The Week 20 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

May 21, 2022 by

Stock Market Bull Bear Stocks Investing Investor ThePBR1000 ThePBR25

The Stock Market Bear in Week 20 of 2022 gets his seventh week in a row of outright 3-0 victories, despite another failed attempt by The Stock Market Bull.

By Larry C. Paxton

The US Stock Market Week 20 Summary:

Monday of Week 20 was a 2-1 mixed result day for The Stock Market Bear, with the NASDAQ continuing its downward spiral, while the other exchanges had a moderate trend up or down. But Tuesday was all about The Stock Market Bull as he assertively made his presence well known and finished the day as King of the Hill with an outright 3-0 win and a significant lead for the week. Then Wednesday happened. The Stock Market Bear counterpunched aggressively, taking the DJIA to a nearly 1,200 point and over 3.50% loss in value, one of its worst days in history. The attack continued into Thursday, not as dramatic, but nevertheless another 3-0 result for The Stock Market Bear. On Friday The Stock Market Bear had another good start and decided to celebrate early by taking a Happy Hour break with his buddies. The Stock Market Bull took advantage, and had a mild 2-1 mixed result, not nearly enough to overcome The Stock Market Bear, who took the 3-0 Week 20 large margin victory, his seventh outright 3-0 week in a row in 2022. What happens next? Will The Stock Market Bull start his comeback or is The Stock Market Bear strong enough to continue his assault on Wall Street?

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Influences/News:

  • Russia‘s continued attack on the key Ukraine port city of Mariupol, which started on March 2, comes to an end as the Ukraine defenders holed up in the sprawling bunkers complex of the Azovstal steel plant, built to withstand a nuclear war, are told by their commanders that their mission has been completed. The nearly 2,500 fighters have apparently been taken to Russian controlled territories and their fate is not certain. Russian military attempts to take Kharkiv, the second largest city in Ukraine, have been countered by Ukraine forces who have pushed them back nearly to the Russian border. Russian troops are digging in and continue to be threat to the area. Russia continues to attack the Donbas region in eastern Ukraine.
  • In response to Russia’s attack on Ukraine previously neutral countries Finland and Sweden apply to become members of the NATO defense alliance, made up of 40 countries. Admission requires consensus agreement from all 40 nations. Only Turkey’s President Erdogan has indicated he will vote “no” because of Finland and Sweden’s support for Kurdish units that Turkey considers to be terrorist organizations.
  • The US Senate passes a bill to provide an additional $40 billion in aid to Ukraine, which President Biden is expected to sign. The G7 countries are providing $19.8 billion in aid to Ukraine as well.
  • N Korea says it now has cases of COVID, and it appears to be spreading rapidly throughout the population.
  • China continues to press its Zero-COVID program with lockdowns in Shanghai, Beijing, and Hong Kong, but cases continue to increase.
  • The US passes 1 million deaths from COVID as new cases continue to increase, particularly in the northeastern part of the US.
  • US President Biden invokes the Defense Production Act to increase baby formula manufacturing as shortages continue to mount because of plant shutdowns related to COVID and recent deaths of some infants from tainted supplies. The US House in a partisan vote and the US Senate by a voice vote passes a $28 million bill to provide the FDA with resources to combat the baby formula shortage.
  • Concerns continue about inflation, recession, and stagflation as more recent economic data is released. Quarterly corporate reports show that higher materials and labor costs are eroding profits and that supply chain issues remain.
  • US President Biden starts his trip to visit Asian countries with discussions on global issues and technology on the agenda.
  • A US federal judge rules that the Title 42 public health order issued by the Trump administration during the COVID crisis, can continue at the border. It allows the Border Patrol to turn back immigrants entering the US illegally. The judge says the CDC‘s termination order, scheduled for Monday, May 23, did not meet all regulatory requirements. The US Dept of Justice plans to appeal.

US Economic News:

  • The Federal Reserve Bank of New York says the May 2022 Empire State Manufacturing Survey Index is at -11.6, April was at +24.6, March -11.8, December 2021 +31.9, December 2020 +4.9, December 2019 +3.3. “Looking ahead, optimism about the six-month outlook remained subdued.”
  • The National Assn of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Preliminary May 2022 Housing Market Index is at 69, April was at 77, March 79, December 2021 84, December 2020 86, December 2019 76. “Building material costs are up 19% from a year ago, in less than three months mortgage rates have surged to a 12-year high and based on current affordability conditions, less than 50% of new and existing home sales are affordable for a typical family. Entry-level and first-time home buyers are especially bearing the brunt of this rapid rise in mortgage rates.”
  • The Federal Reserve says the Preliminary April 2022 Total Manufacturing % of Capacity is at 79.0%, March was at 78.2%, February 77.6%, December 2021 76.4%, December 2020 74.1%, December 2019 77.2%.
  • The Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary March 2022 Sales-Manufacturers is at $556.4 billion, Retailers $589.6 billion, Merchant Wholesalers $686.2, making March 2022 Sales Total at $1,832.1 billion, February was at $1,800.4 billion, January $1,787.4 billion, December 2021 $1,721.9 billion, December 2020 $1,481.9 billion, December 2019 $1,458.0 billion.
  • The Dept of Commerce/Census says the Advance April 2022 Retail Sales-Retailers is at $594.0 billion, Food Services & Drinking Places $83.7 billion, making April 2022 Retail Sales Total at $677.7 billion, March was at $671.6 billion, February $662.3 billion, December 2021 $625.5 billion, December 2020 $536.6 billion, December 2019 $526.4 billion.
  • The Dept of Commerce/HUD says the Preliminary April 2022 New Residential Building Permits Issued Annual Rate-Single Family is at 1,110,000, 2-4 Units 53,000, 5 or more Units 656,000, making April 2022 New Residential Building Permits Issued Annual Rate Total at 1,819,000, March was at 1,879,000, February 1,857,000, April 2021 1,765,000, April 2020 1,094,000, April 2019 1,330,000.
  • The Natl Assn of Realtors says the Preliminary April 2022 Existing Homes Sales Annual Rate is at 5,610,000, March was at 5,750,000, February 5,930,000, April 2021 5,960,000, April 2020 4,370,000, April 2019 5,230,000; the April 2022 Median Home Price is at $391,700, March was at 375,300, April 2021 $340,700, April 2020 $286,600, April 2019 $267,000.
  • The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia says the May 2022 US 3rd District General Activity Indicator is at +2.6, April was at +17.6, March +27.4, May 2021 +31.5, May 2020 -32.9, May 2019 +25.2. “… The survey’s future indexes remained positive but reflect muted optimism for growth over the next six months.”
  • The Conference Board says the Preliminary April 2022 Leading Economic Index(2016=100) is at 119.2, March was at 119.5, February 119.4, October 2021 118.3. “… A range of downside risks—including inflation, rising interest rates, supply chain disruptions, and pandemic-related shutdowns, particularly in China—continue to weigh on the outlook. Nevertheless, we project the US economy should resume expanding in Q2 following Q1’s contraction in real GDP. Despite downgrades to previous forecasts, The Conference Board still projects 2.3 percent year-over-year US GDP growth in 2022.”

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The Week 19 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

May 13, 2022 by

The Week 19 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Stocks Investing Investor ThePBR1000 ThePBR25

At the start of Week 19 of 2022 The Stock Market Bear made sure everyone knew he meant business, gets his 6th straight outright weekly victory.

By Larry C. Paxton

The US Stock Market Week 19 Summary:

The Stock Market Bear came out strong from start to end on Monday of Week 19. The daily battle continued on Tuesday with a slight mixed 2-1 edge for The Stock Market Bull as he announced that he still had some life left in him. Wednesday belonged to The Stock Market Bear as he took a bite out of each of the US major stock indices. The Thursday battle was similar to Tuesday but with The Stock Market Bear getting the slight mixed 2-1 result by slim margins. The Stock Market Bull pulled out a strong Friday to end the week, balancing out the losses from Wednesday, but not even close to also overtaking Monday’s significant losses. Week 19 belongs to The Stock Market Bear who notches his 6th straight weekly 3-0 outright win and increases his lead year-to-date.

