The Week 2 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

January 14, 2022 by

The Week 2 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Investing Investor Stocks Recap

The Stock Market Bull had the lead through Wednesday of Week 2 of 2022, but The Stock Market Bear had a big Thursday and gets the 3-0 Week 2 win.

By Larry C. Paxton

The US Stock Market Week 2 Summary:

At the close on Wednesday The Stock Market Bull was ahead for the week. But on Thursday The Stock Market Bear charged onto the pasture, scattered the herd, and took a big bite out of some. The Stock Market Bull made a feeble recovery on Friday but it was not nearly enough. The Stock Market Bear starts out 2022 with two weekly wins. Will he get the trifecta next week?

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 2 of 2022 Ending 01/14/22
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Previous Quarter Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Previous Month Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Record Close Date 01/04/22 11/19/21 01/03/22
Record Close 36,799.65 16,057.44 4,796.56
Week 1-Friday & Close(12/31/21) 36,231.66 14,935.90 4,677.03
Week 2-Monday(01/10/22) 36,068.87 14,942.83 4,670.29
    Day Change (162.79) 6.93 (6.74)
    Day % Change -0.45% 0.05% -0.14%
Week 2-Tuesday(01/11/22) 36,252.02 15,153.45 4,713.07
    Day Change 183.15 210.62 42.78
    Day % Change 0.51% 1.41% 0.92%
Week 2-Wednesday(01/12/22) 36,290.32 15,188.39 4,726.35
    Day Change 38.30 34.94 13.28
    Day % Change 0.11% 0.23% 0.28%
Week 2-Thursday(01/13/22) 36,113.62 14,806.81 4,659.03
    Day Change (176.70) (381.58) (67.32)
    Day % Change -0.49% -2.51% -1.42%
Week 2-Friday & Close(01/14/22) 35,911.81 14,893.75 4,662.85
    Day Change (201.81) 86.94 3.82
    Day % Change -0.56% 0.59% 0.08%
Change-Week -319.85 -42.15 -14.18
% Change-Week -0.88% -0.28% -0.30%
Change-Month-to-Date (426.49) (751.22) (103.33)
% Change-Month-to-Date -1.17% -4.80% -2.17%
Change-Quarter-to-Date (426.49) (751.22) (103.33)
% Change-Quarter-to-Date -1.17% -4.80% -2.17%
Change-Year-to-Date (426.49) (751.22) (103.33)
% Change-Year-to-Date -1.17% -4.80% -2.17%
Change-Record (887.84) (1,163.69) (133.71)
% Change-Record -2.41% -7.25% -2.79%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies 2022 YTD
Week 2 Winner and Tally  Bear 3-0 Win
December Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months 2022 YTD
The Stock Market Bull 0 0 Losing
The Stock Market Bear 2 0 Winning
Mixed Result 0 0
  Totals 2 0

Summary News Items for Week 2:

US Economic News

  • Friday, January 14, 2022

  • The US Dept of Labor says “The price index for U.S. imports declined 0.2 percent in December, the first monthly decrease since the index fell 0.2 percent in August 2021. Despite the December drop, U.S. import prices increased 10.4 percent over the past year. The advance in 2021 was the largest calendar-year rise since import prices increased 10.6 percent in 2007… U.S. export prices decreased 1.8 percent in December, after advancing 0.8 percent in November and 1.9 percent in October. The December decline was the largest 1-month drop since the index fell 3.5 percent in April 2020. Despite the December decrease, U.S. export prices rose 14.7 percent from December 2020 to December 2021. The 2021 advance was the largest calendar-year increase since the series was first published in 1984.”
  • The Federal Reserve reported “Industrial production declined 0.1 percent in December. Losses of 0.3 percent for manufacturing and 1.5 percent for utilities were mostly offset by a gain of 2.0 percent for mining. For the fourth quarter as a whole, total industrial production rose at an annual rate of 4.0 percent. At 101.9 percent of its 2017 average, total industrial production in December was 3.7 percent higher than it was at the end of 2020 and 0.6 percent above its pre-pandemic (February 2020) reading. Capacity utilization for the industrial sector edged down 0.1 percentage point in December to 76.5 percent, a rate that is 3.1 percentage points below its long-run (1972–2020) average.”
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census reports that “Sales: The combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for November, adjusted for seasonal and trading day differences, but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,723.7 billion, up 0.7 percent (±0.2 percent) from October 2021 and was up 17.6 percent (±0.6 percent) from November 2020. Inventories: Manufacturers’ and trade inventories for November, adjusted for seasonal and trading day differences, but not for price changes, were estimated at an end-of-month level of $2,158.2 billion, up 1.3 percent (±0.1 percent) from October 2021 and were up 8.7 percent (±0.5 percent) from November 2020. Inventories/Sales Ratio: The total business inventories/sales ratio based on seasonally adjusted data at the end of November was 1.25. The November 2020 ratio was 1.35.”
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census reports Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for December 2021, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $626.8 billion, a decrease of 1.9 percent (±0.5 percent) from the previous month, but 16.9 percent (±0.9 percent) above December 2020. Total sales for the 12 months of 2021 were up 19.3 percent (±0.5 percent) from 2020. Total sales for the October 2021 through December 2021 period were up 17.1 percent (±0.7 percent) from the same period a year ago. The October 2021 to November 2021 percent change was revised from up 0.3 percent (±0.5 percent)* to up 0.2 percent (±0.3 percent)*. Retail trade sales were down 2.1 percent (±0.4 percent) from November 2021, but up 14.4 percent (±0.7 percent) above last year. Gasoline stations were up 41.0 percent (±1.6 percent) from December 2020, while food services and drinking places were up 41.3 percent (±4.0 percent) from last year.
  • The U of Michigan Preliminary January 2022 US Consumer Sentiment Index is at 68.8, December was at 70.6, November 67.4, December 2020 80.7, December 2019 99.3. “Sentiment posted a small loss in early January (-2.5%), falling to the second lowest level in a decade, which was recorded in November (67.4). The Sentiment Index has averaged just 70.3 in the past six months, whereas in the first six months of 2021 it averaged 82.9. While the Delta and Omicron variants certainly contributed to this downward shift, the decline was also due to an escalating inflation rate…..”

  • Thursday, January 13, 2022

  • The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary December 2021 US Producer Price Index Total Monthly Change in Final Demand is at +0.2%, November was at +1.0%, October +0.6%, December 2020 +0.3%, December 2019 +0.3%; December 2021 US Producer Price Index Total Last 12 Months Change in Final Demand is at +9.7%, November was at +9.8%, October +8.9%, December 2020 +0.8%, December 2019 +1.4%.

  • Wednesday, January 12, 2022

  • The US Dept of the Treasury says the December 2021 US Federal Government Receipts are at $486.7 billion, Outlays $508.9 billion, making December 2021 US Federal Government Deficit at $21.3 billion, November Deficit was at $191.3 billion, October Deficit $165.1 billion, December 2020 Deficit $143.6 billion, December 2019 Deficit $13.3 billion; December 2021 Deficit YTD(3 months) is at $377.7 billion, December 2020 Deficit YTD $572.9 billion, December 2019 Deficit YTD $356.6 billion.
  • The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary December 2021 US Current Average Earnings/Hour is at $31.31, Average Hours Worked/Week is at 34.7, making December 2021 Current Average Earnings/Week at $1,086.46, November was at $1,079.86, October $1,076.05, December 2020 $1,037.88, December 2019 $973.09.
  • The US Dept of Labor says the December 2021 US Consumer Price Index Monthly Change is at +0.5%, November was at +0.8%, October +0.9%, December 2020 +0.2%, December 2019 +0.2%, December 2021 Last 12 Months Change is at +7.0%, November was at +6.8%, October +6.2%, December 2020 +1.4%, December 2019 +2.3%.
  • The US Federal Reserve releases the Beige Book for data through 01/03/22, says, “Economic activity across the United States expanded at a modest pace in the final weeks of 2021. Contacts from many Districts indicated growth continued to be constrained by ongoing supply chain disruptions and labor shortages. Despite the modest pace of growth, demand for materials and inputs, and demand for workers, remained elevated among businesses.”

  • Tuesday, January 11, 2022

  • CoreLogic says the October 2021 US Home Mortgages 30 or more Days Delinquent are at 3.8%, September was at 3.9%, August 4.0%, October 2020 6.1%, October 2019 3.7%. “Economic recovery and loan modification have helped reduce the number of loans that were in serious delinquency by just over one million from the August 2021 peak. Nonetheless, there were about one-half million more loans in serious delinquency in October than at the start of the pandemic in March 2020.”

