The Week 46 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

November 19, 2021 by

The Week 46 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

stock market bull bear stocks PBR1000 PBR25

The Stock Market Bull takes it on the chin on the DJIA, barely takes the S&P500, but closes with a record on the NASDAQ to take a 2-1 mixed win in Week 46 of 2021.

By Larry C. Paxton

The US Stock Market Week 46 Summary:

The Stock Market Bear tries to extend his win from Week 45, gets all three major US stock indices on Monday. But The Stock Market Bull counters by taking bigger wins on Tuesday. An angry The Stock Market Bear bounces back with even larger margins on Wednesday. The Stock Market Bull decided to focus most of his attention on the NASDAQ and S&P500, establishes records on both on Thursday, then again on the NASDAQ on Friday, but relinquishes a few points on the S&P500. Even though The Stock Market Bear gets 9 out of 15 trading sessions, The Stock Market Bull makes the most of his 6, earns a 2-1 mixed result for Week 46, clinches the Weekly Wins competition for the year, has already taken the Monthly Wins, and has a very large lead Year-To-Date. Enjoy and give thanks for the blessings in your life next Thursday when the US celebrates Thanksgiving Day.

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 46 of 2021 Ending 11/19/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(09/30/21 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
Previous Month Close(10/29/21) 35,819.56 15,498.39 4,605.38
Record Close Date 11/08/21 11/19/21 11/18/21
Record Close 36,432.22 16,057.44 4,704.54
Week 45-Friday & Close(11/12/21) 36,100.31 15,860.96 4,682.85
Week 46-Monday(11/15/21) 36,087.45 15,853.85 4,682.80
    Day Change (12.86) (7.11) (0.05)
    Day % Change -0.04% -0.04% 0.00%
Week 46-Tuesday(11/16/21) 36,142.22 15,973.86 4,700.90
    Day Change 54.77 120.01 18.10
    Day % Change 0.15% 0.76% 0.39%
Week 46-Wednesday(11/17/21) 35,931.05 15,921.57 4,688.67
    Day Change (211.17) (52.29) (12.23)
    Day % Change -0.58% -0.33% -0.26%
Week 46-Thursday(11/18/21) 35,870.95 15,993.71 4,704.54
    Day Change (60.10) 72.14 15.87
    Day % Change -0.17% 0.45% 0.34%
Week 46-Friday & Close(11/19/21) 35,601.98 16,057.44 4,697.96
    Day Change (268.97) 63.73 (6.58)
    Day % Change -0.75% 0.40% -0.14%
Change-Week (498.33) 196.48 15.11
% Change-Week -1.38% 1.24% 0.32%
Change-Month-to-Date (217.58) 559.05 92.58
% Change-Month-to-Date -0.61% 3.61% 2.01%
Change-Quarter-to-Date 1,758.06 1,608.86 390.42
% Change-Quarter-to-Date 5.19% 11.14% 9.06%
Change-Year-to-Date 4,995.50 3,169.16 941.89
% Change-Year-to-Date 16.32% 24.59% 25.08%
Change-Record (830.24) 0.00 (6.58)
% Change-Record -2.28% 0.00% -0.14%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies 2021 YTD
Week 46 Winner and Tally  Bull 2-1 Mixed Win
October Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 22 6 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 15 1 Losing
Mixed Result 9 3
  Totals 46 10

Summary News Items for Week 46:

US Economic News

  • Friday, November 19, 2021

  • No economic news releases today.

  • Thursday, November 18, 2021

  • The Conference Board says the Preliminary October 2021 US Leading Economic Index(2016=100) is at 118.3, September was at 117.4, August 117.3, October 2020 108.5, October 2019 111.5. “The Conference Board forecasts growth to remain strong in the fourth quarter at around 5.0 percent (annualized rate), before moderating to a still historically robust rate of 2.6 percent in Q1 2022.”
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia says the November 2021 US 3rd District Manufacturing General Activity Indicator is at +39.0, October was at +23.8, September +30.7, November 2020 +20.7, November 2019 +4.1. “The survey’s future indexes continue to suggest expected growth over the next six months.”

  • Wednesday, November 17, 2021

  • The US Dept of Commerce/HUD says the Preliminary October 2021 US Housing Building Permits Issued Annual Rate is at 1,650,000, September was at 1,586,000, August 1,721,000, October 2020 1,595,000, October 2019 1,503,000.

  • Tuesday, November 16, 2021

  • The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary October 2021 US Change in Import Prices is at +1.2%, September was at +0.4%, August -0.2%, October 2020 -0.1%, October 2019 -0.4%, Last 12 Months +10.7%; Preliminary October 2021 US Change in Export Prices is at +1.5%, September was at +0.4%, August +0.3%, October 2020 +0.2%, October 2019 +0.0%, Last 12 Months +18.0%.
  • The US Federal Reserve says the Preliminary October 2021 US Industrial Production Capacity of Utilization is at 76.4%, September was at 75.2%, August 76.2%, October 2020 73.2%, October 2019 77.0%.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary September 2021 Sales-Manufacturers is at $511.5 billion, Retailers $555.1 billion, Wholesalers $603.1 billion, making September 2021 Sales Total at $1,669.7 billion, August was at $1,655.2 billion, July $1,653.3 billion, September 2020 $1,445.6 billion, September 2019 $1,452.8 billion.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Advance October 2021 Retail Sales-Retailers is at $565.8 billion, Food Services & Drinking Places $72.4 billion, making October 2021 Retail Sales Total at $638.2 billion, September was at $627.5 billion, August $622.4 billion, October 2020 $548.7 billion, October 2019 $523.7 billion.
  • The Natl Assn of Home Builders says the Preliminary November 2021 US Housing Market Composite Index is at 83, October was at 80, September 76, November 2020 90, November 2019 71. “Low existing inventories and strong buyer demand helped push builder confidence higher for the third consecutive month even as supply-side challenges — including building material bottlenecks and lot and labor shortages — remain stubbornly persistent.”

  • Monday, November 15, 2021

  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of New York says the November 2021 Empire State Manufacturing General Business Conditions Index is at +30.9, October was at +19.8, September +34.3, November 2020 +6.3, November 2019 +2.5. “… Firms planned significant increases in capital and technology spending. Looking ahead, firms remained optimistic that conditions would improve over the next six months, though optimism dipped.”

US Government/Other News

  • US President Biden signs into law the $1 trillion infrastructure bill.
  • On Friday the US House of Representatives approves a $2 trillion “Build Back Better” social spending bill, now goes to the US Senate where major changes are expected.
  • US President Biden gets his annual physical, medical team pronounces him healthy and vigorous.
  • US President Biden and Chinese Chairman Xi Jinping have a 3+ hour virtual summit meeting, Biden says, “… our responsibility as leaders of China and the United States is to ensure that the competition between our countries does not veer into conflict, whether intended or unintended …”
  • US President Biden pardons Thanksgiving turkeys Peanut Butter and Jelly.
  • The US Food and Drug Administration authorizes both Pfizer and Moderna COVID-19 booster shots for all adults, the US Center for Disease Control Advisory Panel backs the decision.
  • The controversial homicide trial of Kyle Rittenhouse, accused of killing 2 and wounding 1 at a chaotic event in Kenosha, WI, ends with Rittenhouse being acquitted on all charges, had pled self defense.
  • The US Northwest is hit with torrential rains causing deadly floods and mudslides, significant infrastructure damage, displaces 18,000 people in the State of Washington.
  • See above for weekly US economic news, which was generally positive.

More Resources:

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The PBR1000:

PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company.

Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

This business intelligence report is provided by: 

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The PBR1000 October 2021 Snapshots Analytics

November 18, 2021 by

The PBR1000 October 2021 Snapshots Analytics

Stocks PBR1000 PBR25 Investing Analytics

Empowering Astute Business Leaders and Shrewd Investors Through The PBR1000 Analytics!