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 19  of 2022 Ending 05/13/22
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Previous Quarter Close(03/31/22) 34,678.35 14,220.52 4,530.41
Previous Month Close(04/29/22) 32,977.21 12,334.64 4,131.93
Record Close Date 01/04/22 11/19/21 01/03/22
Record Close 36,799.65 16,057.44 4,796.56
Week 18-Friday & Close(05/06/22) 32,899.37 12,144.66 4,123.34
Week 19-Monday(05/09/22) 32,245.70 11,623.25 3,991.24
    Day Change (653.67) (521.41) (132.10)
    Day % Change -1.99% -4.29% -3.20%
Week 19-Tuesday(05/10/22) 32,160.74 11,737.67 4,001.05
    Day Change (84.96) 114.42 9.81
    Day % Change -0.26% 0.98% 0.25%
Week 19-Wednesday(05/11/22) 31,834.11 11,364.24 3,935.18
    Day Change (326.63) (373.43) (65.87)
    Day % Change -1.02% -3.18% -1.65%
Week 19-Thursday(05/12/22) 31,730.30 11,370.96 3,930.08
    Day Change (103.81) 6.72 (5.10)
    Day % Change -0.33% 0.06% -0.13%
Week 19-Friday & Close(05/13/22) 32,196.66 11,805.00 4,023.89
    Day Change 466.36 434.04 93.81
    Day % Change 1.47% 3.82% 2.39%
Change-Week (702.71) (339.66) (99.45)
% Change-Week -2.14% -2.80% -2.41%
Change-Month-to-Date (780.55) (529.64) (108.04)
% Change-Month-to-Date -2.37% -4.29% -2.61%
Change-Quarter-to-Date (2,481.69) (2,415.52) (506.52)
% Change-Quarter-to-Date -7.16% -16.99% -11.18%
Change-Year-to-Date (4,141.64) (3,839.97) (742.29)
% Change-Year-to-Date -11.40% -24.54% -15.57%
Change-Record (4,602.99) (4,252.44) (772.67)
% Change-Record -12.51% -26.48% -16.11%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies 2022 YTD
Week 19 Winner and Tally  Bear 3-0 Win
April Winner and Tally Bear 3-0 Win
Weeks Months 2022 YTD
The Stock Market Bull 4 1
The Stock Market Bear 13 3 Winning
Mixed Result 2 0
  Totals 19 4

Influences/News:

  • Russia‘s artillery units continue to destroy Ukrainian towns. Ukraine countermeasures also appear to be doing well as they recapture some lost areas in the north. Last Sunday the G7 group of democracies express unanimous support of Ukraine, pledge to cut Russia oil imports and adds more restrictions and sanctions against Russia and many of its oligarchs. Russia’s annual “Victory Day” celebration of its defeat of Nazi Germany at the end of World War II was also supposed to be a celebration of its conquest of Ukraine, but falls far short. US President Biden signs the “Ukraine Democracy Defense Lend-Lease Act of 2022” that allows the US to provide military equipment, encourages the US Congress to approve an additional $40 billion Ukraine aid package.  The US House passes the bill with strong bipartisan support, but it is delayed in the US Senate because Senator Paul Rand wants additional language in the bill to provide oversight. Passage with bipartisan support is expected next week. Because of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine the bordering countries of Finland and Sweden are pursuing joining NATO, which requires a consensus among the 30 member countries. However, Turkey’s President Erdogan has indicated he might possibly veto the request because of Sweden and Finland’s support of the Kurds which Turkey regards as a terrorist organization.
  • S Korea installs Yoon Suk-yeol as its 20th President, a 5 year single term position.
  • Staunch China supporter and ex-security chief John Lee is elected Chief Executive of Hong Kong in a closed election with only one candidate.
  • Highly regarded Palestinian-American Shireen Abu Akleh, a longtime journalist for Al Jazeera, is killed during a skirmish between Palestinians and Israeli military forces during a raid in the West Bank city of Jenin. Israel is blamed for the killing, but Israel says she was killed by Palestinian fire. The autopsy by Palestinians is closed. Additional deaths occur during some violence during her funeral procession.
  • In COVID-19 news China continues to enforce lockdowns in Shanghai during the current COVID-19 outbreak. N Korea records for the first time some deaths and the rapid spread of a COVID-19 outbreak. US President Biden urges the world to renew its fight against COVID-19 as the US nears one million deaths from the virus.
  • US President Biden’s administration unveils actions to address the baby formula shortage.
  • The US Senate confirms Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell for a second term.
  • Last Saturday 80-1 longshot Rich Strike comes from behind to win the 148th running of the Kentucky Derby horse race, the first leg of the Triple Crown. However, his owners have decided to skip the Preakness, the second leg of the Triple Crown, to rest him and prepare him for the Belmont Stakes, the third leg of The Triple Crown.

US Economic News:

  • The FannieMae April 2022 US Home Purchase Sentiment Index is at 68.5, March was at 73.2, February 75.3, April 2021 79.0, April 2020 63.0, April 2019 88.3. “In April, the HPSI fell to its lowest level since the first few months of the pandemic, as consumers continue to report difficult homebuying conditions amid the budget-tightening constraints of inflation, higher mortgage rates, and high home price appreciation…”
  • The Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary March 2022 US Wholesale Sales-Durables is at $321.5 billion, Non-Durables $364.7 billion, making March 2022 US Wholesale Sales Total at $686.2 billion, February was at $674.9 billion, January $664.7 billion, March 2021 $561.8 billion, March 2020 $477.4 billion, March 2019 $500.9 billion.
  • The CoreLogic February 2022 US Home Mortgages 30 Or More Days Delinquent is at 3.2%, January was at 3.3%, December 2021 3.4%, February 2021 5.7%, February 2020 3.6%. “This remains the lowest recorded overall delinquency rate in the U.S. since at least January 1999.”
  • The Dept of Labor says the Preliminary April 2022 Current Average Earnings/Hour is at $31.85, Average Hours Worked/Week 34.6, making April 2022 Current Average Earnings/Week at $1,102.01, March was at $1,098.55, February $1,096.02, April 2021 $1,053.98, April 2020 $1,028.39.
  • The Dept of Labor says the Preliminary April 2022 US Consumer Price Index-Urban is at +0.3%, April 2022 Last 12 Months(Unadjusted) is at +8.3%, March was at +8.5%, February +7.9%, April 2021 +4.2%, April 2020 +0.3%, April 2019 +2.0%.
  • The Dept of the Treasury says the April 2022 Federal Government Receipts is at $863.6 billion, Outlays $555.4 billion, making the April 2022 Surplus at a monthly record $308.2 billion, March Deficit was at $192.6 billion, February Deficit $216.6 billion, April 2021 Deficit $225.6 billion, April 2020 Deficit $738.0 billion, April 2019 Surplus $160.3 billion; the April 2022 YTD Deficit(7 Months) is at $360.0 billion, April 2021 YTD Deficit was at $1,931.8 billion, April 2020 YTD Deficit $1,481.5 billion, April 2019 YTD Deficit $530.9 billion.
  • The Dept of Labor says the Preliminary April 2022 US Producer Price Index Change in Monthly Final Demand is at +0.5%, March was at +1.6%, February +1.1%, April 2021 +1.0%, April 2020 -1.1%, April 2019 +0.4%; the April 2022 Last 12 Months Change is at +11.0%, March was at +11.5%, February +10.4%, April 2021 +6.5%, April 2020 -1.5%, April 2019 +2.4%.
  • The Dept of Labor says the Preliminary April 2022 US Change in Import Prices is +0.0%, March was at +2.9%, February +1.8%, April 2021 +0.9%, April 2020 -2.6%, April 2019 +0.2%, the April 2022 Imports Last 12 Months Change is at +12.0%, April 2021 was at +10.6%, April 2020 -6.8%, April 2019 -0.2%; the Preliminary April 2022 US Change in Export Prices is +0.6%, March was at +4.1%, February +3.2%, April 2021 +1.2%, April 2020 -3.5%, April 2019 +0.1%, the April 2022 Exports Last 12 Months Change is at +18.0%, April 2021 was at +14.4%, April 2020 -7.0%, April 2019 +0.3%.
  • The U of Michigan Preliminary May 2022 US Consumer Sentiment Index is at 59.1, April finished at 65.2, March 59.4, April 2021 88.3, April 2020 71.8, April 2019 97.2. “… Consumers’ assessment of their current financial situation relative to a year ago is at its lowest reading since 2013, with 36% of consumers attributing their negative assessment to inflation…”

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Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

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The Week 18 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

May 6, 2022 by

The Week 18 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Stocks Investing Investor ThePBR1000 ThePBR25

Week 18: For the third week in a row The Stock Market Bull has the lead on Thursday, then The Stock Market Bear crushes him on Friday to get the win.

By Larry C. Paxton

The US Stock Market Week 18 Summary:

In Week 18 The Stock Market Bull, anxious to get back into the win column, had a very nice Monday, followed by an okay Tuesday. On Wednesday, after the press conference with Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, investors had a collective sigh of relief and The Stock Market Bull took a huge leap up. But Thursday it became a little bit like buyer’s remorse. The Stock Market Bear charged into the pasture and almost wiped out all of the weekly gains. Like a matador, on Friday all The Stock Market Bear had to do was put his big paw on The Stock Market Bull‘s nose and sure enough, he toppled over bloodied, exhausted, and near death. For the third week in a row The Stock Market Bear comes from behind on Friday to take the week. With his Week 18 win The Stock Market Bear also becomes a five weeks in a row outright victor. Can The Stock Market Bull be revived?

