Day Change (323.54) (311.22) (56.58)
    Day % Change -0.94% -2.14% -1.30%
Week 40-Tuesday(10/05/21) 34,314.67 14,433.83 4,345.72
    Day Change 311.75 178.35 45.26
    Day % Change 0.92% 1.25% 1.05%
Week 40-Wednesday(10/06/21) 34,416.99 14,501.91 4,363.55
    Day Change 102.32 68.08 17.83
    Day % Change 0.30% 0.47% 0.41%
Week 40-Thursday(10/07/21) 34,754.94 14,654.02 4,399.76
    Day Change 337.95 152.11 36.21
    Day % Change 0.98% 1.05% 0.83%
Week 40-Friday & Close(10/08/21) 34,746.25 14,579.54 4,391.34
    Day Change (8.69) (74.48) (8.42)
    Day % Change -0.03% -0.51% -0.19%
Change-Week 419.79 12.84 34.30
% Change-Week 1.22% 0.09% 0.79%
Change-Month-to-Date 902.33 130.96 83.80
% Change-Month-to-Date 2.67% 0.91% 1.95%
Change-Quarter-to-Date 902.33 130.96 83.80
% Change-Quarter-to-Date 2.67% 0.91% 1.95%
Change-Year-to-Date 4,139.77 1,691.26 635.27
% Change-Year-to-Date 13.53% 13.12% 16.91%
Change-Record (879.15) (794.79) (145.61)
% Change-Record -2.47% -5.17% -3.21%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD
Week 39 Winner and Tally  Bull 3-0 Win
September Winner and Tally Bear 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 18 5 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 14 1 Losing
Mixed Result 8 3
  Totals 40 9

The US Stock Market Week 40 Summary:

The Stock Market Bear wanted to repeat last week’s victory, charged onto the pasture on Monday and devoured a lot, and made his statement to start Week 40 with a clear 3-0 daily win. But The Stock Market Bull was not about to be dominated. He came back strong, took Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday to take the lead for the week, but not by quite enough to be convincing. The Stock Market Bear did return on Friday, took all major US exchanges, but just by slim margins. The Stock Market Bull proves his resilience once again, takes the first week of October with a 3-0 outright victory in Week 40, and maintains his commanding lead Year-To-Date.

Summary News Items for Week 40:

US Economic News

  • Friday, October 8, 2021

  • The US Dept of Labor says the September 2021 Civilian Noninstitutional Population is at 261,766,000 people, Available Labor Force is at 161,354,000, Employed is at 153,680,000, +526,000 from August, +6,137,000 from September 2020, Unemployed is at 7,674,000, -709,000 from August, -4,861,000 from September 2020, making the September 2021 US Unemployment Rate at 4.8%, August was at 5.2%, July 5.4%, September 2020 7.8%, September 2019 3.5%.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary August 2021 US Wholesale Trade Sales-Durables is at $286.6 billion, Non-Durables $309.0 billion, making August 2021 US Wholesale Trade Sales Monthly Total at $595.6 billion, July was at $602.2 billion, June $589.6 billion, August 2020 $494.0 billion, August 2019 $497.9 billion.

  • Thursday, October 7, 2021

  • The US Federal Reserve says the Preliminary August 2021 US Consumer Debt-Revolving is at $998.4 billion, Non-Revolving $3,333.9 billion, making August 2021 US Consumer Debt Total at $4,332.3 billion, July was at $4,331.3 billion, June $4,315.2 billion, August 2020 $4,142.0 billion, August 2019 $4,136.8 billion.
  • FannieMae says the September 2021 US Home Purchase Sentiment Index is at 74.5, August was at 75.7, July 75.8, September 2020 81.0, September 2019 91.5. “The survey’s story is … largely unchanged: Consumers feel it’s a bad time to buy a home but a good time to sell – and they continue to cite high home prices as the primary reason….”

  • Wednesday, October 6, 2021

  • ADP says the Preliminary September 2021 US Private Sector Jobs Change-Small Businesses(1-49 employees) is at +63,000, Mid-Sized(50-499) +115,000, Large-Sized(500 or more) +390,000, making September 2021 US Private Sector Jobs Change Total at +589,000, August was at +340,000, July +322,000, September 2020 +748,000, September 2019 +136,000. “… Current bottlenecks in hiring should fade as the health conditions tied to the COVID-19 variant continue to improve, setting the stage for solid job gains in the coming months.”

  • Tuesday, October 5, 2021

  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary August 2021 US International Trade-Exports-Goods is at $149.7 billion, Services $64.0 billion, making August 2021 US Exports Total at $213.7 billion; August 2021 US Imports-Goods is at $239.1 billion, Services $47.9 billion, making August 2021 US Imports Total at $287.0 billion, making the August 2021 US International Trade Deficit at $73.3 billion, July was at $70.3 billion, June $73.2 billion, August 2020 $63.7 billion, August 2019 $50.5 billion.
  • The Institute for Supply Management says the September 2021 US Composite Services PMI Index(>50 = Economy expanding) is at 61.9%, August was at 61.7%, July 64.1%, September 2020 57.8%, September 2019 52.6%. “… The slight uptick in the rate of expansion in the month of September continued the current period of strong growth for the services sector. However, ongoing challenges with labor resources, logistics, and materials are affecting the continuity of supply.”
  • IHS Markit says the September 2021 US Composite PMI Output Index is at 55.0, August was at 55.4, July 59.9, September 2020 54.3, September 2019 51.0. “New business increased further during September, but the rate of expansion eased to the slowest in nine months. Manufacturers and service providers alike registered softer upticks in client demand. Goods producers reported a quicker rise in new export orders, which contrasted with a faster contraction in service sector foreign customer demand.
  • The PurdueU/CME Group September 2021 US Ag Barometer Composite Index is at 124, August was at 138, July 134, September 2020 156, September 2019 121. “Farmer optimism about future growth in agricultural exports continues to wane, and that, combined with concerns about a squeeze on operating margins, could be contributing to weakness in farmer sentiment. Despite the weakness in farmer sentiment, farmers remain bullish about farmland values….”

  • Monday, October 4, 2021

  • The US Department of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary August 2021 US Manufacturers New Orders-Durable Goods is at $263.6 billion, Non-Durables $252.1 billion, making August 2021 US Manufacturers New Orders Total at $515.7 billion, July was at $509.4 billion, June $506.2 billion, August 2020 $444.4 billion, August 2019 $481.7 billion.

US Government/Other News

  • The US Senate passes the Republican’s short term plan to raise the debt ceiling limit to $28.4 trillion which should be good into early December. It now goes to the US House which is expected to approve it as well.
  • The $3.5 trillion infrastructure bill is still being worked on in the US House, is expected to be cut drastically, no details have been released.
  • The US COVID-19 pandemic death tally now exceeds 710,000 people.
  • A pipeline oil spill off the S California coast is estimated to be at around 130,000 gallons and is affecting the flora and fauna around the Huntington Beach and nearby area beaches.
  • The recently passed Texas abortion law, considered to be the most restrictive in the US, is paused by a federal judge. Texas quickly appeals the decision.
  • OPEC+ agrees to lift November oil output by 400,000 barrels/day.
  • US President Joe Biden and China’s President Xi Jinping are planning a virtual meeting before the end of 2021.

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The Week 39 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

October 1, 2021 by

The Week 39 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Investing Recap Stocks

The Stock Market Bear had huge days on Tuesday and Thursday to convincingly take Week 39 of 2021.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 39 of 2021 Ending 10/01/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(09/30/21 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
Previous Month Close(09/30/21) 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
Record Close Date 08/16/21 09/07/21 09/02/21
Record Close 35,625.40 15,374.33 4,536.95
Week 38-Friday & Close(09/24/21) 34,798.00 15,047.70 4,455.48
Week 39-Monday(09/27/21) 34,869.37 14,969.97 4,443.11
    Day Change 71.37 (77.73) (12.37)
    Day % Change 0.21% -0.52% -0.28%
Week 39-Tuesday(09/28/21) 34,299.99 14,546.68 4,352.63
    Day Change (569.38) (423.29) (90.48)
    Day % Change -1.63% -2.83% -2.04%
Week 39-Wednesday(09/29/21) 34,390.72 14,512.44 4,359.46
    Day Change 90.73 (34.24) 6.83
    Day % Change 0.26% -0.24% 0.16%
Week 39-Thursday(09/30/21) 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
    Day Change (546.80) (63.86) (51.92)
    Day % Change -1.59% -0.44% -1.19%
Week 39-Friday & Close(10/01/21) 34,326.46 14,566.70 4,357.04
    Day Change 482.54 118.12 49.50
    Day % Change 1.43% 0.82% 1.15%
Change-Week -471.54 -481.00 -98.44
% Change-Week -1.36% -3.20% -2.21%
Change-Month-to-Date 482.54 118.12 49.50
% Change-Month-to-Date 1.43% 0.82% 1.15%
Change-Quarter-to-Date 482.54 118.12 49.50
% Change-Quarter-to-Date 1.43% 0.82% 1.15%
Change-Year-to-Date 3,719.98 1,678.42 600.97
% Change-Year-to-Date 12.15% 13.02% 16.00%
Change-Record (1,298.94) (807.63) (179.91)
% Change-Record -3.65% -5.25% -3.97%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD
Week 39 Winner and Tally  Bear 3-0 Win
September Winner and Tally Bear 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 17 5 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 14 1 Losing
Mixed Result 8 3
  Totals 39 9

The US Stock Market Week 39 Summary:

The Stock Market Bear was miffed by his loss in Week 38. With determination he dominated the final 4 days of September taking 9 of 12 sessions, with Tuesday and Thursday being huge days. The Stock Market Bull responded with a big Friday to start the month of October, but it was not nearly enough. The Stock Market Bear easily takes Week 39 of 2021 with a 3-0 result. The stage is set for what could be a volatile October, with The Stock Market Bull still having a significant lead year-to-date.

