The Week 30 and July of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

July 30, 2021 by

The Week 30 and July of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

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The Stock Market Bear wins Week 30 of 2021 but the Stock Market Bull is still without a loss year-to-date on a monthly basis.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 30 and July of 2021 Ending 07/30/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(06/30/21 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
Previous Month Close(06/30/21) 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
Record Close Date 07/26/21 07/26/21 07/26/21
Record Close 35,144.31 14,840.71 4,422.30
Week 29-Close 35,061.55 14,836.99 4,411.79
Week 30-Monday 35,144.31 14,840.71 4,422.30
Week 30-Tuesday 35,058.52 14,660.58 4,401.46
Week 30-Wednesday 34,930.93 14,762.58 4,400.64
Week 30-Thursday 35,084.53 14,778.26 4,419.15
Week 30-Friday & Close 34,935.47 14,672.68 4,395.26
Percent Change-Week -0.36% -1.11% -0.37%
Percent Change-Month-to-Date 1.25% 1.16% 2.27%
Percent Change-Quarter-to-Date 1.25% 1.16% 2.27%
Percent Change-Year-to-Date 14.14% 13.85% 17.02%
Percent Change-Record -0.59% -1.13% -0.61%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD
Week 30 Winner and Tally  Bear 3-0 Win
July Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Won Months Won YTD
The Stock Market Bull 14 4 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 10 0 Losing
Mixed Result 6 3
  Totals 30 7

The US Stock Market Week 30 Summary:

The Stock Market Bull continued where he left off in Week 29 by establishing another trifecta of record closes on Monday. But The Stock Market Bear prevented The Stock Market Bull from achieving a trifecta of trifectas by dominating Tuesday. On Wednesday The Stock Market Bear got a mixed win. The Stock Market Bull returned with a complete victory on Thursday and looked like Week 30 would end up with a mixed result for somebody. But The Stock Market Bear returned on Friday with a dominating run to get the 3-0 win in Week 30. However, the month of July was another clear win for The Stock Market Bull, who remains unbeaten on a monthly basis for the 7th month in a row in 2021.

Summary News Items for Week 30:

  • The US Dept of Commerce/HUD reports that the Preliminary June 2021 New Family Home Sales Annual Rate was at 676,000 units, May was at 724,000, April 785,000, June 2020 839,000. The June 2021 Median Price was at $361,800, May was at $380,700, April $378,200, June 2020 $341,100. Supply is at 6.3 months.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/Census says that the 2Q21 US Total Housing Units is at 141,794,000, Occupied is at 126,155,000, Owner Occupied is at 82,511,000, for a Homeownership Rate of 65.4%, 1Q21 was at 65.6%, 4Q20 65.8%, 2Q20 67.9%.
  • The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Preliminary May 2021 US National Home Price Index(Jan2000=100) is at 254.92, April was at 249.89, March 243.91, May 2020 218.60, making a +16.6% increase in home price over the past 12 months.
  • TrueCar forecasts July 2021 Total New Vehicle Units Sold to be at 1,292,064 with an average transaction price of $38,188, Average Loan Rate of 4.50% for 70 months.
  • The Conference Board says the Preliminary July 2021 US Consumer Confidence Index(1985=100) is at 129.1, June was at 128.9. “… Consumers’ optimism about the short-term outlook didn’t waver, and they continued to expect that business conditions, jobs, and personal financial prospects will improve.”
  • ADP’s 2Q21 Workforce Vitality Report shows Average Wage Growth of +2.3%, 2Q20 was at +5.7%, Average Wage Level is at $30.85/hour, +0.7% from 2Q20.
  • The US Energy Information Administration says that on 07/23/21 US Crude Oil Stockpiles are at 435.6 million barrels of crude oil, 06/25/21 was at 452.3, 05/21/21 484.3, 07/24/21 526.0.
  • The Federal Open Market Committee met July 27-28, keeps the short term federal funds rate at 0.00%-0.25%, says, “With progress on vaccinations and strong policy support, indicators of economic activity and employment have continued to strengthen…”
  • The US Dept of Labor says for the week ending 07/24/21 the Weekly Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims are at 400,000, 06/19/21 was at 411,000, 05/22/21 406,000, 07/25/20 1,434,000.
  • FreddieMac reports that for the week ending 07/29/21 the Average 30 Year Fixed Rate Mortgage was at 2.80% with 0.7 points & fees, 06/24/21 was at 3.02%, 05/27/21 2.95%, 07/30/20 2.99%.
  • The US Dept of Commerce says that the 2Q21 Real Gross Domestic Product Annual Rate for the Quarter is at +6.5%, $22.723 trillion, 1Q21 was at +6.3%, 4Q20 +4.5%, 2Q20 -31.2%.
  • The US Dept of Labor says the 2Q21 Employment Cost Index, All Civilian Workers(12/2005=100) is at 144.7, 1Q21 was at 143.7, 4Q20 142.4, 2Q20 140.7.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/BEA reports that the Preliminary June 2021 US Personal Income Annual Rate is at $20.414 trillion, May was at $20.388 trillion, April $20.853, June 2020 $20.033 trillion.
  • Market News International(MNI) says that the July 2021 Chicago Business Barometer(>50 is gaining) at 73.4, June was at 66.1, May 75.2, July 2020 51.9. “Demand is strong but firms remain concerned about supply chain disruptions and rising prices.”
  • The American Automobile Assn says that on 07/30/21 the US Average Price for a Gallon of Regular Gas is at $3.168, 06/30/21 was at $3.118, 05/28/21 $3.044, 07/31/20 $2.189.
  • The US Dept of the Treasury says that on 07/29/21 US National Debt-Public is at $22.267 trillion, Intragovernmental $6.193 trillion, for US Total National Debt of $28.460 trillion, 06/30/21 was at $28.530 trillion, 05/28/21 $28.199 trillion, 07/30/20 $26.525 trillion.
  • On 07/30/21 the Gold Price/Ounce closed at $1,817.20, 06/30/21 was at $1,771.60, 05/28/21 $1,906.30, 07/31/21 $1,985.90.
  • The US Dept of the Treasury reports that the 07/30/21 US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield is at 1.24%, 06/30/21 was at 1.45%, 05/28/21 1.58%, 07/31/21 0.55%.
  • At the close of 07/30/21 the US Dollar Price for a Euro was $1.1869, 06/30/21 was at $1.1858, 05/28/21 $1.2195, 07/31/20 $1.1781.
  • At 11:59PM ET on 07/30/21 the price of a Bitcoin is at $41,829, 06/30/21 was at $34,585, 05/28/21 $30,445, 07/31/20 $8,608.
  • The U of Michigan Final July 2021 Consumer Sentiment Index is at 81.2, June was at 85.5, May 82.9, July 2020 72.5. “While most consumers still expect inflation to be transitory, there is growing evidence that an inflation storm is likely to develop on the not too distant horizon.”
  • US President Biden announces the end of US combat missions in Iraq.
  • After several weeks of negotiations on Friday the US Senate votes to take up a $1 trillion infrastructure bill.
  • The COVID-19 Delta variant cases continue to increase. As a result the US Center for Disease Control recommends that everyone wear a mask when in public places.
  • The Tokyo Olympics 2020 starts the first full week of competition.
  • US/China relations continue to struggle on many fronts.
  • North and South Korea restore communication channels, agree to improve ties.
  • China continues its crackdown on its high technology firms.

More Resources:

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The PBR1000:

PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company.

