The PBR1000 for November 2020: The Stock Market Bull Gets a Big Win

It looks like The Stock Market Bull easily trounces The Stock Market Bear in November, but a lot happened between the start and end of the month.

By Larry C. Paxton

The PBRMarketTools US Stock Exchanges Recap for November ending 11/30/20:

DJIA ends November at 29,638.64, -0.91% from last Friday, +11.84% MTD, +6.68% QTD, +3.86% YTD, -1.36% from record 30,046.24 set 11/24/20.

NASDAQ ends November at 12,198.74, -0.06% from last Friday, +11.80% MTD, +9.23% QTD, +35.46% YTD, -0.06% from record 12,205.85 set 11/27/20.

SPX ends November at 3,621.63, -0.46% from last Friday, +10.75% MTD, +7.69% QTD, +12.10% YTD, -0.46% from record 3,638.35 set 11/27/20.

The November 2020 News Summary: At the start of the month the big headlines revolved around the US Presidential election, who would control the US Senate, and how the US House might change. On November 3rd citizens cast their votes. That night it appeared the election could go either way. This continued for a few days until finally it was clear that former VP Joe Biden had over 50% of the popular vote and the electoral votes needed by very slim margins in a few key states. This has resulted in several lawsuits filed and some recounts. The bottom line is that the Biden/Harris ticket is generally regarded as the winner. After some delays waiting for results of the lawsuits and recounts Joe Biden was officially declared President-Elect, and the transition process has begun. However, President Trump still feels there was significant voter fraud, continues the battle, and has not yet conceded, but has said he will accept the Electoral College results. For the US Senate the Republicans lost a seat to the Democrats. The result is that the US Senate has 50 Republicans, 46 Democrats, and 2 Independents who generally caucus with Democrats. The remaining 2 seats are from the State of Georgia where two special runoff elections are scheduled for January 5, 2021. At this time it would appear that the Republicans will probably win at least 1 seat, and maintain the slimmest of margins to maintain control in the US Senate. But there is still plenty of time and it is estimated that around $1 billion will be spent on the campaigns. For the US House the Democrats will maintain their majority, currently with 222 members(218 needed for a majority), the Republicans 207, with 6 seats still not decided or runoffs are scheduled. The feared civil unrest has been very minimal, the voter fraud allegations seem to be lacking evidence, and the general population seems ready to accept the Biden/Harris victory and move on. As the politics were generally settled down by the end of the month the Coronavirus Pandemic was escalating. As of today, Monday, 11/30/20, at 7:27PM Eastern US, the John Hopkins University CSSE unit says there are now 63,189,103 confirmed cases globally with 1,466,762 deaths, a monthly increase of 280,337. For the US it is 13,536,216 confirmed cases and 267,987 deaths, a monthly increase of 38,631. During the month Pfizer, Moderna, and AstraZeneca announced that their candidate vaccines have proven effective in Phase 3 studies and have applied for or are planning to apply for Emergency Use Authorization with the US Federal Drug Administration. If approved the vaccines could become available in late December/early 2021. The end of the month increases of cases requiring hospitalization are stretching healthcare facilities and team members, and there are concerns that cooler temperatures and traditional Thanksgiving and Christmas gatherings could create some super-spreader events. International trade issues still remain, especially between the US and China, nothing has been publicly stated on any progress. The UK is now trying to put together a trade deal with the European Union, a result of Brexit, but there are a lot of complications and details to work out. US economic news indicated a fragile moderate improvement as US businesses try to remain open. But weekly unemployment insurance claims have risen a little bit, but overall number of people on employment benefits are dropping. Benefits could almost disappear completely the day after Christmas unless Congress steps in and extends some programs. There is still a hope that the Congress might be able to pass a stimulus bill as well before the end of the year. With the general election over, the announcement of successful vaccine tests and the economy still showing it is recovering at a moderate pace the 3 major US stock exchanges exploded to have their best month in many decades, surpassing +10% for each. New record highs were established in each one. There were some significant ups and downs on a daily basis, but in the end The Stock Market Bull easily prevailed 3-0 in November, and guarantees that he will take the year in months won over The Stock Market Bear, who is now 2 months down. Stay safe, be alert, and have a blessed holiday season as much as is possible as a the strange and memorable year of 2020 finally comes to an end.