  • Monday, January 10, 2022

  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary November 2021 US Wholesale Sales-Durables is at $292.0 billion, Non-Durables $338.8 billion, making November 2021 US Wholesale Sales Total at $630.8 billion, October was at $622.4 billion, September $606.9 billion, November 2020 $511.7 billion, November 2019 $497.9 billion.

US Government/Other News

  • US President Biden orders 500 million more COVID test kits, will also be shipping kits to schools, providing free masks.
  • The US Supreme Court blocks vaccine-or-test rules for big businesses.
  • US hospitals nationwide report that they are nearly maxed out with COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations have reached record highs from January 2021.
  • The surge in the Omnicron COVID-19 variant is expected to peak by the end of January.
  • US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testifies at his confirmation hearing in the US Senate, says he expects Fed to raise interest rates in 2022 to slow down inflation, to phase out buying of securities.
  • US President Biden suggests that the US Senate change its filibuster rules so that it can vote on in limbo voting rights bills.
  • Tensions continue to mount over concerns of a possible invasion by Russia into Ukraine, Russia says it is just doing military exercises in the area.
  • N Korea launches some more missiles.

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PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company.

Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

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The PBR1000 Summary: Alaska Air Group(NYSE: ALK)

January 12, 2022 by

The PBR1000 Summary: Alaska Air Group(NYSE: ALK)

ALK Alaska Air PBR1000 Investing Investor Stocks Stock Market

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Business Description: “Alaska Airlines and our regional partners serve more than 120 destinations across the United States, Belize, Canada, Costa Rica and Mexico. We emphasize Next-Level Care for our guests, along with providing low fares, award-winning customer service and sustainability efforts. Alaska is a member of the oneworld global alliance. With the alliance and our additional airline partners, guests can travel to more than 1,000 destinations on more than 20 airlines while earning and redeeming miles on flights to locations around the world.”

Business Name: Alaska Air Group, Inc.
Ticker: NYSE: ALK(Common)
Fiscal Year Ending Month: December

Stock Price, Analysts Forecast and Recommendation for ALK on 01/11/22:

  • Stock Price: $55.99
  • Analysts Forecasted Average 12 Month Stock Price : $76.36
  • Analysts Forecasted 12 Month Change: +36.38%
  • Analysts Recommendation: Buy, 4.87/5.00, based on 15 forecasts

Some of the 28 Current The PBR1000 Rankings for ALK on 01/11/22:

  • 645 By Annual Revenues: $3.566 billion(12/31/20)
  • 659 By Market Capitalization: $6.53 billion(12/31/21)
  • 403 By Assets: $14.046 billion(12/31/20)
  • 334 By Employees: 21,997(12/31/20)

Alaska Air Group Investors Page: ALK

To get the complete profile for ALK and for all 1,000 of The PBR1000 US Public Companies click here!

On December 31, 2021, ALK was on The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks. To find out who else is click here!

PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company.

Disclaimers: The PBR1000 is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. PBRMarketTools.com research should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

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The PBR1000 December 2021 Top 5 Stocks Snapshots

January 10, 2022 by

The PBR1000 December 2021 Top 5 Stocks Snapshots

The Stock Market Bull Wins December, Celebrates a Victorious 2021

Stocks Stock Market Bull Bear Investing Investor

After a mixed loss in November The Stock Market Bull takes December and easily dominates 2021 with an exceptional overall result across all three major US stock indices.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

The Month of December 2021 Ending 12/31/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
2020 Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
3Q21 Close(09/30/21) 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
November 2021 Close(11/30/21) 34,483.72 15,537.69 4,567.00
Record Close Date 12/29/21 11/19/21 12/29/21
Record Close 36,488.63 16,057.44 4,793.06
December 2021 Close(11/30/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Percent Change-Month +5.38% +0.69% +4.36%
Percent Change-4Q21-to-Date +7.37% +8.28% +10.65%
Percent Change-Year-to-Date +18.73% +21.39% +26.89%
Percent Change-Record -0.41% -2.57% -0.56%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD
Week 52 Winner and Tally  Bull 2-1 Mixed
December Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 24 7 Won
The Stock Market Bear 18 1 Lost
Mixed Result 10 4
  Totals 52 12

The US Stock Market December 2021 Summary:

Week 48, the first week in December, which included the last two days of November, ended up being won by The Stock Market Bear with large wins across all three major US stock indices on Tuesday, Thursday, and Friday.  The Stock Market Bull returned the favor in Week 49 by taking every day except Thursday. This was followed by an overwhelming reversal by The Stock Market Bear in Week 50, letting The Stock Market Bull win only Wednesday. In what was becoming a theme, after losing Monday, The Stock Market Bull charged back in the 4 day Holiday Week by taking Tuesday through Thursday, with Thursday including a record close for the S&P500. Going into Week 52, the last for 2021, The Stock Market Bull had a small lead across all three indices, and had a big Monday to start. But The Stock Market Bear returned and took 9 of 12 sessions Tuesday through Friday, but resulted in only a 2-1 mixed win for the week. Of the 3 sessions won by The Stock Market Bull two were record closes on Wednesday for the DJIA and the S&P500. In conclusion, it was a back and forth month with The Stock Market Bull emerging as the winner for the month and the victor by a large margin for all of 2021.

Number of Trading Days: 22

Number of Gain(+)/Loss(-) Days: DJIA 12+/10-; NASDAQ 10+/12-; SPX 11+/11-.

Record Days: DJIA 1, NASDAQ 0, SPX 5, Total 6

Longest Gain Streak(Consecutive Days): DJIA 6 days(12/21-29/21), NASDAQ 4 days(12/21-27/21), and SPX 4 days(12/21-27/21)

Longest Loss Streak(Consecutive Days): DJIA 3 days(12/16-20/21), NASDAQ 4 days(12/28-31/21), and SPX 3 days(12/16-20/21)

Big Swing Up Days(>1.00%): 7 days(17 sessions), 12/02/21( D +1.82%, S +1.42%), 12/06/21(D +1.87%, S +1.17%), 12/07/21(D +1.40%, N +3.03%, S +2.07%), 12/15/21(D -1.08%, N +2.15%, S +1.63%), 12/21/21(D +1.60%, N +2.40%, S +1.78%), 12/22/21(N +1.18%, S +1.02%), 12/27/21(N +1.39%, S +1.38%)

Big Swing Down Days(<-1.00%): 8 days(13 sessions), 12/01/21(D -1.34%, N -1.83%, S 1.18%), 12/03/21(N -1.92%), 12/09/21(N -1.71%), 12/13/21(N -1.39%), 12/14/21(N -1.14%), 12/16/21(N -2.47%), 12/17/21(D -1.48%, S -1.03%), 12/20/21(D -1.23%, N -1.24%, S -1.14%)

The PBR1000 December 2021 Top 5 Stocks Snapshots

The following are Top 5 partial tables excerpts from The PBR1000 November 2021 Snapshots. The price for stocks is for the close of trading on November 30, 2021, 1 Month % Chg is compared to November 30, 2021, 12 Months % Chg is compared to December 31, 2020, the 24 Months % Chg is compared to December 31, 2019, and 60 Months % Chg is compared to December 30, 2016. The PBR Rank is by last fiscal year annual revenues.

To get the complete The PBR1000 Snapshots  just click here to get your 12 month subscription and automatically download the December 2021 edition with the complete 15 Snapshots and 28 rankings with the bonuses The PBRMarketTools US Monthly Indices Snapshots and The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks.

 

Table 1(S11): The PBR1000 Top 5 Month Stock Price % Gainers

Table 1 Summary: The range was +59% to -34%. 810 out of 1,000 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 4.69%, the median was a gain of 5.84%. The DJIA was +5.38%, NASDAQ +0.69%, SPX +4.36%.

Company PBR
Rank		 Symbol Price
12/31/21		 Mo
% Chg		 12 Mos
% Chg		 24 Mos
% Chg		 60 Mos
% Chg
Titan International 978 TWI $ 10.96 +59 +126 +203 -2
BlueLinx 698 BXC $ 95.76 +36 +227 +572 +1,182
Hovnanian 809 HOV $ 127.29 +33 +287 +510 +87
Cerner 483 CERN $ 92.87 +32 +18 +27 +96
Alcoa 323 AA $ 59.58 +28 +158 +177 +112

 

Table 2(S12): The PBR1000 Top 5 12 Months Stock Price % Gainers

Table 2 Summary: The range was +1,183% to -83%. 788 out of 985 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 25.86%, the median was a gain of 23.06%. The DJIA was +18.73%, NASDAQ +21.39%, SPX +26.89%.