Summary News Items for Week 39:

US Economic News

  • Friday, October 1, 2021

  • The US Dept of Commerce/BEA says the Preliminary August 2021 US Personal Income Annual Rate is at $20.717 trillion, July was at $20.681 trillion, June $20.449, trillion, August 2020 $19.624 trillion, August 2019 $18.688 trillion.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary August 2021 US Construction Spending Annual Rate-Residential is at $795.5 billion, Non-Residential $788.6 billion, making the August 2021 US Construction Spending Annual Rate Total at $1,584.1 billion, July was at $1,584.0 billion, June $1,579.3 billion, August 2020 $1,455.0 billion, August 2019 $1,379.0 billion.
  • The Institute for Supply Management says the September 2021 US Manufacturing PMI Index(>50% = economy expanding) is at +61.1%, August was at +59.9%, July +59.5%, September 2020 +55.4%, September 2019 +47.8%. “… optimistic panel sentiment remains strong, with three positive growth comments for every cautious comment. Panelists are fully focused on supply chain issues in order to respond to the ongoing high levels of demand….”
  • IHS Markit says the September 2021 US Manufacturing PMI Index is at 60.7, August 2021 was at 61.1, July 2021 63.4, September 2020 53.2, September 2019 51.1. “The US manufacturing sector continues to run hot, with demand once again racing well ahead of production capacity as firms report widespread issues with supply chains and the availability of labor.”
  • The U of Michigan Final September 2021 US Consumer Sentiment Index is at 72.8, August 2021 was at 70.3, July 2021 81.2, September 2020 80.4, September 2019 93.2. “Consumer sentiment edged upward in late September, although the overall gain still meant the continuation of depressed optimism, initially sparked by the Delta variant and supported by persistent inflation and unfavorable long-term prospects for the national economy….”

  • Thursday, September 30, 2021

  • The US Dept of the Treasury says on 09/28/21 the US National Debt-Public is at $22.264 trillion, Intragovernmental $6.163 trillion, making the 09/28/21 US National Debt Total at $28.427 trillion, 08/31/21 was at $28.428 trillion, 07/30/21 $28.428 trillion, 09/30/20 $27.027 trillion, 09/30/19 $22.719 trillion.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/BEA says the 3rd Estimate 2Q21 US Real Gross Domestic Product Annual Rate is at +6.7% with the 2Q21 Annual GDP at $22.741 trillion, 1Q21 was at $22.038, 4Q20 $21.478 trillion, 2Q20 $19.477, 2Q19 $21.330 trillion.
  • The US Dept of Labor says the 09/25/21 US 4-Week Moving Average Initial Unemployment Claims is at 340,000, 08/21/21 was at 366,500, 07/24/21 394,500, 09/19/20 878,250, 09/21/19 212,000.
  • FreddieMac says the 09/30/21 US Average 30 Year Fixed Mortgage Rate is at 3.01% with 0.7 points & fees, 08/26/21 was at 2.87%, 07/29/21 2.80%, 09/24/21 2.90%, 09/24/20 2.90%, 09/26/19 3.64%. “We expect mortgage rates to continue to rise modestly which will likely have an impact on home prices, causing them to moderate slightly after increasing over the last year.”
  • The American Automobile Assn says on 09/30/21 the US Average Price for a Gallon of Regular Gas is at $3.189, 08/31/21 was at $3.159, 07/30/21 $3.168, 09/30/20 $2.188, 09/30/19 $2.654.
  • MNI Indicators says the Preliminary September 2021 Chicago Business Barometer Index(>50=economy is gaining) is at 64.7, August was at 66.8, July 73.4, September 2020 62.4, September 2019 47.1.

  • Wednesday, September 29, 2021

  • The US Energy Information Administration says the 09/24/21 US Crude Oil Inventories-Millions of Barrels is at 418.5, 08/20/21 was at 432.6, 07/23/21 435.6, 09/25/20 492.4, 09/20/19 419.5.
  • Automotive News says the Forecasted September 2021 New Auto Sales-Retail Units is at 899,072, Fleet Units 108,324, making September 2021 New Auto Sales Total Units at 1,007,396, August was at 1,095,323, July 1,291,775, September 2020 1,351,643, September 2019 1,268,871; September 2021 Average New Auto Sales Price is at $39,540, August was at $38,580, September 2020 $36,710.

  • Tuesday, September 28, 2021

  • The US Dept of Commerce/BEA says the Preliminary 2Q21 US Net International Investment Position-Assets is at $34.196 trillion, Liabilities $49.316 trillion, making the 2Q21 US Net International Investment Position Deficit at $15.120 trillion, 1Q21 was at $14.301 trillion, 4Q20 $14.011 trillion, 2Q20 $12.996 trillion, 2Q19 $10.488 trillion.
  • The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Preliminary July 2021 US National Home Price Index(01/2000=100) is at 265.35, June was at 261.11, May 255.53, July 2020 221.67, July 2019 211.47; July 2021 12 Month Change is +19.7%.
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond says the Preliminary September 2021 US 5th District Manufacturing Index(Annualized) is at -3%, August was at +9%, July +27%, September 2020 +21%, September 2019 -9%. “Firms reported weakening local business conditions, but they were optimistic that conditions would improve in the next six months.”
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond says the Preliminary September 2021 US 5th District Services Sector Revenue Index(Annualized) is at -3%, August was at +15%, July +19%, September 2020 +6%, September 2019 +6%. “Survey respondents were optimistic that conditions would improve in the coming months.”
  • The Conference Board says the Preliminary September 2021 US Consumer Confidence Index(1985=100) is at 109.3, August was at 115.2. “Consumer confidence is still high by historical levels—enough to support further growth in the near-term—but the Index has now fallen 19.6 points from the recent peak of 128.9 reached in June. These back-to-back declines suggest consumers have grown more cautious and are likely to curtail spending going forward.”

  • Monday, September 27, 2021

  • No economic news releases today.

US Government/Other News

  • The US House of Representatives struggles with the $3.5 trillion infrastructure bill, and it appears it could be cut back substantially to around $1.5 trillion in order to pass. US President Biden continues to push for the full amount saying it needs to be approved to remain competitive in the world. US Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi says she expects a version to pass by the end of October.
  • US Secretary of the Treasury Janet Yellen warns that the US could default on paying its bills, including social security benefits, and force a government shutdown that could result in a deep recession if the US Congress does not pass an increase in the debt ceiling by October 18.
  • The US Senate and House pass a spending bill that will take it through December 3, 2021.
  • China growth forecasts are cut per recent economic reports.
  • Japan has a new prime minister, its 100th, Fumio Kishida, who confirms that Japan’s alliance with the US remains strong.
  • North Korea fires another missile test.

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The Week 38 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

September 24, 2021 by

The Week 38 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Investing Investor PBR1000 PBR25

The Stock Market Bull overcomes a big dip on Monday to win Week 38, but The Stock Market Bear still has the edge for the month of September.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 38 of 2021 Ending 09/24/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(06/30/21 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
Previous Month Close(8/31/21) 35,360.73 15,259.24 4,522.68
Record Close Date 08/16/21 09/07/21 09/02/21
Record Close 35,625.40 15,374.33 4,536.95
Week 37-Friday & Close 34,584.88 15,043.97 4,432.99
Week 38-Monday 33,970.47 14,713.90 4,357.73
    Day Change (614.41) (330.07) (75.26)
    Day % Change -1.78% -2.19% -1.70%
Week 38-Tuesday 33,919.84 14,746.40 4,354.19
    Day Change (50.63) 32.50 (3.54)
    Day % Change -0.15% 0.22% -0.08%
Week 38-Wednesday 34,258.32 14,896.85 4,395.64
    Day Change 338.48 150.45 41.45
    Day % Change 1.00% 1.02% 0.95%
Week 38-Thursday 34,764.82 15,052.24 4,448.98
    Day Change 506.50 155.39 53.34
    Day % Change 1.48% 1.04% 1.21%
Week 38-Friday & Close 34,798.00 15,047.70 4,455.48
    Day Change 33.18 (4.54) 6.50
    Day % Change 0.10% -0.03% 0.15%
Change-Week 213.12 3.73 22.49
% Change-Week 0.62% 0.02% 0.51%
Change-Month-to-Date (562.73) (211.54) (67.20)
% Change-Month-to-Date -1.59% -1.39% -1.49%
Change-Quarter-to-Date 295.49 543.75 157.98
% Change-Quarter-to-Date 0.86% 3.75% 3.68%
Change-Year-to-Date 4,191.52 2,159.42 699.41
% Change-Year-to-Date 13.69% 16.75% 18.62%
Change-Record (827.40) (326.63) (81.47)
% Change-Record -2.32% -2.12% -1.80%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD
Week 38 Winner and Tally  Bull 3-0 Win
August Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 17 5 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 13 0 Losing
Mixed Result 8 3
  Totals 38 8

