October 2018 The PBR1000: A Bear of a Month
The Stock Market Bear chewed and clawed away viciously to dominate October 2018. Investors are encouraged to hold on, but many wonder if this is the end of The Stock Market Bull run.
By Larry C. Paxton
Even though the US economy continued to be robust, with low unemployment and increasing wages starting to take effect, it was balanced out by a combination of mixed corporate earnings reports(especially by the tech sector), US/China trade issues, intensely negative US general elections campaigning, and perhaps just a weariness from the US stock market doing so well for so long. As a result, volatility reigned during the month.
The Stock Market Bear took advantage of the most volatile month of 2018 so far to easily win bragging rights for October and now threatens what was shaping up as another a good year.
Month 10 YTD tally is:
The Stock Market Bull: 5 months
The Stock Market Bear: 3 months
Mixed Results: 2 months
Week 43 YTD tally is:
The Stock Market Bull: 17 weeks
The Stock Market Bear: 16 weeks
Mixed Results: 10 weeks
The October 2018 US Major Stock Market Exchanges Summary
Number of Trading Days: 23
Number of Gain(+)/Loss(-) Days: DJIA 10+/13-; NASDAQ 8+/15-; SPX 7+/16-.
Record Days: DJIA 2, NASDAQ 0, SPX 0
Longest Gain Streak(Consecutive Days): DJIA 5 days(09/27-10/03/18), NASDAQ 2 days(10/30-31/18), SPX 2 days(10/30-31/18)
Longest Loss Streak(Consecutive Days): DJIA 3 days(10/09-11/18), NASDAQ 3 days(10/04-08/18, 10/17-19/18), SPX 6 days(10/04-11/18, 10/17-24/18)
Big Swing Up Days(>1.00%): 5 days(10/12/18(D, +1.15%; N, +2.29%; S, +1.42%), 10/16/18(D, +2.17%; N, +2.29%; S, +2.15%), 10/25/18(D, +1.63%; N, +2.95%; S, +1.86%), 10/30/18(D, +1.77%; N, +1.58%; S, +1.57%), 10/31/18(N, +2.01%; S, +1.09%))
Big Swing Down Days(<-1.00%): 8 days(10/04/18(N, -1.81%), 10/05/18(N, -1.16%), 10/10/18(D, -3.15%; N, -4.08%; S, -3.29%), 10/11/18(D, -2.13%; N, -1.25%; S, -2.06%), 10/18/18(D, -1.27%; N, -2.06%; S, -1.44%), 10/24/18(D, -2.41%; N, -4.43%; S, -3.09), 10/26/18(D, -1.19%; N, -2.07%; S, -1.73%), 10/29/18(N, -1.63%))
The PBR1000 October 2018 Snapshots
The following are Top 5 partial tables excerpts from The PBR1000 October 2018 Snapshots. The price for stocks is for the close of trading on October 31, 2018, Month % Chg is compared to September 28, 2018, YTD % Chg is compared to December 29, 2017, and the 22 Months % Chg is compared to December 30, 2016. The PBR Rank is by annual revenues.
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Table 1(S11): The PBR1000 Top 5 Month Stock Price % Gainers
Table 1 Summary: The range was +34% to -62%. 158 out of 1,000 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a loss of -8.00%%, the median was a loss of -8.33%.
| Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Price 10/31/18 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
22 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred’s |
899 | FRED | 2.74 | +34 | -32 | -85 |
| Esterline Tech |
870 | ESL | 117.36 | +29 | +57 | +32 |
| Tesla Motors |
249 | TSLA | 337.32 | +27 | +8 | +58 |
| Red Hat |
713 | RHT | 171.64 | +26 | +43 | +146 |
| Twitter |
802 | TWTR | 34.75 | +22 | +45 | +113 |
Table 2(S12): The PBR1000 Top 5 Year-To-Date Stock Price % Gainers
Table 2 Summary: The range was +179% to -90%. 383 out of 1,000 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a loss of 3.96%, the median was a loss of 5.38%.
| Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Price 10/31/18 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
22 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fossil | 733 | FOSL | 21.71 | -7 | +179 | -16 |
| BlueLinx | 892 | BXC | 23.55 | -25 | +141 | +215 |
| UNISYS | 743 | UIS | 18.41 | -10 | +126 | +23 |
| Endo Intl | 642 | ENDP | 16.94 | +1 | +119 | +3 |
| Square | 843 | SQ | 73.45 | -26 | +112 | +439 |
Table 3(S13): The PBR1000 Top 5 22 Months Stock Price % Gainers
Table 3 Summary: The range was +477% to -96%. 580 out of 993 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 14.76%. The median was a gain of 6.72%.
| Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Price 10/31/18 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
22 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weight Watchers | 974 | WTW | 66.10 | -8 | +49 | +477 |
| Square | 843 | SQ | 73.45 | -26 | +112 | +439 |
| RH | 803 | RH | 115.71 | -12 | +34 | +277 |
| Systemax | 980 | SYX | 32.31 | -2 | -3 | +268 |
| BlueLinx | 892 | BXC | 23.55 | -25 | +141 | +215 |
Table 4(S15): The PBR1000 Top 5 Market Capitalization
Table 4 Summary: The range was $1,030 billion to $0.03 billion. The average is $25.610 billion, median is $7.55 billion, out of 1,000 companies.
| Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Market Cap($B) 10/31/18 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
22 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple |
4 | AAPL | 1,030 | -7 | +18 | +67 |
| Microsoft | 22 | MSFT | 796 | -9 | +21 | +65 |
| Amazon | 8 | AMZN | 748 | -24 | +35 | +110 |
| Alphabet | 21 | GOOG | 725 | -13 | -1 | +36 |
| Berkshire Hathaway | 3 | BRKB | 502 | -6 | +2 | +25 |
| The PBR1000 |
25,610 | -8 | -1 | +18 |
Table 5: The PBR1000 Index & Primary US Stock Exchanges/Commodities
| Company | Price 10/31/18 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
22 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The PBR1000 | 82,552.72 | -8.0 | -4.0 | +14.7 |
| DJIA | 25,115.76 | -5.1 | +1.6 | +27.1 |
| NASDAQ | 7,305.90 | -9.2 | +5.8 | +35.7 |
| S&P500 | 2,711.74 | -6.9 | +1.4 | +21.1 |
| GOLD | 1,219.00 | +1.9 | -6.6 | +5.8 |
| SILVER | 14.31 | -2.6 | -15.8 | -10.5 |
| OIL | 64.92 | -11.8 | +8.0 | +20.9 |
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