Company PBR
Rank		 Symbol Price
12/31/21		 Mo
% Chg		 12 Mos
% Chg		 24 Mos
% Chg		 60 Mos
% Chg
AMC Entertainment 980 AMC $ 27.20 -20 +1,183 +276 -19
GameStop 509 GME $ 148.39 -24 +688 +2,341 +487
Veritiv 428 VRTV $ 122.57 -3 +490 +523 +428
Avis Budget 488 CAR $ 207.37 -24 +456 +543 +465
RR Donnelley 535 RRD $ 11.26 +7 +398 +185 -31

 

Table 3(S13): The PBR1000 Top 5 24 Months Stock Price % Gainers

Table 3 Summary: The range was +2,341% to -84%. 723 out of 971 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 45.70%. The median was a gain of 27.95%. The DJIA was +27.33%, NASDAQ +74.36%, SPX +47.52%.

 

Company PBR
Rank		 Symbol Price
12/31/21		 Mo
% Chg		 12 Mos
% Chg		 24 Mos
% Chg		 60 Mos
% Chg
GameStop 509 GME $ 148.39 -24 +688 +2,341 +487
Tesla Motors 96 TSLA $ 1, 56.78 -8 +50 +1,163 +2,373
Overstock 775 OSTK $ 59.01 -34 +23 +758 +245
Owens & Minor 343 OMI $ 47.50 +9 +61 +741 +23
A-Mark Precious Metals 372 AMRK $ 61.10 -12 +138 +639 +213

 

Table 4(R21): The PBR1000 Top 5 60 Months Stock Price % Gainers

Table 4 Summary: The range was +2,373% to -91%. 707 out of 938 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 103.23%. The median was a gain of 56.30%. The DJIA was +83.87%, NASDAQ +190.63%, SPX +112.89%.

 

Company PBR
Rank		 Symbol Price
12/31/21		 Mo
% Chg		 12 Mos
% Chg		 24 Mos
% Chg		 60 Mos
% Chg
Tesla Motors 96 TSLA $ 1,056.78 -8 +50 +1,163 +2,373
SolarEdge 950 SEDG $ 280.57 -14 -12 +195 +2,163
Crocs 960 CROCS $ 128.22 -22 +105 +206 +1,769
Etsy 918 ETSY $218.94 -20 +23 +394 +1,759
RH 739 RH $ 535.94 -8 +20 +151 +1,646

 

Table 5(S15): The PBR1000 Top 5 Market Capitalization

Table 5 Summary: The range was $2,913 billion to $0.21 billion. The average is $45.725 billion, median is $11.91 billion, out of 1,000 companies.

Company PBR
Rank		 Symbol Market Cap($B)
12/31/21		 1 Mo
% Chg		 12 Mos
% Chg		 24 Mos
% Chg
Apple 3 AAPL $ 2,913 +7 +28 +126
Microsoft 13 MSFT $2,525 +2 +51 +110
Alphabet 10 GOOG $ 1,940 +0 +65 +110
Amazon 2 AMZN $ 1,691 -5 +3 +85
Tesla Motors 96 TSLA $ 1,069 -8 +61 +1,320
The PBR1000
   $ 45,724.79 +3 +25 +51

 

Table 6: The PBR1000 Index & Primary US Stock Exchanges/Commodities

 

Company Price
12/31/21		 1 Mo
% Chg		 12 Mos
% Chg		 24 Mos
% Chg		 60 Mos
% Chg
The PBR1000 141,624.18 +4.7 +25.9 +45.7 +103.2
DJIA 36,338.30 +5.4 +18.7 +27.3 +83.9
NASDAQ 15,644.97 +0.7 +21.4 +74.4 +190.6
S&P500 4,766.18 +4.4 +26.9 +47.5 +112.9
GOLD 1,828.60 +2.9 -3.5 +20.3 +38.8
OIL 75.21 +13.6 +55.0 +22.9 +40.0
SOYBEANS(Cents) 1,339.25 +10.0 +2.2 +40.1 +33.4
BITCOIN(US$) 46,392 -19.1 +163.5 +618.3 +6,152.3

 

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PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company.

Disclaimers: The PBR1000 is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. PBRMarketTools.com provides research only which should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

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The Week 1 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

January 7, 2022 by

The Week 1 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Investing Investor Recap

“Happy New Year, I’m Back!” angrily growls The Stock Market Bear, as he defiantly gets the 3-0 outright win in Week 1 of 2022.

By Larry C. Paxton

The US Stock Market Week 1 Summary:

The Stock Market Bull, confident after a dominating victorious 2021, on Monday charged onto the pasture to show that it will be more of the same in 2022, takes all 3 major US stock indices, and establishes records on both the DJIA and S&P500, making it a joyful “Happy New Year!” introduction for the Bull’s fans. On Tuesday it looked like it might be another great The Stock Market Bull day as he took the DJIA with another new record close. But The Stock Market Bear sneaked onto the pasture and took a big bite out of the NASDAQ and a small nibble out of the S&P500. On Wednesday, with the release of the December Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee and the significant increase of COVID-19 Omnicron variant cases, The Stock Market Bear continued to ravage all 3 indices for the rest of the week, takes Week 1 of 2022 with clear 3-0 win, and with an angry growl announces, “Happy New Year, I’m Back!” The Stock Market Bear draws first blood in 2022, and the challenge has been set.

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 1 of 2022 Ending 01/07/22
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Previous Quarter Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Previous Month Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Record Close Date 01/04/22 11/19/21 01/03/22
Record Close 36,799.65 16,057.44 4,796.56
Week 52-Friday & Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Week 1-Monday(01/03/22) 36,585.06 15,832.80 4,796.56
    Day Change 246.76 187.83 30.38
    Day % Change 0.68% 1.20% 0.64%
Week 1-Tuesday(01/04/22) 36,799.65 15,622.72 4,793.54
    Day Change 214.59 (210.08) (3.02)
    Day % Change 0.59% -1.33% -0.06%
Week 1-Wednesday(01/05/22) 36,407.11 15,100.17 4,700.58
    Day Change (392.54) (522.55) (92.96)
    Day % Change -1.07% -3.34% -1.94%
Week1-Thursday(01/06/22) 36,236.47 15,080.86 4,696.05
    Day Change (170.64) (19.31) (4.53)
    Day % Change -0.47% -0.13% -0.10%
Week 1-Friday & Close(01/07/22) 36,231.66 14,935.90 4,677.03
    Day Change (4.81) (144.96) (19.02)
    Day % Change -0.01% -0.96% -0.41%
Change-Week -106.64 -709.07 -89.15
% Change-Week -0.29% -4.53% -1.87%
Change-Month-to-Date (106.64) (709.07) (89.15)
% Change-Month-to-Date -0.29% -4.53% -1.87%
Change-Quarter-to-Date (106.64) (709.07) (89.15)
% Change-Quarter-to-Date -0.29% -4.53% -1.87%
Change-Year-to-Date (106.64) (709.07) (89.15)
% Change-Year-to-Date -0.29% -4.53% -1.87%
Change-Record (567.99) (1,121.54) (119.53)
% Change-Record -1.54% -6.98% -2.49%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies 2022 YTD
Week 1 Winner and Tally  Bear 3-0 Win
December Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months 2022 YTD
The Stock Market Bull 0 0 Losing
The Stock Market Bear 1 0 Winning
Mixed Result 0 0
  Totals 1 0

Summary News Items for Week 1:

US Economic News

  • Friday, January 7, 2022

  • The US Dept of Labor says the December 2021 US Employed is at 155,975,000, November was at 155,324,000, October 154,234,000, December 2020 149,883,000, December 2019 158,735,000; December 2021 US Unemployment Rate is 3.9%, November was at 4.2%, October 4.6%, December 2020 6.7%, December 2019 3.6%.
  • The US Federal Reserve says the Preliminary November 2021 US Consumer Debt-Revolving is at $1,037.4 billion, Non-Revolving $3,377.3 billion, making November 2021 US Consumer Debt Total at $4,414.7 billion, October was at $4,374.8 billion, September $4,358.7 billion, November 2020 $4,169.3 billion, November 2019 $4,170.5 billion.
  • The FannieMae December 2021 US Home Purchase Sentiment Index is at 74.2, November was at 74.7, October 75.5, December 2020 74.0, December 2019 91.7. “Over the past year, low mortgage rates plus government stimulus programs helped increase mortgage demand, but the bidding-up of homes increased prices to record levels, making affordability a greater constraint for both first-time and move-up homebuyers. Among homeowners, the ‘good time to buy’ sentiment fell 30 percentage points over the past year to its current level of 30%; for renters it fell from 37% to 21%. Even though demand remains strong, a majority of consumers clearly have reservations about purchasing a home at current prices.”