The US Stock Market Week 38 Summary:

The Stock Market Bear was eager to get his first trifecta of weekly wins in 2021. He viciously clawed and bit his way to a very big Monday win by so much that it appeared that Week 38 would easily be his. The Stock Bull entered the ring on Tuesday and they tussled to a slight mixed result for The Stock Market Bear. On Wednesday it was The Stock Market Bull who became the aggressor. He got the win but was still behind for the week. The Stock Market Bull again charged into battle on Thursday, and with great determination overcame every counter by The Stock Market Bear to get a resounding win and pulled ahead for the week, but not by much. Friday was the big show down but both the Bull and the Bear were punched out. The Stock Market Bull barely pulled out a thin mixed win. In an incredibly volatile week somehow The Stock Market Bull gets a 3-0 win in Week 38, but the exhausted The Stock Market Bear remains well ahead for the month and is poised to take his first monthly win of the year. However, with four trading days remaining in September anything is possible just based on what happened this week.

Summary News Items for Week 38:

US Economic News

  • Friday, September 24, 2021

  • The US Dept of Commerce/HUD says the Preliminary August 2021 US New Family Homes Sold Annual Rate is at 740,000, July was at 729,000, June 685,000, August 2020 977,000, August 2019 706,000; the August 2021 Median Home Price is at $390,900, July was also at $390,900, June $375,700, August 2020 $325,500, August 2019 $327,000.

  • Thursday, September 23, 2021

  • The US Federal Reserve says the Preliminary 2Q21 US Total Networth of Households & Non-Profits is at $141.668 trillion, 1Q21 was at $135.818 trillion, 4Q20 $130.688 trillion, 4Q19 $116.832 trillion.
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago says the Preliminary August 2021 US National Activity Index is at +0.29, July was at +0.75, June +0.24, August 2020 +1.21, August 2019 +0.16. “Index suggests slower, but still above-average growth in August.”
  • The Conference Board says the Preliminary August 2021 US Leading Economic Index(2016=100) is at 117.1, July was at 116.2, June 115.4, August 2020 107.0, August 2019 112.0. “While the Delta variant—alongside rising inflation fears—could create headwinds for labor markets and the consumer spending outlook in the near term, the trend in the LEI is consistent with robust economic growth in the reminder of the year. Real GDP growth for 2021 is expected to reach nearly 6.0 percent year-over-year, before easing to a still-robust 4.0 percent for 2022.”

  • Wednesday, September 22, 2021

  • The US Federal Open Market Committee releases its statement for its 09/21-22/21 meeting, keeps the short terms federal funds rate at 0.00-0.25%, says “The path of the economy continues to depend on the course of the virus. Progress on vaccinations will likely continue to reduce the effects of the public health crisis on the economy, but risks to the economic outlook remain… judges that a moderation in the pace of asset purchases may soon be warranted.”
  • The Natl Assn of Realtors says the Preliminary August 2021 US Existing Home Sales Annual Rate is at 5,880,000, July was at 6,000,000, June 5,870,000, August 2020 5,970,000, August 2019 5,430,000; the Preliminary August 2021 US Existing Home Median Sales Price is at $356,500, July was at $359,900, June $363,300, August 2020 $310,400, August 2019 $278,800.

  • Tuesday, September 21, 2021

  • The US Dept of Commerce/HUD says the Preliminary August 2021 US Private Housing Building Permits Issued Annual Rate 1,728,000, July 1,630,000, June 1,594,000, August 2020 1,522,000, August 2019 1,471,000.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/BEA says the Preliminary 2Q21 US Exports of Goods, Services and Income Receipts Total is $937.9 billion, Imports of Goods, Services and Income Payments Total is at $1,128.2 billion, making the 2Q21 US Trade Deficit at $190.3 billion, 1Q21 was at $189.4 billion, 4Q20 $175.1 billion, 2Q20 $172.4 billion, 2Q19 $127.7 billion.

  • Monday, September 20, 2021

  • The Natl Assn of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Preliminary September 2021 US Housing Market Composite Index is at 76, August was at 75, July 80, September 2020 83, September 2019 68. “Builder confidence inched up in September on lower lumber prices and strong housing demand, even as the housing sector continues to grapple with building material supply chain issues and labor challenges….”

US Government/Other News

  • On Monday China based property developer Evergrande, with its $300 billion of debt load held by bondholders globally, shows signs that it will miss a major interest payment. Stock markets worldwide plummet dramatically. The markets recover during the week but Evergrande does miss its interest payment and its fate appears uncertain.
  • The US Federal Reserve Open Market Committee met and released its statement on Wednesday. See the US Economy News above for the summary.
  • The upcoming US debt limit concerns are not resolved, federal agencies are alerted about what to do if the federal government is forced to shut down.
  • The US House is expected to vote on the $3.5 trillion infrastructure bill and a proposed social spending bill next week. The outcome is uncertain, US President Biden says negotiations are at a stalemate.
  • Germany’s Prime Minister Angela Merkel will step down after 16 years in power. Elections are held on Friday, results are too close to call at the time of this release.

More Resources:

Check out the BLOG page for the previous RECAPS and SNAPSHOTS posts.

Click here to follow The PBR1000 on Twitter!

PBRMarketTools Info:

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Please use the Contact Us page if you are not on our email list or have questions about The PBR1000, The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks, The PBRMarketTools US Economic Indices or the Customization Services we provide. We appreciate your comments and suggestions!

The PBR1000:

PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company.

Empowering Astute Business Leaders and Shrewd Investors
Through The PBR1000 Analytics!

Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

This business intelligence report is provided by: 

(Article image is courtesy of FreeDigitalPhotos.net, ddpavumba.)

Copyright © 2021 by Pax Business Resources, LLC, All Rights Reserved.

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The Week 37 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

September 18, 2021 by

The Week 37 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market News Recap Investing Investor

For the first time in 2021 The Stock Market Bear gets a 2 week win streak. Can he make it a trifecta? Place your bets!

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 37 of 2021 Ending 09/17/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(06/30/21 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
Previous Month Close(8/31/21) 35,360.73 15,259.24 4,522.68
Record Close Date 08/16/21 09/07/21 09/02/21
Record Close 35,625.40 15,374.33 4,536.95
Week 36-Friday & Close 34,607.72 15,115.49 4,458.58
Week 37-Monday 34,869.63 15,105.58 4,468.73
    Day Change 261.91 (9.91) 10.15
    Day % Change 0.76% -0.07% 0.23%
Week 37-Tuesday 34,577.57 15,037.76 4,443.05
    Day Change (292.06) (67.82) (25.68)
    Day % Change -0.84% -0.45% -0.57%
Week 37-Wednesday 34,814.39 15,161.53 4,480.70
    Day Change 236.82 123.77 37.65
    Day % Change 0.68% 0.82% 0.85%
Week 37-Thursday 34,751.32 15,181.92 4,473.75
    Day Change (63.07) 20.39 (6.95)
    Day % Change -0.18% 0.13% -0.16%
Week 37-Friday & Close 34,584.88 15,043.97 4,432.99
    Day Change (166.44) (137.95) (40.76)
    Day % Change -0.48% -0.91% -0.91%
Change Week -22.84 -71.52 -25.59
% Change Week -0.07% -0.47% -0.57%
Change Month-to-Date (775.85) (215.27) (89.69)
% Change Month-to-Date -2.19% -1.41% -1.98%
Change Quarter-to-Date 82.37 540.02 135.49
% Change Quarter-to-Date 0.24% 3.72% 3.15%
Change Year-to-Date 3,978.40 2,155.69 676.92
% Change Year-to-Date 13.00% 16.73% 18.02%
Change Record (1,040.52) (330.36) (103.96)
% Change Record -2.92% -2.15% -2.29%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD
Week 37 Winner and Tally  Bear 3-0 Win
August Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 16 5 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 13 0 Losing
Mixed Result 8 3
  Totals 37 8

The US Stock Market Week 37 Summary:

The Stock Market Bull came out in round 1 fresh, well rested, and strong, and had a good Monday, but did just barely lose out on the NASDAQ. Encouraged, The Stock Market Bear struck back on Tuesday inflicting losses greater than the gains on Monday for round 2. With determination The Stock Market Bull struck back on Wednesday, recovered the losses and looked poised to win Week 37 after round 3. The Stock Market Bear took Thursday by a small margin mixed result, inflicting some minor losses on the DJIA and S&P500. The Stock Market Bull was still ahead after round 4, but was showing signs of fatigue. The Stock Market Bear sensed this and came out Friday chasing The Stock Market Bull all around the ring and landing some haymakers, takes round 5 just enough to get a full 3-0 win  for Week 37, his first back-to-back weekly win in 2021 and setting the stage for what could be a volatile Week 38.