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Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

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The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks June 2020 12 Month Report Card

July 24, 2021 by

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks June 2020 12 Month Report Card

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The June 2020 ThePBR25 Stocks became ThePBR23, gets an ‘A’ for its 12 Month Report Card.

By Larry C. Paxton

Welcome to The June 2020 The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks 12 Month Report Card.

As investors we count on professional stock analysts to provide comprehensive and diligent research to come up with their best take on how stocks will perform over the next 12 months. We then use that information to help us make stock buy, hold and sell decisions.

The PBR25 Premise

The premise of The PBR25 is that there is a high probability of success for stock investing when a large enough number professional stock analysts through their extensive research determine that a stock is a “Buy” and also forecasts a significant return over the next 12 months. PBRMarketTools assigns a Report Card grade based on how the stock analysts did.

Last 12 Months Influences

It is difficult to forecast a result with much accuracy over a 12 month period. For example, the primary impact in June 2020 was the continuing unexpected COVID-19 pandemic. The world, including the US, was deep into the COVID-19 pandemic, which created a lot of unemployment, affected many economic sectors like hospitality and travel services, closed schools, forced people to work from home, and much more. There was also a very contentious US Presidential election process going on. There are a lot more factors, but this is not meant to be an opinions post. It is a piece focused on the review of the recommendations stock analysts came up with at the end of June 2020 and the actual results 12 months later at the end of June 2021. PBRMarketTools is calling this a Report Card.

For this June 2020 Report Card we used stock data and forecasts from July 2, 2020, and compare it to July 2, 2021.

Creating The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks List for June 2020

The starting point is the prestigious The PBR1000 US Public Companies, produced monthly by PBRMarketTools. To be included in The PBR1000 the 1,000 companies must meet the following criteria:

  • The companies must be publicly traded on the NYSE, NYSE American or NASDAQ stock exchanges, with a very few temporarily trading on the Over-The-Counter market because they are transitioning from bankruptcy.
  • They must be headquartered in the US or have primary operations in the US.
  • They must have generated at least $1 billion in revenues in their most recent full fiscal year.
  • They must file an annual 10-K form with the US Securities and Exchange Commission in US dollars
  • Each of the 1,000 companies is given a primary ranking based on revenues, with the company having the highest revenue amount ranked 1(currently Walmart). There are 27 secondary rankings in The PBR1000 based on other criteria as well.

Each month the 12 month estimates and recommendations by stock analysts are updated on The PBR1000. The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks list for June 2020 was then created using the following process:

  • At any point in time The PBR1000 has around 15,000 stock analyst recommendations.
  • The PBR1000 is sorted several times to come up with The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks, made up of stocks that are rated a “Buy” by analysts, have a 12 Month Targeted % Change of at least +20%, and have at least 10 “Buy” recommendations.

Actual Results for The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks for June 2021

  • Two energy related companies, Parsley Energy, ranked 3 on the June 2020 PBR25, and Concho Resources, ranked 17, were acquired in January, 2021. Therefore, this analysis is based on the 23 remaining companies.

Following is a table of characteristics and actual results for the July 2, 2020, The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks.

12 Month Report Card for The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks Dated July 2, 2020
Total Companies                              23
Low Weighted Avg                          4.54
High Weighted Avg                          5.00
Average Weighted Avg                          4.67
Market Capitalization Low(Billions)                          3.25
Market Capitalization High(Billions)                        69.20
Total Market Capitalization(Billions)                      648.05
Total NYSE Companies                              22
Total NASDAQ Companies                                1
On 02-Jul-20 12 Mo Forecast Actual
Low Stock Price                        17.85                        24.54          24.59
High Stock Price 190.49                      247.71       238.03
Total Stock Prices                  1,363.89                  1,785.02    2,006.06
Total Stock Price Change                      421.13       642.17
Percent Change 30.88% 47.08%
DJIA Percent Change 34.69%
NASDAQ Percent Change 43.42%
S&P500 Change 39.05%
Lowest Change 21.10% -6.11%
Highest Change 45.50% 159.76%
Total Exceeding Forecast(Out of 23)                14
Total with >0% Return                22

Conclusions, Observations, Validations and Realities

  • If you had bought 1 share each of The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks at the closing price on July 2, 2020, you would have achieved a +47.08% gain 12 months later at the close on July 2, 2021, significantly higher than the 30.88% estimate and  an excellent return. Also, it compares favorably to the returns on the DJIA, NASDAQ, and S&P500 indices. For this reason, The June 2020 The PBR25 gets an ‘A’ on its 12 month Report Card.
  • It is difficult to forecast out 12 months with any great accuracy, there are just too many variables and uncertainties.
  • However, it does demonstrate that The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks is a valid methodology and process for that particular month.
  • Our demonstration account, called The Charlie Fund, uses the popular “Buy & Hold with Consistent Monthly Investment Strategy” with the monthly The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks as the primary research tool. For the 12 Month Report Card period it achieved a greater than 50% return, a further validation of the methodology.
  • There are no guarantees! The reality is that there will always be ups and downs in the stock market and people make stocks buy, hold and sell decisions based on a wide range logical and emotional criteria, input from knowledgeable hard-working experts and well meaning friends, and if the sky is blue today. But the historical data is pretty convincing that stocks will trend up at an above average investment rate over the long haul.

Additional Information

  • The details of this summary, including company names and the over 200 fields of information for each company, were extracted from the updated The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks MS-Excel worksheet for May 2020, and has been distributed to The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks Subscribers for their personal use and further research
  • The next 12 Month Report Card will be for June 2020, and should be available between mid to late July 2021.
  • For characteristics of the most recent monthly The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks go to The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks information page.

We are always interested in your feedback, which you can provide on the Contact Us page.

PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company. The monthly The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks is a subset of the monthly The PBR1000 and is available as a separate monthly or annual subscription.

Disclaimers: The PBR1000 is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. It is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations. Any opinions expressed should not be regarded as recommendations or advice.

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The Week 29 of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

July 23, 2021 by

The Week 29 of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

Stock Market PBR1000 Snapshots Recap

The Stock Market Bear took a huge bite out of the 3 major US stock indices on Monday of Week 29, but The Stock Market Bull charged back the rest of the week and ends with another trifecta of records on Friday.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 29 of 2021 Ending 07/23/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(06/30/21 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
Previous Month Close(06/30/21) 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
Record Close Date 07/23/21 07/23/21 07/23/21
Record Close 35,061.55 14,836.99 4,411.79
Week 28 Close 34,687.85 14,427.24 4,327.16
Week 29-Monday 33,962.04 14,274.98 4,258.49
Week 29-Tuesday 34,511.99 14,498.88 4,323.06
Week 29-Wednesday 34,798.00 14,631.95 4,358.69
Week 29-Thursday 34,823.35 14,684.60 4,367.48
Week 29-Friday & Close 35,061.55 14,836.99 4,411.79
Percent Change-Week 1.08% 2.84% 1.96%
Percent Change-Month-to-Date 1.62% 2.30% 2.66%
Percent Change-Quarter-to-Date 1.62% 2.30% 2.66%
Percent Change-Year-to-Date 14.56% 15.12% 17.46%
Percent Change-Record 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD
Week 29 Winner and Tally  Bull 3-0 Win
June Winner and Tally Bull 2-1 Mixed Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 14 3 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 9 0 Losing
Mixed Result 6 3
  Totals 29 6

The US Stock Market Week 29 Summary:

In a reverse from Week 28 The Stock Market Bull was nowhere to be found in the pasture on Monday. The Stock Market Bear pounced on the opportunity and took a big bite out of all 3 major US stock indices. When The Stock Market Bull returned and saw what had happened, he aggressively took action by goring The Stock Market Bear each day thereafter, had recovered all losses by Thursday, and finished Week 29 with the 3-0 trifecta of record closes.