  • Thursday, January 6, 2022

  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary November 2021 US Exports-Goods is at $155.9 billion, Services $68.3 billion, making November 2021 US Exports Total at $224.2 billion, and US Exports Total YTD(11 months) at $2,298.1 billion; November 2021 US Imports-Goods is at $254.9 billion, Services $49.5 billion, making November 2021 US Imports Total at $304.4 billion, and US Imports Total YTD $3,083.1 billion, making the November 2021 US Trade Deficit at $80.2 billion, October was at $67.0 billion, September $81.4 billion, November 2020 $67.3 billion, November 2019 $40.7 billion, and the November 2021 US Trade Deficit Total YTD(11 months) $785.0 billion, November 2020 was at $610.9 billion, November 2019 $531.1 billion.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary November 2021 US Manufacturing New Orders-Durables is at $268.4 billion, Non-Durables $263.4 billion, making November 2021 US Manufacturing New Orders Total at $531.8 billion, October was at $523.4 billion, September $517.1 billion, November 2020 $460.4 billion, November 2019 $470.3 billion.
  • The Institute for Supply Management December 2021 US Services PMI Index(>50% economy growing) is at 62.0%, November was at 69.1%, October 66.7%, December 2020 57.7%, December 2019 55.0%. “… Although there was a pullback for most of the indexes in December, the rate of growth remains strong for the services sector, which has expanded for all but two of the last 143 months. Business Survey Committee respondents have indicated that they continue to struggle with inflation, supply chain disruptions, capacity constraints, logistical challenges and shortages of labor and materials.”

  • Wednesday, January 5, 2022

  • The US Federal Reserve Open Market Committee releases its Minutes of the 12/14-15/21 meeting, says, “… expectations for a reduction in policy accommodation shifted forward notably. Respondents to the Open Market Desk’s surveys of primary dealers and market participants broadly projected that the Committee would quicken the pace of reduction in the Federal Reserve’s net purchases of Treasury securities and agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS), and the median respondent projected net asset purchases to end in March 2022. The median respondent’s projected timing for the first increase in the target range for the federal funds rate also moved earlier from the first quarter of 2023 to June 2022.”
  • ADP says the Preliminary December 2021 US Monthly Change in Private Sector Employment is at +807,000, +204,000 from Small Businesses(1-49 employees), +214,000 Midsized(50-499), +389,000 Large(500 or more). “December’s job market strengthened as the fallout from the Delta variant faded and Omicron’s impact had yet to be seen… Job gains were broad-based, as goods producers added the strongest reading of the year, while service providers dominated growth. December’s job growth brought the fourth quarter average to 625,000, surpassing the 514,000 average for the year. While job gains eclipsed 6 million in 2021, private sector payrolls are still nearly 4 million jobs short of pre-COVID-19 levels.”
  • IHS Markit says the December 2021 US Composite PMI Output Index is at 57.0, November was at 57.2, October 57.6, December 2020 55.3, December 2019 52.7. “Business confidence strengthened at the end of the year to the highest since November 2020, as firms were hopeful of more favorable labor market and supply-chain conditions going into 2022. The swift spread of the Omicron variant does lace new downside risks into the economic outlook heading into 2022, however. Any additional headwinds or disruption faced by firms are likely to temper sentiment.”

  • Tuesday, January 4, 2022

  • The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary November 2021 US Job Openings-Private is at 9,601,000, Governmental 962,000, making November 2021 US Job Openings Total at 10,563,000, October was at 11,091,000, September 10,602,000, September 10,602,000, November 2020 6,766,000, November 2019 6,793,000.
  • The Institute for Supply Management says the December 2021 US Manufacturing PMI Index(>50%=economy expanding) is at 58.7%, November was at 61.1%, October 60.8%, December 2020 60.5%, December 2019 47.8%. “The U.S. manufacturing sector remains in a demand-driven, supply chain-constrained environment, with indications of improvements in labor resources and supplier delivery performance. Shortages of critical lowest-tier materials, high commodity prices and difficulties in transporting products continue to plague reliable consumption. Coronavirus pandemic-related global issues — worker absenteeism, short-term shutdowns due to parts shortages, employee turnover and overseas supply chain problems — continue to impact manufacturing. However, panel sentiment remains strongly optimistic, with six positive growth comments for every cautious comment, down slightly from November….”
  • The PurdueU/CME Group December 2021 US Ag Economy Barometer Composite Index is at 125, November was at 116, October 121, December 2020 174, December 2019 150. “… Agricultural producers are concerned about rising input costs with nearly half (47%) of producers choosing it as a top concern for 2022 and nearly four out of ten respondents said they expect farm input prices to rise by more than 30% in 2022 compared to 2021….”

  • Monday, January 3, 2022

  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary November 2021 US New Construction Spending-Residential is at $805.3 billion, Non-Residential $820.6 billion, making November 2021 US New Construction Spending Total at $1,625.9 billion, October was at $1,618.8 billion, September $1,612.3 billion, November 2020 $1,487.2 billion, November 2019 $1,342.5 billion.
  • IHS Markit says that the December 2021 US Manufacturing PMI Index is at 57.7, November was at 58.3, October 58.4, December 2020 57.1, December 2019 52.4. “… While shortages remained significant, the end of the year brought with it some signs that cost pressures have eased. The uptick in input prices was the slowest for six months, and firms recorded softer increases in selling prices amid efforts to entice customer spending.”

US Government/Other News

  • The number of Omnicron COVID-19 variant cases continues to rise dramatically, with over 1,000,000 cases reported on Monday, hospitalizations are above 100,000 for a new one year high.
  • The US Food & Drug Administration authorizes Emergency Use Authorization for Pfizer/BioNTech booster shots to include people 12 years and older.
  •  Over the weekend over 2,600 US airflights are cancelled amid the Omnicron outbreak.
  • The US Northeast is hit with a severe snowstorm, Washington DC is shut down.
  • Thursday is the first anniversary of the January 6th Capitol Riot, in a commemorative speech US President Biden says Mr. Trump and his allies were holding “a dagger at the throat of America….”
  • Bahamian-American Sidney Poitier, an Oscar award winning actor, considered Hollywood’s first black movie star, an activist, and the former Bahamian Ambassador to Japan, dies at 94.

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PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company.

Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

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The PBR1000 Summary: Apple(NASDAQ: AAPL)

January 5, 2022 by

The PBR1000 Summary: Apple(NASDAQ: AAPL)

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Business Description: Apple is a California corporation established in 1977. Apple designs, manufactures and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related services.

Business Name: Apple Inc
Ticker: NASDAQ: AAPL
Fiscal Year Ending Month: September

Stock Price and Analyst Estimates for AAPL on 01/05/22:

  • Stock Price: $174.92
  • Average 12 Month Stock Price Forecast: $175.81
  • Forecasted 12 Month Change: +0.51%
  • Analysts Recommendation: Overweight, 4.42/5.00, based on 43 estimates

Some of the 28 Current The PBR1000 Rankings for AAPL on 01/05/22:

  • 3 By Revenues: $365.817 billion(09/30/21)
  • 1 By Market Capitalization: $2.913 trillion(12/31/21)
  • 21 By Assets: $351.002 billion(09/30/21)
  • 46 By Employees: 154,000(09/30/21)

To get the complete profile for AAPL and for all 1,000 of The PBR1000 click here!

On December 31, 2021, AAPL was not on The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks. To find out who is click here!

PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company.

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Through The PBR1000 US Public Companies Analytics!

Disclaimers: The PBR1000 is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. PBRMarketTools.com research should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

This The PBR1000 Spotlight is provided by: 

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The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks December 2020 12 Month Report Card

January 5, 2022 by

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks December 2020 12 Month Report Card

Stocks PBR25 PBR1000 Report Card Investing Investor

Like October and November 2020, The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks 12 Month Report Card for December 2020 gets a ‘D’ unless you want to make just one change, which would then get it an ‘A’ grade!

By Larry C. Paxton

Welcome to The December 2020 The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks 12 Month Report Card.

As investors we count on professional stock analysts to provide comprehensive and diligent research to come up with their best take on how stocks will perform over the next 12 months. We then use that information to help us make stock buy, hold and sell decisions.

The PBR25 Premise

The premise of The PBR25 is that there is a high probability of success for investing in stocks when a large enough number professional stock analysts through their extensive research determine that a stock is a “Buy” and also forecasts a significant return over the next 12 months. PBRMarketTools assigns a Report Card grade based on how the professional stock analysts did.

Last 12 Months Influences

It is difficult to forecast a result with much accuracy over a 12 month period. For example, the primary impact in December 2020 continued to be the COVID-19 pandemic. The world, including the US, was deep into the COVID-19 pandemic, which created a lot of unemployment, affected many economic sectors like hospitality and travel services, closed schools, forced people to work from home, and much more. It was also the month of a very contentious US Presidential and general election process, which also created a lot of confusion and strife. There are a lot more factors, but this is not meant to be an opinions post. It is a piece focused on the review of the recommendations stock analysts came up with at the end of December 2020 and the actual results 12 months later at the end of December 2021. PBRMarketTools is calling this a Report Card.