Summary News Items for Week 37:

US Economic News

  • Friday, September 17, 2021

  • The U of Michigan Preliminary September 2021 US Consumer Sentiment Survey is at 71.0, August was at 70.3, July 81.2, September 2020 80.4, September 2019 93.2. “The steep August falloff in consumer sentiment ended in early September, but the small gain still meant that consumers expected the least favorable economic prospects in more than a decade.”

  • Thursday, September 16, 2021

  • The US Dept of Labor says the 2Q21 US Average Employee Costs per Hour-Wages & Salaries is at $26.85, Benefits $12.06, making 2Q21 US Average Employee Costs per Hour at $38.91, 1Q21 was at $39.02, 4Q20 $38.60, 2Q20 $38.21, 2Q19 $36.60.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary July 2021 US Monthly Sales-Manufacturers is at $508.5 billion, Retailers $542.4 billion, Wholesalers $601.3 billion, making July 2021 US Monthly Sales Total at $1,652.2 billion, June was at $1,644.7 billion, May $1,618.5 billion, July 2020 $1,369.0 billion, July 2019 $1,458.2 billion.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Advance August 2021 Monthly Retail Trade-Retailers is at $546.7 billion, Food Services & Drinking Places $72.0 billion, making the August 2021 Monthly Retail Trade Total at $618.7 billion, July was at $614.3 billion, June $625.4 billion, August 2020 $537.2 billion, August 2019 $524.5 billion.
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia says the September 2021 US 3rd District Manufacturing General Activity Indicator is at +30.7, August was at +19.4, July +21.9, September 2020 +13.6, September 2019 +10.6. “… the surveyed firms remained generally optimistic about growth over the next six months.”

  • Wednesday, September 15, 2021

  • The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary August 2021 US Import Monthly Price Change is at -0.3%, Exports +0.4%; the August 2021 US Import Year-to-Year Price Change is at +9.0%, July was at +10.2%, June +11.2%, August 2020 -1.4%, August 2019 -2.0%, August 2021 US Export Year-to-Year Price Change is at +16.8%, July was at +17.2%, June +16.8%, August 2020 -1.4%, August 2019 -2.0%.
  • The US Federal Reserve says the Preliminary August 2021 US Total Factory % of Capacity is at 76.4%, July was at 76.2%, June 75.6%, August 2020 72.5%, August 2019 77.8%.
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of New York says the September 2021 Empire State Manufacturing General Business Conditions Index is at +34.3, August was at +18.3, July 43.0, September 2020 +17.0, September 2019 +2.2. “Business activity grew at a swift pace in New York State, according to firms responding to the September 2021 Empire State Manufacturing Survey… Looking ahead, firms remained very optimistic that conditions would improve over the next six months, and capital spending and technology spending plans increased markedly.”

  • Tuesday, September 14, 2021

  • The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary August 2021 US Current Average Earnings/Hour is at $30.73, Average Hours Per Week are at 34.7, making August 2021 US Average Earnings/Week at $1,066.33, July was at $1,060.43, June $1,056.27, August 2020 $1,022.61, August 2019 $968.70.
  • The US Dept of Labor says the August 2021 US Consumer Price Index Monthly Change is at +0.3% and the August 2021 US Consumer Price Index 12 Month Change is at +5.3%, July was at +5.4%, June +5.4%, August 2020 +1.3%, August 2019 +1.7%.
  • CoreLogic says the June 2021 US Housing Mortgages 30 or More Days Delinquent is at 4.4%, May was at 4.7%, April 4.7%, June 2020 7.1%, June 2019 4.0%. “The downward trend in delinquencies, especially serious cases, is very encouraging — and a testimony to the impact of the significant economic rebound over the past six months, as well as government stimuli, record-low mortgage rates and loan modification options. Providing resources to homeowners experiencing distress to help educate them on available government and private-sector support will aide in shrinking delinquency and foreclosure rates even more over the remainder of this year.”
  • Boeing(PBR55) forecasts $9 trillion aerospace market opportunities in commercial, defense and services over next decade.

  • Monday, September 13, 2021

  • The US Dept of the Treasury says the August 2021 US Federal Government Receipts are at $268.4 billion, Outlays $439.0 billion, making the August 2021 US Federal Government Deficit at $170.6 billion; the August 2021 YTD(11 months) Federal Government Receipts are at $3,586.5 billion, Outlays $6,297.1 billion, making the August 2021 YTD US Federal Government Deficit at $2,710.6 billion, August 2020 YTD Deficit was at $3,007.3 billion, August 2019 YTD Deficit $1,067.2 billion.

US Government/Other News

  • US President Biden visits California, endorses Governor Gavin Newsom to remain in office, and Governor Newsom defeats the impeachment vote.
  • Tropical Storm Nicholas hits the Gulf of Mexico coast, Texas and Louisiana get brunt of the storm.
  • The US agrees to share defense technologies for nuclear submarines with the UK and Australia, causes concerns with major allies, France recalls its US and Australian ambassadors.
  • In a climate change forum US President Biden says we are near a “point of no return,” sets stage for global climate change event next week.
  • N Korea does a couple of missile tests.

More Resources:

Check out the BLOG page for the previous RECAPS and SNAPSHOTS posts.

Click here to follow The PBR1000 on Twitter!

PBRMarketTools Info:

If you are not a current The PBR1000 or The PBR25 Subscriber go to the Subscribe page for more information and to get our latest research and monthly snapshots.

Please use the Contact Us page if you are not on our email list or have questions about The PBR1000, The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks, The PBRMarketTools US Economic Indices or the Customization Services we provide. We appreciate your comments and suggestions!

The PBR1000:

PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company.

Empowering Astute Business Leaders and Shrewd Investors
Through The PBR1000 Analytics!

Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

This business intelligence report is provided by: 

(Article image is courtesy of FreeDigitalPhotos.net, ddpavumba.)

Copyright © 2021 by Pax Business Resources, LLC, All Rights Reserved.

Filed Under: Recaps Tagged With: , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The Week 36 of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

September 11, 2021 by

The Week 36 of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

Stock Market News Recap Investing Investor

Monday was US Labor Day so Week 36 was a shortened 4 days of trading. The Stock Market Bull vacationed, The Stock Market Bear feasted, devouring each day for his 3-0 result.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 36 of 2021 Ending 09/10/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(06/30/21 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
Previous Month Close(8/31/21) 35,360.73 15,259.24 4,522.68
Record Close Date 08/16/21 09/07/21 09/02/21
Record Close 35,625.40 15,374.33 4,536.95
Week 35-Friday & Close 35,369.09 15,363.52 4,535.43
Week 36-Monday(Closed, Labor Day) 35,369.09 15,363.52 4,535.43
    Day % Change 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Week 36-Tuesday 35,100.00 15,374.33 4,520.03
    Day % Change -0.76% 0.07% -0.34%
Week 36-Wednesday 35,031.07 15,286.64 4,514.07
    Day % Change -0.20% -0.57% -0.13%
Week 36-Thursday 34,879.38 15,248.25 4,493.28
    Day % Change -0.43% -0.25% -0.46%
Week 36-Friday & Close 34,607.72 15,115.49 4,458.58
    Day % Change -0.78% -0.87% -0.77%
Percent Change-Week -2.15% -1.61% -1.69%
Percent Change-Month-to-Date -2.13% -0.94% -1.42%
Percent Change-Quarter-to-Date 0.30% 4.22% 3.75%
Percent Change-Year-to-Date 13.07% 17.28% 18.70%
Percent Change-Record -2.86% -1.68% -1.73%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD
Week 36 Winner and Tally  Bear 3-0 Win
August Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 16 5 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 12 0 Losing
Mixed Result 8 3
  Totals 36 8

The US Stock Market Week 36 Summary:

Monday was US Labor Day so the US stock exchanges were closed. On Tuesday The Stock Market Bear captured the DJIA and S&P500, but The Stock Market Bull established a new record close on the NASDAQ by a very small margin, then decided to leave the pasture and continue his holiday by taking the rest of the week off. The Stock Market Bear proceeded to feast the rest of the week, devouring every trading session and gets an easy Week 36 3-0 result, his first since Week 33.

Summary News Items for Week 36:

US Economic News

  • Friday, September 10, 2021

  • The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary August 2021 US Producer Price Index Monthly Final Demand Change is at +0.7%, July was at +1.0%, June +1.0%, August 2020 +0.2%, August 2019 +0.1%; the August 2021 US Producer Price Index Monthly Final Demand Change Last 12 Months is at +8.3%, July was at +7.8%, June +7.3%, August 2020 -0.3%, August 2019 +1.9%.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary July 2021 US Wholesale Sales-Durables is at $288.1 billion, Non-Durables $313.2 billion, making July 2021 US Wholesale Sales-Total at $601.4 billion, June was at $589.6 billion, May 576.5 billion, July 2020 $486.3 billion, July 2019 $499.4 billion.