Summary News Items for Week 29:

  • The Natl Assn of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Preliminary July 2021 Housing Market Index is at 80, June was at 81, May 83, July 2020 72, concerns remain for availability of materials and labor.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/HUD says June 2021 Building Permits Issued Annual Rate is at 1,598,000, May was at 1,683,000, April 1,733,000, June 2020 1,296,000.
  • The US Reserve Bank of Philadelphia says the US 3rd District Nonmanufacturing General Activity Index for July 2021 is at +53.1, June was at +59.6, May +36.9, July 2020 +0.7.
  • The Natl Assn of Realtors reports that the US Existing Home Sales Annual Rate for July 2021(Preliminary) is at 5,860,000 units, June was at 5,780,000, May 5,850,000, June 2020 4,770,000.
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago calculates that the US National Activity Index for June 2021(Preliminary) is at +0.09, May was at +0.29, April -0.09, June 2020 +5.88.
  • The Conference Board Leading Economic Index(2016=100) for June 2021 is at 115.1, May was at 114.4, April 113.2, June 2020 103.1.
  • The US Dept of Labor says the US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims jump 51,000 to 419,000 in mid-July.
  • The COVID-19 virus Delta variant rate continues to rise worldwide, especially among people who have not been vaccinated.
  • The OPEC+ nations finally agree on an increase in oil production.
  • In space tourism Amazon founder Jeff Bezos, his brother, an 82 year old female former US astronaut candidate, and a Danish 18 year old young man have a successful 10+ minute journey into space.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks overcome a 2-0 games deficit against the Phoenix Suns to win the Natl Basketball Assn championship series 4-2, its first since winning 50 years ago.
  •  In the US Senate Republicans block a vote on an infrastructure plan test vote, insist on more details.
  • US States announce a $26 billion settlement with drug distributors to resolve opioid lawsuits.

More Resources:

Check out the BLOG page for the previous RECAPS and SNAPSHOTS posts.

Click here to follow The PBR1000 on Twitter!

PBRMarketTools Info:

If you are not a current The PBR1000 or The PBR25 Subscriber go to the Subscribe page for more information and to get our latest research and monthly snapshots.

Please use the Contact Us page if you are not on our email list or have questions about The PBR1000, The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks, The PBRMarketTools US Economic Indices or the Customization Services we provide. We appreciate your comments and suggestions!

The PBR1000:

PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company.

Empowering Astute Business Leaders and Shrewd Investors
Through The PBR1000 Analytics!

Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

This business intelligence report is provided by: 

(Article image is courtesy of FreeDigitalPhotos.net, ddpavumba.)

Copyright © 2021 by Pax Business Resources, LLC, All Rights Reserved.

Filed Under: Recaps Tagged With: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The PBR1000 June 2021 Snapshots Analytics

July 20, 2021 by

The PBR1000 June 2021 Snapshots Analytics

Stocks PBR1000 PBR25 Investing Analytics

Empowering Astute Business Leaders and Shrewd Investors Through The PBR1000 Analytics!

PBRMarketTools reviews summaries from the most recently released The PBR1000 Snapshots and those from a year earlier and produces some analytics to help understand what is happening in this unique set of companies. This is the June 2021 edition.

The PBR1000 Snapshots

June 2021 Analytics Summary
Year End Month June 2020 June 2021
The PBR1000 Total Revenues(Trillions) $ 15.317 $ 14.947
  Percent Change -2.42%
Total Profits(Trillions) $ 1.317 $ 0.820
  Percent Change -37.74%
  Average Profits to Revenues 8.60% 5.49%
Average Earnings Per Share $ 4.30 $ 1.97
  Percent Change -54.13%
Assets(Trillions) $ 47.844 $ 53.319
Stockholders Equity(Trillions) $ 9.332 $ 9.669
Equity/Assets 19.51% 18.13%
Number of Companies Paying Dividends 712 699
  Total Annual Dividends $ 1,238.67 $ 1,184.15
  Average Annual Dividend/Company $ 1.74 $ 1.69
  Percent Change -2.62%
The PBR1000 Total of Stock Prices $ 89,085.71 $ 133,296.96
  12 Months Percent Change -2.73% 49.63%
  DJIA -2.96% 33.66%
  NASDAQ 25.64% 44.19%
  S&P500 5.39% 38.62%

Analyst Estimates
Total Number of Analyst Estimates 14,892 15,473
Number of Companies by Estimate:
  Buy(>4.50 to 5.00 Weighted Average) 127 153
  Overweight (>3.50 to 4.50) 527 586
  Hold (>2.50 to 3.50) 303 234
  Underweight (>1.50 to 2.50) 28 24
  Sell (1.00 to 1.50) 7 2
  No Estimate 8 1
    Totals 1,000 1,000
  Average Weighted Estimate 3.85/5.00 3.96/5.00
Total Market Capitalization(Trillions) $ 28.447 $ 42.035
  Percent Change in Market Capitalization 47.77%

Some observations:

Revenues: Retailers, hospitality, and travel related industries were significantly adversely affected. On the other hand e-commerce, communications technologies, and healthcare industries were beneficiaries. The bottom line is that revenues fell only 2.24% from the 12 months ending June 2021. But profits, earnings per share, and to some extent dividends were significantly impacted. While there were negative and positive shifts in revenues, the bottom line is that it was almost a wash. Of course, these numbers and analytics reflect The PBR1000, the largest publicly held corporations in the US. Smaller businesses certainly were much more affected.

Stock Market: The stock market, which was in a long term bull market, took some big hits at the beginning of the pandemic. But as the analytics show, the recovery was also very dramatic, one of the best years for equities investors. The Average Weighted Analyst Estimates shows an uptick and there was a nice growth in the number of Buy stocks.

Some Conclusions:

There was a shift and rebalancing of revenues in The PBR1000, with the total effect much less dramatic than for most smaller and midsize businesses.

The initial panic over the pandemic had a big effect on the stock market, but it recovered quite nicely. As industries that were the most negatively affected recover there should continue to be significant growth opportunities as the “new normal” sets in, the economy should have robust growth, and The Stock Market Bull should continue to dominate.

PBRMarketTools Info:

If you are not a current The PBR1000 or The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks Subscriber go to the Subscribe page for more information and to get our latest research and monthly snapshots.

Please use the Contact Us page if you are not on our email list or have questions about The PBR1000, The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks, The PBRMarketTools US Economic Indices or the Customization Services we provide. We appreciate your comments and suggestions!

PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides analytics on these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company.

Empowering Astute Business Leaders and Shrewd Investors
Through The PBR1000 Analytics!

Disclaimers: The PBR1000 is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself and the analytics that are derived from them. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide research, analytics and information only which should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

This The PBR1000 business intelligence report is provided by: 

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The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks for Investing on 07/02/21!

July 17, 2021 by

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks for Investing!

Investing Stocks PBR25 PBR1000

Each month PBRMarketTools provides a list of 25 top buy stocks candidates, called The PBR25, in which to consider investing.