For this December 2020 Report Card we used stock data and forecasts from December 31, 2020, and compare it to the actual results on December 31, 2021.

Creating The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks List for November 2020

The starting point is the prestigious The PBR1000 US Public Companies, produced monthly by PBRMarketTools. To be included in The PBR1000 the 1,000 companies must meet the following criteria:

  • The companies must be publicly traded on the NYSE, NYSE American or NASDAQ stock exchanges, with a very few temporarily trading on the Over-The-Counter market because they are transitioning from bankruptcy.
  • They must be headquartered in the US or have primary operations in the US.
  • They must have generated at least $1 billion in revenues in their most recent full fiscal year.
  • They must file an annual 10-K form with the US Securities and Exchange Commission in US dollars
  • Each of the 1,000 companies is given a primary ranking based on revenues, with the company having the highest revenue amount ranked 1(currently Walmart). There are 27 secondary rankings in The PBR1000 based on other criteria as well.

Each month the 12 month estimates and recommendations by stock analysts are updated on The PBR1000. The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks list for December 2020 was then created using the following process:

  • At any point in time The PBR1000 has around 15,000 stock analyst recommendations.
  • The PBR1000 is sorted several times to come up with The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks, made up of stocks that are rated a “Buy” by analysts, have a 12 Month Forecasted % Change of at least +20%, and have at least 10 “Buy” recommendations.

Actual Results for The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks for Decenber 2021

  • The Cimarex Energy Co(XEC) merger with Cabot Oil & Gas to form Coterra Energy was completed in October 2021. The last active stock price for XEC was used in this report card.
  • None of The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks for December 2020 did a stock split during the 12 months, so no data was altered for this report.

Following is a table of characteristics and 12 month actual results for the The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks on December 31, 2020, which we are calling the December 2020 report card.

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks on 12/31/20

12 Month Report Card on 12/31/21
Total Companies 25
Low Weighted Avg 4.53
High Weighted Avg 4.89
Average Weighted Avg 4.66
Median Weighted Avg 4.64
Market Capitalization Low($B) 2.38
Market Capitalization High($B) 1,648.68
Average Market Capitalization($B) 137.35
Median Market Capitalization($B) 39.43
Total Market Capitalization($B) 3,433.72
Total NYSE Companies 18
Total NASDAQ Companies 7
12 Month 12 Month
Forecast for Actual
12/31/20 12/31/21 12/31/21
Low Stock Price-ZNGA 9.87 11.80 6.40
High Stock Price-AMZN 3,256.93 3,824.99 3,334.34
Total Stock Prices 6,174.47 7,359.55 6,987.82
Total Stock Price Change 1,185.08 813.35
Percent Change 19.19% 13.17%
Total Stock Prices w/o AMZN 2,917.54 3,534.56 3,653.48
Total Stock Price Change w/o AMZN 617.02 735.94
Percent Change w/o AMZN 21.15% 25.22%
DJIA Percent Change 18.73%
NASDAQ Percent Change 21.39%
S&P500 Change 26.89%
Lowest Actual Change-ZNGA 19.55% -35.16%
Highest Actual Change-XEC 20.37% 132.47%
Total Exceeding Forecast(Out of 25) 11
Total with >0% Actual Return 21

Conclusions, Observations, Validations and Realities

  • If you had bought 1 share each of The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks at the closing price on December 31, 2020, you would have achieved a +13.17% gain 12 months later at the close on December 31, 2021, less than the +19.19% estimate, historically a good return, but below the 12 month forecast, and below the returns on the DJIA, NASDAQ, and S&P500 indices. For this reason The December 2020 The PBR25 gets a ‘D’ on its 12 month Report Card.
  • On the other hand, the Amazon(AMZN) stock price was over half the total of 25 stocks, it forecasted a +17.44% return, actual was +2.38%. If you take out AMZN the results would have been a forecast of a +21.15% return, actual would have been 25.22%, which would have exceeded the forecast and over returns on the DJIA, NASDAQ, and just below the S&P500 indices. The December 2020 12 Month Report Card would have then been an ‘A-’ grade.
  • It is difficult to forecast out 12 months with any great accuracy, there are just too many variables and uncertainties.
  • However, it does demonstrate that The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks is a valid methodology and process for that particular month.
  • Our demonstration account, called The Charlie Fund, uses the popular “Dollar Cost Averaging Investment Strategy” with the monthly The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks as the primary research tool. For the 12 Month Report Card period it achieved a greater than 50% return, a further validation of the methodology.
  • There are no guarantees! The reality is that there will always be ups and downs in the stock market and people make stocks buy, hold and sell decisions based on a wide range of  logical and emotional criteria, input from knowledgeable hard-working experts and well meaning friends, and if the sky is blue today. But the historical data is pretty convincing that stocks will trend up at an above average investment rate over the long haul.

Additional Information

  • The details of this summary, including company names and the over 200 fields of information for each company, were extracted from the updated The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks MS-Excel worksheet for December 2021, and has been distributed to The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks Subscribers for their personal use and further research
  • The next 12 Month Report Card will be for January 2021, and should be available early to mid February, 2022.
  • For characteristics of the most recent monthly The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks go to The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks information page.

 

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks Report Cards for 2020 Summary
12 Month
Stock Price Stock Price 12 Month 12 Month
Report Card Month Forecast Date Actual Date Forecast Actual
January 2020 02/04/20 01/29/21 16.59% 33.92%
February 2020 02/28/20 02/26/21 27.69% 42.66%
March 2020 03/31/20 03/31/21 28.96% 53.35%
April 2020 05/01/20 04/30/21 16.16% 50.18%
May 2020 05/29/20 05/28/21 9.89% 37.80%
June 2020 07/02/20 07/02/21 30.88% 47.08%
July 2020 07/30/20 07/31/21 33.61% 37.77%
August 2020 09/01/20 08/31/21 32.85% 40.79%
September 2020 10/02/20 09/30/21 27.68% 52.82%
October 2020 10/30/20 10/29/21 26.43% 23.22%
October 2020 w/o AMZN 10/30/20 10/29/21 27.49% 35.49%
November 2020 11/30/20 11/30/21 21.41% 18.30%
November 2020 w/o AMZN 11/30/20 11/30/21 22.02% 27.45%
December 2020 12/31/20 12/31/21 19.19% 13.17%
December 2020 w/o AMZN 12/31/20 12/31/21 21.15% 25.22%
   12 Mo Average with AMZN 24.28% 37.59%
   12 Mo Average w/o AMZN 24.58% 40.38%

 

We are always interested in your feedback, which you can provide on the Contact Us page.

Not a The PBR25 Monthly Top Buy Stocks subscriber yet? Check out The PBR25 Information Page.

PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company. The monthly The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks is a subset of the monthly The PBR1000 and is available as a separate monthly or annual subscription.

Disclaimers: The PBR1000 is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. It is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations. Any research or opinions expressed should not be regarded as recommendations or advice.

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Investing: The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks on 12/31/21 Summary

January 3, 2022 by

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks for Investing Summary!

Investing Stocks PBR25 PBR1000

Each month PBRMarketTools provides a list of 25 top buy stocks candidates, called The PBR25, in which to consider investing.

About The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks

Investing Prospects: The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks On 12/31/21
Average Recommendations Range : 4.53 to 5.00, Average 4.70, Median 4.75
   (Must be >4.50 on a 1.00-5.00 scale)
Range of Number of Recommendations : 10 to 46, Average 19, Median 16
Range of Number of Buy Recommendations : 10 to 37, Average 16, Median 13
Total of Stock Prices on 12/31/21 : $1,733.11
The PBR25 Stock Price Range : $6.40 to $263.34, Average $69.32, Median $50.04
Total of Stock Prices 12 Month Forecast : $2,570.16
The PBR25 Stock Price Range 12 Months : $10.85 to $418.41, Average $102.81, Median $72.73
Estimated 12 Month Return Range : +31.64% to +87.29%, Average +48.30%, Median +39.51% 
The PBR25 on US Stock Exchanges : NYSE 18, NASDAQ 7
Range of Returns since 12/31/20(12 months) : -50.56% to +163.93%, Average -13.76%, Median +8.03%
US Stock Indices Returns since 11/30/20 : DJIA +18.73%; NASDAQ +21.39%, S&P500 +26.89%
Total The PBR25 Market Capitalization : $577.57 billion, Average $23.10 billion
The PBR25 Market Capitalization Range : $1.86 billion to $145.53 billion, Median $11.21 billion
The PBR25Turnover : 20 companies remain from 11/30/21, 5 are new

 

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks is a great timesaver for evaluating investing in highly rated stocks for your portfolio and available for a very affordable investment.