 

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 18  of 2022 Ending 05/06/22
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Previous Quarter Close(03/31/22) 34,678.35 14,220.52 4,530.41
Previous Month Close(04/29/22) 32,977.21 12,334.64 4,131.93
Record Close Date 01/04/22 11/19/21 01/03/22
Record Close 36,799.65 16,057.44 4,796.56
Week 17-Friday & Close(04/29/22) 32,977.21 12,334.64 4,131.93
Week 18-Monday(05/02/22) 33,061.50 12,536.02 4,155.38
    Day Change 84.29 201.38 23.45
    Day % Change 0.26% 1.63% 0.57%
Week 18-Tuesday(05/03/22) 33,128.79 12,563.76 4,175.48
    Day Change 67.29 27.74 20.10
    Day % Change 0.20% 0.22% 0.48%
Week 18-Wednesday(05/04/22) 34,061.06 12,964.86 4,300.17
    Day Change 932.27 401.10 124.69
    Day % Change 2.81% 3.19% 2.99%
Week 18-Thursday(05/05/22) 32,997.97 12,317.69 4,146.87
    Day Change (1,063.09) (647.17) (153.30)
    Day % Change -3.12% -4.99% -3.56%
Week 18-Friday & Close(05/06/22) 32,899.37 12,144.66 4,123.34
    Day Change (98.60) (173.03) (23.53)
    Day % Change -0.30% -1.40% -0.57%
Change-Week (77.84) (189.98) (8.59)
% Change-Week -0.24% -1.54% -0.21%
Change-Month-to-Date (77.84) (189.98) (8.59)
% Change-Month-to-Date -0.24% -1.54% -0.21%
Change-Quarter-to-Date (1,778.98) (2,075.86) (407.07)
% Change-Quarter-to-Date -5.13% -14.60% -8.99%
Change-Year-to-Date (3,438.93) (3,500.31) (642.84)
% Change-Year-to-Date -9.46% -22.37% -13.49%
Change-Record (3,900.28) (3,912.78) (673.22)
% Change-Record -10.60% -24.37% -14.04%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies 2022 YTD
Week 18 Winner and Tally  Bear 3-0 Win
April Winner and Tally Bear 3-0 Win
Weeks Months 2022 YTD
The Stock Market Bull 4 1
The Stock Market Bear 12 3 Winning
Mixed Result 2 0
  Totals 18 4

Influences/News:

  • The main news item for the week was the result of the US Federal Open Market Committee’s decision on Wednesday to hike the short term federal funds interest rate by 0.50% making the rate now at 0.75% to 1.00%. It also announced plans to phase in a selloff of its $9 trillion bonds stockpile starting in June 2022. It was also announced that they do not intend to do a 0.75% increase in an effort to control inflation. Finally, they indicated that they believe they can use their tools to have a soft economic landing and avoid a dreaded recession.
  • Russia continues to pound away at the eastern part of Ukraine, making slow progress.  Ukraine claims that they have retaken some of the eastern areas. The United Nations and humanitarian relief agencies were able to get an agreement to evacuate several civilian survivors  from the strategic port city of Mariupol who were holed up in the expansive Azovstal steel plant. Ukraine defenders refuse to surrender and vow to fight to the death as the over 2 months attack continues. The European Union is proposing a ban on Russian crude oil imports to be effective within 6 months. Poland raises $6.5 billion in humanitarian aid by hosting an international donor conference. US President Biden announces an additional $150 million in additional aid for a security package. The Ukrainian cabinet is putting together a postwar rebuilding plan as its president Zelenskyy appeals to Western allies to propose a post World War II type Marshall Plan.
  • N Korea launches another ballistic missile test, again creating concern about its ability to deliver nuclear weapons.
  • A rare leak of a US Supreme Court draft of a majority opinion that supports the overturn of the controversial Roe vs Wade abortion decision of 1972 results in rallies across the country by abortion-rights supporters. Chief Justice John Roberts orders an investigation and says the leak will not have an affect on the work of the Supreme Court. US Senate Democrats plan to force a procedural vote on a bill to codify abortion protections. A final bill is not expected to pass because it would require at least 60 votes, which is unlikely, and would also be subject to a Republican filibuster.
  • US 1Q22 corporate earnings of public companies continue to be released, results are mixed.

US Economic News:

  • The Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary March 2022 Construction Spending-Residential is at $891.3 billion, Non-Residential $839.2 billion, for March 2022 Total Construction Spending at $1,730.5 billion, +0.1% from February 2022, +11.8% from March 2021.
  • The Institute for Supply Management(ISM) Preliminary April 2022 Manufacturing PMI Index is at 55.4%, March was at 57.1%, February 58.6%, April 2021 60.7%. “Panel sentiment remained strongly optimistic regarding demand, though the three positive growth comments for every cautious comment was down from March’s ratio of 6-to-1, Panelists continue to note supply chain and pricing issues as their biggest concerns.”
  • The S&P Global April 2022 US Manufacturing PMI Index is at 59.2, March was at 58.8, February 57.3, April 2021 60.5. “… while the survey data add to indications that the pace of economic growth will improve in the second quarter after a lacklustre first quarter, the less welcome news is that elevated inflationary pressures show no signs of relenting.”
  • The Dept of Labor says the Preliminary March 2022 US Job Openings-Private is at 10,504,000, Government 1,044,000, making March 2022 US Job Openings Total at 11,548,000, the highest level in the history of the series which began in December 2000,
    February was at 11,344,000, January 11,283,000, March 2021 8,480,000, March 2020 5,769,000.
  • The Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary March 2022 Manufacturers New Orders-Durables is at $275.8 billion, Non-Durables $281.5, making March 2022 Manufacturers New Orders Total at $557.3 billion, February was at $545.5 billion, January $544.7, March 2021 $488.1 billion, March 2020 $402.7 billion.
  • The PurdueU/CME Group April 2022 Ag Economy Barometer Composite Index is at 121, March was at 113, February 125, April 2021 178, April 2020 96. “… despite this month’s improvement in sentiment, the index was still 32% lower than a year earlier indicating producers remain troubled regarding the uncertainty surrounding input prices and availability… Furthermore, it appears the war in Ukraine has exacerbated concerns among producers about input price levels and made availability even more uncertain.”
  • ADP says the Preliminary April 2022 Change in US Employment(Private Sector)-Small Sized Companies(1-49 employees) is at -120,000, Medium(50-499) +46,000, Large(500 or more) +321,000, for a Net Change of +247,000; the Goods Producing Sector is +46,000, Services Sector +202,000. “While hiring demand remains strong, labor supply shortages caused job gains to soften for both goods producers and services providers. As the labor market tightens, small companies, with fewer than 50 employees, struggle with competition for wages amid increased costs.”
  • The Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary March 2022 US Exports-Goods is at $170.7 billion, Services $71.1 billion, making March 202s US Exports Total at $241.8 billion; the Preliminary March 2022 US Imports-Goods is at $298.8 billion, Services $52.7 billion, making March 2022 US Imports Total at $351.5 billion, making the March 2022 US International Trade Deficit at $109.7 billion, making the March 2022 YTD Deficit(3 months) at $288.7 billion, March 2021 was at $204.2 billion, March 2020 $134.3 billion.
  • The Institute for Supply Management April 2022 US Services PMI Index(>50% economy growing) is at 57.1%, March was at 58.3%, February 56.5%, April 2021 62.7%, April 2020 41.8%. “… Growth continues for the services sector, which has expanded for all but two of the last 147 months. There was a pullback in the composite index, mostly due to the restricted labor pool (impacting the Employment Index) and the slowing of new orders growth…”
  • The S&P Global April 2022 US Composite PMI Output Index is at 56.0, March was at 57.7, February 55.9, April 2021 63.5, April 2020 27.0. “… Enjoying strong demand, firms were increasingly able to pass on higher energy, materials and staff costs to customers, indicating an economy that continues to run hot.”
  • The Federal Open Market Committee releases a statement and has a press conference following its meeting of 05/03-04/22, increases the federal funds short term interest rates by 0.50% to 0.75% to 1.00%, plans to phase in a selloff of its $9 trillion bonds stockpile starting in June 2022.
  • The Dept of Labor says the Preliminary 1Q22 US Business Sector Labor Productivity Output/Hr Annual Rate(Table 1) is at -7.7%, 4Q21 was at +6.3%, 3Q21 -3.7%, 2Q21 +3.4%, 1Q21 +2.1%, 1Q20 -1.8%.
  • The Dept of Labor says the April 2022 US Available Labor Force is at 164,046,000, Employed is at 158,105,000, Unemployed 5,941,000, for an April 2022 Unemployment Rate of 3.6%, March was at 3.6%, February 3.8%, April 2021 6.1%, April 2020 14.7%, April 2019 3.6%.
  • The Federal Reserve says Preliminary 1Q22 Consumer Credit Outstanding-Revolving is at $1.098 trillion, Non-Revolving $3.442 trillion, making 1Q22 Consumer Credit Outstanding Total at $4.539 trillion, 4Q21 was at $4.432 trillion, 3Q21 $4.356 trillion, 1Q21 $4.229 trillion, 1Q20 $4.204 trillion, 1Q19 $4.044 trillion.