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks on 07/02/21 Summary

– Average Recommendation: 4.68/5.00
– Average Recommendations Range: 4.53-4.92/5.00
– Average Number of Recommendations: 23
– Average Number of Buy Recommendations: 18
– Range of Number of Buy Recommendations: 9 to 42
– Average Estimated 12 Month Return: +23.5%
– Estimated 12 Month Return Range: +20.1% to +51.7%
– NYSE: 17 companies, NASDAQ: 8 companies
– Average Return since 06/30/20(12 months): +36.6%
– DJIA Return since 06/30/20: +34.8%
– NASDAQ Return since 06/30/20: +45.5%
– S&P500 Return since 06/30/20: +40.4%
– Stock Price Range: $10.71 to $3,510.98
– Total The PBR25 Market Capitalization: $2,572.46 billion
– Market Capitalization Range: $6.52 billion to $1,737.66 billion
– Turnover: 12 Buy stocks from the 05/28/21 list remain, 13 new ones were added

The PBR25 is a great timesaver for evaluating investing in highly rated stocks for your portfolio and available for a very affordable investment.

The PBR25 is a subset of our popular and more comprehensive The PBR1000, which is made up of

  • publicly held companies
  • that trade on a major US stock exchange,
  • have annual revenues of at least $1 billion,
  • file annual 10-K reports with the US Securities and Exchange Commission(SEC),
  • and have headquarters or primary operations in the US.

The PBR1000 companies combined generate over 50% of all goods and services revenues in the US.

The PBR25 contains on a single page in PDF format key information on 25 stocks  which highly regarded analysts have given a “Buy” recommendation. The PBR25 is based on around 15,000 analyst recommendations. You will also get the MS-Excel records for all 25 Buy recommendations plus the over 200 data points and hotlinks to critical information from The PBR1000 master data set. It is an invaluable tool for researching high probability of success investing opportunities.

The PBR25 is created each month by sorting The PBR1000 by Analyst Recommendation and then by total number of recommendations. The top 25 with a Buy recommendation are selected and sorted by the Estimated 12 Month Return. On a 1-5 basis, a Buy recommendation has a weighted average greater than 4.50.

Data on the PDF report includes: Rank By Estimated 12 Month Return; Company Name; Last Fiscal Year Earnings Per Share; Last Fiscal Year Dividend; End of Previous Month Stock Price; Trading Symbol; Stock Exchange;  Average 12 Month Analyst Target Stock Price; Estimated 12 Month % Return; Analysts Overall Recommendation; Number of Analyst Recommendations for Buy, Outperform, Hold, Underperform, and Sell; Recommedation Weighted Average; Stock Price % Change from the previous month, last 24 months, past 60 months, and; Market Capitalization. It also includes the DJIA, NASDAQ, and S&P500 indexes for comparison purposes.

When you sign up you will be directed to a download for the current issue printable PDF version of The PBR25, which will also be emailed to you, along with the MS-Excel version, which you can then customize for your own personal evaluations. Subsequent issues will be emailed to you a few days after the last day of each month for 12 months, both in PDF and MS-Excel formats.

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The Week 28 of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

July 16, 2021 by

The Week 28 of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear News Recap

In Week 28 The Stock Market Bear gets his first 3-0 win since Week 24. Some experts say he will be in charge for a while, others say not. What to you believe?

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 28 of 2021 Ending 07/16/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(06/30/21 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
Previous Month Close(06/30/21) 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
Record Close Date 07/12/21 07/12/21 07/12/21
Record Close 34,996.18 14,733.24 4,384.63
Week 27 Close 34,870.16 14,701.92 4,369.55
Week 28 Close 34,687.85 14,427.24 4,327.16
Percent Change-Week -0.52% -1.87% -0.97%
Percent Change-Month-to-Date 0.54% -0.53% 0.69%
Percent Change-Quarter-to-Date 0.54% -0.53% 0.69%
Percent Change-Year-to-Date 13.33% 11.94% 15.20%
Percent Change-Record -0.88% -2.08% -1.31%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD
Week 28 Winner and Tally  Bear 3-0 Win
June Winner and Tally Bull 2-1 Mixed Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 13 3 Winning
The Stock Market Bear 9 0 Losing
Mixed Result 6 3
  Totals 28 6

The US Stock Market Week 28 Summary:

With great confidence The Stock Market Bull continued his romp through the pasture by establishing new record closes on all three major US stock indices on Monday. Proud of himself, on Tuesday he wandered off into a field of grass for a nice roll and long day nap. The Stock Market Bear saw his chance and took Tuesday by around the same margin. The Stock Market Bull returned on Wednesday and took 2 out of 3 indices. At that point it looked like the week would be a mixed win result for the Bull. Thursday the Bear returned the favor, took a big gouge out of the NASDAQ, and it appeared the week would be a Bear mixed win. On Friday the Bull decided it didn’t want to play, the Bear took charge with a big day and gets an outright 3-0 win in Week 28.

Summary News Items for Week 28:

  • Despite mostly positive news the US economy created some inflationary fears despite Fed Chairman Powell‘s testimony in Congress during the week saying it would moderate.
  • The US Dept of Labor reported that June 2021 current wages were +3.9% from last year.
  • The US Dept of Labor indicated that the consumer price index was +0.9% in June, +5.4% over the year.
  • The US Dept of the Treasury reported a $174 billion deficit in June, a $2.238 trillion deficit YTD.
  • The US Dept of Labor says the Producer Price Index for June was +1.0%, +7.3% the last 12 months.
  • The Federal Reserve released its Beige Book, reports overall the US economy has strengthened further but there are issues with major shortages and higher prices.
  • The US Dept of Labor said June import prices were up 1.0%, +11.2% year-over-year, export prices were +1.2%, +16.8% year-over-year.
  • The Federal Reserve says industrial production capacity was at 75.4%, it was 68.9% a year ago.
  • Both the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and Philadelphia reported significant increases in their factory indices.
  • The US Dept of Commerce indicated business inventories were +0.5% in May.
  • The US Dept of Commerce says advance retail sales for June indicated a +0.6% growth, much of that from food services and drinking establishments.
  • The U of Michigan preliminary July Consumer Sentiment Index was at 80.8, a positive number, but down from June’s 85.5.
  • The US Senate Democrats are working on a $3.5 trillion budget agreement.
  • OPEC doesn’t get a consensus on oil production, maintains targets.
  • South Africa struggles with violent riots over the jailing of former president Zuma.
  • The assassination of Haiti‘s president last week and arrests of suspects continues to cause turmoil.
  • US President Biden and German Chancellor Merkel meet in Washington DC, discuss Russian oil, climate change, Covid-19 vaccines, Russian cyber attacks, Ukraine and shoring up their democracies.
  • Germany and Belgium are having to contend with severe floods.
  • US President Biden says the situation in Hong Kong is deteriorating, says US businesses need to be concerned.
  • The Covid-19 Delta variant cases continue to rise in certain parts of the world, especially Asia and Africa.

More Resources:

Check out the BLOG page for the previous RECAPS and SNAPSHOTS posts.

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PBRMarketTools Info:

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Please use the Contact Us page if you are not on our email list or have questions about The PBR1000, The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks, The PBRMarketTools US Economic Indices or the Customization Services we provide. We appreciate your comments and suggestions!

The PBR1000:

PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company.