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks is a subset of our popular and more comprehensive The PBR1000 US Public Companies, which is made up of

  • publicly held companies
  • that trade on a major US stock exchange,
  • have annual revenues of at least $1 billion,
  • file annual 10-K reports with the US Securities and Exchange Commission(SEC),
  • and have headquarters or primary operations in the US.

The PBR1000 US Public Companies combined generate over 50% of all goods and services revenues, the Gross Domestic Product(GDP), of the US.

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The Week 52 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

December 31, 2021 by

The Week 52 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Stocks Investing

The Stock Market Bull only gets a 2-1 mixed win for Week 52, but he easily wins December and all of 2021 big time.

By Larry C. Paxton

The US Stock Market Week 52 Summary:

On Monday of Week 52, the last week of 2021, The Stock Market Bull had a big day in the pasture, a continuation of Week 51, taking all 3 major US stock indices, including a record close on the S&P500, without any resistance. On Tuesday he took the DJIA, but The Stock Market Bear wasn’t going away for the week as he took both the NASDAQ and S&P500 by small margins. The Stock Market Bull came back on Wednesday to establish new record closes on the DJIA and S&P500, but The Stock Market Bear was still ripping away at the NASDAQ. While The Stock Market Bull was preparing for his Happy New Year celebration he let The Stock Market Bear take Thursday and Friday by slim margins, resulting in the inadvertent loss of the NASDAQ for the week. The Stock Market Bull gets a mixed 2-1 win in Week 52 but needs to be congratulated for being the clear victor with an outstanding 2021. Of course, now the stage is set for 2022, expectations are all over the place as the pundits make their projections and predictions. Happy New Year to all!

 

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 52 of 2021 Ending 12/31/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(09/30/21 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
Previous Month Close(11/30/21) 34,483.72 15,537.69 4,567.00
Record Close Date 12/29/21 11/19/21 12/29/21
Record Close 36,488.63 16,057.44 4,793.06
Week 51-Friday & Close(12/24/21, Holiday) 35,950.56 15,653.37 4,725.79
Week 52-Monday(12/27/21) 36,302.38 15,871.26 4,791.19
    Day Change 351.82 217.89 65.40
    Day % Change 0.98% 1.39% 1.38%
Week 52-Tuesday(12/28/21) 36,398.21 15,781.72 4,786.35
    Day Change 95.83 (89.54) (4.84)
    Day % Change 0.26% -0.56% -0.10%
Week 52-Wednesday(12/29/21) 36,488.63 15,766.22 4,793.06
    Day Change 90.42 (15.50) 6.71
    Day % Change 0.25% -0.10% 0.14%
Week 52-Thursday(12/30/21) 36,398.08 15,741.56 4,778.73
    Day Change (90.55) (24.66) (14.33)
    Day % Change -0.25% -0.16% -0.30%
Week 52-Friday & Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
    Day Change (59.78) (96.59) (12.55)
    Day % Change -0.16% -0.61% -0.26%
Change-Week 387.74 -8.40 40.39
% Change-Week 1.08% -0.05% 0.85%
Change-Month-to-Date 1,854.58 107.28 199.18
% Change-Month-to-Date 5.38% 0.69% 4.36%
Change-Quarter-to-Date 2,494.38 1,196.39 458.64
% Change-Quarter-to-Date 7.37% 8.28% 10.65%
Change-Year-to-Date 5,731.82 2,756.69 1,010.11
% Change-Year-to-Date 18.73% 21.39% 26.89%
Change-Record (150.33) (412.47) (26.88)
% Change-Record -0.41% -2.57% -0.56%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies 2021 YTD
Week 52 Winner and Tally  Bull 2-1 Mixed Win
December Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months 2021
The Stock Market Bull 24 7 Won
The Stock Market Bear 18 1 Lost
Mixed Result 10 4
  Totals 52 12

Summary News Items for Week 52:

US Economic News

  • Friday, December 31, 2021

  • The US Dept of the Treasury says on 12/31/21 the US National Debt-Public is at $23.915 trillion, Intragovernmental $6.459 trillion, making the US National Debt Total at $29.474 trillion, 11/30/21 was at $28.908 trillion, 10/29/31 $28.909 trillion, 12/31/20 $27.747, 12/31/19 $23.201 trillion.
  • The US Dept of the Treasury says on 12/31/21 the US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield is at 1.52%, 11/30/21 was at 1.43%, 10/29/21 1.55%, 12/31/20 0.93%, 12/31/19 1.92%.
  • On 12/31/21 the Settlement Price for an Ounce of Gold is at $1,828.60, 11/30/21 was at $1,776.50, 10/29/21 $1,784.40, 12/31/20 $1,895.10, 12/31/19 $1,520.00.
  • At the close on 12/31/21 the US Price for a Euro is at $1.1373, 11/30/21 was at $1.1341, 10/29/21 $1.1560, 12/31/20 $1.2216, 12/31/19 $1.1203.
  • The American Automobile Assn says on 12/31/21 the US Average Price for a Gallon of Regular Gas is at $3.285, 11/30/21 was at $3.390, 10/29/21 $3.401, 12/31/20 $2.253, 12/31/19 $2.583.

  • Thursday, December 30, 2021

  • The US Dept of Labor says for the Week Ending 12/25/21 the US Preliminary Weekly Initial Jobless Claims is at 198,000, 11/20/21 was at 199,000, 10/23/21 281,000, 12/26/20 787,000, 12/21/19 222,000.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/BEA says the Preliminary 3Q21 US Net International Investment Position-Assets is at $34.455 trillion, Liabilities $50.526 trillion, making the 3Q21 US Net International Investment Position Deficit at $16.071 trillion, 2Q21 was at $15.906, 1Q21 $14.301 trillion, 3Q20 $13.767 trillion, 3Q19 $10.935 trillion. “The –$165.1 billion change in the net investment position from the second quarter to the third quarter came from net financial transactions of –$114.0 billion and net other changes in position, such as price and exchange-rate changes, of –$51.1 billion that mostly reflected the depreciation of major foreign currencies against the U.S. dollar that lowered the value of U.S. assets in dollar terms.”
  • FreddieMac says on 12/30/21 the US Weekly 30 Year Fixed Rate Home Mortgage Average is at 3.11% with 0.7 points & fees, 11/24/21 was at 3.10%, 10/28/21 3.14%, 12/31/20 2.67%, 12/26/19 3.74%. “Mortgage rates have effectively been moving sideways despite the increase in new COVID cases. This is because incoming economic data suggests that the economy remains on firm ground, particularly cyclical industries like manufacturing and housing. Moreover, low interest rates and high asset valuations continue to drive consumer spending. While we do expect rates to rise, the push of the first-time homebuyer demographic that’s been propelling the purchase market will continue in 2022 and beyond.”
  • MNI Indicators says the December 2021 Chicago Business Barometer(>50 Economy is gaining) is at 63.1, November was at 61.8, October 68.4, December 2020 58.7, December 2019 48.9.

  • Wednesday, December 29, 2021

  • The US Energy Information Administration says that on 12/24/21 US Crude Oil Inventories-Millions of Barrels is at 420.0, 11/19/21 was at 434.0, 10/22/21 430.8, 12/25/20 493.5, 12/20/19 441.4.

  • Tuesday, December 28, 2021

  • The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Preliminary October 2021 US National Home Price Index(01/2000=100) is at 273.76, +19.1% from October 2020, September was at 271.49, August 268.89, October 2020 229.90, October 2019 212.10.
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond says the Preliminary December 2021 US 5th District Manufacturing Index(Annualized) is at +16%, November was at +12%, October was also at +12%, December 2020 +19%, December 2019 -5%.
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond says the Preliminary December 2021 US 5th District Service Sector Revenues Index(Annualized) is at +12%, November was at +12%, October +9%, December 2020 -9%, December 2019 +17%.

  • Monday, December 27, 2021

  • ***No economic news items scheduled.

US Government/Other News

  • US President Biden and Russian President Putin have a telephone conversation on Wednesday to discuss Ukraine. Biden pushes for de-escalation of Russian military forces on the border, threatens severe sanctions if Russia attacks Ukraine. Putin warns of a complete rupture in relations if sanctions proceed.
  • Airlines continue to struggle with COVID and staff shortage issues, cancel thousands of flights over the holidays.
  • The Omnicron COVID19 variant cases increase worldwide, reach a new daily record in the US with nearly 500,000 positive tests on Wednesday. The CDC recommends avoiding cruises because of outbreaks across several cruise lines.
  • Wildfires near Denver, Colorado, destroy hundreds of homes and businesses, leave thousands stranded.
  • Notable deaths this week: Harry Reid, 82former US Senator representing Nevada, and US Senate Majority Leader from 2007 to 2017; John Madden, 85, head football coach of the Oakland Raiders for 10 years and winning coach in Super Bowl XI, who then became a popular football sportscaster who also had a widely used video game named after him; Betty White, 99, an American actress over eight decades who became a beloved pioneer TV sitcom comedienne.