 

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The Week 17 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

April 29, 2022 by

The Week 17 and Month of April 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Stocks Investing Investor ThePBR1000 ThePBR25

The Stock Market Bull was leading Week 17 of 2022 at the end of Thursday, but The Stock Market Bear wanted his 4 week win streak more.

By Larry C. Paxton

The US Stock Market Week 17 and April Summary:

The Stock Market Bear started off Week 17 of 2022 the same way he ended Week 16, by starting to inflict more pain on the major US stock indices. But The Stock Market Bull, filled with new energy, charged into the pasture towards the end of the day, the indices did a U turn, and The Stock Market Bull won Monday going away. The Stock Market Bear retaliated on Tuesday, and spilled a lot of blood to take the day. On Wednesday The Stock Market Bull managed to mostly neutralize The Stock Market Bear and took a slim 2-1 mixed win for the day. Encouraged, The Stock Market Bull returned on Thursday in a big way and closed with a lead for the week in all three major US stock indices. But on Friday The Stock Market Bear returned and angrily took no prisoners to get the Week 17 victory, his first string of 4 weekly wins in 2022, and all in March. The Stock Market Bear also easily gets the April 2022 victory in a dominant way after having lost March. Now we start a new month and wonder if The Stock Market Bull or Bear become enamored with and distracted by the May flowers.

 

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 17 and Month of April 2022 Ending 04/29/22
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Previous Quarter Close(03/31/22) 34,678.35 14,220.52 4,530.41
Previous Month Close(03/31/22) 34,678.35 14,220.52 4,530.41
Record Close Date 01/04/22 11/19/21 01/03/22
Record Close 36,799.65 16,057.44 4,796.56
Week 16-Friday & Close(04/22/22) 33,811.40 12,839.29 4,271.78
Week 17-Monday(04/25/22) 34,049.46 13,004.85 4,296.12
    Day Change 238.06 165.56 24.34
    Day % Change 0.70% 1.29% 0.57%
Week 17-Tuesday(04/26/22) 33,240.18 12,490.74 4,175.20
    Day Change (809.28) (514.11) (120.92)
    Day % Change -2.38% -3.95% -2.81%
Week 17-Wednesday(04/27/22) 33,301.93 12,488.93 4,183.96
    Day Change 61.75 (1.81) 8.76
    Day % Change 0.19% -0.01% 0.21%
Week 17-Thursday(04/28/22) 33,916.39 12,871.53 4,287.50
    Day Change 614.46 382.60 103.54
    Day % Change 1.85% 3.06% 2.47%
Week 17-Friday & Close(04/29/22) 32,977.21 12,334.64 4,131.93
    Day Change (939.18) (536.89) (155.57)
    Day % Change -2.77% -4.17% -3.63%
Change-Week (834.19) (504.65) (139.85)
% Change-Week -2.47% -3.93% -3.27%
Change-Month-to-Date (1,701.14) (1,885.88) (398.48)
% Change-Month-to-Date -4.91% -13.26% -8.80%
Change-Quarter-to-Date (1,701.14) (1,885.88) (398.48)
% Change-Quarter-to-Date -4.91% -13.26% -8.80%
Change-Year-to-Date (3,361.09) (3,310.33) (634.25)
% Change-Year-to-Date -9.25% -21.16% -13.31%
Change-Record (3,822.44) (3,722.80) (664.63)
% Change-Record -10.39% -23.18% -13.86%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies 2022 YTD
Week 17 Winner and Tally  Bear 3-0 Win
April Winner and Tally Bear 3-0 Win
Weeks Months 2022 YTD
The Stock Market Bull 4 1
The Stock Market Bear 11 3 Winning
Mixed Result 2 0
  Totals 17 4

Influences/News:

  • Russia increases its attacks in the southeastern part of Ukraine in the Donbas and other areas, but Ukraine resistance is making progress slow with reports of significant casualties on both sides. Russia warns of the possible use of nuclear weapons as other countries start to supply more arms and support to Ukraine, including Poland giving Ukraine 240 Russian made tanks. US President Biden asks Congress to add $33 billion in aid for Ukraine’s defense. Russia launches some rockets into the capital city of Kyiv as the United Nations Secretary-General is visiting.
  • China continues to try to control COVID-19 outbreaks with lockdowns in Shanghai and perhaps soon Beijing as part of its zero-COVID campaign.
  • N Korea’s Supreme Leader Kim Jong-un says it is increasing in nuclear weapons capabilities as a deterrence to Western countries.
  • France’s President Emmanuel Macron of the LREM party wins his re-election bid to serve a 2nd 5 year term, wins over Marine Le Pen of the National Rally party with a 59% to 41% margin.
  • US corporate quarterly earnings reports are mixed.
  • US President Biden says he will be proposing a student loan forgiveness plan in a few weeks.

US Economic News:

  • The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Preliminary March 2022 US National Activity Index came in at +0.44, February was at +0.54, January +0.75, March 2021 +2.31. “Index points to a slight decrease in economic growth in March.”
  • The Dept of Commerce/HUD reported that Preliminary March 2022 New Family Home Sales Annual Rate is at 763,000 units, February was at 835,000, January 845,000, March 2021 873,000; the March 2022 New Home Median Price is at $436,700, February was at $421,600, January $431,100, March 2021 $359,600.
  • The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Preliminary February 2022 US National Home Price Index(01/2000=100) is at 286.68, January was at 281.80, December 2021 278.52, February 2021 239.29, making for a 12 Month Change of +19.80%.
  • The Conference Board Preliminary April 2022 Consumer Confidence Index(1985=100) is at 107.3, March was at 107.6. “… purchasing intentions are down overall from recent levels as interest rates have begun rising. Meanwhile, concerns about inflation retreated from an all-time high in March but remained elevated. Looking ahead, inflation and the war in Ukraine will continue to pose downside risks to confidence and may further curb consumer spending this year.”
  • The Dept of Commerce/Census says the Preliminary 1Q22 Total Housing Units are at 142,711.000, +1,222.000 from 1Q21, Occupancy Rate is at 89.4%, Homeownership Rate 65.4%.
  • TrueCar forecasts April 2022 New Auto Sales-Retail to be 1,088,345 vehicles, Fleet at 159,572, for April 2022 Total New Auto Sales to be 1,247,917, April 2021 was at 1,512,158; April 2022 Average Transaction Price is at $43,755, April 2021 was at $38,163.
  • The Energy Information Administration says April 22, 2022, Crude Oil Stockpiles(Millions of Barrels) was at 414.4, March 25, 2022, was at 409.9, April 23, 2021, was at 493.1.
  • The Dept of Labor says for the Week Ending April 23, 2022, Weekly Initial Jobless Claims were at 180,000, March 26, 2022, was at 202,000, April 24, 2021, 553,000, April 25, 2020, 3,839,000.
  • FreddieMac says on April 28, 2022, 30 Year Fixed Rate Mortgages averaged 5.1% with 0.8 for points & fees, March 31, 2022, was at 4.67%, April 30, 2021, 2.98%, April 30, 2020, 3.23%. “The combination of swift home price growth and the fastest mortgage rate increase in over forty years is finally affecting purchase demand. Homebuyers navigating the current environment are coping in a variety of ways, including switching to adjustable-rate mortgages, moving away from expensive coastal cities, and looking to more affordable suburbs. We expect the decline in demand to soften home price growth to a more sustainable pace later this year.”
  • The Dept of Commerce/BEA says the Preliminary 1Q22 Annual Rate for the Quarter Gross Domestic Product(GDP) is at $24.383 trillion, 4Q21 was at $24.003 trillion, 1Q21 $22.038 trillion.
  • The Dept of Labor says the Preliminary 1Q22 Employment Cost Index for All Civilian Employees(12/2005=100) is at +150.1, 4Q21 was at +148.0, 1Q21 +143.7, 1Q20 +140.0.
  • The Dept of Commerce/BEA says the Preliminary March 2022 Personal Income Annual Rate is at $21.338 trillion, +0.5% from February, -2.4% from March 2021.
  • The American Automobile Assn says on April 29, 2022, the Average Price for a Gallon of Regular Gas is at $4.159, March 31 was at $4.225, February 28 $3.610, April 30, 2021 $2.895, April 30, 2020, $1.772.
  • The Dept of the Treasury says that on April 28, 2022, the US National Debt-Public is at $23.825 trillion, Intragovernmental $6.578 trillion, for US Total National Debt of $30.403, April 30, 2021, was at $28.175 trillion, April 30, 2020, $24.075 trillion.
  • Gold Per Ounce at the close on April 29, 2022, is at $1,911.70, on April 30, 2021, it was at $1,768.80, April 30, 2020, $1,694.20; Wheat Per Bushel closed on April 29, 2022, at 1,055.75 cents, April 30, 2021, it was at 734.75 cents, April 30, 2020, 517.25 cents; Oil Per Barrel closed on April 29, 2022, at $104.69, April 30, 2021, it was at $63.58, April 30, 2020, $18.84.
  • The Dept of the Treasury says at the close on April 29, 2022, the US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield is at 2.89%, April 30, 2021, was at 1.65%, April 30, 2020, 0.64%.
  • The Euro at the close on April 29, 2022, was at $1.0550, on April 30, 2021, it was at $1.2020, April 30, 2020, $1.0953; A Bitcoin at the close on April 29, 2022, was at $38,559, April 30, 2021, it was at $47,110, April 30, 2020, $6,169.
  • The U of Michigan Final April 2022 Consumer Sentiment Index is at 65.2, April 2021 was at 88.3, April 2020 71.8. “… The goal of a soft landing will be more difficult to achieve given the uncertainties that now prevail, raising prospects for a halt, or even a temporary reversal, in the Fed’s interest rate policies…”