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Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

This business intelligence report is provided by: 

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The PBR1000 June 2021 Top 5 Stocks Snapshots

July 9, 2021 by

The PBR1000 June 2021 Top 5 Stocks

The Stock Market Bull Gets Another Mixed Result

stocks stockmarket bull bear PBR1000

For the second month in a row The Stock Market Bull gets a 2-1 mixed result and remains unbeaten on a monthly basis in 2021.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary
For June 2021 Ending 06/30/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(03/31/21 32,981.55 13,246.87 3,972.89
Previous Month Close(05/28/21) 34,529.45 13,748.74 4,204.11
Record Close Date 05/07/21 06/29/21 06/30/21
Record Close 34,777.76 14,528.33 4,297.50
June Close(06/30/21) 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
Percent Change-Week +0.20% +1.00% +0.39%
Percent Change-Month -0.08% +5.49% +2.22%
Percent Change-QTD +4.61% +9.49% +8.17%
Percent Change-YTD +12.73% +12.54% +14.41%
Percent Change-Record -0.82% -0.17% +0.00%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD
Week 25 Winner and Tally  Bull 3-0 Win
June Winner and Tally Bull 2-1 Mixed Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 11 3 Ahead
The Stock Market Bear 8 0
Mixed Result 6 3
  Totals 25 6

US Stock Exchanges June 2021 Summary:

June 2021 turned out to be the least volatile month of the year so far. Out of 66 trading sessions(3 stocks indices times 22 days) only 6 daily sessions were greater or less than 1%. The Stock Market Bull took Week 22, Week 25, and Week 26, had a 2-1 mixed result for Week 23. The Stock Market Bear only took Week 24 but it was a dramatic enough drop the June 2021 result to a 2-1 mixed result for The Stock Market Bull. The month continued to mark progress as the COVID-19 pandemic gives way to the opening up of society, the economy has nearly recovered, and there is a sense of optimism as the summer season heats up.

 

The June 2021 US Major Stock Market Exchanges Summary

Number of Trading Days: 22

Number of Gain(+)/Loss(-) Days: DJIA 11+/11-; NASDAQ 14+/8-; SPX 13+/9-.

Record Days: DJIA 0, NASDAQ 8, SPX 8, Total 16

Longest Gain Streak(Consecutive Days): DJIA 6 days(05/26-06/02/21), NASDAQ 4 days(06/21-24/21),  and SPX 5 days(06/24-30/21)

Longest Loss Streak(Consecutive Days): DJIA 5 days(06/14-18/21), NASDAQ 2 days(06/15-16/21), and SPX 4 days(06/15-18/21)

Big Swing Up Days(>1.00%): 2 days, 06/04/21( N +1.47%), 06/21/21(D +1.76%, S +1.40%)

Big Swing Down Days(<-1.00%): 2 days, 06/03/21(N -1.03%), 06/18/21(D -1.58%, S -1.31%)

The PBR1000 June 2021 Top 5 Stocks Snapshots

The following are Top 5 partial tables excerpts from The PBR1000 June 2021 Snapshots. The price for stocks is for the close of trading on June 30, 2021, 1 Month % Chg is compared to May 28, 2021, 12 Months % Chg is compared to June 30, 2020, the 24 Months % Chg is compared to June 28, 2019, and 60 Months % Chg is compared to June 30, 2016. The PBR Rank is by annual revenues.

To get the complete The PBR1000 Snapshots  just click here to get your 12 month subscription and automatically download the May 2021 edition with the complete 15 Snapshots and 28 rankings with the bonuses The PBRMarketTools US Monthly Indices Snapshots and The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks.

 

Table 1(S11): The PBR1000 Top 5 Month Stock Price % Gainers

Table 1 Summary: The range was +116% to -34%. 410 out of 999 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 1.23%, the median was a loss of 1.51%. The DJIA was -0.08%, NASDAQ +5.49%, SPX +2.22%.

Company PBR
Rank		 Symbol Price
06/30/21		 Mo
% Chg		 12 Mos
% Chg		 24 Mos
% Chg		 60 Mos
% Chg
AMC Entertainment 983 AMC $ 56.56 +116 +1,223 +506 +105
ContextLogic 775 WISH $ 13.17 +66 n/a n/a n/a
Lands’ End 962 LE $ 41.05 +60 +411 +236 +150
Express 986 EXPR $ 6.47 +51 +320 +137 -55
Hertz 491 HTZGQ $ 8.74 +44 +518 -45 -80

 

Table 2(S12): The PBR1000 Top 5 12 Months Stock Price % Gainers

Table 2 Summary: The range was +4,829% to -40%. 943 out of 983 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 49.62%, the median was a gain of 51.96%. The DJIA was +33.66%, NASDAQ +44.19%, SPX +38.62%.

Company PBR
Rank		 Symbol Price
06/30/21		 Mo
% Chg		 12 Mos
% Chg		 24 Mos
% Chg		 60 Mos
% Chg
GameStop 504 GME $ 213.90 -4 +4,829 +3,810 +705
AMC Entertainment 983 AMC $ 56.56 +116 +1,223 +506 +105
Signet Jewelers 496 SIG $ 80.85 +33 +687 +352 n/a
Dillard’s 565 DDS $ 180.88 +37 +601 +190 +198
SM Energy 989 SM $ 24.64 +24 +558 +97 -9

 

Table 3(S13): The PBR1000 Top 5 24 Months Stock Price % Gainers

Table 3 Summary: The range was +3,810% to -84%. 769 out of 978 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 45.54%. The median was a gain of 30.30%. The DJIA was +29.71%, NASDAQ +81.16%, SPX +46.09%.

 

Company PBR
Rank		 Symbol Price
06/30/21		 Mo
% Chg		 12 Mos
% Chg		 24 Mos
% Chg		 60 Mos
% Chg
GameStop 504 GME $ 213.90 -4 +4,829 +3,810 +705
Tesla Motors 95 TSLA $ 680.70 +9 +215 +1,423 +1,503
Hovnanian 812 HOV $ 106.29 -25 +354 +1,299 +153
Owens & Minor 341 OMI $ 42.33 -5 +456 +1,223 +13
Overstock 771 OSTK $ 92.20 +8 +224 +594 +234

 

Table 4(R21): The PBR1000 Top 5 60 Months Stock Price % Gainers

Table 4 Summary: The range was +2,592% to -89%. 726 out of 920 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 110.57%. The median was a gain of 62.46%. The DJIA was +92.43%, NASDAQ +199.50%, SPX +104.75%.

 

Company PBR
Rank		 Symbol Price
06/30/21		 Mo
% Chg		 12 Mos
% Chg		 24 Mos
% Chg		 60 Mos
% Chg
Square 310 SQ $ 243.63 +9 +132 +236 +2,592
RH 732 RH $ 678.54 +6 +172 +487 +2,226
Etsy 920 ETSY $ 205.84 +25 +94 +235 +2,046
AMD 298 AMD $ 93.93 +17 +79 +209 +1,727
NVIDIA 178 NVDA $ 800.10 +23 +111 +387 +1,602

 

Table 5(S15): The PBR1000 Top 5 Market Capitalization

Table 5 Summary: The range was $2,286 billion to $0.05 billion. The average is $42.030 billion, median is $11.80 billion, out of 1,000 companies.

Company PBR
Rank		 Symbol Market Cap($B)
06/30/21		 1 Mo
% Chg		 12 Mos
% Chg		 24 Mos
% Chg
Apple 3 AAPL $ 2,286 +10 +46 +149
Microsoft 15 MSFT $2,040 +9 +36 +58
Amazon 2 AMZN $ 1,738 +7 +30 +85
Alphabet 9 GOOG $ 1,663 +4 +65 +123
Facebook 32 FB $ 986 +6 +79 +82
The PBR1000
   $ 42,030 +2 +47 +52

 

Table 6: The PBR1000 Index & Primary US Stock Exchanges/Commodities

Company Price
06/30/21		 Mo
% Chg		 12 Mos
% Chg		 24 Mos
% Chg		 60 Mos
% Chg
The PBR1000 133,264.82 +1.23 +49.62 +45.54 +110.57
DJIA 34,502.51 -0.08 +33.66 +29.71 +92.43
NASDAQ 14,503.95 +5.49 +44.19 +81.16 +199.50
S&P500 4,297.50 +2.22 +38.62 +46.09 +104.75
GOLD 1,771.60 -7.07 +1.61 +25.47 +32.43
OIL 73.47 +10.27 +87.09 +26.24 +51.64
SOYBEANS(Cents) 1,399.00 -8.59 +58.57 +51.53 +21.31

 

If you are not a current The PBR1000 or The PBR25 Subscriber go to the Subscribe page to get our latest research and monthly snapshots.