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The Week 51 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

December 25, 2021 by

The Week 51 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Stocks Investing

The Stock Market Bull comes back with a vengeance, takes Week 51 with a 3-0 outright win, says “You’re welcome, Merry Christmas!”

By Larry C. Paxton

The US Stock Market Week 51 Summary:

Motivated by his strong finish win last week The Stock Market Bear again took to the pasture and successfully extracted some more flesh on Monday with a resounding 3-0 win. But The Stock Market Bull had had enough. On Tuesday he more than made up the difference, and continued to dominate for the rest of the short Week 51 trading week, with the successive days not being quite as large as the previous day. But the return was dramatic, and even resulted in a new record close for the S&P500 on Thursday. Friday was Christmas Eve, the US stock exchanges were closed, and it became a time to rest and relax before the final week of 2021. So even with the Omnicron COVID-19 variant becoming the dominant strain spreading rapidly around the world, economic uncertainties, and another upcoming contentious mid-term election year, The Stock Market Bull has a very solid lead for the year going into Week 52.

 

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 51 of 2021 Ending 12/24/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(09/30/21 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
Previous Month Close(11/30/21) 34,483.72 15,537.69 4,567.00
Record Close Date 11/08/21 11/19/21 12/24/21
Record Close 36,432.22 16,057.44 4,725.79
Week 50-Friday & Close(12/17/21) 35,365.44 15,169.68 4,620.64
Week 51-Monday(12/20/21) 34,932.16 14,980.94 4,568.02
    Day Change (433.28) (188.74) (52.62)
    Day % Change -1.23% -1.24% -1.14%
Week 51-Tuesday(12/21/21) 35,492.70 15,341.09 4,649.23
    Day Change 560.54 360.15 81.21
    Day % Change 1.60% 2.40% 1.78%
Week 51-Wednesday(12/22/21) 35,753.89 15,521.89 4,696.56
    Day Change 261.19 180.80 47.33
    Day % Change 0.74% 1.18% 1.02%
Week 51-Thursday(12/23/21) 35,950.56 15,653.37 4,725.79
    Day Change 196.67 131.48 29.23
    Day % Change 0.55% 0.85% 0.62%
Week 51-Friday & Close(12/24/21, Holiday) 35,950.56 15,653.37 4,725.79
    Day Change 0.00 0.00 0.00
    Day % Change 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Change-Week 585.12 483.69 105.15
% Change-Week 1.65% 3.19% 2.28%
Change-Month-to-Date 1,466.84 115.68 158.79
% Change-Month-to-Date 4.25% 0.74% 3.48%
Change-Quarter-to-Date 2,106.64 1,204.79 418.25
% Change-Quarter-to-Date 6.22% 8.34% 9.71%
Change-Year-to-Date 5,344.08 2,765.09 969.72
% Change-Year-to-Date 17.46% 21.45% 25.82%
Change-Record (481.66) (404.07) 0.00
% Change-Record -1.32% -2.52% 0.00%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies 2021 YTD
Week 51 Winner and Tally  Bull 3-0 Win
November Winner and Tally Bear 2-1 Mixed Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 24 6 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 18 1 Losing
Mixed Result 9 4
  Totals 51 11

Summary News Items for Week 51:

US Economic News

  • Friday, December 24, 2021

  • ***Christmas Eve.
    ***US Stock Exchanges Closed.
    ***No economic news releases.

  • Thursday, December 23, 2021

  • The US Dept of Commerce says the Preliminary November 2021 US Personal Income Annual Rate is at $20.868 trillion, October was at $20.778, September $20.685, November 2020 $19.435, November 2019 $18.788.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/HUD says the Preliminary November 2021 US New Family Homes Sold Annual Rate is at 744,000, October was at 662,000, September 723,000, November 2020 865,000 November 2019 696,000; the November 2021 US New Family Homes Sold Median Price is at $416,900, October was at $408,700, September $405,300, November 2020 $350,800, November 2019 $328,000.
  • The U of Michigan Final December 2021 US Consumer Sentiment Index is at 70.6, November was at 67.4, October 71.7, December 2020 80.7, December 2019 99.3. “… The uptick was primarily due to significant gains among households with incomes in the bottom third of the distribution. Indeed, the bottom third expected their incomes to rise during the year ahead by 2.8%, up from 1.8% last December, and the highest level since 2.9% was recorded in 1999…”

  • Wednesday, December 22, 2021

  • The US Dept of Commerce/BEA says the 3Q21 3rd Estimate US Current Gross Domestic Product Annual Growth Rate is at +2.3%, $23.202 trillion, 2Q21 was at +6.7%, 1Q21 +6.3%, 3Q20 +33.8%, 3Q19 +2.8%.
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago says the Preliminary November 2021 US National Activity Index is at +0.37, October was at +0.75, September -0.01, November 2020 +0.26, November 2019 +0.29. “Index suggests economic growth moderated in November.”
  • The Natl Assn of Realtors says the Preliminary November 2021 US Existing Home Sales Annual Rate is at 6,460,000 units, October was at 6,340,000, September 6,290,000, November 2020 6,590,000, November 2019 5,320,000; the November 2021 Median Home Sales Price is at $353,900, October was also at $353,900, September $352,800, November 2020 $310,800, November 2019 $271,300. “Determined buyers were able to land housing before mortgage rates rise further in the coming months… Locking in a constant and firm mortgage payment motivated many consumers who grew weary of escalating rents over the last year….”
  • The Conference Board says the Preliminary December 2021 US Consumer Confidence Index(1985=100) is at 115.8, November was at 111.9. “The Present Situation Index dipped slightly but remains very high, suggesting the economy has maintained its momentum in the final month of 2021. Expectations about short-term growth prospects improved, setting the stage for continued growth in early 2022. The proportion of consumers planning to purchase homes, automobiles, major appliances, and vacations over the next six months all increased… Meanwhile, concerns about inflation declined after hitting a 13-year high last month as did concerns about COVID-19, despite reports of continued price increases and the emergence of the Omicron variant. Looking ahead to 2022, both confidence and consumer spending will continue to face headwinds from rising prices and an expected winter surge of the pandemic.”

  • Tuesday, December 21, 2021

  • The US Dept of Commerce/BEA says the Preliminary 3Q21 US Exports of Goods, Services, & Income Receipts is at $955.9 billion, US Imports of Goods, Services & Income Payments is at $1,170.7 billion, making the 3Q21 US Trade Balance Deficit at $214.8 billion, 2Q21 was at $198.3 billion, 1Q21 $189.4 billion, 3Q20 $172.4 billion, 3Q19 $121.6 billion.
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia says the December 2021 3rd District Non-Manufacturing General Activity Index is at +12.5, November was at +46.1, October +33.4, October 2020 +16.0, October 2019 +12.2. “Overall, the respondents continued to expect improvement in conditions over the next six months, but both future activity indexes fell.”

  • Monday, December 20, 2021

  • The Conference Board says the Preliminary November 2021 US Leading Economic Index(2016=100) is at 119.9, October was at 118.8, September 117.9, November 2020 109.4, November 2019 111.6. ““The U.S. LEI rose sharply again in November, suggesting the current economic expansion will continue into the first half of 2022, … Inflation and continuing supply chain disruptions, as well as a resurgence of COVID-19, pose risks to GDP growth in 2022. Still, the economic impact of these risks may be contained. The Conference Board forecasts real GDP growth to strengthen in Q4 2021 to about 6.5 percent (annualized rate), before moderating to a still healthy rate of 2.2 percent in Q1 2022.”

US Government/Other News

  • US President Biden’s centerpiece $2.4 trillion “Build Back Better Act” legislation is stalled in the US Senate, primarily because one Senate Democrat, Joe Manchin, has said he cannot vote for the bill in good conscience.  The next actions will probably include breaking up the bill into smaller separate parts.
  • The fast spreading COVID-19 Omnicron virus variant has become the dominant strain throughout the world and US.
  • The US Federal Government has authorized the purchase and distribution of 500 million COVID-19 tests.
  • It was an explosive year for Initial Public Offerings, with a record over 1,000 during 2021.
  • US President Biden extends the pause on student loan payments until May 1, 2022.
  • The Iran nuclear deal negotiations are to resume next week in Vienna.