 

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Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

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The Week 16 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

April 23, 2022 by

The Week 16 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Stocks Investing Investor ThePBR1000 ThePBR25

The Stock Market Bull had a strong Tuesday in Week 16 of 2022, but The Stock Market Bear dominated the rest of the week, gets another trifecta for the year.

By Larry C. Paxton

The US Stock Market Week 16 Summary:

Week 16 of 2022 started out with The Stock Market Bear taking tepid wins on Monday. The Stock Market Bull saw an opening and had a very impressive win on Tuesday, but was able to sustain that only on the DJIA on Wednesday. The Stock Market Bear started his takeover, winning big on Thursday, and then an overwhelming win on Friday, getting his second trifecta of the year, with investors concerned that he might get his first four week win streak of 2022.

 

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 16 of 2022 Ending 04/22/22
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Previous Quarter Close(03/31/22) 34,678.35 14,220.52 4,530.41
Previous Month Close(03/31/22) 34,678.35 14,220.52 4,530.41
Record Close Date 01/04/22 11/19/21 01/03/22
Record Close 36,799.65 16,057.44 4,796.56
Week 15-Friday & Close(04/15/22) 34,451.23 13,351.08 4,392.59
Week 16-Monday(04/18/22) 34,411.69 13,332.36 4,391.69
    Day Change (39.54) (18.72) (0.90)
    Day % Change -0.11% -0.14% -0.02%
Week 16-Tuesday(04/19/22) 34,911.20 13,619.66 4,462.21
    Day Change 499.51 287.30 70.52
    Day % Change 1.45% 2.15% 1.61%
Week 16-Wednesday(04/20/22) 35,160.79 13,453.07 4,459.45
    Day Change 249.59 (166.59) (2.76)
    Day % Change 0.71% -1.22% -0.06%
Week 16-Thursday(04/21/22) 34,792.76 13,174.65 4,393.66
    Day Change (368.03) (278.42) (65.79)
    Day % Change -1.05% -2.07% -1.48%
Week 16-Friday & Close(04/22/22) 33,811.40 12,839.29 4,271.78
    Day Change (981.36) (335.36) (121.88)
    Day % Change -2.82% -2.55% -2.77%
Change-Week (639.83) (511.79) (120.81)
% Change-Week -1.86% -3.83% -2.75%
Change-Month-to-Date (866.95) (1,381.23) (258.63)
% Change-Month-to-Date -2.50% -9.71% -5.71%
Change-Quarter-to-Date (866.95) (1,381.23) (258.63)
% Change-Quarter-to-Date -2.50% -9.71% -5.71%
Change-Year-to-Date (2,526.90) (2,805.68) (494.40)
% Change-Year-to-Date -6.95% -17.93% -10.37%
Change-Record (2,988.25) (3,218.15) (524.78)
% Change-Record -8.12% -20.04% -10.94%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies 2022 YTD
Week 16 Winner and Tally  Bear 3-0 Win
March Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months 2022 YTD
The Stock Market Bull 4 1
The Stock Market Bear 10 2 Winning
Mixed Result 2 0
  Totals 16 3

Influences/News:

  • Russia‘s attack continues to be the headliner as many of its redeployed force increase attacks in the Southern and Eastern regions of Ukraine. The key port city of Mariupol has been nearly completely destroyed, with a remnant of Ukraine military holed up in the city’s steel works. Russia has indicated that it will not do a final attack but be satisfied with starving them to death. Russian created mass graves are also being seen in the area. US President Biden announces another new $800 million military aid package which includes more artillery and Javelin anti-tank missiles. Other European countries are starting to provide artillery as well. Ukraine resistance continues to be stronger than anticipated, and hope still abounds as its government requests more help.
  • Inflationary fears continue, especially with the Russia/Ukraine war disrupting wheat and corn crops production and distribution. US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has indicated he is open to a +0.50% increase in the federal funds rate that could be implemented at the next meeting scheduled for early May.
  • First quarter corporate earnings reports have been mixed. For example, Netflix saw a significant loss in stock value because its subscriber base was much lower than forecast. In other corporate news there appears to be some momentum for workers at companies such as Amazon, Apple, and Starbucks are looking at unionizing. For the transportation sector the CDC controversially waved its mask mandate leading to major airlines no longer requiring masks on flights. Court challenges have started.

US Economic News:

  • The Dept of Labor says US March 2022 Current Average Earnings Per Hour is at $31.73, Average Hours Worked Per Week is at 34.6, for Average Total Weekly Earnings at $1,097.86, +0.12% from February, +4.6% from March 2021;
  • The Dept of Labor says the March 2022 US Consumer Price Index, a measure of inflation, is +1.2% from February, +8.5% from March 2021, “… the largest 12-month increase since the period ending December 1981.”;
  • CoreLogic says the January 2022 US Percent of Housing Mortgages 30 or More Days Delinquent is at 3.3%, January 2021 was at 5.6%;
  • The Dept of the Treasury says the March 2022 US Federal Government Receipts were at $315.2 billion, Outlays $507.9 billion, for a Deficit of $192.7 billion, YTD Deficit(6 months) is at $668.3 billion, March 2021 YTD Deficit was at $1,706.3 billion;
  • The Dept of Labor says the Preliminary March 2022 Producer Price Index Monthly Change is at +1.4%, February was at +0.9%, January +1.2%, Last 12 Months +11.2%;
  • The Dept of Labor reported that Preliminary March 2022 Import Prices were +2.6% from February, +12.5% over the past 12 months, Export Prices were +4.5% from February, +18.8% over the past 12 months;
  • The Dept of Commerce says Preliminary February 2022 Manufacturers, Retailers, and Wholesale Trade Sales are at $1.805 trillion, +1.0% from January, +18.8% from February 2021;
  • The Dept of Commerce says Advanced March 2022 Retailer Sales are at $665.7 billion, +0.5% from February, +6.9% from March 2021.
  • The U of Michigan Preliminary April 2022 Consumer Sentiment Index is at 65.7, March was at 59.5, April 2021 88.3. “There are still significant sources of economic uncertainty that could easily reverse the April gains, including the impact on the domestic economy from Putin’s war, and the potential impact of new covid variants.”
  • The Federal Reserve’s G17 Preliminary March 2022 Industrial Production Index is at 104.6, +0.9% from February, +5.5% from March 2021; % of Manufacturing Capacity is at 78.3%, +0.7% from March 2021.

 

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Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

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The Week 15 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

April 18, 2022 by

The Week 15 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Stocks Investing Investor ThePBR1000 ThePBR25

The Stock Market Bear takes 3 of the 4 days to get the shortened Week 15 win.

By Larry C. Paxton

The US Stock Market Week 15 Summary:

On Monday of Week 15 of 2022 The Stock Market Bear set the tone by attacking all three US major stock indices, taking no prisoners. Tuesday was a repeat, but on a smaller scale. On Wednesday it was The Stock Market Bull who asserted himself, making up a lot of the lost ground and trying to regain the momentum. But on Thursday The Stock Market Bear quelched that by nearly matched those numbers. Friday the US stock exchanges were closed in observance of Good Friday. On Sunday Christians joyfully celebrate Jesus Christ overcoming death. Investors are wondering when The Stock Market Bull will overcome the mounting losses for the year and regain his winning ways.