By Larry C. Paxton

The PBR1000 Snapshots

October 2021 Analytics Summary
Last 
12 Months
Ending
Year 2019 2020 August 2021* 
The PBR1000 Total Revenues(Trillions) 15.242 14.830 15.071
  Percent Change -2.70% 1.63%
Total Profits(Trillions) 1.303 0.829 0.880
  Percent Change -36.38% 6.15%
Average Profits to Revenues 8.55% 5.59% 5.84%
Average Earnings Per Share $4.24 $1.98 $2.23
  Percent Change -53.30% 12.63%
Assets(Trillions) 47.669 53.197 53.413
Stockholders Equity 9.308 9.635 9.716
Equity/Assets 19.53% 18.11% 18.19%
Number of Companies Paying Dividends 706 705 686
  Total Annual Dividends 1,217.61 1,211.46 1,177.79
  Average Annual Dividend/Company 1.72 1.72 1.72
  Percent Change -0.36% -0.09%
Number of Employees(Millions) 36.488 36.664 37.054
  Percent Change 0.48% 1.06%
12/31/19 12/31/20 10/29/21
The PBR1000 Total of Stock Prices 97,261.04 112,328.70 138,187.35
  12 Months Percent Change 15.49% 23.02%
  DJIA 28,538.44 30,606.48 35,819.56
  Percent Change 7.25% 17.03%
  NASDAQ 8,972.60 12,888.28 15,498.39
  Percent Change 43.64% 20.25%
  S&P500 3,230.78 3,756.07 4,605.38
  Percent Change 16.26% 22.61%
Total Market Capitalization(Trillion $) 30.185 36.451 44.702
  Percent Change 20.76% 22.64%
Analyst Estimates 12/31/19 12/31/20 10/29/21
Total Number of Analyst Estimates 14,922 15,176 15,652
Number of Companies by Estimate:
  Buy(>4.50 to 5.00 Weighted Average) 108 148 151
  Overweight (>3.50 to 4.50) 538 547 608
  Hold (>2.50 to 3.50) 311 273 216
  Underweight (>1.50 to 2.50) 32 23 21
  Sell (1.00 to 1.50) 6 5 3
  No Estimate 5 4 1
    Totals 1,000 1,000 1,000
  Average Weighted Estimate 3.81/5.00  3.90/5.00   3.96/5.00 

PBRMarketTools reviews summaries from the most recently released The PBR1000 Snapshots and those from one and two calendar years earlier to produce some analytics to help understand what is happening in this unique set of companies. This is the October 2021 edition.

*Note: All companies on The PBR1000 with a fiscal year ending August 2021 filed their annual 10-K reports with the US Securities and Exchange Commission by October 29, 2021, from which most of this financial data is derived.

Some observations:

Revenues: Retailers, hospitality, and travel related industries have been significantly adversely affected during the pandemic. On the other hand e-commerce, communications technologies, and healthcare industries were beneficiaries. The bottom line is that revenues fell only 2.69% from 2019 to 2020, but for the last 12 months through July 2021 indications are that a recovery is in progress. But profits, earnings per share, and to some extent dividends were significantly impacted. While there were negative and positive shifts in revenues, the bottom line is that it was almost a wash. Of course, these numbers and analytics reflect The PBR1000, the largest publicly held corporations in the US. Smaller businesses certainly were much more affected.

Stock Market: The stock market, which was in a long term bull market, took some big hits at the beginning of the pandemic. But as the analytics show, the recovery was also very dramatic, one of the best years for equities investors. The Average Weighted Analyst Estimates shows an uptick and there was a nice growth in the number of Buy stocks.

Some Conclusions:

There was a shift and rebalancing of revenues in The PBR1000, with the total effect much less dramatic than for most smaller and midsize businesses.

The initial panic over the pandemic had a big effect on the stock market, but it recovered quite nicely. As industries that were the most negatively affected recover there should continue to be significant growth opportunities as the “new normal” sets in, the economy should have robust growth, the usual profits and earnings per share levels will return, and The Stock Market Bull should continue to dominate. The new caveats are recent supply logistics challenges, plentiful jobs available but not being filled, possible impacts of future COVID-19 variants, unpredictability of climate change, other unforeseen natural disasters, the takeover of the White House by a small well-trained group of Maori warriors, an accidental start of a nuclear war, Tom Brady and LeBron James retiring from professional sports, a large undetected rogue asteroid striking earth, an attack by extraterrestrial forces, an unexpected explosion of the sun, and the second coming of Jesus Christ, to name just a few.

More Resources:

Check out the BLOG page for the previous RECAPS, RESEARCH and SNAPSHOTS posts.

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PBRMarketTools Info:

If you are not a current The PBR1000 or The PBR25 Subscriber go to the Subscribe page for more information and to get our latest research and monthly snapshots.

Please use the Contact Us page if you are not on our email list or have questions about The PBR1000, The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks, The PBRMarketTools US Economic Indices or the Customization Services we provide. We appreciate your comments and suggestions!

The PBR1000:

PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company.

Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

This business intelligence report is provided by: 

Copyright © 2021 by Pax Business Resources, LLC, All Rights Reserved.

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The Week 45 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

November 12, 2021 by

The Week 45 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

Stocks Stock Market Bull Bear Investing

The Stock Market Bear got angry after The Stock Market Bull gets record highs on Monday, comes back with a vengeance to take Week 45, his first since Week 39.

By Larry C. Paxton

The US Stock Market Week 45 Summary:

The Stock Market Bull continued his previous week’s dominance on Monday with record closes on all three major US stock indices. The Stock Market Bear became angry, and with the help of inflationary fears, slashed his way to good sized Tuesday and Wednesday battle wins. Thursday was mixed in favor of The Stock Market Bull, who then had a big day on Friday. But it was not enough to erase the losses. The Stock Market Bear gets a 3-0 Week 45 victory, his first since Week 39, but The Stock Market Bull still has a huge edge for 2021. Did his Friday surge signal what will happen in Week 46?

 

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 45 of 2021 Ending 11/12/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(09/30/21 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
Previous Month Close(10/29/21) 35,819.56 15,498.39 4,605.38
Record Close Date 11/08/21 11/08/21 11/08/21
Record Close 36,432.22 15,982.36 4,701.70
Week 44-Friday & Close(11/05/21) 36,327.95 15,971.59 4,697.53
Week 45-Monday(11/08/21) 36,432.22 15,982.36 4,701.70
    Day Change 104.27 10.77 4.17
    Day % Change 0.29% 0.07% 0.09%
Week 45-Tuesday(11/09/21) 36,319.98 15,886.54 4,685.25
    Day Change (112.24) (95.82) (16.45)
    Day % Change -0.31% -0.60% -0.35%
Week 45-Wednesday(11/10/21) 36,079.94 15,622.71 4,646.71
    Day Change (240.04) (263.83) (38.54)
    Day % Change -0.66% -1.66% -0.82%
Week 45-Thursday(11/11/21) 35,921.23 15,704.28 4,649.27
    Day Change (158.71) 81.57 2.56
    Day % Change -0.44% 0.52% 0.06%
Week 45-Friday & Close(11/12/21) 36,100.31 15,860.96 4,682.85
    Day Change 179.08 156.68 33.58
    Day % Change 0.50% 1.00% 0.72%
Change-Week -227.64 -110.63 -14.68
% Change-Week -0.63% -0.69% -0.31%
Change-Month-to-Date 280.75 362.57 77.47
% Change-Month-to-Date 0.78% 2.34% 1.68%
Change-Quarter-to-Date 2,256.39 1,412.38 375.31
% Change-Quarter-to-Date 6.67% 9.78% 8.71%
Change-Year-to-Date 5,493.83 2,972.68 926.78
% Change-Year-to-Date 17.95% 23.06% 24.67%
Change-Record (331.91) (121.40) (18.85)
% Change-Record -0.91% -0.76% -0.40%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies 2021 YTD
Week 45 Winner and Tally  Bear 3-0 Win
October Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 22 6 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 15 1 Losing
Mixed Result 8 3
  Totals 45 10

Summary News Items for Week 45:

US Economic News

  • Friday, November 12, 2021

  • The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary September 2021 US Job Openings-Private is at 9,581,000, Government 856,000, making September 2021 US Job Openings Total at 10,437,000, August was at 10,628,000, July 11,099,000, September 2020 6,611,000, September 2019 7,046,000.
  • The U of Michigan Preliminary November 2021 US Consumer Sentiment Index is at 66.8, October was at 71.2, September 72.8, November 2020 76.9, November 2019 96.8. “Consumer sentiment fell in early November to its lowest level in a decade due to an escalating inflation rate and the growing belief among consumers that no effective policies have yet been developed to reduce the damage from surging inflation.”

  • Thursday, November 11, 2021

  • ***US Federal Holiday: Veterans Day.
    ***Honoring those who have served.
    ***US stock exchanges are open.