Please use the Contact Us page if you are a The PBR1000 company and would like to increase your visibility to our worldwide base of shrewd investors.

PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company.

Empowering Astute Business Leaders and Shrewd Investors

Through The PBR1000 Analytics!

Disclaimers: The PBR1000 is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. PBRMarketTools.com provides research only which should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

This The PBR1000 business intelligence report is provided by: 

(Top graphic courtesy of FreeDigitalPhotos.com, ddpavumba.)

Copyright © 2021 by Pax Business Resources, LLC, All Rights Reserved.

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The Week 26 of 2021 US Stock Market News Recap

July 2, 2021 by

The Week 26 of 2021 US Stock Market  News Recap

Stock Market PBR1000 Snapshots Recap Bull Bear

The Stock Market Bull gets the trifecta of 3 record closes on the last business day of Week 26, thanks to some good economic news.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 26 of 2021 Ending 07/02/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(06/30/21 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
Previous Month Close(06/30/21) 34,502.51 14,503.95 4,297.50
Record Close Date 07/02/21 07/02/21 07/02/21
Record Close 34,786.35 14,639.33 4,352.34
Week 25 Close 34,433.84 14,360.39 4,280.70
Week 26 Close 34,786.35 14,639.33 4,352.34
Percent Change-Week 1.02% 1.94% 1.67%
Percent Change Month-to-Date 0.82% 0.93% 1.28%
Percent Change Quarter-to-Date 0.82% 0.93% 1.28%
Percent Change Year-to-Date 13.66% 13.59% 15.87%
Percent Change-Record 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD
Week 26 Winner and Tally  Bull 3-0 Win
June Winner and Tally Bull 2-1 Mixed Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 12 3 Ahead
The Stock Market Bear 8 0
Mixed Result 6 3
  Totals 26 6

The US Stock Market Week 26 Summary:

On Monday The Stock Market Bear had a strong day on the DJIA, but The Stock Market Bull aggressively countered with record closes on the NASDAQ and S&P500. The Stock Market Bull then continued to dominate the whole week, finishing it with an amazing trifecta of record closes in all three major US stock indices. The DJIA came from quite a ways back to establish the new record, previously set on 05/07/21. Friday was the third record close for the NASDAQ for the week, and the seventh in a row over the past two weeks for the S&P500. The Stock Market Bull notches a big 3-0 win in Week 26.

  • Good economic news was the primary driver for The Stock Market Bull‘s outstanding week.
  • Consumer and business surveys indicated optimism as the COVID-19 pandemic starts to fade away.
  • Home prices continue to rise and the FreddieMac average 30 year home fixed mortgage rate fell to 2.98%.
  • The jobs reports were big drivers with ADP reporting +692,000 new jobs in the private sector, the US Dept of Labor said the US economy added 850,000 jobs in June, and reported that weekly initial jobless claims fell to 364,000 and is very near pre-pandemic levels.
  • Another driver was some cautious optimism that President Biden’s infrastructure development plan, modified greatly from its initial proposal, has a chance for bipartisan support.
  • The first half of 2021 ends on a positive note with encouraging signs that it might continue in the second half as well.

More Resources:

Check out the BLOG page for the previous RECAPS and SNAPSHOTS posts.

Click here to follow The PBR1000 on Twitter!

PBRMarketTools Info:

If you are not a current The PBR1000 or The PBR25 Subscriber go to the Subscribe page for more information and to get our latest research and monthly snapshots.

Please use the Contact Us page if you are not on our email list or have questions about The PBR1000, The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks, The PBRMarketTools US Economic Indices or the Customization Services we provide. We appreciate your comments and suggestions!

The PBR1000:

PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company.

Empowering Astute Business Leaders and Shrewd Investors
Through The PBR1000 Analytics!

Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

This business intelligence report is provided by: 

(Article image is courtesy of FreeDigitalPhotos.net, ddpavumba.)

Copyright © 2021 by Pax Business Resources, LLC, All Rights Reserved.

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The Week 25 of 2021 US Stock Market and News Recap

June 27, 2021 by

The Week 25 of 2021 US Stock Market and News Recap

Stock Market PBR1000 Snapshots Recap Bull Bear

After his loss in Week 24 The Stock Market Bull rampages back, overwhelms The Stock Market Bear, breaks records, and has a big smile at the end of Week 25 of 2021.

By Larry C. Paxton

US Stock Market Indices Summary
Week 25 of 2021 Ending 06/25/21
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/20) 30,606.48 12,888.28 3,756.07
Previous Quarter Close(03/31/21 32,981.55 13,246.87 3,972.89
Previous Month Close(05/28/21) 34,529.45 13,748.74 4,204.11
Record Close Date 05/07/21 06/24/21 06/25/21
Record Close 34,777.76 14,369.71 4,280.70
Week 24 Close 33,290.08 14,030.38 4,166.45
Week 25 Close 34,433.84 14,360.39 4,280.70
Percent Change-Week 3.44% 2.35% 2.74%
Percent Change-Month -0.28% 4.45% 1.82%
Percent Change-Quarter 4.40% 8.41% 7.75%
Percent Change-YTD 12.51% 11.42% 13.97%
Percent Change-Record -0.99% -0.06% 0.00%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies YTD
Week 25 Winner and Tally  Bull 3-0 Win
May Winner and Tally Bull 2-1 Mixed Win
Weeks Months YTD
The Stock Market Bull 11 3 Ahead
The Stock Market Bear 8 0
Mixed Result 6 2
  Totals 25 5

The US Stock Market Week 25 Summary:

The Stock Market Bull had a big day on Monday and pretty much kept the momentum going all week, established 3 new record highs on the NASDAQ and 2 on the S&P500, finishes with a convincing Week 25 3-0 win, redeeming himself somewhat from his loss the previous week to The Stock Market Bear.

Week 25 News Summary:

Coronavirus Pandemic: 

  • As of Friday, 06/25/21, at 3:21PM Eastern US, the John Hopkins University CSSE unit says there are now 180,267,388 confirmed cases globally with 3,905,890 deaths, +60,859 from last week, which is -7,839 from the prior week. For the US it is 33,601,692 confirmed cases and 603,516 deaths, +2,277 from last week, which is +122 from the prior week. The US is closing in on the goal to have at least 70% of the target population have at least 1 shot by July 4th, but vaccination rates have slowed and might result in falling just short. Vaccines are still free through a variety of programs and offered through several government programs and pharmacies. Several states continue to provide incentives to get vaccinated.  More doses are being acquired for distribution to underserved populations worldwide, but there are often logistical issues, concerns about the special conditions required to keep the vaccines viable, and using the vaccines before expiration dates.