  • Thursday, September 9, 2021

  • No economic news releases today.

  • Wednesday, September 8, 2021

  • The US Federal Reserve releases its Districts Reports for the Beige Book for data through 08/30/21, says, “Economic growth downshifted slightly to a moderate pace in early July through August… Looking ahead, businesses in most Districts remained optimistic about near-term prospects, though there continued to be widespread concern about ongoing supply disruptions and resource shortages.”
  • The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary July 2021 US Job Openings-Private Sector are at 9,881,000, Government Sector 1,053,000, making July 2021 US Job Openings Total at 10,934,000, June was at 10,185,000, May 9,483,000, July 2020 6,718,000, July 2019 7,236,000.
  • The US Federal Reserve says the Preliminary July 2021 US Consumer Debt Annual Rate-Revolving is at $998.4 billion, Non-Revolving $3,332.7 billion, making July 2021 US Consumer Debt Annual Rate Total at $4,331.1 billion, June was at $4,314.0 billion, May $4,276.2 billion, July 2020 $4,152.0 billion, July 2019 $4,121.9 billion.
  • FannieMae says the August 2021 US Home Purchase Sentiment Index is at 75.7, July was at 75.8, June 79.7, August 2020 77.5, August 2019 93.8. “… the ‘good time to buy’ component, while still near a survey low, did tick up for the first time since March, perhaps owing in part to the favorable mortgage rate environment and growing expectations that home price growth will begin to moderate over the next twelve months.”

  • Tuesday, September 7, 2021

  • The Purdue U/CME Group August 2021 Ag Economy Barometer Composite Index is at 138, July was at 134, June 137, August 2020 144, August 2019 124. “Farmer sentiment improved moderately in August vs. July primarily because producers reported that current conditions on their farm operations were better than a month earlier. The sentiment improvement appeared to be driven in part by stronger financial conditions….”

  • Monday, September 6, 2021

  • US Labor Day.
    US Stock Exchanges Closed.
    No US economic news releases today.

US Government/Other

  • Hurricane Ida cleanup continues with New Orleans to New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and New York being the hardest hit areas.
  • US Federal Unemployment Benefits expire
  • The US Congress to continue work on the debt limit, social spending, and infrastructure bills.
  • US COVID-19 related deaths exceed 650,000.
  • The US White House releases plan to lower prescription drug prices.
  • US President Biden announces COVID-19 vaccine mandates for federal government employees and its contractors.
  • The US Dept of Justice sues the State of Texas over its recently passed restrictive abortion law.
  • US President Biden speaks with China’s President Xi Jinping for the first time in 7 months, has a broad based discussion.

More Resources:

Check out the BLOG page for the previous RECAPS and SNAPSHOTS posts.

Click here to follow The PBR1000 on Twitter!

PBRMarketTools Info:

If you are not a current The PBR1000 or The PBR25 Subscriber go to the Subscribe page for more information and to get our latest research and monthly snapshots.

Please use the Contact Us page if you are not on our email list or have questions about The PBR1000, The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks, The PBRMarketTools US Economic Indices or the Customization Services we provide. We appreciate your comments and suggestions!

The PBR1000:

PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company.

Empowering Astute Business Leaders and Shrewd Investors
Through The PBR1000 Analytics!

Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

This business intelligence report is provided by: 

(Article image is courtesy of FreeDigitalPhotos.net, ddpavumba.)

Copyright © 2021 by Pax Business Resources, LLC, All Rights Reserved.

Filed Under: Recaps Tagged With: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks August 2020 12 Month Report Card

September 8, 2021 by

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks August 2020 12 Month Report Card

Stocks PBR25 PBR1000 Report Card Subscribe

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks for August 2020, exceeded forecast and the US major stock indices, so gets an A.

By Larry C. Paxton

Welcome to The August 2020 The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks 12 Month Report Card.

As investors we count on professional stock analysts to provide comprehensive and diligent research to come up with their best take on how stocks will perform over the next 12 months. We then use that information to help us make stock buy, hold and sell decisions.

The PBR25 Premise

The premise of The PBR25 is that there is a high probability of success for stock investing when a large enough number professional stock analysts through their extensive research determine that a stock is a “Buy” and also forecasts a significant return over the next 12 months. PBRMarketTools assigns a Report Card grade based on how the professional stock analysts did.

Last 12 Months Influences

It is difficult to forecast a result with much accuracy over a 12 month period. For example, the primary impact in August 2020 was the continuing COVID-19 pandemic. The world, including the US, was deep into the COVID-19 pandemic, which created a lot of unemployment, affected many economic sectors like hospitality and travel services, closed schools, forced people to work from home, and much more. There was also a very contentious US Presidential election process going on. There are a lot more factors, but this is not meant to be an opinions post. It is a piece focused on the review of the recommendations stock analysts came up with at the end of August 2020 and the actual results 12 months later at the end of August 2021. PBRMarketTools is calling this a Report Card.

For this August 2020 Report Card we used stock data and forecasts from September 1, 2020, and compare it to August 31, 2021.

Creating The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks List for August 2020

The starting point is the prestigious The PBR1000 US Public Companies, produced monthly by PBRMarketTools. To be included in The PBR1000 the 1,000 companies must meet the following criteria:

  • The companies must be publicly traded on the NYSE, NYSE American or NASDAQ stock exchanges, with a very few temporarily trading on the Over-The-Counter market because they are transitioning from bankruptcy.
  • They must be headquartered in the US or have primary operations in the US.
  • They must have generated at least $1 billion in revenues in their most recent full fiscal year.
  • They must file an annual 10-K form with the US Securities and Exchange Commission in US dollars
  • Each of the 1,000 companies is given a primary ranking based on revenues, with the company having the highest revenue amount ranked 1(currently Walmart). There are 27 secondary rankings in The PBR1000 based on other criteria as well.

Each month the 12 month estimates and recommendations by stock analysts are updated on The PBR1000. The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks list for August 2020 was then created using the following process:

  • At any point in time The PBR1000 has around 15,000 stock analyst recommendations.
  • The PBR1000 is sorted several times to come up with The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks, made up of stocks that are rated a “Buy” by analysts, have a 12 Month Targeted % Change of at least +20%, and have at least 10 “Buy” recommendations.

Actual Results for The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks for August 2021

  • Two energy related companies, Concho Resources, ranked 3 on the August 2020 PBR25, and Parsley Energy, ranked 6, were acquired in January, 2021. While the analysis is based on all 25 companies, the Actual Stock Price used was for the last business day of the last full month they traded.

Following is a table of characteristics and 12 month actual results for the The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks on September 1, 2020, which we are calling the August report.

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks on 09/01/20

12 Month Report Card
Total Companies 25
Low Weighted Average 4.56/5.00
High Weighted Average 5.00/5.00
Average Weighted Average 4.73/5.00
Market Capitalization Low($B) 2.43
Market Capitalization High($B) 66.52
Total Market Capitalization($B) 461.07
Total NYSE Companies 24
Total NASDAQ Companies 1
12 Month 12 Month
Forecast for Actual
09/01/20 08/31/21 08/31/21
Low Stock Price 9.53 12.11 16.39
High Stock Price 177.72 235.84 233.01
Total of Stock Prices 1,567.38 2,082.24 2,206.74
Total Stock Price Change 514.86 639.36
Percent Change 32.85% 40.79%
DJIA Percent Change 23.44%
NASDAQ Percent Change 27.80%
S&P500 Change 28.24%
Lowest Change 21.26% -10.49%
Highest Change 58.48% 130.90%
Total Exceeding Forecast(Out of 25) 12
Total with >0% Return 24

Conclusions, Observations, Validations and Realities

  • If you had bought 1 share each of The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks at the closing price on September 1, 2020, you would have achieved a +40.79% gain 12 months later at the close on Augusty 31, 2021, higher than the 32.85% estimate and  an excellent return. Also, it exceeded the returns on the DJIA, NASDAQ, and S&P500 indices. For this reason The August 2020 The PBR25 gets an ‘A’ on its 12 month Report Card.
  • It is difficult to forecast out 12 months with any great accuracy, there are just too many variables and uncertainties.
  • However, it does demonstrate that The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks is a valid methodology and process for that particular month.
  • Our demonstration account, called The Charlie Fund, uses the popular “Buy & Hold with Consistent Monthly Investment Strategy” with the monthly The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks as the primary research tool. For the 12 Month Report Card period it achieved a greater than 50% return, a further validation of the methodology.
  • There are no guarantees! The reality is that there will always be ups and downs in the stock market and people make stocks buy, hold and sell decisions based on a wide range logical and emotional criteria, input from knowledgeable hard-working experts and well meaning friends, and if the sky is blue today. But the historical data is pretty convincing that stocks will trend up at an above average investment rate over the long haul.