  • Wednesday, November 10, 2021

  • The US Dept of the Treasury says the October 2021 US Federal Government Receipts is at $283.9 billion, Outlays $449.0 billion, making October 2021 US Federal Government Deficit at $165.1 billion, September Deficit was at $61.6 billion, August Deficit $170.6 billion, October 2020 Deficit $284.1 billion, October 2019 Deficit $134.5 billion.
  • The US Dept of Labor says the October 2021 US Monthly Change in the Consumer Price Index is at +0.9%, September was at +0.4%, August +0.3%, October 2020 +0.1%, October 2019 +0.2%; the October 2021 US Last 12 Months Change in the Consumer Price Index is at +6.2%, September +5.4%, August +5.3%, October 2020 +1.2%, October 2019 +1.8%.
  • The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary October 2021 US Employee Current Average Earnings/Hour is at $30.96, Average Hours Worked/Week at 34.7, making the October 2021 US Employee Current Average Earnings/Week at $1,074.31, September was at $1,073.58, August $1,061.18, October 2020 $1,027.30, October 2019 $971.47.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary September 2021 US Wholesale Sales-Durables is at $285.4 billion, Non-Durables $317.7, making September 2021 US Wholesale Sales at $603.1 billion, August was at $596.7 billion, July $602.2 billion, September 2020 $494.5 billion, September 2019 $497.6 billion.

  • Tuesday, November 9, 2021

  • The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary October 2021 US Producer Price Index Change in Total Monthly Final Demand is at +0.6%, September was at +0.5%, August +0.7%, October 2020 +0.6%, October 2019 +0.3%; October 2021 US Producer Price Index Change in Last 12 Months is at +6.2%, September +8.6%, August +8.3%, October 2020 +0.6%, October 2019 +1.0%.
  • CoreLogic says the August 2021 US Home Mortgages 30 Days or More Delinquent is at 4.0%, July was at 4.2%, June 4.4%, August 2020 6.6%, August 2019 3.7%. “The decline in the overall delinquency rate to its lowest since the onset of the pandemic is good news, but it masks the serious financial challenges that some of the borrower population has experienced. In the months prior to the pandemic, only one-in-five delinquent loans had missed six or more payments. This August, one-in-two borrowers with missed payments were behind six-or-more monthly installments, even though the overall delinquency rate had declined to the lowest level since March 2020.”

  • Monday, November 8, 2021

  • FannieMae says the October 2021 Home Purchase Sentiment Index is at 75.5, September was at 74.5, August 75.7, October 2020 91.7, October 2019 88.8. “While homebuying and home-selling sentiment remain at historically low and high levels, respectively, more consumers now expect that their personal financial situation will not improve over the next 12 months. This is particularly true among surveyed homeowners and older age groups.”
  • Boeing(PBR55) estimates that “air travel within Asia Pacific markets will account for nearly half of global air traffic by 2040, driving 20-year demand for 17,645 new airplanes valued at $3.1 trillion. To support its commercial aviation industry, Asia-Pacific countries also will require aftermarket services valued at $3.7 trillion.”

US Government/Other News

  • The US reopens its borders to 33 countries for people who have had both COVID-19 vaccination shots, first flights arrive from Europe.
  • COVID-19 cases exceed 250 million globally.
  • A US Federal Appeals Court upholds an order temporarily freezing the Biden vaccine rule for employers with 100 or more employees scheduled to take effect 01/04/22.
  • The “Build Back Better” spending bill is expected to be voted on by the US House of Representatives in mid-November.
  • US Vice President Kamala Harris meets with France’s President Emmanuel Macron meet and discuss how the two countries can move forward together.
  • The prosecution and defense rest at the controversial homicide trial of Kyle Rittenhouse, accused of killing 2 and wounding 1 at a chaotic event in Kenosha, WI. Closing arguments are scheduled for Monday, jury deliberations to start immediately after.
  • US inflationary fears, supply logistics issues, labor issues continue to affect the economy and business and consumer attitudes.

More Resources:

Check out the BLOG page for the previous RECAPS and SNAPSHOTS posts.

Click here to follow The PBR1000 on Twitter!

PBRMarketTools Info:

If you are not a current The PBR1000 or The PBR25 Subscriber go to the Subscribe page for more information and to get our latest research and monthly snapshots.

Please use the Contact Us page if you are not on our email list or have questions about The PBR1000, The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks, The PBRMarketTools US Economic Indices or the Customization Services we provide. We appreciate your comments and suggestions!

The PBR1000:

PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company.

Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

This business intelligence report is provided by: 

(Article image is courtesy of FreeDigitalPhotos.net, ddpavumba.)

 

Empowering Astute Business Leaders and Shrewd Investors
Through The PBR1000 Analytics!

Copyright © 2021 by Pax Business Resources, LLC, All Rights Reserved.

Filed Under: Recaps Tagged With: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The PBR1000 October 2021 Top 5 Stocks Snapshots

November 12, 2021 by

The PBR1000 October 2021 Top 5 Stocks Snapshots

The Stock Market Bull Returns In A Big Way

Stocks Investing Investor Stock Market Bull Bear

The Stock Market Bull makes a big return after his only monthly loss in 2021 to The Stock Market Bear. Which way will stocks go for the remainder of the year?

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

The Month of October 2021 Ending 10/29/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
2020 Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
3Q21 Close(09/30/21) 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
September 2021 Close(09/30/21) 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
Record Close Date 10/29/21 10/29/21 10/29/21
Record Close 35,819.56 15,498.39 4,605.38
October 2021 Close(10/29/21) 35,819.56 15,498.39 4,605.38
Percent Change-Month 5.84% 7.27% 6.91%
Percent Change-4Q21-to-Date 5.84% 7.27% 6.91%
Percent Change-Year-to-Date 17.03% 20.25% 22.61%
Percent Change-Record 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD
Week 43 Winner and Tally  Bull 3-0 Win
October Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 21 6 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 14 1 Losing
Mixed Result 8 3
  Totals 43 10

The US Stock Market October 2021 Summary:

September came to a close with The Stock Market Bear getting his first monthly win in 2021 and there was a concern that it could happen in November as well. However, The Stock Market Bull entered the pasture determined that there was a new sheriff in town and proceeded to overwhelm The Stock Market Bear by taking all four full weeks of October. Why? The economy continues to ramp up in just about all sectors. This despite continuing COVID-19 pandemic, supply logistics issues, labor shortages, and federal government delays in approving new trillions of dollars in spending plans. Now the holiday season is upon us with forecasts of record retail sales, declining weekly initial jobless claims, mortgage rates continuing to stay low, and an economy that seems like it wants to burst out. We wish you the best as we enter the holiday season, and hope it is a merry and bright one!

Number of Trading Days: 21

Number of Gain(+)/Loss(-) Days: DJIA 13+/8-; NASDAQ 15+/6-; SPX 15+/6-.

Record Days: DJIA 4, NASDAQ 2, SPX 5, Total 11

Longest Gain Streak(Consecutive Days): DJIA 3 days(10/05-07/21, 10/22-26/21), NASDAQ 5 days(10/13-19/21, 10/25-29/21), and SPX 7 days(10/13-21/21)

Longest Loss Streak(Consecutive Days): DJIA 4 days(10/08-13/21), NASDAQ 3 days(10/08-12/21), and SPX 3 days(10/08-12/21)

Big Swing Up Days(>1.00%): 6 days(10 sessions), 10/01/21( D +1.43%, S +1.15%), 10/05/21(N +1.25%, S +1.05%), 10/07/21(N +1.05%), 10/14/21(D +1.56%, N +1.73%, S +1.71%), 10/15/21(D +1.09%), 10/28/21(N +1.39%)

Big Swing Down Days(<-1.00%): 1 day(2 sessions), 10/04/21(N -2.14%, S -1.30%)

The PBR1000 October 2021 Top 5 Stocks Snapshots

The following are Top 5 partial tables excerpts from The PBR1000 October 2021 Snapshots. The price for stocks is for the close of trading on October 29, 2021, 1 Month % Chg is compared to September 30, 2021, 12 Months % Chg is compared to October 30, 2020, the 24 Months % Chg is compared to October 31, 2019, and 60 Months % Chg is compared to October 31, 2016. The PBR Rank is by last fiscal year annual revenues.

To get the complete The PBR1000 Snapshots  just click here to get your 12 month subscription and automatically download the October 2021 edition with the complete 15 Snapshots and 28 rankings with the bonuses The PBRMarketTools US Monthly Indices Snapshots and The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks.

 

Table 1(S11): The PBR1000 Top 5 Month Stock Price % Gainers

Table 1 Summary: The range was +59% to -29%. 711 out of 1,000 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 5.27%, the median was a gain of 4.35%. The DJIA was +5.84%, NASDAQ +7.27%, SPX +6.91%.

Company PBR
Rank		 Symbol Price
10/29/21		 Mo
% Chg		 12 Mos
% Chg		 24 Mos
% Chg		 60 Mos
% Chg
Hertz 492 HTZZ $ 31.02 +59 n/a n/a n/a
Yellow 556 YELL $ 8.75 +55 +123 +161 -1
Avis Budget 485 CAR $ 173.31 +49 +415 +483 +436
SunPower 990 SPWR $ 33.66 +48 +111 +284 +365
Tesla Motors 95 TSLA $ 1,114.00 +44 +187 +1,669 +2,717

 

Table 2(S12): The PBR1000 Top 5 12 Months Stock Price % Gainers

Table 2 Summary: The range was +2,032% to -53%. 912 out of 983 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 42.14%, the median was a gain of 44.99%. The DJIA was +35.16%, NASDAQ +42.04%, SPX +40.84%.

