January 2016: Did Climate Change Bring The Bears Out Of Hibernation Early?
Who Invited The Bear?
By Larry C. Paxton
The continued downward spiral of oil prices, the mixed corporate financial results from initial reports, and economic indices showing moderate growth at best made January 2016 one for the bears, and they came out hungry and growling, especially for technical stocks on the NASDAQ.
For example, out of the 19 trading days in January 2016, 12 of them were negative, with 5 being over -2% for the NASDAQ.
The questions now are if the bears really have come out of hibernation, and how long will the bulls stay away?
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In the following tables the stock price is for the close of trading on January 29th, Month % Chg is compared to December 31st, YTD % Chg is compared to January 30, 2015, and the 13 Mos % Chg is compared to December 31, 2014.
Table 1(S11): The PBR1000 Top 5 Month Stock Price % Gainers
Table 1 Summary: The range was +176.79% to -85.00%. 241 out of 1,034 stock prices were up 0.00% or more, or 23.31% of the companies tracked. The median was a loss of 6.09%.
| Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Price 01/29/16 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
13 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Energy |
984 | WLTGQ | 0.03 | +176.79 | +176.79 | -97.95 |
| Alpha Natural Resources |
536 | ANRZQ | 0.02 | +42.73 | +42.73 | -99.06 |
| Southwestern Energy |
556 | SWN | 30.01 | +25.04 | +25.04 | -67.42 |
| Terex Corp | 353 | TEX | 57.12 | +21.21 | +21.21 | -19.66 |
| Range Resources |
714 | RRC | 18.85 | +20.11 | +20.11 | -44.70 |
Table 2(S12): The PBR1000 Top 5 Year-To-Date Stock Price % Gainers
Table 2 Summary: The range was +176.79% to -85.00%. 241 out of 1,034 stock prices were up 0.00% or more, or 23.31% of the companies tracked. The median was a loss of 6.09%.
| Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Price 01/29/16 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
13 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Energy |
984 | WLTGQ | 0.03 | +176.79 | +176.79 | -97.95 |
| Alpha Natural Resources |
536 | ANRZQ | 0.02 | +42.73 | +42.73 | -99.06 |
| Southwestern Energy |
556 | SWN | 30.01 | +25.04 | +25.04 | -67.42 |
| Terex Corp |
353 | TEX | 57.12 | +21.21 | +21.21 | -19.66 |
| Range Resources |
714 | RRC | 18.85 | +20.11 | +20.11 | -44.70 |
Table 3(S13): The PBR1000 Top 5 13 Months Stock Price % Gainers
Table 3 Summary: Range was +89.14% to -99.54%. 304 out of 1,030 stock prices were up 0.00% or more, or 29.51% of the companies tracked. The median was a loss of -13.71%.
| Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Price 01/29/15 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
13 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amazon.com |
31 | AMZN | 587.00 | -13.15 | -13.15 | +89.14 |
| Netflix |
438 | NFLX | 91.84 | -19.71 | -19.71 | +88.20 |
| Activision Blizzard |
527 | ATVI | 34.82 | -10.05 | -10.05 | +72.80 |
| Heartland Payment Sys |
802 | HPY | 92.08 | -2.89 | -2.89 | +70.68 |
| A-Mark Precious Metals |
401 | AMRK | 16.93 | -10.19 | -10.91 | +69.81 |
Table 4(S15): The PBR1000 Top 5 Market Capitalization
Table 4 Summary: Range was $542.70 billion to $0.00 billion. The average is $18.63 billion, median is $5.46 billion, out of 1,034 companies tracked.
| Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Market Cap($B) 12/31/15 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
13 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple |
3 | AAPL | 542.70 | -7.52 | -7.52 | -16.17 |
| Alphabet |
44 | GOOGL | 510.95 | -2.10 | -2.10 | +43.08 |
| Microsoft |
27 | MSFT | 440.05 | -0.70 | -0.70 | +14.93 |
| ExxonMobil |
2 | XOM | 324.08 | -0.13 | -0.13 | -17.22 |
| Facebook |
226 | FB | 317.33 | +7.21 | +7.21 | +45.90 |
| The PBR1000 |
19,267.33 | -5.23 | -5.23 | -7.18 |
Table 5: The PBR1000 Index & Selected Stock Exchanges/Commodities
| Company | Price 12/31/15 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
13 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The PBR1000 | 64,355.38 | -5.62 | -5.62 | -10.38 |
| DJIA | 16,466.30 | -5.50 | -5.50 | -7.61 |
| NASDAQ | 4,613.95 | -7.86 | -7.86 | -2.58 |
| S&P500 | 1,940.24 | -5.07 | -5.07 | -5.76 |
| Gold | 1,118.40 | +5.49 | +5.49 | -5.61 |
| Silver | 14.26 | +3.33 | +3.33 | -8.59 |
| Oil | 33.74 | -8.91 | -8.91 | -36.66 |
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(The PBR1000 provides astute investors and business professionals with the data, news, and analysis for taking higher probability of success actions. The PBR1000 covers over 1,000 of the largest publicly held companies with principle or administrative headquarters in the US. These companies generate nearly $14 trillion in annual worldwide revenues, more than all other companies in the US combined. These are the key drivers in the US and world economies. On a monthly, quarterly, and annual basis several analytical reports in customizable Microsoft Excel format are provided to Subscribers of The PBR1000. Subscribers include C-level executives, entrepreneurs, sales/marketing/advertising professionals, investors/investment advisers, business professors/students, career counselors/job seekers, to name just a few. To order your annual subscription, just click here to go to the PBRMarketTools.com Order page.)
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