Additional Information

  • The details of this summary, including company names and the over 200 fields of information for each company, were extracted from the updated The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks MS-Excel worksheet for August 2021, and has been distributed to The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks Subscribers for their personal use and further research
  • The next 12 Month Report Card will be for September 2020, and should be available early to mid October, 2021.
  • For characteristics of the most recent monthly The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks go to The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks information page.

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks Report Cards Historical Review
Stock Price 12 Month 12 Month
Report Card Actual Date Forecast Actual
December 2019(12/31/19) 12/31/20 13.59% 34.70%
January 2020(02/04/20) 01/29/21 16.59% 33.92%
February 2020(02/28/20) 02/26/21 27.69% 42.66%
March 2020(03/31/20) 03/31/21 28.96% 53.35%
April 2020(05/01/20) 04/30/21 16.16% 50.18%
May 2020(05/29/20) 05/28/21 9.89% 37.80%
June 2020(07/02/20) 07/02/21 30.88% 47.08%
July 2020(07/30/20) 07/31/21 33.61% 37.77%
August 2020(09/01/20) 08/31/21 32.85% 40.79%

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The Week 35 of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

September 3, 2021 by

The Week 35 of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

stock market bull bear stocks news recap PBR1000

In Week 35 of 2021 The Stock Market Bull establishes 4 new record closes for the NASDAQ, but loses every day on the DJIA, ends up with a 2-1 mixed win result.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 35 of 2021 Ending 09/03/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(06/30/21 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
Previous Month Close(8/31/21) 35,360.73 15,259.24 4,522.68
Record Close Date 08/16/21 09/03/21 09/02/21
Record Close 35,625.40 15,363.52 4,536.95
Week 34-Friday & Close 35,455.80 15,129.50 4,509.37
Week 35-Monday 35,399.84 15,265.89 4,528.79
    Day % Change -0.16% 0.90% 0.43%
Week 35-Tuesday 35,360.73 15,259.24 4,522.68
    Day % Change -0.11% -0.04% -0.13%
Week 35-Wednesday 35,312.53 15,309.38 4,524.09
    Day % Change -0.14% 0.33% 0.03%
Week 35-Thursday 35,443.82 15,331.18 4,536.95
    Day % Change 0.37% 0.14% 0.28%
Week 35-Friday & Close 35,369.09 15,363.52 4,535.43
    Day % Change -0.21% 0.21% -0.03%
Percent Change-Week -0.24% 1.55% 0.58%
Percent Change-Month-to-Date 0.02% 0.68% 0.28%
Percent Change-Quarter-to-Date 2.51% 5.93% 5.54%
Percent Change-Year-to-Date 15.56% 19.21% 20.75%
Percent Change-Record -0.72% 0.00% -0.03%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD
Week 35 Winner and Tally  Bull 2-1 Mixed Win
August Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 16 5 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 11 0 Losing
Mixed Result 8 3
  Totals 35 8

The US Stock Market Week 35 Summary:

The Stock Market Bear took all 5 days of the DJIA, albeit by small margins. The Stock Market Bull countered with 4 record closes on the NASDAQ, Tuesday the loss by only 6.65(-0.04%) points. The tiebreaker was the S&P500, with The Stock Market Bull getting record closes on Monday and Thursday and also winning Wednesday, with minimal losses on Tuesday and Friday. Bottom line, The Stock Market Bull achieves a 2-1 mixed win result in Week 35 of 2021.

Summary News Items for Week 35:

US Economy News

  • Friday, September 3, 2021

  • The US Dept of Labor says the August 2021 US Available Labor Force is at 161,537,000, Employed is at 153,154,000, Unemployed 8,383,000, for an August 2021 US Unemployment Rate of 5.2%, July was at 5.4%, June 5.9%, August 2020 8.4%, August 2019 3.7%.
  • The Institute for Supply Management says the August 2021 US Services PMI Index(>50 Economy is growing) is at 61.7%, July was at 64.1%, June 60.1%, August 2020 56.9%, August 2019 56.4%. “… growth remains strong for the services sector. The tight labor market, materials shortages, inflation and logistics issues continue to cause capacity constraints….”
  • IHS Markit says the August 2021 US Composite PMI Output Index is at 55.4, July was at 59.9, June 63.7, August 2020 54.6, August 2019 50.7. “Growth slowed sharply in the US service sector in August, joining the manufacturing sector in reporting a marked cooling in demand and encountering growing problems finding staff and supplies. Jobs growth almost stalled among the surveyed companies in August and supplier lead times are lengthening at a near record rate….”

  • Thursday, September 2, 2021

  • The US Dept of Labor says the Revised 2Q21 US Business Sector Labor Productivity Output/Hr-All Persons is at +2.4%, 1Q21 was at +4.2%, 4Q20 -4.2%, 2Q20 +10.2%, 2Q19 +4.3%.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary July 2021 US Trade Exports-Goods is at $148.6 billion, Services $64.2 billion, making July 2021 US Trade Exports Total at $212.8 billion; Preliminary July 2021 US Trade Imports-Goods is at $236.3 billion, Services $46.6 billion, making July 2021 US Trade Imports Total at $282.9 billion, making the July 2021 US Trade Deficit Total at $70.1 billion, June was at $73.2 billion, May $68.6 billion, July 2020 $50.7 billion, July 2019 $50.1 billion.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary July 2021 US Manufacturers Orders-Durables is at $257.8 billion, Non-Durables $250.7 billion, making the July 2021 US Manufacturers Orders Total at $508.5 billion, June was at $500.7 billion, May $491.4 billion, July 2020 $452.6 billion, July 2019 $476.1 billion.

  • Wednesday, September 1, 2021

  • ADP says the Preliminary August 2021 US Change In Unemployment-Private Sector-Small Businesses is at +86,000, Mid-Sized 149,000, Large-Sized 138,000, for August 2021 US Change in Unemployment-Private Sector of +373,000, July was at +326,000, June +691,000, August 2020 +429,000, August 2019 +195,000.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary July 2021 US Construction Spending-Residential Annual Rate is at $782.1 billion, Non-Residential $786.7 billion, for US July 2021 Total US Construction Spending Annual Rate at $1,568.8 billion, June was at $1,563.5 billion, May $1,564.2 billion, July 2020 $1,439.6 billion, July 2019 $1,366.0 billion.
  • The Institute for Supply Management August 2021 US Manufacturing PMI Index(>50% Economy is expanding) is at 59.9%, July was at 59.5%, June 60.6%, August 2020 56.0%, August 2019 49.1%. “Business Survey Committee panelists reported that their companies and suppliers continue to struggle at unprecedented levels to meet increasing demand. All segments of the manufacturing economy are impacted by record-long raw-materials lead times, continued shortages of critical basic materials, rising commodities prices and difficulties in transporting products. The new surges of COVID-19 are adding to pandemic-related issues — worker absenteeism, short-term shutdowns due to parts shortages, difficulties in filling open positions and overseas supply chain problems — that continue to limit manufacturing-growth potential. However, optimistic panel sentiment remained strong, with eight positive comments for every cautious comment.”
  • The IHS Markit August 2021 US Manufacturing PMI Index is at 61.1, July was at 63.4, June 62.1, August 2020 53.1, August 2019 50.3. “US goods producers continued to register marked upturns in output and new orders in August, as demand flourished once again. That said, constraints on production due to material shortages exerted further pressure on capacity as backlogs of work rose at a near-record rate….”

  • Tuesday, August 31, 2021

  • The US Dept of the Treasury says on 08/27/21 the US National Debt-Public is at $22.244 trillion, Intragovernmental $6.184 trillion, for 08/27/21 US Total National Debt of $28.428 trillion, 07/30/21 was also at $28.428 trillion, 06/30/21 $28.530 trillion, 08/31/20 $26.703 trillion, 08/31/19 $22.467 trillion.
  • The US Dept of the Treasury says at the close on 08/31/21 the US Treasury 10 Year Notes Yield was at 1.30%, 07/30/21 was at 1.24%, 06/30/21 1.45%, 08/31/20 0.72%, 08/31/19 1.50%.
  • The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Preliminary June 2021 US National Home Price Index(Jan2000=100) is at 260.87, May was at 255.30, April 249.61, June 2020 219.94, June 2019 210.71; the June 2021 US National Home Price Index change from June 2020 is at +18.6%. “We have previously suggested that the strength in the U.S. housing market is being driven in part by reaction to the COVID pandemic, as potential buyers move from urban apartments to suburban homes. June’s data are consistent with this hypothesis. This demand surge may simply represent an acceleration of purchases that would have occurred anyway over the next several years. Alternatively, there may have been a secular change in locational preferences, leading to a permanent shift in the demand curve for housing. More time and data will be required to analyze this question.”
  • The Conference Board says the Preliminary August 2021 US Consumer Confidence Index(1985=100) is at 113.8, July was at 125.1, June 128.9, August 2020 86.3, August 2019 134.2. “While the resurgence of COVID-19 and inflation concerns have dampened confidence, it is too soon to conclude this decline will result in consumers significantly curtailing their spending in the months ahead.”
  • The MNI Indicators Preliminary August 2021 Chicago Business Barometer Index(>50 = economy expanding) is at 66.8, July was at 73.4, June 66.1, August 2020 51.2, August 2019 50.4. “Firms say the available supply of raw materials and workers isn’t sufficient to keep up with new orders.”
  • The American Automobile Assn says that on 08/31/21 the US Average Price/Gallon of Regular Gas is at $3.159, 07/30/21 was at $3.168, 06/30/21 $3.118, 08/31/20 $2.233, 08/30/19 $2.580.