Company PBR
Rank		 Symbol Price
10/29/21		 Mo
% Chg		 12 Mos
% Chg		 24 Mos
% Chg		 60 Mos
% Chg
SM Energy 989 SM $ 34.32 +30 +2,032 +338 +2
GameStop 505 GME $ 183.51 +5 +1,623 +3,273 +663
AMC Entertainment 981 AMC $35.37 -7 +1,399 +277 +12
Peabody Energy 733 BTU $ 11.89 -20 +822 +13 n/a
Veritiv 424 VRTV $ 107.27 +20 +645 +686 +99

 

Table 3(S13): The PBR1000 Top 5 24 Months Stock Price % Gainers

Table 3 Summary: The range was +3,273% to -80%. 754 out of 974 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 48.95%. The median was a gain of 30.76%. The DJIA was +32.44%, NASDAQ +86.90%, SPX +51.61%.

 

Company PBR
Rank		 Symbol Price
10/29/21		 Mo
% Chg		 12 Mos
% Chg		 24 Mos
% Chg		 60 Mos
% Chg
GameStop 505 GME $ 183.51 +5 +1,653 +3,273 +663
Tesla Motors 95 TSLA $ 1,114.00 +44 +187 +1,669 +2,717
Overstock 774 OSTK $ 95.23 +22 +70 +826 +566
Antero Resources 649 AR $ 19.87 +6 +484 +695 -25
Veritiv 424 VRTV $ 107.27 +20 +645 +686 +99

 

Table 4(R21): The PBR1000 Top 5 60 Months Stock Price % Gainers

Table 4 Summary: The range was +2,717% to -90%. 720 out of 918 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 117.65%. The median was a gain of 62.38%. The DJIA was +97.44%, NASDAQ +198.67%, SPX +116.61%.

 

Company PBR
Rank		 Symbol Price
10/29/21		 Mo
% Chg		 12 Mos
% Chg		 24 Mos
% Chg		 60 Mos
% Chg
Tesla Motors 95 TSLA $ 1,114.00 +44 +187 +1,669 +2,717
RH 735 RH $ 659.63 -1 +97 +263 +2,177
Square 311 SQ $ 254.50 +6 +64 +314 +2,172
Crocs 963 CROX $ 161.45 +13 +209 +361 +1,999
Etsy 920 ETSY $ 250.69 +21 +106 +463 +1,831

 

Table 5(S15): The PBR1000 Top 5 Market Capitalization

Table 5 Summary: The range was $2,490 billion to $0.13 billion. The average is $44.692 billion, median is $12.06 billion, out of 1,000 companies.

Company PBR
Rank		 Symbol Market Cap($B)
10/29/21		 1 Mo
% Chg		 12 Mos
% Chg		 24 Mos
% Chg
Microsoft 12 MSFT $ 2,490 +18 +61 +126
Apple 3 AAPL $2,476 +6 +26 +125
Alphabet 9 GOOG $ 1,938 +8 +82 +123
Amazon 2 AMZN $ 1,708 +3 +6 +94
Tesla Motors 95 TSLA $ 1,103 +44 +183 +1,842
The PBR1000
   $ 44,692.43 +6 +41 +56

 

Table 6: The PBR1000 Index & Primary US Stock Exchanges/Commodities

Company Price
10/29/21		 1 Mo
% Chg		 12 Mos
% Chg		 24 Mos
% Chg		 60 Mos
% Chg
The PBR1000 138,127.90 +5.3 +42.1 +49.0 +117.7
DJIA 35,819.56 +5.8 +35.2 +132.4 +97.4
NASDAQ 15,498.39 +7.3 +42.0 +86.9 +198.7
S&P500 4,605.38 +6.9 +40.8 +51.6 +116.6
GOLD 1,784.40 -3.1 -5.1 +17.8 +39.7
OIL 83.26 +11.0 +132.6 +53.7 +77.4
SOYBEANS(Cents) 1,249.50 -0.5 +18.3 +34.0 +24.42

 

If you are not a current The PBR1000 or The PBR25 Subscriber go to the Subscribe page to get our latest research and monthly snapshots.

Please use the Contact Us page if you are a The PBR1000 company and would like to increase your visibility to our worldwide base of shrewd institutional an retail investors.

PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company.

Disclaimers: The PBR1000 is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. PBRMarketTools.com provides research only which should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

This The PBR1000 business intelligence report is provided by: 

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The PBR1000 Summary: RingCentral(NYSE: RNG)

November 10, 2021 by

The PBR1000 Summary: RingCentral(NYSE: RNG)

RNG RingCentral PBR1000 Investing Stocks

Empowering Astute Business Leaders and Shrewd Investors Through The PBR1000 Analytics!

Business Description: “RingCentral is a leading provider of business cloud communications and contact center solutions based on its powerful Message Video Phone™    (MVP™) platform. More flexible and cost effective than legacy on-premise PBX and video conferencing systems that it replaces, RingCentral empowers modern mobile and distributed workforces to communicate, collaborate, and connect via any mode, any device, and any location.”

Business Name: RingCentral, Inc
Ticker: NYSE: RNG(Class A)
Fiscal Year Ending Month: December

Stock Price, Analysts Forecast and Recommendation for RNG on 11/10/21:

  • Stock Price: $281.64
  • Analysts Forecasted Average 12 Month Stock Price : $393.09
  • Analysts Forecasted 12 Month Change: +39.57%
  • Analysts Recommendation: Buy, 4.70/5.00, based on 27 forecasts

Some of the 28 Current The PBR1000 Rankings for RNG on 11/10/21:

  • 987 By Annual Revenues: $1.184 billion(12/31/20)
  • 355 By Market Capitalization: $22.31 billion(10/29/21)
  • 898 By Assets: $2.185 billion(12/31/20)
  • 874 By Employees: 3,140(12/31/20)

To get the complete profile for RNG and for all 1,000 of The PBR1000 click here!

On October 29, 2021, RNG was on The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks. To find out who else is click here!

PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company.

Disclaimers: The PBR1000 is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. PBRMarketTools.com research should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

This The PBR1000 Summary is provided by: 

Copyright © 2021 by Pax Business Resources, LLC, All Rights Reserved. 

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Through The PBR1000 US Public Companies Analytics!

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The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks October 2020 12 Month Report Card

November 8, 2021 by

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks October 2020 12 Month Report Card

Stocks PBR25 PBR1000 Report Card Investing Investor

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks 12 Month Report Card for October 2020 gets a ‘D’ unless you want to make just one change, which would then get it an ‘A’ grade!

By Larry C. Paxton

Welcome to The October 2020 The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks 12 Month Report Card.

As investors we count on professional stock analysts to provide comprehensive and diligent research to come up with their best take on how stocks will perform over the next 12 months. We then use that information to help us make stock buy, hold and sell decisions.

The PBR25 Premise

The premise of The PBR25 is that there is a high probability of success for investing in stocks when a large enough number professional stock analysts through their extensive research determine that a stock is a “Buy” and also forecasts a significant return over the next 12 months. PBRMarketTools assigns a Report Card grade based on how the professional stock analysts did.

Last 12 Months Influences

It is difficult to forecast a result with much accuracy over a 12 month period. For example, the primary impact in October 2020 continued to be the COVID-19 pandemic. The world, including the US, was deep into the COVID-19 pandemic, which created a lot of unemployment, affected many economic sectors like hospitality and travel services, closed schools, forced people to work from home, and much more. It was also the last full month of a very contentious US Presidential election process. There are a lot more factors, but this is not meant to be an opinions post. It is a piece focused on the review of the recommendations stock analysts came up with at the end of October 2020 and the actual results 12 months later at the end of October 2021. PBRMarketTools is calling this a Report Card.

For this October 2020 Report Card we used stock data and forecasts from October 30, 2020, and compare it to the actual results on October 29, 2021.

Creating The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks List for October 2020

The starting point is the prestigious The PBR1000 US Public Companies, produced monthly by PBRMarketTools. To be included in The PBR1000 the 1,000 companies must meet the following criteria:

  • The companies must be publicly traded on the NYSE, NYSE American or NASDAQ stock exchanges, with a very few temporarily trading on the Over-The-Counter market because they are transitioning from bankruptcy.
  • They must be headquartered in the US or have primary operations in the US.
  • They must have generated at least $1 billion in revenues in their most recent full fiscal year.
  • They must file an annual 10-K form with the US Securities and Exchange Commission in US dollars
  • Each of the 1,000 companies is given a primary ranking based on revenues, with the company having the highest revenue amount ranked 1(currently Walmart). There are 27 secondary rankings in The PBR1000 based on other criteria as well.