The YTD tally through November 2020 is:
The Stock Market Bull: 6 months
The Stock Market Bear: 4 months
Mixed Results: 1 month

The November 2020 US Major Stock Market Exchanges Summary

Number of Trading Days: 20

Number of Gain(+)/Loss(-) Days: DJIA 12+/8-; NASDAQ 13+/7-; SPX 12+/8-.

Record Days: DJIA 2, NASDAQ 2, SPX 4

Longest Gain Streak(Consecutive Days): DJIA 4 days(11/02-05/20), NASDAQ 5 days(11/02-06/20),  and /SPX 4 days(11/02-05/20)

Longest Loss Streak(Consecutive Days): DJIA 2 days(11/11-12/20, 11/17-18/20), NASDAQ 2 days(11/09-10/20, 11/17-18/20), and SPX 2 days(11/17-18/20)

Big Swing Up Days(>1.00%): 10 days, 11/02/20( D +1.60%, S +1.23%), 11/03/20(D +2.06%, N +1.85%, S +1.78%), 11/04/20(D +1.34%, N +3.85%, S +2.20%), 11/05/20(D +1.95%, N +2.59%, S +1.95%), 11/09/20(D +2.95%, S +1.17%), 11/11/20(N +2.01%), 11/13/20(D +1.37%, N +1.02%, S +1.36%), 11/16/20(D +1.60%, S +1.16%), 11/23/20(D +1.12%), 11/24/20(D +1.54%, N +1.31%, S +1.62%)

Big Swing Down Days(<-1.00%): 5 days, 11/06/20(S -1.01%), 11/09/20(N -1.53%), 11/10/20(N -1.37%), 11/12/20(D -1.08%, S -1.00%), 11/18/20(D -1.16%, S -1.16%)

The PBR1000 November 2020 Snapshots

The following are Top 5 partial tables excerpts from The PBR1000 November 2020 Snapshots. The price for stocks is for the close of trading on November 30, 2020, 1 Month % Chg is compared to October 30, 2020, 12 Months % Chg is compared to November 29, 2019, the 24 Months % Chg is compared to November 30, 2018, and 60 Months % Chg is compared to November 30, 2015. The PBR Rank is by annual revenues.

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Table 1(S11): The PBR1000 Top 5 Month Stock Price % Gainers

Table 1 Summary: The range was +214% to -31%. 938 out of 1,000 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 11.02%, the median was a gain of 14.99%. The DJIA was +11.84%, NASDAQ +11.80%, SPX +10.75%.

Table 2(S12): The PBR1000 Top 5 12 Months Stock Price % Gainers

Table 2 Summary: The range was +760% to -98%. 525 out of 993 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 12.18%, the median was a gain of 2.53%. The DJIA was +5.66%, NASDAQ +40.77%, SPX +15.30%.

Table 3(S13): The PBR1000 Top 5 24 Months Stock Price % Gainers

Table 3 Summary: The range was +710% to -99%. 557 out of 983 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 25.97%. The median was a gain of 7.22%. The DJIA was +16.05%, NASDAQ +66.41%, SPX +31.21%.

Table 4(R21): The PBR1000 Top 5 60 Months Stock Price % Gainers

Table 4 Summary: The range was +3,826% to -99%. 487 out of 928 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 64.73%. The median was a gain of 29.55%. The DJIA was +67.26%, NASDAQ +138.79%, SPX +74.08%.

Table 5(S15): The PBR1000 Top 5 Market Capitalization

Table 4 Summary: The range was $1,982 billion to $0.01 billion. The average is $34.890 billion, median is $8.63 billion, out of 1,000 companies.

Table 6: The PBR1000 Index & Primary US Stock Exchanges/Commodities

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