US Federal Government:

  • Friday, June 25, 2021
  • VP Harris takes a trip to Texas to make her first official visit to the US/Mexico border to review immigration issues.
  •  Thursday, June 24, 2021
  • US President Biden announces that in negotiations with US Senators that an infrastructure development plan has been agreed to, details to be worked out.
  • The US Federal Housing Finance Agency has extended the COVID-19 Foreclosure and REO Eviction Moratoriums from 06/30/21 to 07/31/21.
  • US House of Representatives Speaker Pelosi announces the formation of a select committee to investigate the January 6 attack on the capital building.

US Economy

  • Friday, June 25, 2021
  • The US Dept of Commerce/BEA says the Preliminary May 2021 US Personal Income Annual Rate is at $20.804 trillion, April 2021 was at $21.219 trillion, March 2021 $24.421 trillion, May 2020 $20.246 trillion.
  • The US Federal Reserve Board announces it will extend for a final time its Paycheck Protection Program Liquidity Facility, or PPPLF, by an additional month to 07/30/21.
  • The U of Michigan Final June 2021 Consumer Sentiment Index is at 85.5, May 2021 was at 82.9, April 2021 88.3, May June 2020 78.1. “While many are optimistic about a gradual end to the pandemic, consumers still judged the risks from emerging covid variants as appreciable. It is likely that consumers will not reduce their savings and wealth to pre-pandemic levels, but maintain a higher level of precautionary funds.”
  • Thursday, June 24, 2021
  • The US Federal Reserve Board releases results of annual bank stress tests, which show that large banks continue to have strong capital levels and could continue lending to households and businesses during a severe recession.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/BEA says the 1Q21 US Real Gross Domestic Product Annual Rate remains at +6.4%, $22.062 trillion, 4Q20 was at +4.3%, $21.495 trillion, 3Q20 +33.4%, $21.170 trillion, 1Q20 -5.0%, $21.561 trillion.
  • The US Dept of Labor says the June 19, 2021 US Initial Unemployment Claims 4 Week Average is at 397,750, May 22, 2021 was at 458,750, April 24, 2021 611,750, June 20, 2020 1,620,750.
  • FreddieMac says on June 24, 2021 the US Average 30 Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate is at 3.02% with 0.7 points & fees, May 27, 2021 was at 2.95%, April 29, 2021 2.98%, June 25, 2020 3.13%. “As the economy progresses and inflation remains elevated, we expect that rates will continue to gradually rise in the second half of the year.”
  • Wednesday, June 23, 2021
  • The US Dept of Commerce/HUD says the Preliminary May 2021 US New Family Home Sales Annual Rate is at 769,000 units, April 2021 was at 817,000, March 2021 886,000, May 2020 704,000; the May 2021 Median New Home Sale Price is at $374,400, April 2021 was at $365,300, March 2021 $348,300, May 2020 $317,100.
  • The US Dept of Commerce/BEA says the Preliminary 1Q21 US Exports of Goods, Services & Income Receipts is at $888.745 billion, US Imports $1,084.485 billion, for a 1Q21 Trade Deficit of $195.740 billion, 4Q20 Trade Deficit was at $175.078 billion, 3Q20 $172.362 billion, 1Q20 $114.788 billion.
  • Tuesday, June 22, 2021
  • US Federal Reserve Chairman Powell testifies in Congress, says the expectation is that there will be a short term inflationary period that will moderate over the long term.
  • The Natl Assn of Realtors reports that the Preliminary May 2021 US Existing Home Sales Annual Rate is at 1,580,000 units, April 2021 was at 1,585,000, March 2021 6,010,000, May 2020 4,010,000; the Preliminary May 2021 US Existing Home Median Price is at $350,300, April 2021 was at $341,600, March 2021 $329,100, May 2020 $283,500.
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia says the June 2021 US 3rd District Non-Manufacturing General Activity Index is at 59.6, May 2021 was at 36.9, April 2021 36.3, June 2020 -3.6. “The respondents expect overall improvement in conditions over the next six months, as both future activity indexes rose.”
  • Monday, June 21, 2021
  • The US Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago says the Preliminary May 2021 US National Activity Index is at +0.29, April 2021 was at -0.09, March 2021 +2.22, May 2020 +4.62. “Index points to a pickup in economic growth in May.”

US Corporate

  • Friday, June 25, 2021
  • Amazon(PBR2 $AMZN) says it sold 70+ million items for $1.9+ billion over its 2 week promotion period for its June 21-22 Prime Days.
  • eBay(PBR285 $EBAY) completed the transfer of its Classifieds business to Norway based Adevinta(OSLO: ADE) in exchange for $2.5 billion in cash and a 44% equity stake in Adevinta, equivalent to approximately 540 million shares.
  • Rockwell Automation(PBR425 $ROK) to acquire pure software-as-a-service, cloud-native smart manufacturing platform provider Plex Systems for $2.22 billion, to close by 09/30/21.
  • Thursday, June 24, 2021
  • Microsoft(PBR15 $MSFT) launches its new Windows 11 operating system.
  • eBay(PBR285 $EBAY) to sell 80.01% of its S Korea business to Emart for around $3.0 billion, to close in late 2021 or early 2022.
  • Boston Scientific(PBR294 $BSX) to exercise option to acquire the 73% of Farapulse it does not own for $295 million, plus up to $92 million upon achievement of certain clinical and regulatory milestones as well as additional revenue-based payments for the next three years, to close in 3Q21.
  • Brunswick(PBR573 $BC) to acquire Norway based privately held $470 million in revenues for 12 months ending 05/31/21 Navico, a global leader in marine electronics and sensors, for $1.05 billion, to close in 2H21.
  • Wednesday, June 23, 2021
  • VISA(PBR129 $V) to acquire European open banking platform Tink for around $2.2 billion cash.
  • PVH(PBR392 $PVH) to sell certain intellectual property and other assets of its Heritage Brands business, including the IZOD, Van Heusen, ARROW and Geoffrey Beene brand trademarks, to Authentic Brands Group for approximately $220 million cash, to close in 3Q21.
  • Electronic Arts(PBR466 $EA) to acquire AT&T(PBR11 $T)’s WarnerMedia’s Warner Bros Games’ Playdemic, Ltd., the mobile games studio responsible for Golf Clash, for $1.4 billion cash.
  • Corteva(PBR209 $CTVA) CEO Jim Collins Jr to retire by 12/31/21, new CEO search starts.
  • Southwest Airlines(PBR325 $LUV) Chairman/CEO Gary Kelly to transition to Executive Chairman, EVP Corporate Services Robert Jordan to become CEO and Board member on 02/01/22.
  • Tuesday, June 22, 2021
  • GameStop(PBR506 $GME) completes sale of 5 million shares of common stock, generates gross proceeds of $1.126 billion, will use net proceeds for general corporate purposes as well as for investing in growth initiatives and maintaining a strong balance sheet.
  • Splunk(PBR826 $SPLK) gets $1 billion investment in convertible senior notes from tech investing firm Silver Lake.
  • Monday, June 21, 2021
  • L Brands(PBR246 $LB) files Form 10 with the US SEC regarding its spin-off of Victoria’s Secret & Co planned for 08/21.
  • Westlake Chemical(PBR377 $WLK) to acquire the N American building products businesses in roofing; siding, trim and shutters; decorative stone; and windows from Boral Limited (ASX: BLD) for $2.15 billion cash, to close in 2H21.
  • Ingersoll-Rand(PBR516) to acquire Germany based $200 million in annual revenues positive displacement pump manufacturer Seepex GmbH for around $525 million cash, to close in 3Q21.
  • KKR(PBR581 $KKR) to acquire a majority stake in Vini Cosmetics, a leading branded personal care and beauty products company in India, for $625 million, to close in 07/21.