Each month the 12 month estimates and recommendations by stock analysts are updated on The PBR1000. The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks list for October 2020 was then created using the following process:

  • At any point in time The PBR1000 has around 15,000 stock analyst recommendations.
  • The PBR1000 is sorted several times to come up with The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks, made up of stocks that are rated a “Buy” by analysts, have a 12 Month Targeted % Change of at least +20%, and have at least 10 “Buy” recommendations.

Actual Results for The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks for October 2021

  • None of The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks for October 2020 companies were acquired, and none did a stock split, so no data was altered for this report.

Following is a table of characteristics and 12 month actual results for the The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks on October 30, 2020, which we are calling the October 2020 report card.

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks on 10/30/20

12 Month Report Card on 10/29/21
Total Companies 25
Low Weighted Avg 4.51
High Weighted Avg 4.81
Average Weighted Avg 4.63
Market Capitalization Low($B) 29.40
Market Capitalization High($B) 1,608.36
Total Market Capitalization($B) 5,862.67
Total NYSE Companies 18
Total NASDAQ Companies 7
12 Month 12 Month
Forecast for Actual
10/30/20 10/29/21 10/29/21
Low Stock Price-EPD 16.57 24.26 22.68
High Stock Price-AMZN 3,036.15 3,803.53 3,372.43
Total Stock Prices 6,041.17 7,637.67 7,444.00
Total Stock Price Change 1,596.50 1,402.83
Percent Change 26.43% 23.22%
Total Stock Prices w/o AMZN 3,005.02 3,834.14 4,071.57
Total Stock Price Change w/o AMZN 829.12 1,066.55
Percent Change w/o AMZN 27.59% 35.49%
DJIA Percent Change 27.71%
NASDAQ Percent Change 32.41%
S&P500 Change 31.73%
Lowest Change 20.07% -11.12%
Highest Change 62.16% 174.53%
Total Exceeding Forecast(Out of 25) 13
Total with >0% Return 23

Conclusions, Observations, Validations and Realities

  • If you had bought 1 share each of The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks at the closing price on October 30, 2020, you would have achieved a +23.22% gain 12 months later at the close on October 29, 2021, less than the 26.43% estimate, a good return, but below the 12 month forecast and below the returns on the DJIA, NASDAQ, and S&P500 indices. For this reason The October 2020 The PBR25 gets a ‘D’ on its 12 month Report Card.
  • On the other hand, the Amazon(AMZN) stock price was over half the total of 25 stocks, it forecasted a 25.27% return, actual was 11.8%. If you take out AMZN the results would have been a forecast of a 27.59% gain, actual would have been 35.49%, which would have exceeded the forecast and over returns on the DJIA, NASDAQ, and S&P500 indices. The October 2020 12 Month Report Card would have then been an ‘A’ grade.
  • It is difficult to forecast out 12 months with any great accuracy, there are just too many variables and uncertainties.
  • However, it does demonstrate that The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks is a valid methodology and process for that particular month.
  • Our demonstration account, called The Charlie Fund, uses the popular “Dollar Cost Averaging Investment Strategy” with the monthly The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks as the primary research tool. For the 12 Month Report Card period it achieved a greater than 50% return, a further validation of the methodology.
  • There are no guarantees! The reality is that there will always be ups and downs in the stock market and people make stocks buy, hold and sell decisions based on a wide range of  logical and emotional criteria, input from knowledgeable hard-working experts and well meaning friends, and if the sky is blue today. But the historical data is pretty convincing that stocks will trend up at an above average investment rate over the long haul.

Additional Information

  • The details of this summary, including company names and the over 200 fields of information for each company, were extracted from the updated The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks MS-Excel worksheet for October 2021, and has been distributed to The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks Subscribers for their personal use and further research
  • The next 12 Month Report Card will be for November 2020, and should be available early to mid December, 2021.
  • For characteristics of the most recent monthly The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks go to The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks information page.

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks Report Cards for 2020 Summary
12 Month
Stock Price 12 Month 12 Month
Report Card Month(Date) Actual Date Forecast Actual
January 2020(02/04/20) 01/29/21 16.59% 33.92%
February 2020(02/28/20) 02/26/21 27.69% 42.66%
March 2020(03/31/20) 03/31/21 28.96% 53.35%
April 2020(05/01/20) 04/30/21 16.16% 50.18%
May 2020(05/29/20) 05/28/21 9.89% 37.80%
June 2020(07/02/20) 07/02/21 30.88% 47.08%
July 2020(07/30/20) 07/31/21 33.61% 37.77%
August 2020(09/01/20) 08/31/21 32.85% 40.79%
September 2020(10/02/20) 09/30/21 27.68% 52.82%
October 2020(10/30/20) 10/29/21 26.43% 23.22%
October 2020(10/30/20) w/o AMZN 10/29/21 27.49% 35.49%

We are always interested in your feedback, which you can provide on the Contact Us page.

Not a The PBR25 Monthly Top Buy Stocks subscriber yet? Check out The PBR25 Information Page.

PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company. The monthly The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks is a subset of the monthly The PBR1000 and is available as a separate monthly or annual subscription.

Disclaimers: The PBR1000 is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. It is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations. Any research or opinions expressed should not be regarded as recommendations or advice.

Stocks PBR1000 PBR25 PBRMarketTools

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The Week 44 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

November 5, 2021 by

The Week 44 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Stocks Bull Bear Investing Investor Money

The Stock Market Bull is almost perfect in Week 44 of 2021 with record high closes in 14 out of 15 sessions on the 3 major US stock indices.

By Larry C. Paxton

The US Stock Market Week 44 Summary:

Week 44 was a classic Tour de Force by The Stock Market Bull as he continued where he left off in Week 43, looking confident, strong, and aggressive as he entered the stock markets pasture. Economic news, good quarterly corporate earnings reports, and optimism that the US Congress will soon be passing infrastructure and social spending bills were the main drivers. The result was 14 out of the 15 sessions of the 3 major stock indices closed at record highs. The Stock Market Bear only managed an ineffective swipe on Thursday on the DJIA, but it was for a very timid 0.09% loss. The Stock Market Bull has already clinched the Monthly wins for the year, is now needs only 1 win out of the last 8 weeks of 2021 to take the Weekly contest, and is way ahead YTD. Will The Stock Market Bull keep the momentum in Week 45, or will he take a breather?

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 44 of 2021 Ending 11/05/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(09/30/21 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
Previous Month Close(09/30/21) 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
Record Close Date 11/05/21 11/05/21 11/05/21
Record Close 36,327.95 15,971.59 4,697.53
Week 43-Friday & Close(10/29/21) 35,819.56 15,498.39 4,605.38
Week 44-Monday(11/01/21) 35,913.84 15,595.92 4,613.67
    Day Change 94.28 97.53 8.29
    Day % Change 0.26% 0.63% 0.18%
Week 44-Tuesday(11/02/21) 36,052.63 15,649.60 4,630.65
    Day Change 138.79 53.68 16.98
    Day % Change 0.39% 0.34% 0.37%
Week 44-Wednesday(11/03/21) 36,157.58 15,811.58 4,660.57
    Day Change 104.95 161.98 29.92
    Day % Change 0.29% 1.04% 0.65%
Week 44-Thursday(11/04/21) 36,124.23 15,940.31 4,680.06
    Day Change (33.35) 128.73 19.49
    Day % Change -0.09% 0.81% 0.42%
Week 44-Friday & Close(11/05/21) 36,327.95 15,971.59 4,697.53
    Day Change 203.72 31.28 17.47
    Day % Change 0.56% 0.20% 0.37%
Change-Week 508.39 473.20 92.15
% Change-Week 1.42% 3.05% 2.00%
Change-Month-to-Date 2,484.03 1,523.01 389.99
% Change-Month-to-Date 7.34% 10.54% 9.05%
Change-Quarter-to-Date 2,484.03 1,523.01 389.99
% Change-Quarter-to-Date 7.34% 10.54% 9.05%
Change-Year-to-Date 5,721.47 3,083.31 941.46
% Change-Year-to-Date 18.69% 23.92% 25.07%
Change-Record 0.00 0.00 0.00
% Change-Record 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies 2021 YTD
Week 44 Winner and Tally  Bull 3-0 Win
October Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 22 6 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 14 1 Losing
Mixed Result 8 3
  Totals 44 10

Summary News Items for Week 43:

US Economic News

  • Friday, November 5, 2021

  • The US Dept of Labor says the October 2021 US Labor Force Employed is at 154,039,000, +359,000 from September, October 2021 US Unemployed is at 7,419,000, -255,000 from September, October 2021 Unemployment rate is at 4.6%, September was at 4.8%, August 5.2%, October 2020 6.9%, October 2019 3.6%.
  • The US Federal Reserve says the Preliminary September 2021 US Consumer Credit Outstanding Annual Rate-Revolving is at $1.010 trillion, Non-Revolving $3.357 trillion, making September 2021 US Consumer Credit Outstanding Annual Rate Total at $4.367 trillion, August was at $4.337 trillion, July $4.324 trillion, September 2020 $4.163 trillion, September 2019 $4.138 trillion.