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Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

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The Week 50 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

December 17, 2021 by

The Week 50 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Stocks Investing Investor

The Stock Market Bull decides to go Christmas shopping in Week 50, The Stock Market Bear creates chaos in the pasture.

By Larry C. Paxton

The US Stock Market Week 50 Summary:

After his victory last week, The Stock Market Bull decided to reward himself by going Christmas shopping during Week 50. Predictably, The Stock Market Bear was quick to notice. On Monday he charged into undefended pasture and took a big bite out of the livestock. Although not as severe, he was able to repeat this on Tuesday. On Wednesday The Stock Market Bull returned to the pasture to watch on his new big TV screen Federal Reserve Chairman Powell‘s comments following the two day  Federal Open Market Committee meeting. The reassuring words resulted in an easy daily win for The Stock Market Bull, who departed for more holiday shopping on Thursday. Once again, The Stock Market Bear saw his chance and pounced on some more livestock to take the day, with the NASDAQ being particularly affected. This continued on Friday with the DJIA taking the major blood letting for the day. The Stock Market Bear takes Week 50 with a 3-0 clear result, taking 12 of the 15 sessions across the three major US stock indices, and everyone wondering if The Stock Market Bear should really be called The Stock Market Grinch.

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 50 of 2021 Ending 12/17/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(09/30/21 33,843.92 14,448.58 4,307.54
Previous Month Close(11/30/21) 34,483.72 15,537.69 4,567.00
Record Close Date 11/08/21 11/19/21 12/10/21
Record Close 36,432.22 16,057.44 4,712.02
Week 49-Friday & Close(12/10/21) 35,970.99 15,630.60 4,712.02
Week 50-Monday(12/13/21) 35,650.95 15,413.28 4,668.97
    Day Change (320.04) (217.32) (43.05)
    Day % Change -0.89% -1.39% -0.91%
Week 50-Tuesday(12/14/21) 35,544.18 15,237.64 4,634.09
    Day Change (106.77) (175.64) (34.88)
    Day % Change -0.30% -1.14% -0.75%
Week 50-Wednesday(12/15/21) 35,927.43 15,565.58 4,709.85
    Day Change 383.25 327.94 75.76
    Day % Change 1.08% 2.15% 1.63%
Week 50-Thursday(12/16/21, Holiday) 35,897.64 15,180.43 4,668.67
    Day Change (29.79) (385.15) (41.18)
    Day % Change -0.08% -2.47% -0.87%
Week 50-Friday & Close(12/17/21) 35,365.44 15,169.68 4,620.64
    Day Change (532.20) (10.75) (48.03)
    Day % Change -1.48% -0.07% -1.03%
Change-Week -605.55 -460.92 -91.38
% Change-Week -1.68% -2.95% -1.94%
Change-Month-to-Date 881.72 (368.01) 53.64
% Change-Month-to-Date 2.56% -2.37% 1.17%
Change-Quarter-to-Date 1,521.52 721.10 313.10
% Change-Quarter-to-Date 4.50% 4.99% 7.27%
Change-Year-to-Date 4,758.96 2,281.40 864.57
% Change-Year-to-Date 15.55% 17.70% 23.02%
Change-Record (1,066.78) (887.76) (91.38)
% Change-Record -2.93% -5.53% -1.94%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies 2021 YTD
Week 50 Winner and Tally  Bear 3-0 Win
November Winner and Tally Bear 2-1 Mixed Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 23 6 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 18 1 Losing
Mixed Result 9 4
  Totals 50 11

Summary News Items for Week 50:

US Economic News

  • Friday, December 17, 2021

  • ***No economic news releases.

  • Thursday, December 16, 2021

  • The US Dept of Labor says the 3Q21 US Average Employer Costs for Employee Compensation/Hour-Wages & Salaries is at $27.35, Benefits $12.20, making 3Q21 US Average Employer Costs for Employee Compensation/Hour Total at $39.55, 2Q21 was at $38.91, 1Q21 $39.02, 3Q20 $38.26, 3Q19 $37.03.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/HUD says the Preliminary November 2021 US New Construction Private Housing Permits Issued Annual Rate is at 1,712,000, October was at 1,653,000, September 1,586,000, November 2020 1,696,000, November 2019 1,510,000.
  • The US Federal Reserve says that the Preliminary November 2021 US Industrial Production Capacity is at 76.8%, 2.8% below its long-run (1972–2020) average, October was at 76.5%, September 75.3%, November 2020 73.9%, November 2019 77.6%.
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia says the December 2021 US 3rd District Manufacturing General Activity Indicator is at +15.4, November was at +39.0, October +23.8, December 2020 +9.1, December 2019 +0.9. “The survey’s future general activity and new orders indexes moderated, but the surveyed firms remained generally optimistic about growth over the next six months.”

  • Wednesday, December 15, 2021

  • The US Federal Open Market Committee 12/15/21 Statement for its 12/14-15/21 meeting says, “The path of the economy continues to depend on the course of the virus. Progress on vaccinations and an easing of supply constraints are expected to support continued gains in economic activity and employment as well as a reduction in inflation. Risks to the economic outlook remain, including from new variants of the virus… the Committee decided to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent… the Committee decided to reduce the monthly pace of its net asset purchases by $20 billion for Treasury securities and $10 billion for agency mortgage-backed securities. Beginning in January, the Committee will increase its holdings of Treasury securities by at least $40 billion per month and of agency mortgage‑backed securities by at least $20 billion per month….”
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary October 2021 US Sales-Manufacturers is at $523.4 billion, Retailers $565.2 billion, Wholesalers $620.5 billion, making October 2021 US Sales Total at $1,709.1 billion, September was at $1,674.4 billion, August $1,655.2 billion, October 2020 $1,464.0 billion, October 2019 $1,450.1 billion.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says the Advance November 2021 US Monthly Retail Sales-Retailers is at $566.1 billion, Food Services & Drinking Places $73.7 billion, making November 2021 US Monthly Retail Sales Total at $639.8 billion, October was at $638.2 billion, September $627.0 billion, November 2020 $541.2 billion, November 2019 $525.3 billion.
  • The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary November 2021 US Monthly Change in Import Prices is at +0.7%, Export Prices +1.0%, the November Last 12 Months Change in Import Prices is at +11.7%, Exports +18.2%.
  • The Natl Assn of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Preliminary December 2021 Housing Market Composite Index(>50 conditions are good) is at 84, November was at 83, October 80, December 2020 86, December 2019 76. “The most pressing issue for the housing sector remains lack of inventory… Building has increased but the industry faces constraints, namely cost/availability of materials, labor and lots. And while 2021 single-family starts are expected to end the year 24% higher than the pre-Covid 2019 level, we expect higher interest rates in 2022 will put a damper on housing affordability.”
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of New York says the December 2021 Empire State General Business Conditions Index is at 31.9, November was at 30.9, October 19.8, December 2020 4.9, December 2019 3.3. “… firms remained optimistic that conditions would improve over the next six months, though optimism is still lower than it was in the fall.”

  • Tuesday, December 14, 2021

  • The US Dept of Labor says the Preliminary November 2021 US Produce Price Index Monthly Final Demand is at +0.8%, October was at +0.6%, September +0.6%, November 2020 +0.0%, November 2019 -0.1%; November 2021 US Produce Price Index Last 12 Months Final Demand is at +9.6%, October was at +8.8%, September +8.8%, November 2020 +0.8%, November 2019 +1.0%.
  • CoreLogic says the September 2021 US Housing Mortgages 30 or More Days Delinquent are at 3.9%, August was at 4.0%, July 4.2%, September 2020 6.3%, September 2019 3.9%. “The economic recovery has pushed down the percent of delinquent borrowers to the lowest level since the pandemic began. The number of borrowers past due on their mortgage doubled between March and May 2020. The past due rate in September 2021 was the lowest since March 2020.”

  • Monday, December 13, 2021

  • ***No economic news releases.

US Government/Other News

  • The US Congress passes(Senate 50-49, House 221-209, both by party lines) and US President Biden signs into law a $2.5 trillion increase to around $31.4 trillion the US debt ceiling, to be effective into 2023, avoids possible problems during the 2022 midterm elections.
  • US President Biden acknowledges that it might take a few more weeks to get his $1.75 trillion social spending and climate mitigation “Build Back Better Act” bill through the US Senate.
  •  The US COVID-19 pandemic death toll passes 800,000, number of cases passes 50,000,000, the Omicron variant is starting to spread across the US.
  • Last late Friday and into Saturday many tornadoes hit several central and southern US states causing 80+ deaths and widespread destruction.
  • Tesla Motors’ CEO/Founder Elon Musk is named Time magazine’s “Person of the Year.”

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