 

US Society:

  • The Minneapolis police officer convicted of the killing of George Floyd in May 2020 gets a 22.5 year prison sentence.

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PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company.

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Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

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The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks May 2020 12 Month Report Card

June 21, 2021 by

The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks May 2020 12 Month Report Card

Stocks PBR25 PBR1000 Report Card Subscribe

The May 2020 ThePBR25 became ThePBR23, gets an ‘A’ for its 12 Month Report Card.

By Larry C. Paxton

Welcome to The May 2020 The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks 12 Month Report Card.

As investors we count on professional stock analysts to provide comprehensive and diligent research to come up with their best take on how stocks will perform over the next 12 months. We then use that information to help us make stock buy, hold and sell decisions.

The PBR25 Premise

The premise of The PBR25 is that there is a high probability of success for stock investing when a large enough number professional stock analysts through their extensive research determine that a stock is a “Buy” and also forecasts a significant return over the next 12 months. PBRMarketTools assigns a Report Card grade based on how the stock analysts did.

Last 12 Months Influences

Since May 2020 a lot has happened that was not predicted and not part of analyst estimates at that time:

  • COVID-19 Pandemic. The World Health Organization(WHO) had declared an official pandemic on March 11, 2020. At the end of May 2020 WHO said the world was averaging around 120,000 new cases per day. In the US it was a little over 20,000 per day.
  • On May 25, 2020 George Floyd, a black man, died a very visible death with his neck under the knee of a policeman. Other similar types of incidents occurred as well. The response was a lot of  civil unrest. The policeman was convicted of all charges by a jury in April 2021, but racial inequality concerns are still very present.
  • There was a very contentious 2020 US Presidential campaign that exacerbated how fractured the US is politically. President Biden has been in office for a few months now, there seems to be a general sense of acceptance, and certainly the political environment has become a lot less volatile.

There is a lot more that can be said, but this is not meant to be an opinions post. It is a piece focused on the review of the recommendations stock analysts came up with at the end of May 2020 and the actual results 12 months later at the end of May 2021. PBRMarketTools is calling this a Report Card.

Creating The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks List for May 2020

The starting point is the prestigious The PBR1000, produced monthly by PBRMarketTools. To be included in The PBR1000 the 1,000 companies must meet the following criteria:

  • The companies must be publicly traded on the NYSE, NYSE American or NASDAQ stock exchanges, with a very few temporarily trading on the Over-The-Counter market because they are transitioning from bankruptcy.
  • They must be headquartered in the US or have primary operations in the US.
  • They must have generated at least $1 billion in revenues in their most recent full fiscal year.
  • They must file an annual 10-K form with the US Securities and Exchange Commission in US dollars
  • Each of the 1,000 companies is given a primary ranking based on revenues, with the company having the highest revenue amount ranked 1(currently Walmart). There are 27 secondary rankings in The PBR1000 based on other criteria as well.

Each month the 12 month estimates and recommendations by stock analysts are updated on The PBR1000. The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks list for May 2020 was then created using the following process:

  • At any point in time The PBR1000 has around 15,000 stock analyst recommendations.
  • The PBR1000 was sorted by stock analyst recommendations.
  • Those stocks rated a “Buy” were then further sorted by the number of “Buy” recommendations.
  • For May 2020 a cut off of at least 12 “Buy” recommendations was then sorted by each stock’s weighted average, with a Buy being worth 5 points, Overweight 4 points, Hold 3 points, Underweight 2 points and Sell 1 point. The maximum weighted average is 5.00. For a stock to achieve a “Buy” recommendation its weighted average must be greater than 4.50.
  • The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks list was finalized by doing a descending sort by the weighted averages.

Actual Results for The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks for March 2021

  • One energy related company, Parsley Energy, ranked 6 on the May 2020 PBR25, was acquired in January, 2021. In July 2020 InterActiveCorp, ranked 8 on the May 2020 The PBR25, did a spin-off of its Match Group unit as a separate independent public company. Similarly, in May 2021 it also did a spin-off of its Vimeo unit. These actions and adjustments significantly altered its stock price, so it is also excluded. Therefore, this analysis is based on the 23 remaining companies.

Following is a table of characteristics and actual results for the May 29, 2020, The PBR25.

12 Month Report Card for The PBR25 Dated May 29, 2020
Total Companies 23
Low Weighted Average 4.62
High Weighted Average 5.00
Average Weighted Average 4.73
Market Capitalization Low(B$)                          $3.34
Market Capitalization High(B$)                  $1,375.64
Total Market Capitalization(B$)                  $4,140.99
Total NYSE Companies                              18
Total NASDAQ Companies                                5
29-May-20 12 Mo Forecast 28-May-21
Low Stock Price                        $19.10                        $23.77          $23.61
High Stock Price                  $2,442.37                  $2,678.00    $3,223.07
Total Stock Prices                  $6,304.21                  $6,927.76    $8,686.97
Total Stock Price Change                      $623.55    $2,382.76
Percent Change 9.89% 37.80%
DJIA Percent Change 36.03%
NASDAQ Percent Change 44.88%
S&P500 Change 38.10%
Lowest Change 5.57% 2.07%
Highest Change 48.82% 158.19%
Total Exceeding Forecast(Out of 23) 15
Total with >0% Return 23

 

Conclusions, Observations, Validations and Realities

  • If you had bought 1 share each of The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks at the closing price on May 29, 2020, you would have achieved a +37.80% gain 12 months later at the close on May 28, 2021, nearly four times the 9.89% estimate and  an excellent return. Also, it compares favorably to the returns on the DJIA, NASDAQ, and S&P500 indices. For this reason, The May 2020 The PBR25 gets an ‘A’ on its 12 month Report Card.
  • It is difficult to forecast out 12 months with any great accuracy, there are just too many variables and uncertainties.
  • However, it does demonstrate that The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks is a valid methodology and process for that particular month.
  • Our demonstration account, called The Charlie Fund, uses the popular “Buy & Hold with Consistent Monthly Investment Strategy” with the monthly The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks as the primary research tool. For the 12 Month Report Card period it achieved a greater than 50% return, a further validation of the methodology.
  • There are no guarantees! The reality is that there will always be ups and downs in the stock market and people make stocks buy, hold and sell decisions based on a wide range logical and emotional criteria, input from knowledgeable hard-working experts and well meaning friends, and if the sky is blue today. But the historical data is pretty convincing that stocks will trend up at an above average investment rate over the long haul.

Additional Information

  • The details of this summary, including company names and the over 200 fields of information for each company, were extracted from the updated The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks MS-Excel worksheet for May 2020, and has been distributed to The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks Subscribers for their personal use and further research
  • The next 12 Month Report Card will be for June 2020, and should be available between mid to late July 2021.
  • For characteristics of the most recent monthly The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks go to The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks information page.

We are always interested in your feedback, which you can provide on the Contact Us page.

PBRMarketTools.com provides The PBR1000, a compilation of 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with primary operations in the US. These companies generate $15 trillion in annual revenues, more than all other US companies combined. The PBR1000 Monthly Snapshots provides these 1,000 companies in Excel format, includes 15 worksheets with 28 rankings, over 200 data/information points, hotlinks to key data, and important news items per company. The monthly The PBR25 Top Buy Stocks is a subset of the monthly The PBR1000 and is available as a separate monthly or annual subscription.

Disclaimers: The PBR1000 is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. It is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations. Any opinions expressed should not be regarded as recommendations or advice.

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