  • Thursday, November 4, 2021

  • The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary 3Q21 US Labor Productivity Output/Hour-Business Sector is at -4.8%, 2Q21 was at +2.6%, 1Q21 +4.2%, 3Q20 +5.9%, 3Q19 +0.6%.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary September 2021 US Exports-Goods is at $142.7 billion, Services $64.9 billion, making September 2021 US Exports Total at $207.6 billion; Preliminary September 2021 US Imports-Goods is at $240.9 billion, Services $47.6 billion, making September 2021 US Imports Total at $288.5 billion; makes September 2021 US Trade Deficit at $80.9 billion, August was at $72.8 billion, July $70.3 billion, September 2020 $62.6 billion, September 2019 $48.3 billion.

  • Wednesday, November 3, 2021

  • The US Federal Open Market Committee releases a statement summarizing its 11/02-03/21 meeting, says “The path of the economy continues to depend on the course of the virus. Progress on vaccinations and an easing of supply constraints are expected to support continued gains in economic activity and employment as well as a reduction in inflation. Risks to the economic outlook remain.” Agrees to taper bonds purchases from $120 billion/month to $105 billion/month, keeps federal short term interest rates at 0.00-0.25%.
  • ADP says that the Preliminary October 2021 US Change in the NonFarm Private Sector Employment-Goods is at +113,000, Services +458,000, making the October 2021 US Change in NonFarm Private Sector Employment Total at +571,000, September was at 523,000, August 310,000, October 2020 422,000, October 2019 73,000. “The job market is revving back up as the Deltawave of the pandemic winds down. Job gains are accelerating across all industries, and especially among large companies. As long as the pandemic remains contained, more big job gains are likely in coming months.”
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary September 2021 US Manufacturers New Orders-Durables is at $261.4 billion, Non-Durables $254.5 billion, making September 2021 US Manufacturers New Orders Total at $515.9 billion, August was at $514.6 billion, July $509.4 billion, September 2020 $449.1 billion, September 2019 $481.3 billion.
  • IHS Markit says its October 2021 US Composite PMI Output Index is at 57.6, September was at 55.0, August 55.4, October 2020 56.3, October 2019 50.9. “Going forward, the big questions will revolve around the extent to which manufacturers can overcome their supply chain bottlenecks, which look set to worsen as we head towards the busy holiday period, and whether the service sector can sustain its current resilience as the rebound from the pandemic starts to fade and incomes are squeezed by higher prices.”
  • The Institute for Supply Management says the October 2021 US Services PMI Index(>50 Economy growing) is at a record 66.7%, September was at 61.9%, August 61.7%, October 2020 56.6%, October 2019 54.7%. “… all 18 services industries reported growth… However, ongoing challenges — including supply chain disruptions and shortages of labor and materials — are constraining capacity and impacting overall business conditions.”

  • Tuesday, November 2, 2021

  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the 3Q21 US Number of Housing Units is at 142,100,000, Number Occupied is at 126,914,000, 82,948,000 by the Owner, 43,967,000 by Renters, 15,185,000 are Vacant, 3Q21 Rental Housing Vacancy Rate is at 5.8%, 2Q21 was at 6.2%, 1Q21 6.8%, 3Q20 6.4%, 3Q19 6.8%.
  • The PurdueU/CME Group October 2021 US Ag Economy Barometer Composite Index is at 121, September was at 124, August 138, October 2020 183, October 2019 136. “Farmer sentiment remained weak in October …, leaving the index down nearly one-third since its springtime peak. Rising input costs, along with commodity prices that are lower than earlier this year, are major reasons behind the decline.”

  • Monday, November 1, 2021

  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary September 2021 US Construction Spending-Residential is at $782.5 billion, Non-Residential $791.2 billion, making September 2021 US Construction Spending Total at $1,573.6 billion, August was at $1,582.0 billion, July $1,581.1 billion, September 2020 was at $1,459.3 billion, September 2019 $1,315.2 billion.
  • The Institute for Supply Management says the October 2021 US Manufacturing PMI Index(>50% Economy expanding) is at 60.8%, September was at 61.1%, August 59.9%, October 2020 59.3%, October 2019 48.3%. “… panel sentiment remains strongly optimistic, with four positive growth comments for every cautious comment. Panelists are fully focused on supply chain issues in order to respond to the ongoing high levels of demand….”
  • IHS Markit says the October 2021 US Manufacturing PMI Index is at 58.4, September was at 60.7, August 61.1, October 2020 53.4, October 2019 51.3. “October PMI data … signalled a steep improvement in operating conditions across the U.S. manufacturing sector. Although the overall upturn slowed to the softest in 2021 so far, the expansion in new orders remained sharp and historically elevated. Nonetheless, output growth eased again to the weakest since July 2020 amid capacity constraints including material shortages.”

US Government/Other News

  • COVID-19 deaths exceed 5 million worldwide.
  • The US Center for Disease Control(CDC) approves COVID-19 vaccination of 5-11 year olds, follows US FDA approval.
  • In a late Friday night vote the US House of Representatives pass a $1 trillion package of highway, broadband and other infrastructure improvement by a vote of 228-206, now goes to President Biden to sign into law.
  • The 2021 G20 Rome summit endorses a global corporate minimum tax, makes commitment for carbon neutrality by mid century.
  • The US Biden administration and the European Union reach agree to rollback the steel and aluminum tariff regime that had been imposed by the Trump administration in 2018.
  • Tuesday, November 2, was an election day for many states and local governments.
  • In elections considered to be a reflection on US President Biden, a Democrat, Republican Glenn Youngkin wins the race for governor in Virginia, defeats former Democratic Governor Terry McAuliffe 50.7% to 48.5%. In New Jersey incumbent Democrat Governor Phil Murphy wins over Republican Jack Ciattarelli 50.8% to 48.3%.
  • US quarterly corporate earnings continue to be mostly positive.
  • On Tuesday the Atlanta Braves won the US major league baseball World Series Championship, takes the series 4 games to 2 over the Houston Astros.

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Investing: The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks On 10/29/21

November 1, 2021 by

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks for Investing!

Investing Stocks PBR25 PBR1000

Each month PBRMarketTools provides a list of 25 top buy stocks candidates, called The PBR25, in which to consider investing.

Investing: The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks On 10/29/21
Average Recommendations Range : 4.53 to 5.00, Average 4.64, Median 4.66
(Must be >4.50 on a 1.00-5.00 scale)
Range of Number of Recommendations : 12 to 45, Average 24, Median 21
Range of Number of Buy Recommendations : 10 to 36, Average 19, Median 17
Estimated 12 Month Return Range : 24.94% to 61.62%, Average 40.45%, Median 38.18% 
The PBR25 on US Stock Exchanges : NYSE 18, NASDAQ 7
Range of Returns since 10/30/20(12 months) : -17.91% to +244.29%, Average +18.03%, Median +21.76%
US Stock Indices Returns since 10/30/20 : DJIA +35.16%; NASDAQ +42.04%, S&P500 +40.84%
The PBR25 Stock Price Range : $7.38 to $335.52, Average $90.11, Median $54.43
Total The PBR25 Market Capitalization : $1,944.53 billion, Average $77.78 billion
The PBR25 Market Capitalization Range : $1.93 billion to $450.40 billion, Median $22.31 billion
The PBR25Turnover : 17 companies remain from 09/30/21, 8 are new

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The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks is a great timesaver for evaluating investing in highly rated stocks for your portfolio and available for a very affordable investment.

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks is a subset of our popular and more comprehensive The PBR1000 US Public Companies, which is made up of

  • publicly held companies
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  • have annual revenues of at least $1 billion,
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  • and have headquarters or primary operations in the US.

The PBR1000 US Public Companies combined generate over 50% of all goods and services revenues, the Gross Domestic Product(GDP), of the US.

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks is created each month from The PBR1000 US Public Companies. It is composed of:

  • Only “Buy” recommended stocks
  • Based on over 15,000 independent Analysts Recommendations
  • Each company having at least 10 “Buy” recommendations 
  • With a forecasted 12 month return of at least +20%. 