  • Monday, August 30, 2021

  • No US economic news releases today.

US Government/Other

  • The US completes its civilian and military withdrawal from Afghanistan on August 30.
  • The Delta variant of the COVID-19 virus continues to spread and cause deaths at high levels.
  • Hurricane Ida hits New Orleans, during the week moves up to the Northeast US with high winds and dumping lots of rain along the way causing some deaths and severe floods, especially in New Jersey, Pennsylvania and New York, expected to become the most costly natural disaster in the US.
  • Jobs reports by ADP and the US Dept of Labor fall significantly below forecasts.
  • The US Social Security Administration says it will be unable to provide full benefits in 2034, one year earlier than forecast last year.
  • Medicare says the hospital insurance fund will be depleted by 2026, or at the same time as predicted in 2020.
  • The Texas legislature passes the most restrictive abortion law in the US, banning abortions after 6 weeks. The US Supreme Court says it will not block the law, that it was not ruling on the constitutionality of the law and did not mean to limit “procedurally proper challenges” to it.
  • US President Biden to declassify some documents related to the 09/11 attack.
  • The Dixie fire in California has consumed 860,000 acres over 50 days, the Caldor fire continues to threaten the Lake Tahoe area, other fires continue in the Western US states.

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The August 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

August 31, 2021 by

The August 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Stocks Investing Investor

The Stock Market Bull has an excellent August with his 3-0 monthly win including several new records highs on all three major US stock indices.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

The Month of August 2021 Ending 08/31/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
2020 Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
2Q21 Close(06/30/21) 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
July 2021 Close(07/30/21) 34,935.47 14,672.68 4,395.26
Record Close Date 08/16/21 08/30/21 08/30/21
Record Close 35,625.40 15,265.89 4,528.79
August 2021 Close(08/31/21) 35,360.73 15,259.24 4,522.68
Percent Change-Month 1.22% 4.00% 2.90%
Percent Change-2Q21-to-Date 2.49% 5.21% 5.24%
Percent Change-Year-to-Date 15.53% 18.40% 20.41%
Percent Change-Record -0.74% -0.04% -0.13%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD
Week 34 2021 Winner and Tally  Bull 3-0 Win
August 2021 Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 16 5 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 11 0 Losing
Mixed Result 7 3
  Totals 34 8

The US Stock Market August 2021 Summary:

The Stock Market Bull enjoyed great success in August, taking Week 31 3-0, getting a mixed result win in Week 32 2-1, letting The Stock Market Bear have his only 3-0 victory in Week 33, then The Stock Market Bull returning with a dominating Week 34 3-0 win. All three major US stock indices had great months with several new record closes established which continued to add to The Stock Market Bull’s strong showing year-to-date, and again leaves The Stock Market Bear winless on a monthly basis with no hope of taking the monthly contest in 2021.

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The Week 34 of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

August 27, 2021 by

The Week 34 of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

Stock Market Stocks Investing Investor

Snorting loudly and hoofs pounding The Stock Market Bull takes a 3-0 victory in Week 34, ending the week with record closes for the NASDAQ and S&P500.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 34 of 2021 Ending 08/27/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(06/30/21 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
Previous Month Close(7/30/21) 34,935.47 14,672.68 4,395.26
Record Close Date 08/16/21 08/27/21 08/27/21
Record Close 35,625.40 15,129.50 4,509.37
Week 33-Friday & Close 35,120.08 14,714.66 4,441.67
Week 34-Monday 35,335.71 14,942.65 4,479.53
    Day % Change 0.61% 1.55% 0.85%
Week 34-Tuesday 35,366.26 15,019.80 4,486.23
    Day % Change 0.09% 0.52% 0.15%
Week 34-Wednesday 35,405.50 15,041.86 4,496.19
    Day % Change 0.11% 0.15% 0.22%
Week 34-Thursday 35,213.12 14,945.81 4,470.00
    Day % Change -0.54% -0.64% -0.58%
Week 34-Friday & Close 35,455.80 15,129.50 4,509.37
    Day % Change 0.69% 1.23% 0.88%
Percent Change-Week 0.96% 2.82% 1.52%
Percent Change-Month-to-Date 1.49% 3.11% 2.60%
Percent Change-Quarter-to-Date 2.76% 4.31% 4.93%
Percent Change-Year-to-Date 15.84% 17.39% 20.06%
Percent Change-Record -0.48% 0.00% 0.00%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD
Week 34 Winner and Tally  Bull 3-0 Win
July Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 16 4 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 11 0 Losing
Mixed Result 7 3
  Totals 34 7

The US Stock Market Week 34 Summary:

With a big snort and hoofs pounding the ground The Stock Market Bull swept Monday in a big way, then Tuesday and Wednesday with smaller gains. But The Stock Market Bear decided he wanted to play as well and took Thursday, wiping out much of the Tuesday and Wednesday gains as COVID-19 Delta variant and a suicide bombing at Afghanistan’s Kabul Airport during the emergency evacuations news dominated. But on Friday, with the assistance of some good economic news and plans announced fpr the tapering of bond purchases by the Federal Reserve later this year, The Stock Market Bull returned and had a very nice end to week, closes with record highs for the NASDAQ and S&P500, and takes a clear 3-0 victory for Week 34.

Summary News Items for Week 34:

US Economy News

  • Friday, August 27, 2021

  • The US Dept of Commerce/BEA says the Preliminary July 2021 US Personal Income Annual Rate is at $20.668 trillion, June was at $20.442 trillion, May $20.405 trillion, July 2020 $20.174 trillion, July 2019 $18.688 trillion.
  • The U of Michigan says the Final August 2021 US Consumer Sentiment Index is at 70.3, July 2021 was at 81.2, June 85.5, August 2020 74.1, August 2019 89.8. “The Consumer Sentiment Index fell by 13.4% from July, recording the least favorable economic prospects in more than a decade… Consumers’ extreme reactions were due to the surging Delta variant, higher inflation, slower wage growth, and smaller declines in unemployment. The extraordinary falloff in sentiment also reflects an emotional response, from dashed hopes that the pandemic would soon end and lives could return to normal.”

  • Thursday, August 26, 2021

  • The US Dept of Commerce/BEA says the 2nd Estimate of the 2Q21 US Real Gross Domestic Product Annual Rate is at +6.6%, $22.731 trillion, 1Q21 was at $22.038 trillion, 4Q20 $21.478 trillion, 2Q20 $19.477 trillion, 2Q19 $21.330 trillion.
  • The US Dept of Labor says for the Week Ending 08/21/21 the US Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims 4 Week Moving Average is at 366,500, 07/24/21 was at 394,500, 06/19/21 397,750, 08/22/20 1,068,000, 08/24/19 215,500.
  • FreddieMac says for the Week Ending 08/26/21 the US Average 30 Year Fixed Rate Mortgage is at 2.87% with 0.6 points/fees, 07/29/21 was at 2.80%, 06/24/21 3.02%, 08/27/20 2.91%, 08/29/19 3.58%. “The tug-of-war between the economic recovery and rising COVID-19 cases has left mortgage rates moving sideways over the last few weeks….”
  • TrueCar says the Forecasted August 2021 US Auto Sales-Retail is at 1,077,701 units, Fleet 134,398, for Total Forecasted August 2021 US Auto Sales of 1,212,399 units, July 2021 was at 1,291,775, June 2021 1,300,873, August 2020 1,319,682, August 2019 1,602,276; Forecasted August 2021 Average Auto Transaction Price is at $38,520, August 2020 was at $36,373, August 2019 $34,327.

  • Wednesday, August 25, 2021

  • The US Energy Information Administration says on 08/20/21 the US Millions of Barrels of Crude Oil Stocks are at 432.6, 07/23/21 was at 435.6, 06/25/21 452.3, 08/21/20 507.8, 08/23/19 427.8.

