September 2017: 3Q17 Ends and So Far So Good!
The Stock Market Geese laid a lot of very nice Golden Eggs during the first 3 quarters. How big will the 4th quarter basket have to be?
By Larry C. Paxton
At the beginning of the year there was a lot of anticipation about a new US President taking office, a business-friendly guy wanting to make America Great Again, who made a lot of promises, and who was determined to make them happen.
The feeling of optimism was strong and it was not difficult for prognosticators to predict a good year for investing. But no one came close to the results achieved through the first three quarters of the year.
In the meantime, US and geopolitics being what they are, there have been some detours on the promises, and not many of them have become a reality though the potential and hope is still there. The optimism continues as the Stock Market Bull continues to amaze everyone with a much longer run than anyone could have predicted. As always, there are the doomsday naysayers who say this has to end and the overly eagers who proclaim the Bull has a lot more room to roam.
Let the 4th quarter begin, and with the excitement of the holidays nearly upon us, nearly full employment, and big changes in how we shop, it will be an interesting last quarter of the year for The PBR1000 stocks.
Here are the September summaries on the major US stock market exchanges:
Number of Trading Days: 20
Number of Gain(+)/Loss(-) Days: DJIA 14+/6-; NASDAQ 14+/6-; SPX 14+/6-.
Record Days: DJIA 7, NASDAQ 5, SPX 9
Longest Gain Streak(Consecutive Days): DJIA 9(09/08-20/07/17), NASDAQ 4(09/26-29/17), SPX 4(09/15-20/17 & 09/26-29/17)
Longest Loss Streak(Consecutive Days): DJIA 4(09/21-26/17), NASDAQ 2(09/20-21/17), SPX 2(09/07-08/17)
Big Swing Up Days(>1.00%): 2, 09/11/17(DJIA +1.19% NASDAQ +1.13%, S&P500 +1.08%): N Korea and Hurricane Irma fears abate; 09/27/17(NASDAQ +1.15%): Tech sector recovers.
Big Swing Down Days(<-1.00%): 1, 09/05/17(DJIA -1.07%): N Korea missile test, President Trump rescinds DACA, debt ceiling concerns, Hurricane Irma anticipation.
The following are Top 5 partial tables excerpts from The PBR1000 September Snapshots. The price for stocks is for the close of trading on September 29, Month % Chg is compared to August 31, YTD % Chg is compared to December 31, 2016, and the 21 Months % Chg is compared to December 31, 2015. The PBR Rank is by annual revenues.
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Table 1(S11): The PBR1000 Top 5 Month Stock Price % Gainers
Table 1 Summary: The range was +62% to -35%. 733 out of 1,001 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 3.0%, the median was a gain of 4.4%.
| Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Price 09/29/17 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
21 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conn’s |
912 | CONN | 28.15 | +62 | +122 | +20 |
| Restoration Hardware |
811 | RH | 70.32 | +50 | +129 | -11 |
| Babcock & Wilcox |
914 | BW | 3.33 | +47 | -80 | -84 |
| Sears Hometown |
822 | SHOS | 2.55 | +46 | -46 | -68 |
| Revlon |
779 | REV | 24.55 | +45 | -16 | -12 |
Table 2(S12): The PBR1000 Top 5 Year-To-Date Stock Price % Gainers
Table 2 Summary: The range was +280% to -80%. 648 out of 1,000 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 12.7%, the median was a gain of 9.1%.
| Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Price 09/29/17 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
21 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weight Watchers |
986 | WTW | 43.55 | -7 | +280 | +91 |
| Scientific Games |
689 | SGMS | 45.85 | +30 | +228 | +411 |
| Systemax | 899 | SYX | 26.43 | +8 | +201 | +207 |
| Restoration Hardware |
811 | RH | 70.32 | +50 | +129 | -11 |
| Conn’s | 912 | CONN | 28.15 | +62 | +123 | +20 |
Table 3(S13): The PBR1000 Top 5 20 Months Stock Price % Gainers
Table 3 Summary: The range was +442% to -96%. 860 out of 997 stocks were up 0% or more. The average was a gain of 26.1%. The median was a gain of 23.8%.
| Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Price 09/29/17 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
21 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA | 363 | NVDA | 178.77 | +6 | +67 | +442 |
| Tronox |
819 | TROX | 21.10 | +2 | +105 | +440 |
| Scientific Games | 689 | SGMS |
45.85 | +30 | +228 | +411 |
| Navistar | 317 | NAV | 44.07 | +29 | +40 | +399 |
| Cleveland Cliffs |
816 | CLF | 7.15 | -14 | -15 | +353 |
Table 4(S15): The PBR1000 Top 5 Market Capitalization
Table 4 Summary: The range was $796.07 billion to $0.01 billion. The average is $24.3 billion, median is $7.4 billion, out of 1,000 companies.
| Company | PBR Rank |
Symbol | Market Cap($B) 09/29/17 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
21 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple |
4 | AAPL | 796.07 | -6 | +29 | +36 |
| Alphabet |
27 | GOOG | 664.55 | +2 | +25 | +27 |
| Microsoft |
28 | MSFT | 573.74 | -0 | +19 | +29 |
| 95 | FB | 496.24 | -1 | +50 | +68 | |
| Amazon | 12 | AMZN | 461.81 | -2 | +30 | +46 |
| The PBR1000 |
24,318.98 | +2 | +11 | +21 |
Table 5: The PBR1000 Index & Selected Stock Exchanges/Commodities
| Company | Price 09/29/17 |
Mo % Chg |
YTD % Chg |
21 Mos % Chg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The PBR1000 | 83,434.02 | +3.1 | +12.8 | +26.1 |
| DJIA | 22,405.09 | +2.1 | +13.4 | +28.6 |
| NASDAQ | 6,495.96 | +1.1 | +20.7 | +29.7 |
| S&P500 | 2,519.36 | +1.9 | +12.5 | +23.3 |
| GOLD | 1,282.50 | -3.3 | +11.4 | +21.0 |
| SILVER | 16.69 | -5.4 | +4.4 | +20.9 |
| OIL | 51.64 | +9.7 | -3.9 | +39.4 |
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(Image courtesy of FreeDigitalPhotos.net, Sira Anamwong.)