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The Week 43 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

October 29, 2021 by

The Week 43 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Stocks Bull Bear Investing Investor Money

The Stock Market Bull caps off an amazing October in Week 43 of 2021 by achieving 9 record closes in 15 sessions.

By Larry C. Paxton

The US Stock Market Week 43 Summary:

October 2021 was all about The Stock Market Bull, who got complete 3-0 victories in each of the 4 full weeks. It was revenge for September, the only month he has lost so far this year to The Stock Market Bear. In the first 3 weeks The Stock Market Bear came out charging, making a lot of noise, and getting some flesh on Mondays, only to have The Stock Market Bull kick his butt out of the pasture the remaining days. Week 43 was different, however. The Stock Market Bull took command immediately, took 13 of the 15 sessions from the 3 major US stock indices and had 9 record high closes, with the 3-0 trifecta on Friday to close out Week 43 and October in spectacular style.

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 43 and October of 2021 Ending 10/29/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(09/30/21 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
Previous Month Close(09/30/21) 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
Record Close Date 10/29/21 10/29/21 10/29/21
Record Close 35,819.56 15,498.39 4,605.38
Week 42-Friday & Close(10/22/21) 35,677.02 15,090.20 4,544.90
Week 43-Monday(10/25/21) 35,741.15 15,226.71 4,566.48
    Day Change 64.13 136.51 21.58
    Day % Change 0.18% 0.90% 0.47%
Week 43-Tuesday(10/26/21) 35,756.88 15,235.71 4,574.79
    Day Change 15.73 9.00 8.31
    Day % Change 0.04% 0.06% 0.18%
Week 43-Wednesday(10/27/21) 35,490.69 15,235.84 4,551.68
    Day Change (266.19) 0.13 (23.11)
    Day % Change -0.74% 0.00% -0.51%
Week 43-Thursday(10/28/21) 35,730.48 15,448.12 4,596.42
    Day Change 239.79 212.28 44.74
    Day % Change 0.68% 1.39% 0.98%
Week 43-Friday & Close(10/29/21) 35,819.56 15,498.39 4,605.38
    Day Change 89.08 50.27 8.96
    Day % Change 0.25% 0.33% 0.19%
Change-Week 142.54 408.19 60.48
% Change-Week 0.40% 2.71% 1.33%
Change-Month-to-Date 1,975.64 1,049.81 297.84
% Change-Month-to-Date 5.84% 7.27% 6.91%
Change-Quarter-to-Date 1,975.64 1,049.81 297.84
% Change-Quarter-to-Date 5.84% 7.27% 6.91%
Change-Year-to-Date 5,213.08 2,610.11 849.31
% Change-Year-to-Date 17.03% 20.25% 22.61%
Change-Record 0.00 0.00 0.00
% Change-Record 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies 2021 YTD
Week 43 Winner and Tally  Bull 3-0 Win
October Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 21 6 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 14 1 Losing
Mixed Result 8 3
  Totals 43 10

Summary News Items for Week 43:

US Economic News

  • Friday, October 29, 2021

  • The US Dept of the Treasury says that on 10/27/21 the US National Debt-Public is at $22.625 trillion, Intragovernmental $6.284 trillion, making the 10/27/21 US National Debt Total at $28.909 trillion, 09/30/21 was at $28.429 trillion, 08/31/21 $28.428, 10/31/20 $27.136, 10/31/19 $23.008 trillion.
  • The US Dept of the Treasury says on 10/29/21 the US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield is at 1.55%, 09/30/21 was at 1.52%, 08/31/21 1.30%, 10/30/20 0.88%, 10/31/19 1.69%.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/BEA says the Preliminary September 2021 US Personal Income Annual Rate is at $20.493 trillion, August was at $20.709 trillion, July $20.668 trillion, September 2020 $19.762, September 2019 $18.729 trillion.
  • The US Dept of Labor says the 3Q21 US Employment Cost Index(Dec2005=100) is at 146.6, 2Q21 was at 144.7, 1Q21 143.7, 3Q20 141.1, 3Q19 138.0.
  • The U of Michigan Final October 2021 US Consumer Sentiment Index is at 71.7, September was at 72.8, August 70.3, October 2020 81.8, October 2019 95.5. “The positive impact of higher income expectations and the receding coronavirus has been offset by higher rates of inflation and falling confidence in government economic policies….”
  • The American Automobile Assn says on 10/29/21 the US Average Price for a Gallon of Regular Gas is at $3.401, 09/30/21 was at $3.189, 08/31/21 $3.159, 10/30/20 $2.142, 10/31/19 $2.614.
  • MNI Indicators says the Preliminary October 2021 Chicago Business Barometer(>50=Economy growing) is at 68.4, September was at 64.7, August 66.8, October 2020 61.1, October 2019 43.2. “Firms say freight difficulties and the available supply of raw materials continue to hamper production.”
  • On 10/29/21 the US Price for a Euro is $1.1560, on 09/30/21 it was at $1.1583, 08/31/21 $1.1809, 10/30/20 $1.1647, 10/31/19 $1.1153.
  • On 10/29/21 the US Price for a Bitcoin is at $62,339, 09/30/21 it was at $43,725, 08/31/21 $47,008, 10/30/20 $10,401, 10/31/19 $7,338.

  • Thursday, October 28, 2021

  • The US Dept of Commerce says the Advance 3Q21 Real Gross Domestic Product Annual Rate for the Quarter is at +2.0%, $23.174 trillion, 2Q21 was at +6.7%, 1Q21 +6.3%, 3Q20 +33.8%, 3Q19 +2.8%.
  • The US Dept of Labor says for the week ending 10/23/21 the US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims is at 281,000, 09/25/21 was at 362,000, 08/31/21 353,000, 10/24/20 751,000, 10/26/19 218,000; for the week ending 10/16/21 the US Total Insured Unemployment is at 2,243,000, 09/18/21 was at 2,802,000, 08/14/21 2,862,000, 10/17/20 7,756,000, 10/19/19 1,690,000.
  • FreddieMac says for the week ending 10/28/21 the US Average 30 Year Fixed Rate Home Mortgage was at 3.14% with 0.7 points/fees, for 09/30/21 it was at 3.01%, 08/26/21 2.87%, 10/29/20 2.81%, 10/31/19 3.78%. “Mortgage rates are … rising, but purchase demand remains firm, showing that latent purchase demand exists among consumers.”

  • Wednesday, October 27, 2021

  • ADP in its Workforce Vitality Report says the Preliminary 3Q21 Average Hourly Wage Level-All is at $31.22, 2Q21 was at $30.83, 1Q21 $30.84, 4Q20 $30.20, 3Q20 $30.22.
  • The National Retail Federation forecasts that “… holiday sales during November and December will grow between 8.5 percent and 10.5 percent over 2020 to between $843.4 billion and $859 billion. The numbers, which exclude automobile dealers, gasoline stations and restaurants, compare with a previous high of 8.2 percent in 2020 to $777.3 billion and an average increase of 4.4 percent over the past five years….”
  • The US Energy Information Administration says on 10/22/21 the US Crude Oil Millions of Barrels Stocks are at 430.8, 09/24/21 was at 418.5, 08/20/21 432.6, 10/23/20 492.4, 10/25/19 438.9.
  • TrueCar says the Forecast October 2021 US New Car Sales-Retail is at 945,027 vehicles, Fleet 109,285, making October 2021 US New Car Sales Total Units at 1,054,312, September was at 1,006,931, August 1,095,323, October 2020 1,361,858; the October 2021 US New Car Sale Average Transaction Price is at $40,121, September was at $39,724, August $38,580, October 2020 $37,117. “Full-size pickup trucks are actually seeing a notable increase in finance offers which has helped drive that segment to almost 25% of new vehicle sales, a dramatic increase from 15% back in May.”