  • Tuesday, August 24, 2021

  • The US Dept of Commerce/HUD says the Preliminary July 2021 US New Family Homes Sold are at a 708,000 units annual rate, June was at 701,000, May 720,000, July 2020 972,000, July 2019 661,000; July 2021 US Median Home Price is at $390,500, June was at $370,200, May 387,300, July 2020 $329,800, July 2019 $308,300.
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia says the August 2021 US 3rd District Nonmanufacturing General Activity Index is at +39.1, July was at +53.1, June +59.6, August 2020 +1.6, August 2019 +8.5. “The respondents expect overall improvement in conditions over the next six months.”
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond says the Preliminary August 2021 US 5th District Manufacturing Index(Annualized) is at +9%, July was at +27%, June +26%, August 2020 +18%, August 2019 +1%. “The composite index declined from 27 in July to 9 in August but remained in expansionary territory… Overall, they were optimistic that conditions would improve in the next six months….”
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond says the Preliminary August 2021 US 5th District Service Sector Revenue Index(Annualized) is at +15%, July was at +19%, June +29%, August 2020 +2%, August 2019 +6%. “Respondents reported improved local business conditions and increased capital spending, and they were optimistic that conditions would continue to improve in the coming months….”

  • Monday, August 23, 2021

  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago says the Preliminary July 2021 US National Activity Index is at +0.53, June was at -0.01, May +0.15, July 2020 +2.66, July 2019 -0.42. “Index points to a pickup in economic growth in July.”
  • The Natl Assn of Realtors says the Preliminary July 2021 US Existing Home Sales Annual Rate is at 5,990,000 units, June was at 5,870,000, May 5,780,000, July 2020 5,900,000, July 2019 5,390,000; the July 2021 US Median Existing Home Price is at $359,900, June was at $363,300, May $350,300, July 2020 $305,600, July 2019 $280,400. “We see inventory beginning to tick up, which will lessen the intensity of multiple offers… Much of the home sales growth is still occurring in the upper-end markets, while the mid- to lower-tier areas aren’t seeing as much growth because there are still too few starter homes available.”

US Government/Other

  • The Delta variant of COVID-19 cases continue at high levels in the US and across the world, especially for non-vaccinated people.
  • The airlift evacuation of US citizens and Afghanistan helpers and their families, due to be completed by August 31, is briefly interrupted when on Thursday a suicide bomber kills 13 US servicemen and 200 Afghans at the Kabul Airport. US President Biden updates the American people, says those responsible will be found and dealt with, airlift continues.
  • Hurricane/Tropical Storm Henri moves up the Northeast coastline of the US with torrential downpours and high winds.
  • The US House of Representatives approves a measure to proceed with developing a $3.5 trillion budget plan for the next fiscal year, also starts work on the $1 trillion infrastructure bill passed by the US Senate.
  • At the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City’s Jackson Hole Annual Economics Meeting, which was held remotely, US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell says the labor market is improving, expects inflation to drop to its 2% target over time, announces plans for a gradual tapering of bond purchases program starting before the end of the year.
  • New York governor Andrew Cuomo’s resignation is effective on Tuesday, August 24th, in response to sexual harassment allegations. Kathy Hochul becomes governor, the first woman to hold that position in New York.
  • The US Biden administration cancels more student loan debts, this time $1.1 billion for ITT students.
  • Gulf of Mexico tropical storm Ida is expected to become a hurricane, to reach landfall around New Orleans.

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The Week 33 of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

August 20, 2021 by

The Week 33 of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Recap Investing Investor

The Stock Market Bull waited at least one day too long for a comeback, The Stock Market Bear takes Week 33 with a 3-0 result.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 33 of 2021 Ending 08/20/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(06/30/21 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
Previous Month Close(7/30/21) 34,935.47 14,672.68 4,395.26
Record Close Date 08/16/21 08/05/21 08/16/21
Record Close 35,625.40 14,895.12 4,479.71
Week 32-Friday & Close 35,515.38 14,822.90 4,468.00
Week 33-Monday 35,625.40 14,793.76 4,479.71
    Day % Change 0.31% -0.20% 0.26%
Week 33-Tuesday 35,343.28 14,656.18 4,448.08
    Day % Change -0.79% -0.93% -0.71%
Week 33-Wednesday 34,960.69 14,525.91 4,400.27
    Day % Change -1.08% -0.89% -1.07%
Week 33-Thursday 34,894.12 14,541.79 4,405.80
    Day % Change -0.19% 0.11% 0.13%
Week 33-Friday & Close 35,120.08 14,714.66 4,441.67
    Day % Change 0.65% 1.19% 0.81%
Percent Change-Week -1.11% -0.73% -0.59%
Percent Change-Month-to-Date 0.53% 0.29% 1.06%
Percent Change-Quarter-to-Date 1.79% 1.45% 3.35%
Percent Change-Year-to-Date 14.75% 14.17% 18.25%
Percent Change-Record -1.42% -1.21% -0.85%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD
Week 33 Winner and Tally  Bear 3-0 Win
July Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 15 4 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 11 0 Losing
Mixed Result 7 3
  Totals 33 7

The US Stock Market Week 33 Summary:

The Stock Market Bull charged out of the gate with two new record closes for the DJIA and S&P500 and a small loss on the NASDAQ on Monday. On Tuesday The Stock Market Bear struck back taking all 3 stock indices, then similarly took out another big bite on Wednesday. The weakened Bull managed to outdo the tired Bear on Thursday, losing only the DJIA. On Friday The Stock Market Bull made a valiant comeback attempt, easily took all 3 indices, but it was not quite enough. The Stock Market Bear takes Week 33 of 2021 with a 3-0 result, and stops The Stock Market Bull from getting the trifecta of victories over 3 weeks.

Summary News Items for Week 33:

US Economy News

  • Friday, August 20, 2021

  • No economic news items to report.

  • Thursday, August 19, 2021

  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia says the August 2021 US 3rd District Manufacturing General Activity Indicator is at +19.4, July was at +21.9, June +30.7, August 2020 +20.2, August 2019 +16.6. “The survey’s future indexes moderated this month but continue to suggest expected growth over the next six months.”
  • The Conference Board says the Preliminary July 2021 US Leading Economic Index(2016=100) is at +116.0, June was at +115.1, May +114.6, July 2020 +105.2, July 2019 +112.2. “The Leading Index’s overall upward trend, which started with the end of the pandemic-induced recession in April 2020, is consistent with strong economic growth in the second half of the year. While the Delta variant and/or rising inflation fears could create headwinds for the US economy in the near term, we expect real GDP growth for 2021 to reach 6.0 percent year-over-year, before easing to a still robust 4.0 percent growth rate for 2022.”

  • Wednesday, August 18, 2021

  • The US Federal Open Market Committee released the Minutes of the 07/27-28/21 meeting. Summary: “… overall financial conditions ended the period little changed at historically accommodative levels.” Discussions included possibly tapering bond purchases by the end of the year, expressions of concern that the COVID-19 Delta variant could prolong shortages and keep inflation higher into 2022.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/HUD says the Preliminary July 2021 US Housing Starts Annual Rate is at 1,534,000 units, June was at 1,650,000, May 1,594,000, July 2020 1,497,000, July 2019 1,212,000.

  • Tuesday, August 17, 2021

  • The Natl Assn of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Preliminary August 2021 Housing Market Sales Conditions Index is at 75, July was at 80, June 81, August 2020 78, August 2019 67. “Higher construction costs and supply shortages along with rising home prices pushed builder confidence to its lowest reading since July 2020…”
  • The US Federal Reserve says the Preliminary July 2021 US Manufacturing % of Capacity is at 76.1%, June was at 75.4%, May 75.3%, July 2020 71.8%, July 2019 77.8%.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary June 2021 US Sales-Manufacturers is at $499.0 billion, Retailer Sales $553.7 billion, Wholesalers Sales $588.1, making June 2021 Total US Sales at $1,640.8 billion, May was at $1,618.5 billion, April $1,621.4 billion, June 2020 $1,369.0 billion, June 2019 $1,457.0 billion.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Advance July 2021 Sales-Retail is at $545.5 billion, Food Services & Drinking Places $72.2, making July 2021 Total Retail Sales at $617.7 billion, June was at $624.7 billion, May $620.1 billion, July 2020 $533.5 billion, July 2019 $521.8 billion.

  • Monday, August 16, 2021

  • The Federal Reserve Bank of New York says the August 2021 Empire State Manufacturing General Business Conditions Index is at +18.3, July was at +43.0, June +17.4, August 2020 +3.7. “Business activity continued to expand in New York State… though growth was significantly slower than last month’s record-setting pace… firms remained optimistic that conditions would improve over the next six months, with substantial increases in employment and prices expected.”

US Government/Other

  • New COVID-19 cases continue at a high level, mostly from the Delta variant, the US government is now planning to make available booster vaccines to be available in September.
  • The Afghanistan government collapsed and has been taken over by the Taliban in surprisingly short period of time with nearly no resistance. US troops are sent to Afghanistan to accelerate the leaving of US citizens and Afghanistan citizens who provided services for the US.
  • Tropical storms Fred, Grace, and Henri are hitting the Southeastern and Northeastern parts of the US with strong winds and high levels of rainfall.
  • The Biden administration is cancelling $5.8 billion in student financial aid for disabled borrowers.
  • Haiti was hit with a devastating earthquake and then pounded by tropical storms.
  • China releases weaker than expected economic data.

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Through The PBR1000 Analytics!

Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

This business intelligence report is provided by: 

(Article image is courtesy of FreeDigitalPhotos.net, ddpavumba.)

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