 

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 15 of 2022 Ending 04/15/22
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Previous Quarter Close(03/31/22) 34,678.35 14,220.52 4,530.41
Previous Month Close(03/31/22) 34,678.35 14,220.52 4,530.41
Record Close Date 01/04/22 11/19/21 01/03/22
Record Close 36,799.65 16,057.44 4,796.56
Week 14-Friday & Close(04/08/22) 34,721.12 13,711.00 4,488.28
Week 15-Monday(04/11/22) 34,308.08 13,411.96 4,412.53
    Day Change (413.04) (299.04) (75.75)
    Day % Change -1.19% -2.18% -1.69%
Week 15-Tuesday(04/12/22) 34,220.36 13,371.57 4,397.45
    Day Change (87.72) (40.39) (15.08)
    Day % Change -0.26% -0.30% -0.34%
Week 15-Wednesday(04/13/22) 34,564.59 13,643.59 4,446.59
    Day Change 344.23 272.02 49.14
    Day % Change 1.01% 2.03% 1.12%
Week 15-Thursday(04/14/22) 34,451.23 13,351.08 4,392.59
    Day Change (113.36) (292.51) (54.00)
    Day % Change -0.33% -2.14% -1.21%
Week 15-Friday & Close(04/15/22) 34,451.23 13,351.08 4,392.59
    Day Change 0.00 0.00 0.00
    Day % Change 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Change-Week (269.89) (359.92) (95.69)
% Change-Week -0.78% -2.63% -2.13%
Change-Month-to-Date (227.12) (869.44) (137.82)
% Change-Month-to-Date -0.65% -6.11% -3.04%
Change-Quarter-to-Date (227.12) (869.44) (137.82)
% Change-Quarter-to-Date -0.65% -6.11% -3.04%
Change-Year-to-Date (1,887.07) (2,293.89) (373.59)
% Change-Year-to-Date -5.19% -14.66% -7.84%
Change-Record (2,348.42) (2,706.36) (403.97)
% Change-Record -6.38% -16.85% -8.42%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies 2022 YTD
Week 15 Winner and Tally  Bear 3-0 Win
March Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months 2022 YTD
The Stock Market Bull 4 1
The Stock Market Bear 9 2 Winning
Mixed Result 2 0
  Totals 15 3

Influences/News:

  • Russian troops continue their redeployment of forces from Kyiv to join its units in the Southern and Eastern parts of Ukraine. The key Southeastern port city of Mariupol continues to be bombarded but still has refuses to surrender to the Russian forces, which has said it plans to eliminate all resistance. US President Biden authorizes an additional $800 million for Ukraine to purchase artillery and helicopters.
  • Quarterly US corporate earnings start to be reported, initially with mixed results.
  • Some Federal Reserve leaders express their concerns about inflation, some pushing for a more aggressive +0.50% increase in the federal funds rate at their next meeting in early May.
  • Bond yields take a dip in a shortened week as Christians observe Holy Week and Jews celebrate Passover.
  • More COVID-19 variants are starting to show up, spread rapidly, but have milder illness effects.
  • Several Republican dominated states continue to pass legislation restricting abortion procedures, setting up legal processes that will lead to the US Supreme Court.

US Economic News:

  • The Dept of Labor says US March 2022 Current Average Earnings Per Hour is at $31.73, Average Hours Worked Per Week is at 34.6, for Average Total Weekly Earnings at $1,097.86, +0.12% from February, +4.6% from March 2021;
  • The Dept of Labor says the March 2022 US Consumer Price Index, a measure of inflation, is +1.2% from February, +8.5% from March 2021, “… the largest 12-month increase since the period ending December 1981.”;
  • CoreLogic says the January 2022 US Percent of Housing Mortgages 30 or More Days Delinquent is at 3.3%, January 2021 was at 5.6%;
  • The Dept of the Treasury says the March 2022 US Federal Government Receipts were at $315.2 billion, Outlays $507.9 billion, for a Deficit of $192.7 billion, YTD Deficit(6 months) is at $668.3 billion, March 2021 YTD Deficit was at $1,706.3 billion;
  • The Dept of Labor says the Preliminary March 2022 Producer Price Index Monthly Change is at +1.4%, February was at +0.9%, January +1.2%, Last 12 Months +11.2%;
  • The Dept of Labor reported that Preliminary March 2022 Import Prices were +2.6% from February, +12.5% over the past 12 months, Export Prices were +4.5% from February, +18.8% over the past 12 months;
  • The Dept of Commerce says Preliminary February 2022 Manufacturers, Retailers, and Wholesale Trade Sales are at $1.805 trillion, +1.0% from January, +18.8% from February 2021;
  • The Dept of Commerce says Advanced March 2022 Retailer Sales are at $665.7 billion, +0.5% from February, +6.9% from March 2021.
  • The U of Michigan Preliminary April 2022 Consumer Sentiment Index is at 65.7, March was at 59.5, April 2021 88.3. “There are still significant sources of economic uncertainty that could easily reverse the April gains, including the impact on the domestic economy from Putin’s war, and the potential impact of new covid variants.”
  • The Federal Reserve’s G17 Preliminary March 2022 Industrial Production Index is at 104.6, +0.9% from February, +5.5% from March 2021; % of Manufacturing Capacity is at 78.3%, +0.7% from March 2021.

 

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The Week 14 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

April 8, 2022 by

The Week 14 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Stocks Investing Investor ThePBR1000 ThePBR25

Week 14 was another back and forth slugfest. After 3 weeks of losses The Stock Market Bear prevails with an outright 3-0 win.

By Larry C. Paxton

The US Stock Market Week 14 Summary:

The Stock Market Bull continued where left he off on Friday of Week 13 by taking Monday of Week 14. But The Stock Market Bear returned with a vengeance on Tuesday and Wednesday, taking an especially big bite out of the NASDAQ. The Stock Market Bull returned to the pasture on Thursday, didn’t really come close to closing the weekly gap, but did get the daily win. Friday was a mixed result in favor of The Stock Market Bear, who took both the NASDAQ and S&P500 while The Stock Market Bull focused on the DJIA. After a three week absence The Stock Market Bear picks up the 3-0 outright win in Week 14, and maintains a significant edge over the bewildered The Stock Market Bull.

 

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 14 of 2022 Ending 04/08/22
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Previous Quarter Close(03/31/22) 34,678.35 14,220.52 4,530.41
Previous Month Close(03/31/22) 34,678.35 14,220.52 4,530.41
Record Close Date 01/04/22 11/19/21 01/03/22
Record Close 36,799.65 16,057.44 4,796.56
Week 13-Friday & Close(04/01/22) 34,818.27 14,261.50 4,545.86
Week 14-Monday(04/04/22) 34,921.88 14,532.55 4,582.64
    Day Change 103.61 271.05 36.78
    Day % Change 0.30% 1.90% 0.81%
Week 14-Tuesday(04/05/22) 34,641.18 14,204.17 4,525.12
    Day Change (280.70) (328.38) (57.52)
    Day % Change -0.80% -2.26% -1.26%
Week 14-Wednesday(04/06/22) 34,496.51 13,888.82 4,481.15
    Day Change (144.67) (315.35) (43.97)
    Day % Change -0.42% -2.22% -0.97%
Week 14-Thursday(04/07/22) 34,583.57 13,897.30 4,500.21
    Day Change 87.06 8.48 19.06
    Day % Change 0.25% 0.06% 0.43%
Week 14-Friday & Close(04/08/22) 34,721.12 13,711.00 4,488.28
    Day Change 137.55 (186.30) (11.93)
    Day % Change 0.40% -1.34% -0.27%
Change-Week (97.15) (550.50) (57.58)
% Change-Week -0.28% -3.86% -1.27%
Change-Month-to-Date 42.77 (509.52) (42.13)
% Change-Month-to-Date 0.12% -3.58% -0.93%
Change-Quarter-to-Date 42.77 (509.52) (42.13)
% Change-Quarter-to-Date 0.12% -3.58% -0.93%
Change-Year-to-Date (1,617.18) (1,933.97) (277.90)
% Change-Year-to-Date -4.45% -12.36% -5.83%
Change-Record (2,078.53) (2,346.44) (308.28)
% Change-Record -5.65% -14.61% -6.43%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies 2022 YTD
Week 14 Winner and Tally  Bear 3-0 Win
March Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months 2022 YTD
The Stock Market Bull 4 1
The Stock Market Bear 8 2 Winning
Mixed Result 2 0
  Totals 14 3

Influences/News:

  • As Russian troops move away from the region of Ukraine‘s capital city of Kyiv it leaves behind the devastation of several villages and towns and clear violations of civilian human rights from the bodies left behind and from stories being told by survivors, further angering world opinion against the intruder. The US and European allies add more economic sanctions against Russia, its leaders and oligarchs, and continue to add funding and providing military equipment to Ukraine. The United Nations suspends Russia from its Human Rights Counsel. The US Senate votes 100-0 to end trade status with Russia and bans Russian oil imports.
  • US President Biden extends the pause of student loan payments until the end of August.
  • Ketanji Jackson Brown is confirmed by the US Senate in a 53-47 vote to become a Supreme Court Justice, the first black woman to achieve that role. She will succeed Stephen Breyer who is retiring this summer.
  • In US economic news the Dept of Commerce says the February US Trade Deficit is at $89.2 billion, YTD(2 months) it is at $178.3 billion, in February 2021 the YTD deficit was at $132.8 billion; the US Federal Open Market Committee releases the minutes from its January meeting. Additional public comments by Federal Reserve leaders indicate that short term federal funds interest rates could be increased in the next meetings by 0.50%, and there is going to be a phase in of a $95 billion/month reduction in the balance sheet, both actions to help lower inflation which is much higher and lasting longer than anticipated; the Federal Reserve says Consumer Credit Outstanding jumped +11.3% in February over January; the Dept of Commerce says February Wholesale Trade was at $675.7 billion, +1.7% over January, +25.5% over February 2021.

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Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

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The Week 13 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

April 1, 2022 by

The Week 13 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

stock market bull bear stocks investing investor PBR1000

In Week 13 The Stock Market Bull starts strong, falters, makes a comeback on Friday, has to settle for a 2-1 mixed win, just misses out on his first trifecta of the year.

By Larry C. Paxton

The US Stock Market Week 13 Summary:

The Stock Market Bull was anxious to get his first trifecta of weekly wins in 2022, charged into the Wall Street Bullpen, aggressively took Monday and Tuesday, and looked poised to take Week 13 in a convincing way. But The Stock Market Bear decided he wanted to play as well and overwhelmed The Stock Market Bull on Wednesday and Thursday and the month of March ends on a down note. Nevertheless, The Stock Market Bull gets his first monthly win of 2022. Both were exhausted at the ringing of the bell on Friday, but somehow The Stock Market Bull managed to keep the NASDAQ, took the S&P500 by the narrowest of margins, but fell just short of retaking the DJIA. The Stock Market Bull misses his trifecta, but does get a 2-1 mixed win for Week 13.

 

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 13 of 2022 Ending 04/01/22
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Previous Quarter Close(03/31/22) 34,678.35 14,220.52 4,530.41
Previous Month Close(03/31/22) 34,678.35 14,220.52 4,530.41
Record Close Date 01/04/22 11/19/21 01/03/22
Record Close 36,799.65 16,057.44 4,796.56
Week 12-Friday & Close(03/25/22) 34,861.24 14,169.30 4,543.06
Week 13-Monday(03/28/22) 34,955.89 14,354.90 4,575.52
    Day Change 94.65 185.60 32.46
    Day % Change 0.27% 1.31% 0.71%
Week 13-Tuesday(03/29/22) 35,294.19 14,619.64 4,631.60
    Day Change 338.30 264.74 56.08
    Day % Change 0.97% 1.84% 1.23%
Week 13-Wednesday(03/30/22) 35,228.81 14,442.27 4,602.45
    Day Change (65.38) (177.37) (29.15)
    Day % Change -0.19% -1.21% -0.63%
Week 13-Thursday(03/31/22) 34,678.35 14,220.52 4,530.41
    Day Change (550.46) (221.75)
 (72.04)
    Day % Change -1.56% -1.54% -1.57%
Week 13-Friday & Close(04/01/22) 34,818.27 14,261.50 4,545.86
    Day Change 139.92 40.98 15.45
    Day % Change 0.40% 0.29% 0.34%
Change-Week (42.97) 92.20 2.80
% Change-Week -0.12% 0.65% 0.06%
Change-Month-to-Date 139.92 40.98 15.45
% Change-Month-to-Date 0.40% 0.29% 0.34%
Change-Quarter-to-Date 139.92 40.98 15.45
% Change-Quarter-to-Date 0.40% 0.29% 0.34%
Change-Year-to-Date (1,520.03) (1,383.47) (220.32)
% Change-Year-to-Date -4.18% -8.84% -4.62%
Change-Record (1,981.38) (1,795.94) (250.70)
% Change-Record -5.38% -11.18% -5.23%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies 2022 YTD
Week 13 Winner and Tally  Bull 2-1 Mixed Win
March Winner and Tally Bull 3-0 Win
Weeks Months 2022 YTD
The Stock Market Bull 4 1
The Stock Market Bear 7 2 Winning
Mixed Result 2 0
  Totals 13 3

Influences/News:

  • Russia continues its attack on Ukraine, but decides to re-deploy its troops and equipment from the Kyiv area where it has met a lot of resistance to the Eastern and Southern parts of Ukraine where it is having more success. The US and several European countries increase their funding for the defense of Ukraine and in providing defensive military equipment.
  • China shuts down Shanghai in its battle with COVID-19 and its variants.
  • US President Biden authorizes the release of 1 million barrels of oil per day for the next 180 days from the strategic stockpile in an effort to counter increased fuel prices.
  • In US economic news the Dept of Labor reports that there were 11.27 million job openings at the end of February; S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller says its 20 US cities index shows that at the end of January home prices had increased by 19.1% over a 12 month period; ADP reports that the US private sector added 455,000 jobs in March; the US Gross Domestic Product was revised downward slightly from +7.0% to +6.9%; the Dept of Labor says the economy added 431,000 in March, Unemployment Rate is at 3.6%.

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Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

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The Week 12 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

March 25, 2022 by

The Week 12 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Investing Investor Stocks

The Stock Market Bull pulls out another win in Week 12 of 2022. How much longer will it take him to catch up to The Stock Market Bear YTD?

By Larry C. Paxton

The US Stock Market Week 12 Summary:

After losing Week 11 by a large margin The Stock Market Bear viciously took no prisoners on Monday to start Week 12. But The Stock Market Bull struck back even stronger to take Tuesday. This only riled up The Stock Market Bear who returned the favor to take Wednesday. Like a sumo wrestling match The Stock Market Bull returned to the pasture on Thursday and bounced The Stock Market Bear over the fence. The Stock Market Bear re-entered on Friday but it was a feeble attempt. The Stock Market Bull gets his two weeks in a row victory in Week 12, is still quite a bit behind year-to-date, the world is still in chaos over Russia’s attack on Ukraine, inflationary pressures, the COVID-19 pandemic that that won’t go away, and only a single number one seed left in the NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness championship. But the economy remains strong and growing. Can The Stock Market Bull keep up his first win streak in 2022? Read what the experts say and place your bets!

 

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 12 of 2022 Ending 03/25/22
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Previous Quarter Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Previous Month Close(02/28/22) 33,892.60 13,751.40 4,373.94
Record Close Date 01/04/22 11/19/21 01/03/22
Record Close 36,799.65 16,057.44 4,796.56
Week 11-Friday & Close(03/18/22) 34,754.93 13,893.84 4,463.12
Week 12-Monday(03/21/22) 34,552.99 13,838.46 4,461.18
    Day Change (201.94) (55.38) (1.94)
    Day % Change -0.58% -0.40% -0.04%
Week 12-Tuesday(03/22/22) 34,807.46 14,108.82 4,511.61
    Day Change 254.47 270.36 50.43
    Day % Change 0.74% 1.95% 1.13%
Week 12-Wednesday(03/23/22) 34,358.80 13,922.60 4,456.24
    Day Change (448.66) (186.22) (55.37)
    Day % Change -1.29% -1.32% -1.23%
Week 12-Thursday(03/24/22) 34,707.94 14,191.84 4,520.16
    Day Change 349.14 269.24 63.92
    Day % Change 1.02% 1.93% 1.43%
Week 12-Friday & Close(03/25/22) 34,861.24 14,169.30 4,543.06
    Day Change 153.30 (22.54) 22.90
    Day % Change 0.44% -0.16% 0.51%
Change-Week 106.31 275.46 79.94
% Change-Week 0.31% 1.98% 1.79%
Change-Month-to-Date 968.64 417.90 169.12
% Change-Month-to-Date 2.86% 3.04% 3.87%
Change-Quarter-to-Date (1,477.06) (1,475.67) (223.12)
% Change-Quarter-to-Date -4.06% -9.43% -4.68%
Change-Year-to-Date (1,477.06) (1,475.67) (223.12)
% Change-Year-to-Date -4.06% -9.43% -4.68%
Change-Record (1,938.41) (1,888.14) (253.50)
% Change-Record -5.27% -11.76% -5.29%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies 2022 YTD
Week 12 Winner and Tally  Bull 3-0 Win
February Winner and Tally Bear 3-0 Win
Weeks Months 2022 YTD
The Stock Market Bull 4 0
The Stock Market Bear 7 2 Winning
Mixed Result 1 0
  Totals 12 2