  • Tuesday, October 26, 2021

  • The Conference Board says the Preliminary October 2021 US Consumer Confidence Index(1985=100) is at 113.8, September was at 109.8, August 115.2, October 2020 101.4, October 2019 126.1. “…The proportion of consumers planning to purchase homes, automobiles, and major appliances all increased in October—a sign that consumer spending will continue to support economic growth through the final months of 2021…”
  • The US Dept of Commerce/HUD says the Preliminary September 2021 US New Family Homes Sold Annual Rate is at 800,000, August was at 702,000, July 712,000, September 2020 971,000, September 2019 726,000; the September 2021 US New Family Homes Sold Median Price is at $408,800, August was at $401,500, July $399,700, September 2020 $344,400, September 2019 $315,700.
  • The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller says the Preliminary August 2021 US National Home Price Index(01/2000=100) is at 268.62(+19.8% from August 2020), July was at 265.46, June 261.06, August 2020 224.15, August 2019 211.83.
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia says the October 2021 US 3rd District Nonmanufacturing General Activity Index is at 33.4, September was at 9.6, August 39.1, October 2020 16.0, October 2019 12.2. “The future activity indexes suggest that respondents expect improvement at their firms and in their region over the next six months.”
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond says the Preliminary October 2021 US 5th District Manufacturing Index(Annualized) is at +12%, September was at -3%, August +9%, October 2020 +29%, October 2019 +8%. “Manufacturers were optimistic that conditions would improve in the coming months but expected inventories to remain low for some time.”
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond says the Preliminary October 2021 US 5th District Service Sector Revenue Index(Annualized) is at +9%, September was at -3%, August +15%, October 2020 +19%, October 2019 +24%. “Firms were optimistic that business conditions would improve in the next six months.”

  • Monday, October 25 2021

  • The US Federal Reserve says the September 2021 US Monthly Receipts are at $459.5 billion, Outlays $521.1 billion, making the September 2021 US Monthly Deficit at $61.5 billion; the Fiscal Year Ending September 2021 US Annual Receipts were at $4,046.0 billion, Outlays $6,818.2 billion, making the Fiscal Year Ending September 2021 Deficit at $2,772.2 billion, September 2020 was at $3,131.9 billion, September 2019 $984.4 billion.
  • The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago says the Preliminary September 2021 US National Activity Index is at -0.13, August was at +0.05, July +0.83, September 2020 +0.37, September 2019 -0.50. “Index suggests slower economic growth in September.”

US Government/Other News

  • The FDA approves the Pfizer/BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine for 5-11 year olds.
  • The US House of Representatives members continue to negotiate and compromise on the infrastructure and spending bills, appear close to passing the legislation, but miss President Biden’s hope that something would be passed before the weekend.
  • US President Biden met with Pope Francis at the Vatican on Friday, discussed climate change, COVID-19 issues, and poverty.
  • US President Biden is in Europe to attend the 2021 G-20 Leaders Summit in Rome, Italy, then the 26th UN Climate Change Conference(COP26) in Glasgow, Scotland.
  • 3Q21 corporate earnings releases continue to be strong, even though Amazon and Apple experience lower than expected results.
  • Facebook changes its name to Meta Platforms, Inc, to reflect its leadership position in the Metaverse.
  • Microsoft overtakes Apple as the world’s most valuable company.

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The Week 42 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

October 22, 2021 by

The Week 42 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Stocks Bull Bear Investing Investor Money

In Week 42 of 2021 The Stock Market Bull gets a trifecta with his 3rd week in a row 3-0 victory over The Stock Market Bear.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 42 of 2021 Ending 10/22/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(09/30/21 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
Previous Month Close(09/30/21) 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
Record Close Date 10/22/21 09/07/21 10/21/21
Record Close 35,677.02 15,374.33 4,549.78
Week 41-Friday & Close(10/15/21) 35,294.76 14,897.34 4,471.37
Week 42-Monday(10/18/21) 35,258.61 15,021.81 4,486.46
    Day Change (36.15) 124.47 15.09
    Day % Change -0.10% 0.84% 0.34%
Week 42-Tuesday(10/19/21) 35,457.31 15,129.09 4,519.63
    Day Change 198.70 107.28 33.17
    Day % Change 0.56% 0.71% 0.74%
Week 42-Wednesday(10/20/21) 35,609.34 15,121.68 4,536.19
    Day Change 152.03 (7.41) 16.56
    Day % Change 0.43% -0.05% 0.37%
Week 42-Thursday(10/21/21) 35,603.08 15,215.70 4,549.78
    Day Change (6.26) 94.02 13.59
    Day % Change -0.02% 0.62% 0.30%
Week 42-Friday & Close(10/22/21) 35,677.02 15,090.20 4,544.90
    Day Change 73.94 (125.50) (4.88)
    Day % Change 0.21% -0.82% -0.11%
Change-Week 382.26 192.86 73.53
% Change-Week 1.08% 1.29% 1.64%
Change-Month-to-Date 1,833.10 641.62 237.36
% Change-Month-to-Date 5.42% 4.44% 5.51%
Change-Quarter-to-Date 1,833.10 641.62 237.36
% Change-Quarter-to-Date 5.42% 4.44% 5.51%
Change-Year-to-Date 5,070.54 2,201.92 788.83
% Change-Year-to-Date 16.57% 17.08% 21.00%
Change-Record 0.00 (284.13) (4.88)
% Change-Record 0.00% -1.85% -0.11%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD
Week 42 Winner and Tally  Bull 3-0 Win
September Winner and Tally Bear 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 20 5 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 14 1 Losing
Mixed Result 8 3
  Totals 42 9

The US Stock Market Week 42 Summary:

In Week 42 The Stock Market Bull gets his trifecta of winning weeks by taking all 3 major US stock market indices by good sized margins, taking 10 of the 15 trading sessions, including setting new records on the S&P500 and DJIA, and coming close to doing so on the NASDAQ. The best The Stock Market Bear could do was inflict some minor scratches when The Stock Market Bull took a very brief rest. Much of the results could be attributed to good quarterly corporate earnings reports, no out-of-line economic results, COVID-19 booster shots getting approvals from the FDA and CDC, and everything else pretty much staying the same as it was before. Congrats to The Stock Market Bull for his convincing 3-0 Week 42 victory.

Summary News Items for Week 42:

US Economic News

  • Friday, October 22, 2021

  • No economic data releases today.

  • Thursday, October 21, 2021

  • The Conference Board says the Preliminary October 2021 US Leading Economic Index(2016=100) is at 117.5, September was at 117.3, August 116.5, October 2020 108.5, October 2019 111.5. “The U.S. LEI rose again in September, though at a slower rate, suggesting the economy remains on a more moderate growth trajectory compared to the first half of the year… The Delta variant, rising inflation fears, and supply chain disruptions are all creating headwinds for the US economy… The Conference Board continues to forecast strong growth ahead: 5.7 percent year-over-year for 2021 and 3.8 percent for 2022.”
  • The Natl Assn of Realtors says the Preliminary September 2021 US Existing Home Sales Annual Rate is at 6,290,000, August was at 5,880,000, July 6,000,000, September 2020 6,440,000, September 2019 5,410,000; September 2021 Median Home Sale Price is at $352,800, August was at $356,500, July $359,900, September 2020 $311,500, September 2019 $271,500. “Some improvement in supply during prior months helped nudge up sales in September… Housing demand remains strong as buyers likely want to secure a home before mortgage rates increase even further next year.”
  • The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia says the October 2021 US 3rd District Manufacturing General Business Indicator is at 23.8, September was at 30.7, August 19.4, October 2020 24.6, October 2019 4.1. “The survey’s future indexes indicate that respondents continue to expect growth over the next six months.”

  • Wednesday, October 20, 2021

  • The US Federal Reserve releases its Beige Book for data through 10/08/21, says, “Economic activity grew at a modest to moderate rate, according to the majority of Federal Reserve Districts. Several Districts noted, however, that the pace of growth slowed this period, constrained by supply chain disruptions, labor shortages, and uncertainty around the Delta variant of COVID-19.”

  • Tuesday, October 19, 2021

  • The US Dept of Commerce/HUD says the Preliminary September 2021 US New Residential Construction Permits Issued Annual Rate-Private Housing is at 1,589,000 units, August was at 1,721,000, July 1,630,000, September 2020 1,589,000, September 2019 1,473,000.

  • Monday, October 18 2021

  • The US Federal Reserve says the Preliminary September 2021 US Factory % of Capacity Utilization is at 75.2%, August was at 76.2%, July 76.3%, September 2020 72.1%, September 2019 77.4%, September 2018 78.5%.
  • The Natl Assn of Home Builders says the Preliminary October 2021 US Housing Market Composite Index(>50 means more homebuilders say conditions are good) is at 80, September was at 76, August 75, October 2020 85, October 2019 71. “Strong consumer demand helped push builder confidence higher in October despite growing affordability challenges stemming from rising material prices and shortages.”

US Government/Other News

  • The FDA and CDC approve Pfizer/BioNTech and Moderna booster shot vaccines.
  • US 3rd Quarter corporate earnings reports are generally good.
  • Highly respected and admired former US Secretary of State General Colin Powell passes away at age 84 from complications of COVID-19 and other underlying illnesses.
  • US President Biden says he cannot get enough votes in the US Congress to increase corporate tax rates.
  • The US House of Representatives continues to grapple with putting together an around $2 trillion infrastructure spending plan.
  • China economic data indicates a weakening economy.
  • N Korea fires another test missile, launched from a submarine.

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