Influences/News:

  • Ukraine is still being attacked by Russia, but the ground effort seems stalled and the primary damage is being done by artillery and cruise missiles. NATO and EU meetings in Europe that included US President Biden end with continuing resolve to be united against Russia and with additional military resources and financial aid being provided to Ukraine, but still not willing to move on the pleas of Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s requests to establish a “No Fly Zone.” Additional sanctions are also place on Russia and its oligarchs. US President Biden visits Poland to spend time with US troops and to let Poland know the US is behind them as it continues to be the primary destiny for Ukrainian refugees. It was also announced that a LNG deal for the US to provide Europe with 15 billion cubic meters liquified natural gas has been agreed to which will help Europe lessen its dependency on Russian oil.
  • The latest COVID-19 BA.2 variant continues to spread rapidly, cases are mostly mild, but uncertainty about the end of the pandemic remains.
  • North Korea does another ballistic test which appears to have been successful.
  • US Supreme Court nominee Ketanji Brown Jackson appears before the Senate Judiciary Committee to answer questions, which were mostly partisan in nature. At the end of the hearings it appears she will be approved by the committee and her nomination will go before the Senate where the Democrats have a slight edge. There is also some talk that some Republicans might vote in the affirmative as well. Polls of US citizens indicate approval of KBJ.
  • In US economic news the Chicago Fed National Activity Index indicated a slight decline in the economy in February; New Home Sales declined by 2.0% to an annual rate of 770,000 units in February and by 6.2% from a year ago, median new home price is at $400,600; average US Mortgage Rates for a 30 year fixed rate climbed from 4.16% to 4.42% in the latest week; the US International Account Deficit for 2021 is at $822 billion, a further 33.4% decline from 2020; the U of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index finished March at 59.7, the lowest in 11 years; US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims fell to 187,000, the lowest since 1969.

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Disclaimers: The research PBRMarketTools.com provides is compiled from a variety of publicly available resources. As such, PBRMarketTools.com is not responsible for the data itself. Any liability for the representations or decisions based on the data is solely the responsibility of the authorized user, not PBRMarketTools.com, its employees or affiliates. PBRMarketTools.com is an independent business intelligence service providing news, data, and analysis. We provide information only and it should not be regarded as recommendations or advice. PBRMarketTools.com is not a financial advisory or stock brokerage firm and has no affiliation with such organizations.

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The Week 11 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

March 18, 2022 by

The Week 11 of 2022 US Stock Market News Recap

Stock Market Bull Bear Investing Investor Stocks

In Week 11 of 2022 The Stock Market Bull takes over the pasture, gets 13 of 15 trading sessions, first outright win since Week 5.

By Larry C. Paxton

The US Stock Market Week 10 Summary:

With the continuing attacks on Ukraine by Russia, concerns about rising inflation, and news that another COVID-19 variant has shown up, The Stock Market Bear took two of the three major US stock indices on Monday. But The Stock Market Bull was tired of losing and with great determination charged into the pasture on Tuesday, chased The Stock Market Bear out, and forcefully kept The Stock Market Bear out the whole week. The Stock Market Bull gets a convincing 3-0 outright win in Week 11 of 2022, his first since Week 5, now also has a lead month-to-date for March. Will The Stock Market Bull‘s momentum carry over into Week 12? Welcome to the stock market’s version of March Madness!

 

US Stock Market Indices Summary

Week 11 of 2022 Ending 03/18/22
DJIA NASDAQ S&P500
Previous Year Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Previous Quarter Close(12/31/21) 36,338.30 15,644.97 4,766.18
Previous Month Close(02/28/22) 33,892.60 13,751.40 4,373.94
Record Close Date 01/04/22 11/19/21 01/03/22
Record Close 36,799.65 16,057.44 4,796.56
Week 10-Friday & Close(03/11/22) 32,944.19 12,843.81 4,204.31
Week 11-Monday(03/14/22) 32,945.24 12,581.22 4,173.11
    Day Change 1.05 (262.59) (31.20)
    Day % Change 0.00% -2.04% -0.74%
Week 11-Tuesday(03/15/22) 33,544.34 12,948.62 4,262.45
    Day Change 599.10 367.40 89.34
    Day % Change 1.82% 2.92% 2.14%
Week 11-Wednesday(03/16/22) 34,063.10 13,436.55 4,357.86
    Day Change 518.76 487.93 95.41
    Day % Change 1.55% 3.77% 2.24%
Week 11-Thursday(03/17/22) 34,480.76 13,614.78 4,411.67
    Day Change 417.66 178.23 53.81
    Day % Change 1.23% 1.33% 1.23%
Week 11-Friday & Close(03/18/22) 34,754.93 13,893.84 4,463.12
    Day Change 274.17 279.06 51.45
    Day % Change 0.80% 2.05% 1.17%
Change-Week 1,810.74 1,050.03 258.81
% Change-Week 5.50% 8.18% 6.16%
Change-Month-to-Date 862.33 142.44 89.18
% Change-Month-to-Date 2.54% 1.04% 2.04%
Change-Quarter-to-Date (1,583.37) (1,751.13) (303.06)
% Change-Quarter-to-Date -4.36% -11.19% -6.36%
Change-Year-to-Date (1,583.37) (1,751.13) (303.06)
% Change-Year-to-Date -4.36% -11.19% -6.36%
Change-Record (2,044.72) (2,163.60) (333.44)
% Change-Record -5.56% -13.47% -6.95%

The Stock Market Bull and Bear Tallies 2022 YTD
Week 11 Winner and Tally  Bull 3-0 Win
February Winner and Tally Bear 3-0 Win
Weeks Months 2022 YTD
The Stock Market Bull 3 0
The Stock Market Bear 7 2 Winning
Mixed Result 1 0
  Totals 11 2

Influences/News:

  • Russia continues its attacks on Ukraine in an increasingly questionable campaign. The Ukraine military continues to stymy much of Russia’s efforts, but artillery and cruise missiles appear to be intentionally aimed at inflicting damage on civilian populations and structures like hospitals and schools. According to the United Nations over 3.2 million Ukrainians have reached neighboring borders in search of safety. Negotiations between Ukraine and Russia are starting to show signs of a possible ceasefire. Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy makes an appeal to the US Congress for more aid. The US passes a spending bill bill that includes financial and military equipment assistance. Russian President Vladimir Putin justifies his actions in a large gathering at a stadium. US President Joe Biden tells Chinese President Xi Jinping that China’s apparent support of Russia might not be a wise decision and that there could be consequences. Sanctions against Russia and many of its oligarchs continue and appear to be starting to have an effect.
  • North Korea attempts another weapons test, which apparently failed.
  • Reinstatement of the 2015 Iranian nuclear deal makes some moves forward as much of the world seeks to replace Russian oil with alternate sources, including Iranian and Venezuelan oil. Iran also releases two high profile Iran-UK dual citizens after several years of detention is also sends a positive signal that a deal is possible.
  •  A new COVID-19 variant, the Omnicron BA.2, detected in the US two months ago, is starting to spread at a rapid rate, raising concerns that there might have to be some shutdowns again.
  • In US economic news this week the Producer Price Index grew at 0.8% in February, lower than forecast, and 10.0% over the past 12 months; the Federal Open Market Committee raises the federal funds rate a quarter percent to 0.25-0.50%, its first increase in four years, and the first of an expected many over the next couple of years in an effort to curb inflation while trying to prevent a recession; the Natl Home Builders Assn/Wells Fargo Housing Market Composite Index falls to 79, still reflecting a positive attitude towards homebuilding; February US Import Prices grew by 1.4%, 10.9% over the past 12 months, Exports grew 3.0%, 16.6% over the past 12 months; US Manufacturing Sales for January were at $1.785 trillion, +3.7% from December, +15.5% from 12 months ago; February Retail Sales were at $658.1 billion, +0.3% from January, +17.6% from February 2021; US New Residential Building Permits Issued for February are at a 1,859,000 annual rate, -1.9% from January, +7.7% from February 2021; US Factory Capacity for February was at 77.6%, January was at 77.3%, February 2021 72.7%; February US Existing Home Sales Annual Rate is at 6,020,000, -7.2% from January, -2.4% from February 2021; FreddieMac says the average 30 year fixed mortgage rate for the week rose to 4.16% +0.8 for fees & points; AAA says the average price for a gallon of gas in the US on 03/18/22 is at $4.274; the US Weekly Initial Jobless Insurance Claims for 03/12/22 was at 214,000, was 765,000 12 months earlier.

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